Navy Midshipmen at NJIT Highlanders: Model Line and Edge

Wed, Dec 2, 7:00 PM ETJoel & Diane Bloom Wellness and Events Center · at NJIT

#199NAVYNavy

#316NJITNJIT

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: Navy and NJIT
NAVY	This season	NJIT
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects NAVY 72–68 · win probability NAVY 64%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 140.0

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: NAVY has more of the edges

NAVY 6, NJIT 1 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

NAVYBig

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: NAVY 31.9%, NJIT 26.2%. Defensive: NAVY 72.6%, NJIT 67.9%

NAVYBig

Free throws

Free throw rate: NAVY 38.8, NJIT 33.2. Allowed: NAVY 26.0, NJIT 37.9

NAVYBig

NJIT offense vs NAVY defense

Offense 338th of 366 against a defense 145th, on the model’s ratings

NAVYBig

Three-pointers

NAVY hits 35.9% and allows 30.0%; NJIT hits 30.4% and allows 32.3%. Threes are 33.1% and 40.1% of their shots

NAVYBig

Shooting

Effective FG%: NAVY 53.1 and allows 48.3; NJIT 46.7 and allows 50.0

NAVYSmall

Turnovers

Turnover rate: NAVY 16.8%, NJIT 17.1%. Forced: NAVY 18.3%, NJIT 16.1%

NJITSmall

Home court

NJIT at home. This season: NJIT 0-0 at home, NAVY 0-0 away

Context

Tempo

About 67 possessions: NAVY plays 66.0 a game (316th fastest), NJIT 67.9 (235th). Faster games mean more points

Context

Schedule so far

NAVY has played the 311th-hardest schedule, NJIT the 282nd. A record against a soft schedule means less

Even

NAVY offense vs NJIT defense

Offense 270th of 366 against a defense 250th, on the model’s ratings

Even

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: NAVY 46%, NJIT 39%. Transfers in: NAVY 0, NJIT 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	NAVY -4.0	—
Total	—	140.0	—
Projected score	—	NAVY 72 · NJIT 68

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	NAVY -2.5	—
1H total	65.5	—
1H projected score	NAVY 34 · NJIT 31.5	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
NAVY WWLLL	21-11	66%	10-5	—
NJIT WLLLW	19-13	59%	7-6	—

Venue/role: NAVY away; NJIT home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
NAVY UOOOO	15-17	47%	24-8
NJIT UUUUU	14-18	44%	15-17

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
NAVY	8-2 80%	7-3 70%	8-2 80%
NJIT	5-5 50%	6-4 60%	2-8 20%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Navy

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 6	@ AF	W61–56LU
Dec 13	@ UWF	No recent meeting

NJIT

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 7	@ HALL	L56–67WO
Dec 9	@ NHVN	W70–64WO
Dec 13	vs DREX	L43–75LU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

NAVY 1–1 NJITSeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · NAVY 0-2 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Nov 22, 2025-26	NJIT 70 @ NAVY 86	NAVY -17.5	NJIT W
Dec 7, 2024-25	NAVY 64 @ NJIT 69	NJIT +2.5	NJIT W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Navy

