1. NCAAB
  2. Thu, Nov 26
  3. GTWN vs TEX
NCAAB · Thu, Nov 26

Georgetown Hoyas vs Texas Longhorns

Jenny Craig Pavilion · Neutral site
#64GTWNGeorgetown
vs
#11TEXTexas AP #7
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
GTWNThis seasonTEX
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects TEX 83–70 · win probability TEX 87%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 153.6
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: TEX has more of the edges

GTWN 2, TEX 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
TEXBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: GTWN 32.5%, TEX 35.4%. Defensive: GTWN 68.5%, TEX 73.1%
TEXSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: GTWN 49.6 and allows 50.0; TEX 54.1 and allows 50.8
TEXSmall
GTWN offense vs TEX defense
Offense 75th of 366 against a defense 17th, on the model’s ratings
GTWNSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: GTWN 15.8%, TEX 15.0%. Forced: GTWN 16.2%, TEX 13.0%
GTWNSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: GTWN 38%, TEX 14%. Transfers in: GTWN 5, TEX 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Three-pointers
GTWN hits 31.8% and allows 33.3%; TEX hits 35.1% and allows 34.7%. Threes are 35.2% and 35.8% of their shots
Even
TEX offense vs GTWN defense
Offense 7th of 366 against a defense 46th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
GTWN has played the 47th-hardest schedule, TEX the 27th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: GTWN plays 67.8 a game (238th fastest), TEX 68.7 (199th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: GTWN 37.3, TEX 44.2. Allowed: GTWN 33.9, TEX 39.6
Context
Neutral floor
No home court: the model takes it out of the line
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—TEX -12.9—
Total—153.6—
Projected score—GTWN 70.4 · TEX 83.2

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadTEX -7.5—
1H total71.8—
1H projected scoreGTWN 32.1 · TEX 39.7—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Texas has the better starters

Position by position: Georgetown 0, Texas 3, even 2
GeorgetownBetterTexas
G V. Miller TR10.8 pts · 2.7 reb · 1.8 ast Score 74
TEXSmall
G I. Johnson TR16.9 pts · 2.9 reb · 3 ast Score 98
F C. Williams8.8 pts · 5.1 reb · 1.5 ast Score 57
TEXSmall
G E. Freeman TR9.2 pts · 5.2 reb · 1.2 ast Score 85
F J. Parker TR9.8 pts · 6.1 reb · 1.1 ast Score 79
Even
G M. Lewis TR14 pts · 2.6 reb · 2 ast Score 86
C V. Iwuchukwu11.6 pts · 6.1 reb · 0.5 ast Score 89
Even
F D. Punch TR14.1 pts · 6.8 reb · 2 ast Score 96
C C. Machot TR8.8 pts · 5.4 reb · 0.2 ast Score 78
TEXSmall
C M. Vokietaitis15.5 pts · 7 reb · 0.7 ast Score 95
GeorgetownBetterTexas
GTWN offense75th of 366 · +1.3
TEXSmall
TEX defense17th of 366 · +6.2
GTWN defense46th of 366 · +2.3
Even
TEX offense7th of 366 · +10.5
Backcourt+0.7 · 1 player
TEXBig
Backcourt+8.6 · 3 players
Frontcourt+6.5 · 4 players
TEXBig
Frontcourt+9.8 · 2 players
Bench+1.4 · 5 players
Even
Bench+0.9 · 2 players
Score, worst to bestGTWN betterTEX betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Georgetown
Guards
V. Miller26 min · TRJ. Lowe19 min · TRE. Jackson18 min · TRK. Mulready17 minM. Moses1 minM. Van Raaphorst1 min
Forwards
C. Williams30 minJ. Parker22 min · TRJ. CaldwellNewP. PastreNew
Centers
V. Iwuchukwu23 minC. Machot20 min · TRS. Diouf4 min
Texas
Guards
I. Johnson31 min · TRE. Freeman27 min · TRM. Lewis27 min · TRA. Evans14 min · TRA. McDermott3 minB. OgdenNew
Forwards
D. Punch30 min · TRJ. ClarkNewM. SpearsNewC. ElkinsNew
Centers
M. Vokietaitis26 minL. ObiorahNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
GTWNTEX
Scoring
73.6 #215Points per game81.7 #34
1.09 #165Points per possession1.19 #22
67.8 #238Pace (possessions)68.7 #199
Shooting
49.6 #257Effective FG%54.1 #65
31.8 #2853-point %35.1 #107
35.2 #2713-point attempt rate35.8 #254
37.3 #121Free throw rate44.2 #7
Possessions
15.8 #120Turnover rate15.0 #68
32.5 #107Offensive rebound rate35.4 #35
14.8 #101Assists per game12.1 #278
Defense
72.9 #130Points allowed76.1 #220
1.08 #147Points allowed per possession1.11 #235
50.0 #96Opponent effective FG%50.8 #144
33.3 #139Opponent 3-point %34.7 #230
16.2 #211Turnovers forced13.0 #356
68.5 #228Defensive rebound rate73.1 #35
6.5 #182Steals per game5.5 #298
3.6 #130Blocks per game2.9 #239
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Georgetown

16-18 in 2025-26 overall · 8-15 in conference · Big East Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs UConn51–67
  • Wvs Villanova78–64
  • Wvs DePaul63–56
  • Wvs Providence80–79
  • L@ St John's69–72

A week or more of rest.

Texas

20-15 in 2025-26 overall · 9-10 in conference · Southeastern Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Purdue77–79
  • Wvs Gonzaga74–68
  • Wvs BYU79–71
  • Wvs NC State68–66
  • Lvs Ole Miss66–76

A week or more of rest.