La Salle Explorers vs Bucknell Bison: Model Line and Edge

Fri, Nov 27, 3:30 PM ETThe Palestra · Neutral site

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: La Salle and Bucknell
LAS	This season	BUCK
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects LAS 77–65 · win probability LAS 86%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 141.7

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: LAS has more of the edges

LAS 4, BUCK 0 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

LASBig

BUCK offense vs LAS defense

Offense 317th of 366 against a defense 111th, on the model’s ratings

LASBig

Free throws

Free throw rate: LAS 37.5, BUCK 29.8. Allowed: LAS 31.5, BUCK 35.3

Context

Schedule so far

LAS has played the 92nd-hardest schedule, BUCK the 227th. A record against a soft schedule means less

LASSmall

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: LAS 33.7%, BUCK 27.0%. Defensive: LAS 67.7%, BUCK 68.7%

LASSmall

LAS offense vs BUCK defense

Offense 157th of 366 against a defense 237th, on the model’s ratings

Even

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: LAS 56%, BUCK 39%. Transfers in: LAS 5, BUCK 2. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

Even

Shooting

Effective FG%: LAS 45.4 and allows 55.0; BUCK 48.5 and allows 54.7

Context

Tempo

About 67 possessions: LAS plays 66.4 a game (300th fastest), BUCK 67.7 (242nd). Faster games mean more points

Context

Neutral floor

No home court: the model takes it out of the line

Even

Three-pointers

LAS hits 30.0% and allows 36.5%; BUCK hits 30.6% and allows 37.0%. Threes are 31.5% and 42.8% of their shots

Even

Turnovers

Turnover rate: LAS 18.2%, BUCK 18.9%. Forced: LAS 17.2%, BUCK 17.9%

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	LAS -12.1	—
Total	—	141.7	—
Projected score	—	LAS 76.9 · BUCK 64.8

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	LAS -7.3	—
1H total	66.3	—
1H projected score	LAS 36.8 · BUCK 29.5	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Neutral	Role
LAS LWWLL	14-17	45%	0-4	—
BUCK LWLWW	14-19	42%	2-0	—

Venue/role: LAS neutral site; BUCK neutral site. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
LAS OOOOO	14-17	45%	8-23
BUCK UOOUO	13-20	39%	10-23

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
LAS	2-8 20%	5-5 50%	5-5 50%
BUCK	3-7 30%	4-6 40%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

La Salle

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 1	vs WOF	No recent meeting
Dec 8	@ MONM	W73–60WU
Dec 12	@ STBK	No recent meeting

Bucknell

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 28	@ PENN	L61–80LU
Dec 2	@ DEL	W78–70WU
Dec 5	vs STMN	No recent meeting

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

LAS 2–1 BUCKLAS leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · LAS has won the last 2 meetings · LAS 2-1 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Nov 14, 2023-24	BUCK 57 @ LAS 69	LAS -11.5	LAS W
Dec 6, 2022-23	BUCK 72 @ LAS 82	LAS -5.5	LAS W
Dec 18, 2021-22	LAS 70 @ BUCK 82	BUCK +2.5	BUCK W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