32 games played

Straight up

24-8

75% wins

Against the spread

21-11

66% covers · avg +3.7 pts vs the line

Over / Under

15-17

47% overs · avg −1.3 pts vs the total

Straight up

24-875%

W L L L W W L L W W W W W W W L W W W W W W W W W W W W W W L L

2 straight losses2 of last 4 won

Against the spread

21-1166%

W L W W L W L L L L W W W W W L L W W W W W W W W W W W W L L L

3 straight misses ATS1 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

15-1747%

U O U U O U O U U U U O U U U U O O U U O U O O O U O U O O O O

4 straight overs4 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@PRES	W 76-55	-3.5	W +17.5	141.5	U 131
Nov 7	vsYALE	L 68-97	+5.5	L −23.5	147.5	O 165
Nov 11	@PSU	L 71-80	+11.5	W +2.5	155.5	U 151
Nov 18	@UNC	L 61-73	+26.5	W +14.5	160.5	U 134
Nov 22	vsNJIT	W 86-70	-17.5	L −1.5	140.5	O 156
Nov 26	vsGWEB	W 84-51	-10.5	W +22.5	153.5	U 135
Nov 28	@UNCW	L 57-87	+8.5	L −21.5	138.5	O 144
Nov 29	vsSELA	L 65-69	-3.5	L −7.5	136.5	U 134
Dec 3	@DSU	W 66-59	-15.5	L −8.5	132.5	U 125
Dec 7	vsAF	W 61-56	-9.5	L −4.5	133.5	U 117
Dec 19	vsCOPP	W 88-55	-20.5	W +12.5	145.5	U 143
Dec 31	vsBU	W 82-77	-4.5	W +0.5	137.5	O 159
Jan 3	@HC	W 65-58	-5.5	W +1.5	137.5	U 123
Jan 7	vsBUCK	W 76-55	-8.5	W +12.5	137.5	U 131
Jan 10	vsLAF	W 76-50	-8.5	W +17.5	141.5	U 126
Jan 12	@AMER	L 51-65	-2.5	L −16.5	139.5	U 116
Jan 17	@LEH	W 82-79	-3.5	L −0.5	137.5	O 161
Jan 21	vsHC	W 85-68	-11.5	W +5.5	134.5	O 153
Jan 24	vsARMY	W 84-56	-10.5	W +17.5	143.5	U 140
Jan 28	@BU	W 58-50	-1.5	W +6.5	138.5	U 108
Jan 31	vsL-MD	W 87-71	-9.5	W +6.5	143.5	O 158
Feb 4	@LAF	W 65-50	-3.5	W +11.5	139.5	U 115
Feb 7	vsAMER	W 82-73	-4.5	W +4.5	134.5	O 155
Feb 9	@BUCK	W 76-60	-6.5	W +9.5	135.5	O 136
Feb 14	@COLG	W 84-80	+1.5	W +5.5	139.5	O 164
Feb 18	vsLEH	W 72-49	-9.5	W +13.5	139.5	U 121
Feb 21	@ARMY	W 81-63	-8.5	W +9.5	139.5	O 144
Feb 25	@L-MD	W 78-51	-6.5	W +20.5	147.5	U 129
Feb 28	vsCOLG	W 85-69	-6.5	W +9.5	141.5	O 154
Mar 5	vsBUCK	W 74-69	-15.5	L −10.5	133.5	O 143
Mar 8	vsBU	L 72-73	-6.5	L −7.5	136.5	O 145
Mar 18	@WAKE	L 72-82	+9.5	L −0.5	148.5	O 154

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

PRES

W 76-55

+17.5

YALE

L 68-97

−23.5

PSU

L 71-80

+2.5

UNC

L 61-73

+14.5

NJIT

W 86-70

−1.5

GWEB

W 84-51

+22.5

UNCW

L 57-87

−21.5

SELA

L 65-69

−7.5

DSU

W 66-59

−8.5

W 61-56

−4.5

COPP

W 88-55

+12.5

W 82-77

+0.5

W 65-58

+1.5

BUCK

W 76-55

+12.5

LAF

W 76-50

+17.5

AMER

L 51-65

−16.5

LEH

W 82-79

−0.5

W 85-68

+5.5

ARMY

W 84-56

+17.5

W 58-50

+6.5

L-MD

W 87-71

+6.5

LAF

W 65-50

+11.5

AMER

W 82-73

+4.5

BUCK

W 76-60

+9.5

COLG

W 84-80

+5.5

LEH

W 72-49

+13.5

ARMY

W 81-63

+9.5

L-MD

W 78-51

+20.5

COLG

W 85-69

+9.5

BUCK

W 74-69

−10.5

L 72-73

−7.5

WAKE

L 72-82

−0.5

covered 21didn’t cover 11avg +3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

