1. NCAAB
  2. Wed, Dec 9
  3. RID @ GTWN
NCAAB · Wed, Dec 9

Rider Broncs at Georgetown Hoyas

Capital One Arena · at Georgetown
#347RIDRider
@
#64GTWNGeorgetown
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
RIDThis seasonGTWN
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects GTWN 87–57 · win probability GTWN 100%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 144.2
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: GTWN has more of the edges

RID 0, GTWN 8 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
GTWNBig
RID offense vs GTWN defense
Offense 348th of 366 against a defense 46th, on the model’s ratings
GTWNBig
GTWN offense vs RID defense
Offense 75th of 366 against a defense 315th, on the model’s ratings
GTWNBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: RID 42.8 and allows 55.2; GTWN 49.6 and allows 50.0
Context
Schedule so far
RID has played the 201st-hardest schedule, GTWN the 47th. A record against a soft schedule means less
GTWNBig
Three-pointers
RID hits 27.6% and allows 38.0%; GTWN hits 31.8% and allows 33.3%. Threes are 27.5% and 35.2% of their shots
GTWNSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: RID 30.1, GTWN 37.3. Allowed: RID 32.5, GTWN 33.9
GTWNSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: RID 0%, GTWN 38%. Transfers in: RID 6, GTWN 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
GTWNSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: RID 16.9%, GTWN 15.8%. Forced: RID 15.3%, GTWN 16.2%
GTWNSmall
Home court
GTWN at home. This season: GTWN 0-0 at home, RID 0-0 away
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: RID plays 65.7 a game (323rd fastest), GTWN 67.8 (238th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: RID 32.6%, GTWN 32.5%. Defensive: RID 67.2%, GTWN 68.5%
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—GTWN -29.5—
Total—144.2—
Projected score—RID 57.4 · GTWN 86.9

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadGTWN -17.4—
1H total67.5—
1H projected scoreRID 25 · GTWN 42.4—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Georgetown has the better starters

Position by position: Rider 0, Georgetown 2, even 3
RiderBetterGeorgetown
G M. Butler TR10.9 pts · 2.2 reb · 4.3 ast Score 44
GTWNSmall
G V. Miller TR10.8 pts · 2.7 reb · 1.8 ast Score 74
G K. Farmer TR3.5 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.4 ast Score 6
GTWNBig
F C. Williams8.8 pts · 5.1 reb · 1.5 ast Score 57
G B. Baker TR1.6 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.4 ast Not ranked
No call
F J. Parker TR9.8 pts · 6.1 reb · 1.1 ast Score 79
G T. Bevins TR0.6 pts · 0.7 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
No call
C V. Iwuchukwu11.6 pts · 6.1 reb · 0.5 ast Score 89
F H. Simmons TR1.7 pts · 0.8 reb · 0.2 ast Not ranked
No call
C C. Machot TR8.8 pts · 5.4 reb · 0.2 ast Score 78
RiderBetterGeorgetown
RID offense348th of 366 · -12.2
GTWNBig
GTWN defense46th of 366 · +2.3
RID defense315th of 366 · -8.2
GTWNBig
GTWN offense75th of 366 · +1.3
Backcourt-5.5 · 4 players
GTWNBig
Backcourt+0.7 · 1 player
Frontcourt-0.3 · 1 player
GTWNBig
Frontcourt+6.5 · 4 players
Bench-0.3 · 1 player
GTWNSmall
Bench+1.4 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestRID betterGTWN betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Rider
Guards
M. Butler34 min · TRK. Farmer14 min · TRB. Baker13 min · TRT. Bevins5 min · TRN. WashingtonNewR. RosaNew
Forwards
H. Simmons6 min · TRR. Brisco2 min · TRK. WylieNewS. Ezekiel ObeNew
Centers
S. Avegah SemeyNew
Georgetown
Guards
V. Miller26 min · TRJ. Lowe19 min · TRE. Jackson18 min · TRK. Mulready17 minM. Moses1 minM. Van Raaphorst1 min
Forwards
C. Williams30 minJ. Parker22 min · TRJ. CaldwellNewP. PastreNew
Centers
V. Iwuchukwu23 minC. Machot20 min · TRS. Diouf4 min
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
RIDGTWN
Scoring
62.6 #359Points per game73.6 #215
0.95 #355Points per possession1.09 #165
65.7 #323Pace (possessions)67.8 #238
Shooting
42.8 #365Effective FG%49.6 #257
27.6 #3653-point %31.8 #285
27.5 #3613-point attempt rate35.2 #271
30.1 #307Free throw rate37.3 #121
Possessions
16.9 #197Turnover rate15.8 #120
32.6 #101Offensive rebound rate32.5 #107
10.1 #356Assists per game14.8 #101
Defense
76.8 #236Points allowed72.9 #130
1.17 #341Points allowed per possession1.08 #147
55.2 #335Opponent effective FG%50.0 #96
38.0 #356Opponent 3-point %33.3 #139
15.3 #266Turnovers forced16.2 #211
67.2 #294Defensive rebound rate68.5 #228
5.9 #247Steals per game6.5 #182
3.2 #188Blocks per game3.6 #130
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Rider

3-25 in 2025-26 overall · 3-17 in conference · Metro Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Siena61–76
  • L@ Iona58–80
  • Wvs Niagara67–62
  • Lvs Canisius66–72
  • L@ Sacred Heart75–86

A week or more of rest.

Georgetown

16-18 in 2025-26 overall · 8-15 in conference · Big East Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs UConn51–67
  • Wvs Villanova78–64
  • Wvs DePaul63–56
  • Wvs Providence80–79
  • L@ St John's69–72

A week or more of rest.