SIU Edwardsville Cougars at Eastern Illinois Panthers: Model Line and Edge

Thu, Dec 18, 6:30 PM ETGroniger Arena · at E Illinois · Conference game

#256SIUESIUE72final

Final

#361EIUE Illinois76▲ winner

Closing lineSIUE -6.5✓ EIU covered by 10.5

Closing total134.5Over by 13.5

Season records: SIUE and E Illinois
SIUE	This season	EIU
4-4	Record	1-8
5-3	ATS	5-4
4-4	O/U	4-5

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: SIUE 69–67 EIU · ✗ SIUE (57%) lost

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	OT	T
SIUE	33	30	9	72
EIU	33	30	13	76

1st half: SIUE 33, EIU 33 (tied). The model had SIUE by 1.4 and a total of 63.7 (actual 66).

Team stats

SIUE		EIU
24-58 41%	Field goals	28-57 49%
11-24 46%	3-pointers	7-20 35%
13-16 81%	Free throws	13-17 76%
30 8 off	Rebounds	39 10 off
17	Assists	13
7	Steals	11
5	Blocks	2
14	Turnovers	16
16	Fouls	13
26	Points in paint	32
4	Fast-break points	20

Players

SIUE	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Ring Malith G	39	23	5	2	5-12	5-8
Jack Campion G	37	1	2	10	0-5	0-0
Jo Valrie F	27	6	5	1	2-5	1-3
Jordan Pickett G	25	2	3	3	1-6	0-3
Arnas Sakenis C	24	10	4	0	4-8	0-0
Bench
Harrison Alexander G	25	13	2	0	5-7	3-4
Kyle Thomas F	20	7	3	0	3-7	0-0
Darrion Baker F	14	6	2	0	2-4	2-4
CJ Hall G	8	4	1	1	2-3	0-1
Darius Robinson Jr. G	6	0	1	0	0-1	0-1

Did not play: Myles Thompson, Tyler King, Dehrio McCaskill, Corentin Efono, Iwo Baganc

EIU	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Kooper Jacobi F	43	8	10	4	4-14	0-4
Meechie White G	36	21	6	2	6-6	4-4
Terry McMorris F	36	7	6	1	2-6	0-1
Andre Washington G	34	10	3	2	3-9	0-4
Nazareth Fisher F	10	4	1	2	2-2	0-0
Bench
Zion Fruster G	36	23	6	1	10-15	2-3
Andrew Austin F	13	3	2	1	1-3	1-3
Preston Turner G	12	0	2	0	0-1	0-1
Prince Johnson F	5	0	1	0	0-1	0-0

Did not play: Markus Blackwell, Malik Olafioye, Kyle Layton, JT Elder, Shane Sims

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	SIUE -6.5	SIUE -2.0	EIU +4.5	W EIU covered
Total	134.5	135.9	Over 1.4	W Over
Projected score	—	SIUE 69 · EIU 67

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	SIUE -1.4	PK
1H total	63.7	66
1H projected score	SIUE 32.5 · EIU 31.2	SIUE 33 · EIU 33

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
SIUE WLWWL	5-3	63%	4-1	2-3
EIU LLWLW	5-4	56%	2-1	5-4

Venue/role: SIUE away, as favorite; EIU home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
SIUE OOOUO	4-4	50%	4-4
EIU OOOUU	4-5	44%	1-8

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
SIUElast 8	4-4 50%	5-3 63%	4-4 50%
EIUlast 9	1-8 11%	5-4 56%	4-5 44%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22

SIUE 7–2 EIUSIUE leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · SIUE has won the last 3 meetings · SIUE 7-2 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Feb 4, 2024-25	EIU 41 @ SIUE 66	SIUE -6.5	SIUE W
Jan 7, 2024-25	SIUE 60 @ EIU 57	EIU +1.5	SIUE W
Mar 6, 2023-24	EIU 57 vs SIUE 68	SIUE -3.5	SIUE W
Feb 27, 2023-24	SIUE 79 @ EIU 84	EIU +1.5	EIU W
Dec 29, 2023-24	EIU 58 @ SIUE 67	SIUE -8.5	SIUE W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