PRES

W 76-55

−10.5

YALE

L 68-97

+17.5

PSU

L 71-80

−4.5

UNC

L 61-73

−26.5

NJIT

W 86-70

+15.5

GWEB

W 84-51

−18.5

UNCW

L 57-87

+5.5

SELA

L 65-69

−2.5

DSU

W 66-59

−7.5

W 61-56

−16.5

COPP

W 88-55

−2.5

W 82-77

+21.5

W 65-58

−14.5

BUCK

W 76-55

−6.5

LAF

W 76-50

−15.5

AMER

L 51-65

−23.5

LEH

W 82-79

+23.5

W 85-68

+18.5

ARMY

W 84-56

−3.5

W 58-50

−30.5

L-MD

W 87-71

+14.5

LAF

W 65-50

−24.5

AMER

W 82-73

+20.5

BUCK

W 76-60

+0.5

COLG

W 84-80

+24.5

LEH

W 72-49

−18.5

ARMY

W 81-63

+4.5

L-MD

W 78-51

−18.5

COLG

W 85-69

+12.5

BUCK

W 74-69

+9.5

L 72-73

+8.5

WAKE

L 72-82

+5.5

over 15under 17avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin

NJIT

32 games played

Straight up

15-17

47% wins

Against the spread

19-13

59% covers · avg +1.2 pts vs the line

Over / Under

14-18

44% overs · avg −2.6 pts vs the total

Straight up

15-1747%

W L W W L L L L L L W L L L W W L W W L W W W W W W L L L L W L

1 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

19-1359%

W L W W L W W L L W W L L L W W L W W L W W W W W W L W L L L W

1 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

14-1844%

U U U O U O O U U O O U O U U O O U O O O O U U O U O U U U U U

5 straight unders0 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 4	@FOR	W 72-61	+14.5	W +25.5	147.5	U 133
Nov 8	vsFAIR	L 53-74	+6.5	L −14.5	145.5	U 127
Nov 11	@L-MD	W 66-64	+10.5	W +12.5	139.5	U 130
Nov 15	vsFDU	W 93-81	-2.5	W +9.5	146.5	O 174
Nov 18	@DREX	L 43-75	+13.5	L −18.5	138.5	U 118
Nov 22	@NAVY	L 70-86	+17.5	W +1.5	140.5	O 156
Nov 24	@CIN	L 67-94	+34.5	W +7.5	141.5	O 161
Nov 26	@LOU	L 47-104	+44.5	L −12.5	158.5	U 151
Nov 28	@EMU	L 55-73	+14.5	L −3.5	141.5	U 128
Dec 5	@HPU	L 72-89	+28.5	W +11.5	155.5	O 161
Dec 10	vsNHVN	W 70-64	+2.5	W +8.5	130.5	O 134
Dec 13	vsSHU	L 49-65	+6.5	L −9.5	151.5	U 114
Dec 22	@BTLR	L 52-101	+32.5	L −16.5	149.5	O 153
Dec 31	@PENN	L 61-80	+14.5	L −4.5	151.5	U 141
Jan 3	@BING	W 73-65	+3.5	W +11.5	140.5	U 138
Jan 8	vsUNH	W 80-76	+2.5	W +6.5	137.5	O 156
Jan 10	vsME	L 70-74	-1.5	L −5.5	130.5	O 144
Jan 15	@UML	W 73-64	+8.5	W +17.5	145.5	U 137
Jan 19	vsBRY	W 79-55	-1.5	W +22.5	132.5	O 134
Jan 22	@UMBC	L 74-87	+6.5	L −6.5	143.5	O 161
Jan 29	@UALB	W 77-68	+5.5	W +14.5	139.5	O 145
Jan 31	@UVM	W 79-77	+13.5	W +15.5	139.5	O 156
Feb 5	vsUML	W 81-56	-1.5	W +23.5	149.5	U 137
Feb 7	vsBING	W 73-64	-8.5	W +0.5	140.5	U 137
Feb 12	@UNH	W 76-70	+2.5	W +8.5	145.5	O 146
Feb 14	@ME	W 67-58	-1.5	W +7.5	137.5	U 125
Feb 19	vsUALB	L 63-81	-3.5	L −21.5	142.5	O 144
Feb 21	vsUVM	L 64-70	+6.5	W +0.5	142.5	U 134
Feb 28	@BRY	L 52-69	-1.5	L −18.5	138.5	U 121
Mar 3	vsUMBC	L 52-91	+4.5	L −34.5	143.5	U 143
Mar 7	vsME	W 60-58	-3.5	L −1.5	134.5	U 118
Mar 10	@UVM	L 54-63	+10.5	W +1.5	134.5	U 117