La Salle

31 games played

Straight up

8-23

26% wins

Against the spread

14-17

45% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line

Over / Under

14-17

45% overs · avg −0.8 pts vs the total

Straight up

8-2326%

W W L L L L L L W L L L L L W L L W W L L L L L L W L L W L L

2 straight losses1 of last 4 won

Against the spread

14-1745%

W W L L L L L L W L W L W L W W L W W L L L L W W W L W W L L

2 straight misses ATS2 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

14-1745%

O U O O U U U U O U O U O U O O U O U U U U U U U U O O O O O

5 straight overs4 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 5	vsCOPP	W 87-59	-17.5	W +10.5	139.5	O 146
Nov 8	vsMONM	W 73-60	-4.5	W +8.5	143.5	U 133
Nov 11	@TEM	L 63-90	+6.5	L −20.5	148.5	O 153
Nov 15	vsPSU	L 69-83	+8.5	L −5.5	145.5	O 152
Nov 19	vsVILL	L 55-70	+12.5	L −2.5	144.5	U 125
Nov 28	vsHOF	L 58-63	+3.5	L −1.5	138.5	U 121
Nov 29	@PENN	L 71-73	+1.5	L −0.5	149.5	U 144
Nov 30	vsMRMK	L 60-66	-2.5	L −8.5	132.5	U 126
Dec 6	vsDREX	W 69-64	+1.5	W +6.5	129.5	O 133
Dec 13	@LIU	L 60-70	+2.5	L −7.5	143.5	U 130
Dec 19	@HPU	L 72-84	+13.5	W +1.5	149.5	O 156
Dec 21	@MICH	L 50-102	+40.5	L −11.5	155.5	U 152
Dec 31	vsGMU	L 75-80	+8.5	W +3.5	134.5	O 155
Jan 3	@GW	L 55-77	+16.5	L −5.5	150.5	U 132
Jan 7	@URI	W 79-72	+11.5	W +18.5	135.5	O 151
Jan 10	vsSLU	L 72-84	+17.5	W +5.5	152.5	O 156
Jan 14	@RICH	L 53-74	+8.5	L −12.5	147.5	U 127
Jan 17	vsSBU	W 78-74	+5.5	W +9.5	141.5	O 152
Jan 21	vsDAY	W 67-64	+9.5	W +12.5	137.5	U 131
Jan 28	@FOR	L 58-64	+5.5	L −0.5	136.5	U 122
Jan 31	vsJOES	L 58-67	+2.5	L −6.5	142.5	U 125
Feb 3	@LUC	L 61-71	+2.5	L −7.5	140.5	U 132
Feb 7	@SLU	L 58-82	+22.5	L −1.5	153.5	U 140
Feb 11	vsVCU	L 68-77	+12.5	W +3.5	147.5	U 145
Feb 18	@DUQ	L 61-62	+11.5	W +10.5	145.5	U 123
Feb 21	vsURI	W 59-46	+3.5	W +16.5	135.5	U 105
Feb 24	vsGW	L 77-104	+8.5	L −18.5	146.5	O 181
Mar 1	@DAV	L 64-71	+10.5	W +3.5	133.5	O 135
Mar 4	vsFOR	W 87-84	+3.5	W +6.5	131.5	O 171
Mar 7	@JOES	L 76-88	+11.5	L −0.5	142.5	O 164
Mar 11	vsSBU	L 80-99	+7.5	L −11.5	146.5	O 179

