Eastern Kentucky Colonels at Eastern Illinois Panthers: Model Line and Edge

Wed, Dec 10, 8:00 PM ETGroniger Arena · at E Illinois

#294EKUE Kentucky68▲ winner

Final

Closing lineEKU -6.5✓ EKU covered by 2.5

Closing total149.5Under by 22.5

Season records: E Kentucky and E Illinois
EKU	This season	EIU
0-7	Record	1-6
1-6	ATS	4-3
5-2	O/U	4-3

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: EKU 78–75 EIU · ✓ EKU (59%) won

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
EKU	31	37	68
EIU	32	27	59

1st half: EKU 31, EIU 32 (EIU by 1). The model had EKU by 1.8 and a total of 71.4 (actual 63).

Team stats

EKU		EIU
24-57 42%	Field goals	21-53 40%
8-32 25%	3-pointers	5-15 33%
12-13 92%	Free throws	12-14 86%
37 12 off	Rebounds	30 8 off
17	Assists	14
4	Steals	5
2	Blocks	1
11	Turnovers	12
13	Fouls	13
24	Points in paint	30
2	Fast-break points	13

Players

EKU	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Montavious Myrick F	36	6	9	4	3-6	0-0
Yvens Paul F	31	10	7	0	5-7	0-0
Juan Cranford Jr. G	30	14	2	2	4-13	1-10
Austin Ball F	27	7	7	1	3-10	1-6
MJ Williams G	16	5	3	3	1-4	1-4
Bench
Jackson Holt G	24	6	1	3	2-6	2-5
Turner Buttry G	23	14	1	3	3-4	3-4
Jayden Harris F	13	6	1	1	3-7	0-3

Did not play: Jalen Cooper, Amarr Knox, Tyler Jackson, Trey Coles, Rydge Beverly, Mason Miles, Asa White

EIU	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Meechie White G	32	12	5	5	4-8	1-3
Kooper Jacobi F	30	3	3	1	1-7	0-1
Preston Turner G	27	8	1	0	3-4	2-2
Malik Olafioye G	12	2	1	0	1-6	0-1
Nazareth Fisher F	9	0	2	0	0-0	0-0
Bench
Zion Fruster G	29	16	5	3	5-12	0-2
Andre Washington G	20	11	3	2	4-9	1-2
Terry McMorris F	15	2	4	0	1-2	0-0
Andrew Austin F	15	3	0	3	1-4	1-4
Prince Johnson F	11	2	1	0	1-1	0-0

Did not play: Markus Blackwell, Kyle Layton, Shane Sims, JT Elder

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	EKU -6.5	EKU -2.7	EIU +3.8	L EKU covered
Total	149.5	152.5	Over 3.0	L Under
Projected score	—	EKU 77.6 · EIU 74.9

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	EKU -1.8	EIU -1.0
1H total	71.4	63
1H projected score	EKU 36.6 · EIU 34.8	EKU 31 · EIU 32

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
EKU LLLLW	1-6	14%	1-3	0-1
EIU WLLLW	4-3	57%	2-0	4-3

Venue/role: EKU away, as favorite; EIU home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
EKU OOUOO	5-2	71%	0-7
EIU UOOOO	4-3	57%	1-6

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
EKUlast 7	0-7 0%	1-6 14%	5-2 71%
EIUlast 7	1-6 14%	4-3 57%	4-3 57%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

EKU 2–0 EIUEKU leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · EKU has won the last 2 meetings · EKU 2-0 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Dec 14, 2024-25	EIU 66 @ EKU 81	EKU -9.5	EKU W
Nov 22, 2021-22	EIU 43 @ EKU 82	EKU -15.5	EKU W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

E Kentucky

7 games played

Straight up

0-7

0% wins

Against the spread

1-6

14% covers · avg −5.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

5-2

71% overs · avg +4.1 pts vs the total

Straight up

0-70%

L L L L L L L

7 straight losses0 of last 4 won

Against the spread

1-614%

L L L L L L W

1 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

5-271%

O U O O U O O

2 straight overs3 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 10	vsWKU	L 79-87	+1.5	L −6.5	162.5	O 166
Nov 12	@VAN	L 62-92	+28.5	L −1.5	168.5	U 154
Nov 18	@KENT	L 78-93	+10.5	L −4.5	161.5	O 171
Nov 22	vsMER	L 83-95	-4.5	L −16.5	163.5	O 178
Nov 24	@NKU	L 71-82	+4.5	L −6.5	156.5	U 153
Nov 29	vsWOF	L 77-83	+1.5	L −4.5	153.5	O 160
Dec 3	@ILST	L 78-89	+12.5	W +1.5	154.5	O 167

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

WKU

L 79-87

−6.5

VAN

L 62-92

−1.5

KENT

L 78-93

−4.5

MER

L 83-95

−16.5

NKU

L 71-82

−6.5

WOF

L 77-83

−4.5

ILST

L 78-89

+1.5

covered 1didn’t cover 6avg −5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

WKU

L 79-87

+3.5

VAN

L 62-92

−14.5

KENT

L 78-93

+9.5

MER

L 83-95

+14.5

NKU

L 71-82

−3.5

WOF

L 77-83

+6.5

ILST

L 78-89

+12.5

over 5under 2avg +4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin

E Illinois

7 games played

Straight up

1-6

14% wins

Against the spread

4-3

57% covers · avg −2.2 pts vs the line

Over / Under

4-3

57% overs · avg +1.4 pts vs the total

Straight up

1-614%

L W L L L L L

5 straight losses0 of last 4 won

Against the spread

4-357%

W W W L L L W

1 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

4-357%

U U U O O O O

4 straight overs4 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 4	@VAL	L 63-66	+5.5	W +2.5	144.5	U 129
Nov 7	vsNICH	W 65-57	+2.5	W +10.5	135.5	U 122
Nov 11	@ND	L 58-78	+23.5	W +3.5	143.5	U 136
Nov 14	@UK	L 53-99	+35.5	L −10.5	147.5	O 152
Nov 25	@CARK	L 60-81	+5.5	L −15.5	139.5	O 141
Nov 28	@PUR	L 62-109	+40.5	L −6.5	141.5	O 171
Dec 6	vsLIN	L 74-82	+8.5	W +0.5	145.5	O 156

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

VAL

L 63-66

+2.5

NICH

W 65-57

+10.5

L 58-78

+3.5

L 53-99

−10.5

CARK

L 60-81

−15.5

PUR

L 62-109

−6.5

LIN

L 74-82

+0.5

covered 4didn’t cover 3avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

VAL

L 63-66

−15.5

NICH

W 65-57

−13.5

L 58-78

−7.5

L 53-99

+4.5

CARK

L 60-81

+1.5

PUR

L 62-109

+29.5

LIN

L 74-82

+10.5

over 4under 3avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Eastern Kentucky Colonels at Eastern Illinois Panthers

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

E Kentucky

E Illinois

E Kentucky

E Illinois