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

FOR

W 72-61

+25.5

FAIR

L 53-74

−14.5

L-MD

W 66-64

+12.5

FDU

W 93-81

+9.5

DREX

L 43-75

−18.5

NAVY

L 70-86

+1.5

CIN

L 67-94

+7.5

LOU

L 47-104

−12.5

EMU

L 55-73

−3.5

HPU

L 72-89

+11.5

NHVN

W 70-64

+8.5

SHU

L 49-65

−9.5

BTLR

L 52-101

−16.5

PENN

L 61-80

−4.5

BING

W 73-65

+11.5

UNH

W 80-76

+6.5

L 70-74

−5.5

UML

W 73-64

+17.5

BRY

W 79-55

+22.5

UMBC

L 74-87

−6.5

UALB

W 77-68

+14.5

UVM

W 79-77

+15.5

UML

W 81-56

+23.5

BING

W 73-64

+0.5

UNH

W 76-70

+8.5

W 67-58

+7.5

UALB

L 63-81

−21.5

UVM

L 64-70

+0.5

BRY

L 52-69

−18.5

UMBC

L 52-91

−34.5

W 60-58

−1.5

UVM

L 54-63

+1.5

covered 19didn’t cover 13avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

FOR

W 72-61

−14.5

FAIR

L 53-74

−18.5

L-MD

W 66-64

−9.5

FDU

W 93-81

+27.5

DREX

L 43-75

−20.5

NAVY

L 70-86

+15.5

CIN

L 67-94

+19.5

LOU

L 47-104

−7.5

EMU

L 55-73

−13.5

HPU

L 72-89

+5.5

NHVN

W 70-64

+3.5

SHU

L 49-65

−37.5

BTLR

L 52-101

+3.5

PENN

L 61-80

−10.5

BING

W 73-65

−2.5

UNH

W 80-76

+18.5

L 70-74

+13.5

UML

W 73-64

−8.5

BRY

W 79-55

+1.5

UMBC

L 74-87

+17.5

UALB

W 77-68

+5.5

UVM

W 79-77

+16.5

UML

W 81-56

−12.5

BING

W 73-64

−3.5

UNH

W 76-70

+0.5

W 67-58

−12.5

UALB

L 63-81

+1.5

UVM

L 64-70

−8.5

BRY

L 52-69

−17.5

UMBC

L 52-91

−0.5

W 60-58

−16.5

UVM

L 54-63

−17.5

over 14under 18avg −2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Navy 0, NJIT 0, even 5

NavyBetterNJIT

G J. Kim10 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.8 ast Score 35

Even

G D. Bolden12 pts · 2.8 reb · 2.8 ast Score 47

G J. Pennick7.5 pts · 2.1 reb · 1.4 ast Score 12

Even

G M. Tatum TR8.1 pts · 2 reb · 1.4 ast Score 13

G C. Cole6 pts · 1.9 reb · 1.6 ast Score 41

Even

G Q. Duncan4.4 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.4 ast Score 31

G D. Burnett1.4 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked

No call

F M. Coffi TR3.5 pts · 4.9 reb · 0.8 ast Score 28

G N. Howard1.6 pts · 0.7 reb · 0.6 ast Not ranked

No call

F J. Kelly4.4 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.3 ast Score 20

NavyBetterNJIT

NAVY offense270th of 366 · -8.2

Even

NJIT defense250th of 366 · -6.6

NAVY defense145th of 366 · -3.1

NAVYBig

NJIT offense338th of 366 · -11.1

Backcourt-5.8 · 5 players

NJITSmall

Backcourt-4.6 · 3 players

FrontcourtNo numbers yet

No call

Frontcourt-2.4 · 2 players

Bench-0.2 · 5 players

NAVYBig

Bench-3.4 · 4 players

Score, worst to bestNAVY betterNJIT betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

