Bucknell Bison at Delaware Blue Hens: Model Line and Edge

Wed, Dec 2, 7:00 PM ETBob Carpenter Center · at Delaware

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: Bucknell and Delaware
BUCK	This season	DEL
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects DEL 76–67 · win probability DEL 79%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 142.2

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: DEL has more of the edges

BUCK 1, DEL 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

DELBig

Three-pointers

BUCK hits 30.6% and allows 37.0%; DEL hits 36.8% and allows 35.1%. Threes are 42.8% and 46.2% of their shots

DELBig

Shooting

Effective FG%: BUCK 48.5 and allows 54.7; DEL 53.3 and allows 51.5

DELBig

BUCK offense vs DEL defense

Offense 317th of 366 against a defense 187th, on the model’s ratings

BUCKSmall

Turnovers

Turnover rate: BUCK 18.9%, DEL 18.3%. Forced: BUCK 17.9%, DEL 14.0%

DELSmall

Free throws

Free throw rate: BUCK 29.8, DEL 30.6. Allowed: BUCK 35.3, DEL 30.2

DELSmall

Home court

DEL at home. This season: DEL 0-0 at home, BUCK 0-0 away

Context

Tempo

About 66 possessions: BUCK plays 67.7 a game (242nd fastest), DEL 65.3 (337th). Faster games mean more points

Context

Schedule so far

BUCK has played the 227th-hardest schedule, DEL the 195th. A record against a soft schedule means less

Even

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: BUCK 27.0%, DEL 20.8%. Defensive: BUCK 68.7%, DEL 68.9%

Even

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: BUCK 39%, DEL 46%. Transfers in: BUCK 2, DEL 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

Even

DEL offense vs BUCK defense

Offense 237th of 366 against a defense 237th, on the model’s ratings

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	DEL -9.2	—
Total	—	142.2	—
Projected score	—	BUCK 66.5 · DEL 75.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	DEL -5.3	—
1H total	66.5	—
1H projected score	BUCK 30.6 · DEL 35.9	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
BUCK LWLWW	14-19	42%	7-10	—
DEL LLWWL	15-15	50%	7-7	—

Venue/role: BUCK away; DEL home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
BUCK UOOUO	13-20	39%	10-23
DEL OOOOU	16-14	53%	10-20

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
BUCK	3-7 30%	4-6 40%	5-5 50%
DEL	4-6 40%	7-3 70%	8-2 80%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Bucknell

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 5	vs STMN	No recent meeting
Dec 8	@ UMBC	L66–73LU

Delaware

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 5	vs YALE	W100–94WO
Dec 10	vs W&M	W100–78WO
Dec 15	@ DUQ	L66–80LO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

BUCK 2–1 DELBUCK leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · BUCK has won the last 2 meetings · BUCK 2-1 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Nov 3, 2025-26	DEL 70 @ BUCK 78	BUCK -2.5	BUCK W
Nov 4, 2024-25	BUCK 85 @ DEL 73	DEL -4.5	BUCK W
Nov 6, 2023-24	DEL 78 @ BUCK 57	BUCK +6.5	DEL W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Bucknell

