1. NCAAB
  2. Wed, Dec 9
  3. UND @ SIUE
NCAAB · Wed, Dec 9

North Dakota Fighting Hawks at SIU Edwardsville Cougars

First Community Arena · at SIUE
#336UNDNorth Dakota
@
#257SIUESIUE
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
UNDThis seasonSIUE
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects SIUE 75–66 · win probability SIUE 77%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 141.1
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: SIUE has more of the edges

UND 1, SIUE 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
SIUEBig
Three-pointers
UND hits 32.7% and allows 37.1%; SIUE hits 35.0% and allows 30.2%. Threes are 40.6% and 36.2% of their shots
SIUEBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: UND 49.5 and allows 56.5; SIUE 49.5 and allows 45.6
UNDBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: UND 14.1%, SIUE 17.9%. Forced: UND 19.3%, SIUE 17.1%
SIUEBig
UND offense vs SIUE defense
Offense 304th of 366 against a defense 161st, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: UND plays 69.7 a game (133rd fastest), SIUE 66.1 (306th). Faster games mean more points
Context
Schedule so far
UND has played the 293rd-hardest schedule, SIUE the 365th. A record against a soft schedule means less
SIUESmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: UND 27.4%, SIUE 30.1%. Defensive: UND 67.6%, SIUE 68.4%
SIUESmall
Home court
SIUE at home. This season: SIUE 0-0 at home, UND 0-0 away
SIUESmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: UND 24%, SIUE 52%. Transfers in: UND 2, SIUE 2. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
SIUE offense vs UND defense
Offense 329th of 366 against a defense 353rd, on the model’s ratings
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: UND 37.9, SIUE 30.6. Allowed: UND 43.8, SIUE 34.3
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—SIUE -8.4—
Total—141.1—
Projected score—UND 66.4 · SIUE 74.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadSIUE -4.9—
1H total66.0—
1H projected scoreUND 30.6 · SIUE 35.5—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

SIUE has the better starters

Position by position: North Dakota 0, SIUE 3, even 2
North DakotaBetterSIUE
G Z. Kraft7.7 pts · 2 reb · 0.5 ast Score 23
SIUESmall
G G. Cobb TR9.8 pts · 2.6 reb · 3.6 ast Score 40
G S. Hincapie TR4.9 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.7 ast Score 11
SIUEBig
G T. King10.1 pts · 2.6 reb · 1 ast Score 66
G T. Wagner TR1.7 pts · 1.2 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
No call
G J. Pickett4.6 pts · 2.9 reb · 1.1 ast Score 7
F K. Ouse0.5 pts · 0.4 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
No call
F G. Liberis7 pts · 4.8 reb · 1 ast Score 9
C J. Jones2.7 pts · 3.3 reb · 1 ast Score 1
SIUEBig
F D. Baker7.7 pts · 4 reb · 0.7 ast Score 40
North DakotaBetterSIUE
UND offense304th of 366 · -9.5
SIUEBig
SIUE defense161st of 366 · -3.6
UND defense353rd of 366 · -9.9
Even
SIUE offense329th of 366 · -10.6
Backcourt-4.8 · 3 players
SIUESmall
Backcourt-3.6 · 3 players
Frontcourt-4.5 · 2 players
SIUESmall
Frontcourt-3.3 · 2 players
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench-1.5 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestUND betterSIUE betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
North Dakota
Guards
Z. Kraft25 minS. Hincapie16 min · TRT. Wagner7 min · TRL. WinkelNewZ. ParksNewJ. MooreNew
Forwards
K. Ouse6 minA. RadojevicNewJ. ThomasNewD. ElyNew
Centers
J. Jones19 min
SIUE
Guards
G. Cobb29 min · TRT. King22 minJ. Pickett20 minC. Efono9 minH. Alexander7 minD. McCaskillNew
Forwards
G. Liberis24 minD. Baker21 minI. Baganc2 minD. WilsonNewB. SohaibNewB. MillerNew
Centers
J. Martin1 min · TR
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
UNDSIUE
Scoring
74.2 #187Points per game67.7 #321
1.07 #214Points per possession1.02 #304
69.7 #133Pace (possessions)66.1 #306
Shooting
49.5 #272Effective FG%49.5 #266
32.7 #2463-point %35.0 #123
40.6 #1553-point attempt rate36.2 #246
37.9 #106Free throw rate30.6 #294
Possessions
14.1 #27Turnover rate17.9 #266
27.4 #284Offensive rebound rate30.1 #195
10.8 #343Assists per game12.4 #255
Defense
79.6 #310Points allowed65.9 #13
1.14 #306Points allowed per possession1.00 #26
56.5 #353Opponent effective FG%45.6 #6
37.1 #345Opponent 3-point %30.2 #10
19.3 #36Turnovers forced17.1 #143
67.6 #276Defensive rebound rate68.4 #235
7.9 #49Steals per game6.9 #138
2.5 #307Blocks per game4.0 #70
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

North Dakota

15-17 in 2025-26 overall · 12-7 in conference · Summit League

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs N Dakota St62–70
  • Wvs St Thomas67–66
  • Wvs Denver83–67
  • L@ N Dakota St63–96
  • L@ S Dakota St83–91

A week or more of rest.

SIUE

16-13 in 2025-26 overall · 12-9 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs E Illinois71–77
  • Wvs E Illinois77–50
  • Wvs W Illinois67–47
  • L@ Tennessee St53–80
  • L@ Tennessee Tech52–62

A week or more of rest.