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

COPP

W 87-59

+10.5

MONM

W 73-60

+8.5

TEM

L 63-90

−20.5

PSU

L 69-83

−5.5

VILL

L 55-70

−2.5

HOF

L 58-63

−1.5

PENN

L 71-73

−0.5

MRMK

L 60-66

−8.5

DREX

W 69-64

+6.5

LIU

L 60-70

−7.5

HPU

L 72-84

+1.5

MICH

L 50-102

−11.5

GMU

L 75-80

+3.5

L 55-77

−5.5

URI

W 79-72

+18.5

SLU

L 72-84

+5.5

RICH

L 53-74

−12.5

SBU

W 78-74

+9.5

DAY

W 67-64

+12.5

FOR

L 58-64

−0.5

JOES

L 58-67

−6.5

LUC

L 61-71

−7.5

SLU

L 58-82

−1.5

VCU

L 68-77

+3.5

DUQ

L 61-62

+10.5

URI

W 59-46

+16.5

L 77-104

−18.5

DAV

L 64-71

+3.5

FOR

W 87-84

+6.5

JOES

L 76-88

−0.5

SBU

L 80-99

−11.5

covered 14didn’t cover 17avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

COPP

W 87-59

+6.5

MONM

W 73-60

−10.5

TEM

L 63-90

+4.5

PSU

L 69-83

+6.5

VILL

L 55-70

−19.5

HOF

L 58-63

−17.5

PENN

L 71-73

−5.5

MRMK

L 60-66

−6.5

DREX

W 69-64

+3.5

LIU

L 60-70

−13.5

HPU

L 72-84

+6.5

MICH

L 50-102

−3.5

GMU

L 75-80

+20.5

L 55-77

−18.5

URI

W 79-72

+15.5

SLU

L 72-84

+3.5

RICH

L 53-74

−20.5

SBU

W 78-74

+10.5

DAY

W 67-64

−6.5

FOR

L 58-64

−14.5

JOES

L 58-67

−17.5

LUC

L 61-71

−8.5

SLU

L 58-82

−13.5

VCU

L 68-77

−2.5

DUQ

L 61-62

−22.5

URI

W 59-46

−30.5

L 77-104

+34.5

DAV

L 64-71

+1.5

FOR

W 87-84

+39.5

JOES

L 76-88

+21.5

SBU

L 80-99

+32.5

over 14under 17avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Bucknell

33 games played

Straight up

10-23

30% wins

Against the spread

14-19

42% covers · avg −3.7 pts vs the line

Over / Under

13-20

39% overs · avg +1.4 pts vs the total

Straight up

10-2330%

W W L L L L L L L L L W L L W L W W L L L L W W L L L L L W L W L

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

14-1942%

W W L L L L W W L W L W L L W L L W L L L W W W L L L L L W L W W

2 straight covers3 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

13-2039%

U U U O U U U U O O U U U U U U U O O O U O O U U O O U U O O U O

3 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsDEL	W 78-70	-2.5	W +5.5	149.5	U 148
Nov 7	@MSM	W 73-62	+1.5	W +12.5	143.5	U 135
Nov 11	@PRIN	L 63-73	+4.5	L −5.5	146.5	U 136
Nov 14	vsHOF	L 77-83	+4.5	L −1.5	139.5	O 160
Nov 17	@PITT	L 50-84	+16.5	L −17.5	141.5	U 134
Nov 20	@SJU	L 49-97	+28.5	L −19.5	158.5	U 146
Nov 24	vsBGSU	L 66-71	+10.5	W +5.5	144.5	U 137
Nov 26	vsBUF	L 71-73	+4.5	W +2.5	146.5	U 144
Nov 30	vsCOR	L 72-101	+5.5	L −23.5	159.5	O 173
Dec 3	@AKR	L 77-97	+23.5	W +3.5	157.5	O 174
Dec 6	vsUMBC	L 66-73	-1.5	L −8.5	143.5	U 139
Dec 9	@RID	W 51-38	-2.5	W +10.5	135.5	U 89
Dec 20	@IOWA	L 39-94	+25.5	L −29.5	133.5	U 133
Dec 31	@HC	L 58-65	-1.5	L −8.5	133.5	U 123
Jan 3	vsLEH	W 72-65	-4.5	W +2.5	137.5	U 137
Jan 7	@NAVY	L 55-76	+8.5	L −12.5	137.5	U 131
Jan 10	vsL-MD	W 70-67	-6.5	L −3.5	143.5	U 137
Jan 14	vsLAF	W 76-69	-2.5	W +4.5	137.5	O 145
Jan 17	@COLG	L 76-95	+8.5	L −10.5	139.5	O 171
Jan 21	vsARMY	L 84-87	-4.5	L −7.5	144.5	O 171
Jan 24	@L-MD	L 62-67	+2.5	L −2.5	147.5	U 129
Jan 28	@LAF	L 79-81	+4.5	W +2.5	138.5	O 160
Jan 31	vsBU	W 103-97	+1.5	W +7.5	138.5	O 200
Feb 4	@AMER	W 60-59	+7.5	W +8.5	141.5	U 119
Feb 7	vsCOLG	L 59-78	+5.5	L −13.5	141.5	U 137
Feb 9	vsNAVY	L 60-76	+6.5	L −9.5	135.5	O 136
Feb 14	@BU	L 69-82	+5.5	L −7.5	137.5	O 151
Feb 18	vsAMER	L 57-75	+3.5	L −14.5	140.5	U 132
Feb 22	vsHC	L 63-72	-2.5	L −11.5	142.5	U 135
Feb 25	@ARMY	W 75-73	+2.5	W +4.5	142.5	O 148
Feb 28	@LEH	L 79-89	+5.5	L −4.5	138.5	O 168
Mar 3	vsARMY	W 65-55	-1.5	W +8.5	144.5	U 120
Mar 5	@NAVY	L 69-74	+15.5	W +10.5	133.5	O 143