33 games played

Straight up

10-23

30% wins

Against the spread

14-19

42% covers · avg −3.7 pts vs the line

Over / Under

13-20

39% overs · avg +1.4 pts vs the total

Straight up

10-2330%

W W L L L L L L L L L W L L W L W W L L L L W W L L L L L W L W L

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

14-1942%

W W L L L L W W L W L W L L W L L W L L L W W W L L L L L W L W W

2 straight covers3 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

13-2039%

U U U O U U U U O O U U U U U U U O O O U O O U U O O U U O O U O

3 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsDEL	W 78-70	-2.5	W +5.5	149.5	U 148
Nov 7	@MSM	W 73-62	+1.5	W +12.5	143.5	U 135
Nov 11	@PRIN	L 63-73	+4.5	L −5.5	146.5	U 136
Nov 14	vsHOF	L 77-83	+4.5	L −1.5	139.5	O 160
Nov 17	@PITT	L 50-84	+16.5	L −17.5	141.5	U 134
Nov 20	@SJU	L 49-97	+28.5	L −19.5	158.5	U 146
Nov 24	vsBGSU	L 66-71	+10.5	W +5.5	144.5	U 137
Nov 26	vsBUF	L 71-73	+4.5	W +2.5	146.5	U 144
Nov 30	vsCOR	L 72-101	+5.5	L −23.5	159.5	O 173
Dec 3	@AKR	L 77-97	+23.5	W +3.5	157.5	O 174
Dec 6	vsUMBC	L 66-73	-1.5	L −8.5	143.5	U 139
Dec 9	@RID	W 51-38	-2.5	W +10.5	135.5	U 89
Dec 20	@IOWA	L 39-94	+25.5	L −29.5	133.5	U 133
Dec 31	@HC	L 58-65	-1.5	L −8.5	133.5	U 123
Jan 3	vsLEH	W 72-65	-4.5	W +2.5	137.5	U 137
Jan 7	@NAVY	L 55-76	+8.5	L −12.5	137.5	U 131
Jan 10	vsL-MD	W 70-67	-6.5	L −3.5	143.5	U 137
Jan 14	vsLAF	W 76-69	-2.5	W +4.5	137.5	O 145
Jan 17	@COLG	L 76-95	+8.5	L −10.5	139.5	O 171
Jan 21	vsARMY	L 84-87	-4.5	L −7.5	144.5	O 171
Jan 24	@L-MD	L 62-67	+2.5	L −2.5	147.5	U 129
Jan 28	@LAF	L 79-81	+4.5	W +2.5	138.5	O 160
Jan 31	vsBU	W 103-97	+1.5	W +7.5	138.5	O 200
Feb 4	@AMER	W 60-59	+7.5	W +8.5	141.5	U 119
Feb 7	vsCOLG	L 59-78	+5.5	L −13.5	141.5	U 137
Feb 9	vsNAVY	L 60-76	+6.5	L −9.5	135.5	O 136
Feb 14	@BU	L 69-82	+5.5	L −7.5	137.5	O 151
Feb 18	vsAMER	L 57-75	+3.5	L −14.5	140.5	U 132
Feb 22	vsHC	L 63-72	-2.5	L −11.5	142.5	U 135
Feb 25	@ARMY	W 75-73	+2.5	W +4.5	142.5	O 148
Feb 28	@LEH	L 79-89	+5.5	L −4.5	138.5	O 168
Mar 3	vsARMY	W 65-55	-1.5	W +8.5	144.5	U 120
Mar 5	@NAVY	L 69-74	+15.5	W +10.5	133.5	O 143

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

DEL

W 78-70

+5.5

MSM

W 73-62

+12.5

PRIN

L 63-73

−5.5

HOF

L 77-83

−1.5

PITT

L 50-84

−17.5

SJU

L 49-97

−19.5

BGSU

L 66-71

+5.5

BUF

L 71-73

+2.5

COR

L 72-101

−23.5

AKR

L 77-97

+3.5

UMBC

L 66-73

−8.5

RID

W 51-38

+10.5

IOWA

L 39-94

−29.5

L 58-65

−8.5

LEH

W 72-65

+2.5

NAVY

L 55-76

−12.5

L-MD

W 70-67

−3.5

LAF

W 76-69

+4.5

COLG

L 76-95

−10.5

ARMY

L 84-87

−7.5

L-MD

L 62-67

−2.5

LAF

L 79-81

+2.5

W 103-97

+7.5

AMER

W 60-59

+8.5

COLG

L 59-78

−13.5

NAVY

L 60-76

−9.5

L 69-82

−7.5

AMER

L 57-75

−14.5

L 63-72

−11.5

ARMY

W 75-73

+4.5

LEH

L 79-89

−4.5

ARMY

W 65-55

+8.5

NAVY

L 69-74

+10.5

covered 14didn’t cover 19avg −3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