SIUE

8 games played

Straight up

4-4

50% wins

Against the spread

5-3

63% covers · avg +0.6 pts vs the line

Over / Under

4-4

50% overs · avg −5.9 pts vs the total

Straight up

4-450%

W L W L L W W L

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

5-363%

W L W W L W W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

4-450%

U U U O O O U O

3 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 7	@UTSA	W 77-60	+6.5	W +23.5	153.5	U 137
Nov 10	vsINST	L 55-64	-2.5	L −11.5	159.5	U 119
Nov 14	@DRKE	W 61-59	+7.5	W +9.5	142.5	U 120
Nov 17	@WIS	L 69-94	+25.5	W +0.5	146.5	O 163
Nov 21	@AF	L 63-77	-2.5	L −16.5	130.5	O 140
Nov 23	vsALST	W 83-68	-1.5	W +13.5	142.5	O 151
Dec 2	@UNF	W 72-63	-7.5	W +1.5	153.5	U 135
Dec 6	vsWMU	L 73-83	-5.5	L −15.5	139.5	O 156

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

UTSA

W 77-60

+23.5

INST

L 55-64

−11.5

DRKE

W 61-59

+9.5

WIS

L 69-94

+0.5

L 63-77

−16.5

ALST

W 83-68

+13.5

UNF

W 72-63

+1.5

WMU

L 73-83

−15.5

covered 5didn’t cover 3avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

UTSA

W 77-60

−16.5

INST

L 55-64

−40.5

DRKE

W 61-59

−22.5

WIS

L 69-94

+16.5

L 63-77

+9.5

ALST

W 83-68

+8.5

UNF

W 72-63

−18.5

WMU

L 73-83

+16.5

over 4under 4avg −5.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

E Illinois

9 games played

Straight up

1-8

11% wins

Against the spread

5-4

56% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line

Over / Under

4-5

44% overs · avg −2.9 pts vs the total

Straight up

1-811%

L W L L L L L L L

7 straight losses0 of last 4 won

Against the spread

5-456%

W W W L L L W L W

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

4-544%

U U U O O O O U U

2 straight unders2 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 4	@VAL	L 63-66	+5.5	W +2.5	144.5	U 129
Nov 7	vsNICH	W 65-57	+2.5	W +10.5	135.5	U 122
Nov 11	@ND	L 58-78	+23.5	W +3.5	143.5	U 136
Nov 14	@UK	L 53-99	+35.5	L −10.5	147.5	O 152
Nov 25	@CARK	L 60-81	+5.5	L −15.5	139.5	O 141
Nov 28	@PUR	L 62-109	+40.5	L −6.5	141.5	O 171
Dec 6	vsLIN	L 74-82	+8.5	W +0.5	145.5	O 156
Dec 10	vsEKU	L 59-68	+6.5	L −2.5	149.5	U 127
Dec 14	@ISU	L 53-78	+43.5	W +18.5	144.5	U 131

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

VAL

L 63-66

+2.5

NICH

W 65-57

+10.5

L 58-78

+3.5

L 53-99

−10.5

CARK

L 60-81

−15.5

PUR

L 62-109

−6.5

LIN

L 74-82

+0.5

EKU

L 59-68

−2.5

ISU

L 53-78

+18.5

covered 5didn’t cover 4avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

VAL

L 63-66

−15.5

NICH

W 65-57

−13.5

L 58-78

−7.5

L 53-99

+4.5

CARK

L 60-81

+1.5

PUR

L 62-109

+29.5

LIN

L 74-82

+10.5

EKU

L 59-68

−22.5

ISU

L 53-78

−13.5

over 4under 5avg −2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

SIU Edwardsville Cougars at Eastern Illinois Panthers

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

SIUE

E Illinois

SIUE

E Illinois