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

DEL

W 78-70

+5.5

MSM

W 73-62

+12.5

PRIN

L 63-73

−5.5

HOF

L 77-83

−1.5

PITT

L 50-84

−17.5

SJU

L 49-97

−19.5

BGSU

L 66-71

+5.5

BUF

L 71-73

+2.5

COR

L 72-101

−23.5

AKR

L 77-97

+3.5

UMBC

L 66-73

−8.5

RID

W 51-38

+10.5

IOWA

L 39-94

−29.5

L 58-65

−8.5

LEH

W 72-65

+2.5

NAVY

L 55-76

−12.5

L-MD

W 70-67

−3.5

LAF

W 76-69

+4.5

COLG

L 76-95

−10.5

ARMY

L 84-87

−7.5

L-MD

L 62-67

−2.5

LAF

L 79-81

+2.5

W 103-97

+7.5

AMER

W 60-59

+8.5

COLG

L 59-78

−13.5

NAVY

L 60-76

−9.5

L 69-82

−7.5

AMER

L 57-75

−14.5

L 63-72

−11.5

ARMY

W 75-73

+4.5

LEH

L 79-89

−4.5

ARMY

W 65-55

+8.5

NAVY

L 69-74

+10.5

covered 14didn’t cover 19avg −3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

DEL

W 78-70

−1.5

MSM

W 73-62

−8.5

PRIN

L 63-73

−10.5

HOF

L 77-83

+20.5

PITT

L 50-84

−7.5

SJU

L 49-97

−12.5

BGSU

L 66-71

−7.5

BUF

L 71-73

−2.5

COR

L 72-101

+13.5

AKR

L 77-97

+16.5

UMBC

L 66-73

−4.5

RID

W 51-38

−46.5

IOWA

L 39-94

−0.5

L 58-65

−10.5

LEH

W 72-65

−0.5

NAVY

L 55-76

−6.5

L-MD

W 70-67

−6.5

LAF

W 76-69

+7.5

COLG

L 76-95

+31.5

ARMY

L 84-87

+26.5

L-MD

L 62-67

−18.5

LAF

L 79-81

+21.5

W 103-97

+61.5

AMER

W 60-59

−22.5

COLG

L 59-78

−4.5

NAVY

L 60-76

+0.5

L 69-82

+13.5

AMER

L 57-75

−8.5

L 63-72

−7.5

ARMY

W 75-73

+5.5

LEH

L 79-89

+29.5

ARMY

W 65-55

−24.5

NAVY

L 69-74

+9.5

over 13under 20avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

La Salle has the better starters

Position by position: La Salle 2, Bucknell 0, even 3

La SalleBetterBucknell

G J. Johnson6.3 pts · 2.4 reb · 4.1 ast Score 29

Even

G J. Williams7.5 pts · 2.9 reb · 4 ast Score 23

G R. Dockery12.5 pts · 6.2 reb · 2.3 ast Score 91

LASBig

G A. Pachucki5.9 pts · 2.8 reb · 0.8 ast Score 25

F J. Brewer11.3 pts · 4.2 reb · 0.7 ast Score 75

No call

G K. Marshall TR3.5 pts · 2.8 reb · 2 ast Not ranked

F V. Zanki TR8.1 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.8 ast Score 46

LASBig

G J. Meachem1.5 pts · 0.5 reb · 1.6 ast Score 2

F A. Finkley TR5.4 pts · 3.2 reb · 1.7 ast Score 19

Even

F L. Soroa Schaller TR5.6 pts · 3.4 reb · 2.2 ast Score 13

La SalleBetterBucknell

LAS offense157th of 366 · -4.7

LASSmall

BUCK defense237th of 366 · -6.2

LAS defense111th of 366 · -1.3

LASBig

BUCK offense317th of 366 · -10.4

Backcourt+0.4 · 2 players

LASBig

Backcourt-6.2 · 4 players

Frontcourt-0.6 · 3 players

LASSmall

Frontcourt-2.0 · 1 player

Bench-3.6 · 5 players

BUCKSmall

Bench-0.9 · 3 players

Score, worst to bestLAS betterBUCK betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