DEL

W 78-70

−1.5

MSM

W 73-62

−8.5

PRIN

L 63-73

−10.5

HOF

L 77-83

+20.5

PITT

L 50-84

−7.5

SJU

L 49-97

−12.5

BGSU

L 66-71

−7.5

BUF

L 71-73

−2.5

COR

L 72-101

+13.5

AKR

L 77-97

+16.5

UMBC

L 66-73

−4.5

RID

W 51-38

−46.5

IOWA

L 39-94

−0.5

L 58-65

−10.5

LEH

W 72-65

−0.5

NAVY

L 55-76

−6.5

L-MD

W 70-67

−6.5

LAF

W 76-69

+7.5

COLG

L 76-95

+31.5

ARMY

L 84-87

+26.5

L-MD

L 62-67

−18.5

LAF

L 79-81

+21.5

W 103-97

+61.5

AMER

W 60-59

−22.5

COLG

L 59-78

−4.5

NAVY

L 60-76

+0.5

L 69-82

+13.5

AMER

L 57-75

−8.5

L 63-72

−7.5

ARMY

W 75-73

+5.5

LEH

L 79-89

+29.5

ARMY

W 65-55

−24.5

NAVY

L 69-74

+9.5

over 13under 20avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Delaware

30 games played

Straight up

10-20

33% wins

Against the spread

15-15

50% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line

Over / Under

16-14

53% overs · avg +2.9 pts vs the total

Straight up

10-2033%

L L W L W L L W L W L L W L L L L L W L L W W W L L L L W L

1 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

15-1550%

L W W L W L L W L L L W W L W L L L W L W W W W W L L W W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

16-1453%

U U O U U O O U O U U O U U O O O U U U O O U O O O O O O U

3 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@BUCK	L 70-78	+2.5	L −5.5	149.5	U 148
Nov 11	@BYU	L 68-85	+35.5	W +18.5	164.5	U 153
Nov 18	vsSPU	W 81-70	-4.5	W +6.5	137.5	O 151
Nov 23	vsSIU	L 59-79	+8.5	L −11.5	153.5	U 138
Nov 25	vsUNCG	W 73-60	+1.5	W +14.5	142.5	U 133
Dec 1	vsIONA	L 66-89	+1.5	L −21.5	149.5	O 155
Dec 6	@DSU	L 72-75	-7.5	L −10.5	129.5	O 147
Dec 10	@GW	W 70-58	+21.5	W +33.5	152.5	U 128
Dec 13	vsCSUN	L 66-88	-1.5	L −23.5	144.5	O 154
Dec 16	vsRID	W 65-57	-8.5	L −0.5	129.5	U 122
Dec 29	vsMOST	L 43-61	+1.5	L −16.5	131.5	U 104
Jan 2	vsJXST	L 64-67	+4.5	W +1.5	126.5	O 131
Jan 4	vsKENN	W 67-52	+8.5	W +23.5	148.5	U 119
Jan 8	@SHSU	L 60-72	+11.5	L −0.5	144.5	U 132
Jan 10	@LT	L 68-70	+6.5	W +4.5	123.5	O 138
Jan 15	vsUTEP	L 69-70	-1.5	L −2.5	125.5	O 139
Jan 17	vsNMSU	L 68-97	+4.5	L −24.5	134.5	O 165
Jan 24	@LIB	L 51-67	+15.5	L −0.5	134.5	U 118
Jan 28	@NMSU	W 73-64	+13.5	W +22.5	137.5	U 137
Jan 31	@UTEP	L 55-70	+6.5	L −8.5	128.5	U 125
Feb 4	vsLIB	L 69-75	+10.5	W +4.5	132.5	O 144
Feb 7	vsMTSU	W 89-88	+5.5	W +6.5	133.5	O 177
Feb 12	@FIU	W 68-66	+8.5	W +10.5	147.5	U 134
Feb 14	@MOST	W 76-67	+9.5	W +18.5	135.5	O 143
Feb 18	vsWKU	L 87-88	+4.5	W +3.5	139.5	O 175
Feb 21	@MTSU	L 66-78	+10.5	L −1.5	137.5	O 144
Feb 26	@JXST	L 70-80	+7.5	L −2.5	133.5	O 150
Feb 28	@KENN	L 82-90	+11.5	W +3.5	143.5	O 172
Mar 5	vsSHSU	W 83-80	+7.5	W +10.5	147.5	O 163
Mar 7	vsLT	L 38-81	+2.5	L −40.5	132.5	U 119