Navy

Guards

J. Kim31 minJ. Pennick25 minC. Cole19 minD. Burnett6 minN. Howard3 minJ. Gabbidon1 min

Forwards

C. Jackson2 minJ. Ashley2 minO. Gray2 minT. RajiNewC. PollockNewS. GriffinNew

Centers

C. CraneNew

NJIT

Guards

D. Bolden30 minM. Tatum26 min · TRQ. Duncan14 minR. Awad13 minB. Stores4 min · TRA. AltobelliNew

Forwards

M. Coffi19 min · TRJ. Kelly16 minB. Oliver10 min · TRZ. Scherler7 minV. VanderstraetenNew

Centers

S. Jimenez-VojnicNew

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

NAVY74.1 #194

NJIT66.2 #344

Points per possession

NAVY1.12 #97

NJIT0.98 #343

Pace (possessions)

NAVY66.0 #316

NJIT67.9 #235

Shooting

Effective FG%

NAVY53.1 #100

NJIT46.7 #342

3-point %

NAVY35.9 #64

NJIT30.4 #336

3-point attempt rate

NAVY33.1 #314

NJIT40.1 #168

Free throw rate

NAVY38.8 #82

NJIT33.2 #233

Possessions

Turnover rate

NAVY16.8 #190

NJIT17.1 #215

Offensive rebound rate

NAVY31.9 #126

NJIT26.2 #316

Assists per game

NAVY15.8 #52

NJIT10.5 #350

Defense

Points allowed

NAVY65.6 #10

NJIT73.7 #147

Points allowed per possession

NAVY1.00 #23

NJIT1.08 #167

Opponent effective FG%

NAVY48.3 #42

NJIT50.0 #99

Opponent 3-point %

NAVY30.0 #7

NJIT32.3 #79

Turnovers forced

NAVY18.3 #84

NJIT16.1 #214

Defensive rebound rate

NAVY72.6 #49

NJIT67.9 #264

Steals per game

NAVY7.5 #84

NJIT6.3 #204

Blocks per game

NAVY3.3 #185

NJIT3.1 #197

NAVY		NJIT
Scoring
74.1 #194	Points per game	66.2 #344
1.12 #97	Points per possession	0.98 #343
66.0 #316	Pace (possessions)	67.9 #235
Shooting
53.1 #100	Effective FG%	46.7 #342
35.9 #64	3-point %	30.4 #336
33.1 #314	3-point attempt rate	40.1 #168
38.8 #82	Free throw rate	33.2 #233
Possessions
16.8 #190	Turnover rate	17.1 #215
31.9 #126	Offensive rebound rate	26.2 #316
15.8 #52	Assists per game	10.5 #350
Defense
65.6 #10	Points allowed	73.7 #147
1.00 #23	Points allowed per possession	1.08 #167
48.3 #42	Opponent effective FG%	50.0 #99
30.0 #7	Opponent 3-point %	32.3 #79
18.3 #84	Turnovers forced	16.1 #214
72.6 #49	Defensive rebound rate	67.9 #264
7.5 #84	Steals per game	6.3 #204
3.3 #185	Blocks per game	3.1 #197

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Navy

24-8 in 2025-26 overall · 18-2 in conference · Patriot League

Last five, 2025-26

L@ Wake Forest72–82
Lvs Boston U72–73
Wvs Bucknell74–69
Wvs Colgate85–69
W@ Loyola MD78–51

A week or more of rest.

NJIT

15-17 in 2025-26 overall · 11-7 in conference · America East Conference

Last five, 2025-26

L@ Vermont54–63
Wvs Maine60–58
Lvs UMBC52–91
L@ Bryant52–69
Lvs Vermont64–70

A week or more of rest.

Navy Midshipmen at NJIT Highlanders

What could decide it: NAVY has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Navy

NJIT

The starting fives are even

Depth chart

Matchup stats

Navy

NJIT