La Salle

Guards

J. Johnson30 minR. Dockery27 minK. Burton19 min · TRD. Booker8 min · TRA. Masharaliyev1 minT. MossNew

Forwards

J. Brewer27 minV. Zanki21 min · TRA. Finkley19 min · TRN. Collier14 minE. Rink12 min · TRB. Beatty10 min

Bucknell

Guards

J. Williams33 minA. Pachucki21 minK. Marshall17 min · TRJ. Meachem10 minM. Lange3 minR. LamunoNew

Forwards

L. Soroa Schaller21 min · TRP. O'Brien10 minK. Welch2 minE. Marten-ConeyNewL. BergsengNewA. RousseauNew

Centers

D. KennardNew

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

LAS66.8 #336

BUCK67.4 #327

Points per possession

LAS1.00 #322

BUCK0.99 #332

Pace (possessions)

LAS66.4 #300

BUCK67.7 #242

Shooting

Effective FG%

LAS45.4 #357

BUCK48.5 #304

3-point %

LAS30.0 #342

BUCK30.6 #328

3-point attempt rate

LAS31.5 #333

BUCK42.8 #123

Free throw rate

LAS37.5 #113

BUCK29.8 #314

Possessions

Turnover rate

LAS18.2 #281

BUCK18.9 #319

Offensive rebound rate

LAS33.7 #75

BUCK27.0 #295

Assists per game

LAS12.9 #221

BUCK12.7 #235

Defense

Points allowed

LAS75.0 #186

BUCK76.3 #226

Points allowed per possession

LAS1.13 #293

BUCK1.13 #289

Opponent effective FG%

LAS55.0 #329

BUCK54.7 #323

Opponent 3-point %

LAS36.5 #324

BUCK37.0 #344

Turnovers forced

LAS17.2 #136

BUCK17.9 #100

Defensive rebound rate

LAS67.7 #274

BUCK68.7 #216

Steals per game

LAS6.7 #155

BUCK7.2 #105

Blocks per game

LAS2.6 #295

BUCK1.8 #354

LAS		BUCK
Scoring
66.8 #336	Points per game	67.4 #327
1.00 #322	Points per possession	0.99 #332
66.4 #300	Pace (possessions)	67.7 #242
Shooting
45.4 #357	Effective FG%	48.5 #304
30.0 #342	3-point %	30.6 #328
31.5 #333	3-point attempt rate	42.8 #123
37.5 #113	Free throw rate	29.8 #314
Possessions
18.2 #281	Turnover rate	18.9 #319
33.7 #75	Offensive rebound rate	27.0 #295
12.9 #221	Assists per game	12.7 #235
Defense
75.0 #186	Points allowed	76.3 #226
1.13 #293	Points allowed per possession	1.13 #289
55.0 #329	Opponent effective FG%	54.7 #323
36.5 #324	Opponent 3-point %	37.0 #344
17.2 #136	Turnovers forced	17.9 #100
67.7 #274	Defensive rebound rate	68.7 #216
6.7 #155	Steals per game	7.2 #105
2.6 #295	Blocks per game	1.8 #354

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

La Salle

8-23 in 2025-26 overall · 5-14 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs St Bonaventure80–99
L@ Saint Joseph's76–88
Wvs Fordham87–84
L@ Davidson64–71
Lvs G Washington77–104

A week or more of rest.

Bucknell

10-23 in 2025-26 overall · 7-13 in conference · Patriot League

Last five, 2025-26

L@ Navy69–74
Wvs Army65–55
L@ Lehigh79–89
W@ Army75–73
Lvs Holy Cross63–72

A week or more of rest.

La Salle Explorers vs Bucknell Bison

What could decide it: LAS has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

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ATS History · 2025-26

La Salle

Bucknell

La Salle has the better starters

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Matchup stats

La Salle

Bucknell