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

BUCK

L 70-78

−5.5

BYU

L 68-85

+18.5

SPU

W 81-70

+6.5

SIU

L 59-79

−11.5

UNCG

W 73-60

+14.5

IONA

L 66-89

−21.5

DSU

L 72-75

−10.5

W 70-58

+33.5

CSUN

L 66-88

−23.5

RID

W 65-57

−0.5

MOST

L 43-61

−16.5

JXST

L 64-67

+1.5

KENN

W 67-52

+23.5

SHSU

L 60-72

−0.5

L 68-70

+4.5

UTEP

L 69-70

−2.5

NMSU

L 68-97

−24.5

LIB

L 51-67

−0.5

NMSU

W 73-64

+22.5

UTEP

L 55-70

−8.5

LIB

L 69-75

+4.5

MTSU

W 89-88

+6.5

FIU

W 68-66

+10.5

MOST

W 76-67

+18.5

WKU

L 87-88

+3.5

MTSU

L 66-78

−1.5

JXST

L 70-80

−2.5

KENN

L 82-90

+3.5

SHSU

W 83-80

+10.5

L 38-81

−40.5

covered 15didn’t cover 15avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

BUCK

L 70-78

−1.5

BYU

L 68-85

−11.5

SPU

W 81-70

+13.5

SIU

L 59-79

−15.5

UNCG

W 73-60

−9.5

IONA

L 66-89

+5.5

DSU

L 72-75

+17.5

W 70-58

−24.5

CSUN

L 66-88

+9.5

RID

W 65-57

−7.5

MOST

L 43-61

−27.5

JXST

L 64-67

+4.5

KENN

W 67-52

−29.5

SHSU

L 60-72

−12.5

L 68-70

+14.5

UTEP

L 69-70

+13.5

NMSU

L 68-97

+30.5

LIB

L 51-67

−16.5

NMSU

W 73-64

−0.5

UTEP

L 55-70

−3.5

LIB

L 69-75

+11.5

MTSU

W 89-88

+43.5

FIU

W 68-66

−13.5

MOST

W 76-67

+7.5

WKU

L 87-88

+35.5

MTSU

L 66-78

+6.5

JXST

L 70-80

+16.5

KENN

L 82-90

+28.5

SHSU

W 83-80

+15.5

L 38-81

−13.5

over 16under 14avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Bucknell 1, Delaware 1, even 3

BucknellBetterDelaware

G J. Williams7.5 pts · 2.9 reb · 4 ast Score 23

Even

G D. Dinkins TR11.9 pts · 1.6 reb · 2.5 ast Score 21

G A. Pachucki5.9 pts · 2.8 reb · 0.8 ast Score 25

BUCKSmall

G A. Kazanecki5 pts · 2 reb · 0.6 ast Score 5

G K. Marshall TR3.5 pts · 2.8 reb · 2 ast Not ranked

No call

G J. Brown12 pts · 3 reb · 1 ast Not ranked

G J. Meachem1.5 pts · 0.5 reb · 1.6 ast Score 2

No call

G M. Ellison3.8 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.8 ast Not ranked

F L. Soroa Schaller TR5.6 pts · 3.4 reb · 2.2 ast Score 13

DELSmall

F K. Nzeh TR11.6 pts · 4.7 reb · 1.4 ast Score 44

BucknellBetterDelaware

BUCK offense317th of 366 · -10.4

DELBig

DEL defense187th of 366 · -4.3

BUCK defense237th of 366 · -6.2

Even

DEL offense237th of 366 · -7.3

Backcourt-6.2 · 4 players

BUCKSmall

Backcourt-9.1 · 4 players

Frontcourt-2.0 · 1 player

DELSmall

Frontcourt-0.6 · 1 player

Bench-0.9 · 3 players

BUCKSmall

Bench-2.8 · 5 players

Score, worst to bestBUCK betterDEL betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

Bucknell

Guards

J. Williams33 minA. Pachucki21 minK. Marshall17 min · TRJ. Meachem10 minM. Lange3 minR. LamunoNew

Forwards

L. Soroa Schaller21 min · TRP. O'Brien10 minK. Welch2 minE. Marten-ConeyNewL. BergsengNewA. RousseauNew

Centers

D. KennardNew

Delaware

Guards

D. Dinkins34 min · TRA. Kazanecki29 minJ. Brown23 minM. Ellison20 minC. Bailey18 min · TRD. Harris-Smith17 min · TR

Forwards

K. Nzeh29 min · TRE. Alvin20 min · TRJ. Taylor16 minF. EgbunaNew

Centers

S. Solano4 min · TR

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

BUCK67.4 #327

DEL67.9 #316

Points per possession

BUCK0.99 #332

DEL1.04 #269

Pace (possessions)

BUCK67.7 #242

DEL65.3 #337

Shooting

Effective FG%

BUCK48.5 #304

DEL53.3 #89

3-point %

BUCK30.6 #328

DEL36.8 #31

3-point attempt rate

BUCK42.8 #123

DEL46.2 #44

Free throw rate

BUCK29.8 #314

DEL30.6 #291

Possessions

Turnover rate

BUCK18.9 #319

DEL18.3 #287

Offensive rebound rate

BUCK27.0 #295

DEL20.8 #362

Assists per game

BUCK12.7 #235

DEL12.2 #271

Defense

Points allowed

BUCK76.3 #226

DEL74.1 #156

Points allowed per possession

BUCK1.13 #289

DEL1.13 #298

Opponent effective FG%

BUCK54.7 #323

DEL51.5 #185

Opponent 3-point %

BUCK37.0 #344

DEL35.1 #255

Turnovers forced

BUCK17.9 #100

DEL14.0 #334

Defensive rebound rate

BUCK68.7 #216

DEL68.9 #206

Steals per game

BUCK7.2 #105

DEL5.7 #273

Blocks per game

BUCK1.8 #354

DEL3.0 #219

BUCK		DEL
Scoring
67.4 #327	Points per game	67.9 #316
0.99 #332	Points per possession	1.04 #269
67.7 #242	Pace (possessions)	65.3 #337
Shooting
48.5 #304	Effective FG%	53.3 #89
30.6 #328	3-point %	36.8 #31
42.8 #123	3-point attempt rate	46.2 #44
29.8 #314	Free throw rate	30.6 #291
Possessions
18.9 #319	Turnover rate	18.3 #287
27.0 #295	Offensive rebound rate	20.8 #362
12.7 #235	Assists per game	12.2 #271
Defense
76.3 #226	Points allowed	74.1 #156
1.13 #289	Points allowed per possession	1.13 #298
54.7 #323	Opponent effective FG%	51.5 #185
37.0 #344	Opponent 3-point %	35.1 #255
17.9 #100	Turnovers forced	14.0 #334
68.7 #216	Defensive rebound rate	68.9 #206
7.2 #105	Steals per game	5.7 #273
1.8 #354	Blocks per game	3.0 #219

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Bucknell

10-23 in 2025-26 overall · 7-13 in conference · Patriot League

Last five, 2025-26

L@ Navy69–74
Wvs Army65–55
L@ Lehigh79–89
W@ Army75–73
Lvs Holy Cross63–72

A week or more of rest.

Delaware

10-20 in 2025-26 overall · 6-14 in conference · Conference USA

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Louisiana Tech38–81
Wvs Sam Houston83–80
L@ Kennesaw St82–90
L@ Jax State70–80
L@ MTSU66–78

A week or more of rest.

Bucknell Bison at Delaware Blue Hens

What could decide it: DEL has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Bucknell

Delaware

The starting fives are even

Depth chart

Matchup stats

Bucknell

Delaware