1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Dec 5
  3. YALE @ DEL
NCAAB · Sat, Dec 5

Yale Bulldogs at Delaware Blue Hens

Bob Carpenter Center · at Delaware
#126YALEYale
@
#206DELDelaware
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
YALEThis seasonDEL
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects YALE 75–71 · win probability YALE 62%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 146.0
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: YALE has more of the edges

YALE 5, DEL 1 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
YALEBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: YALE 14.0%, DEL 18.3%. Forced: YALE 16.2%, DEL 14.0%
YALEBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: YALE 34.2%, DEL 20.8%. Defensive: YALE 70.3%, DEL 68.9%
YALESmall
DEL offense vs YALE defense
Offense 237th of 366 against a defense 136th, on the model’s ratings
YALESmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: YALE 35.1, DEL 30.6. Allowed: YALE 26.8, DEL 30.2
YALESmall
YALE offense vs DEL defense
Offense 125th of 366 against a defense 187th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
YALE has played the 141st-hardest schedule, DEL the 195th. A record against a soft schedule means less
DELSmall
Home court
DEL at home. This season: DEL 0-0 at home, YALE 0-0 away
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: YALE 55.6 and allows 51.6; DEL 53.3 and allows 51.5
Context
Tempo
About 66 possessions: YALE plays 66.4 a game (301st fastest), DEL 65.3 (337th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Three-pointers
YALE hits 39.4% and allows 35.0%; DEL hits 36.8% and allows 35.1%. Threes are 36.1% and 46.2% of their shots
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: YALE 42%, DEL 46%. Transfers in: YALE 0, DEL 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—YALE -3.4—
Total—146.0—
Projected score—YALE 74.7 · DEL 71.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadYALE -2.2—
1H total68.3—
1H projected scoreYALE 35.2 · DEL 33.1—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Yale has the better starters

Position by position: Yale 2, Delaware 0, even 3
YaleBetterDelaware
G T. Mullin11.8 pts · 2.4 reb · 2.6 ast Score 63
YALEBig
G D. Dinkins TR11.9 pts · 1.6 reb · 2.5 ast Score 21
G J. Brathwaite6.6 pts · 1.8 reb · 1 ast Score 35
YALESmall
G A. Kazanecki5 pts · 2 reb · 0.6 ast Score 5
G C. Wallace1.2 pts · 0.6 reb · 0.6 ast Not ranked
No call
G J. Brown12 pts · 3 reb · 1 ast Not ranked
F R. Fox9.8 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.7 ast Score 76
No call
G M. Ellison3.8 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.8 ast Not ranked
F J. Sullivan1.3 pts · 0.7 reb · 0.2 ast Not ranked
No call
F K. Nzeh TR11.6 pts · 4.7 reb · 1.4 ast Score 44
YaleBetterDelaware
YALE offense125th of 366 · -3.3
YALESmall
DEL defense187th of 366 · -4.3
YALE defense136th of 366 · -2.8
YALESmall
DEL offense237th of 366 · -7.3
Backcourt-1.1 · 3 players
YALEBig
Backcourt-9.1 · 4 players
Frontcourt+0.5 · 2 players
YALESmall
Frontcourt-0.6 · 1 player
Bench-0.5 · 4 players
YALESmall
Bench-2.8 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestYALE betterDEL betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Yale
Guards
T. Mullin28 minJ. Brathwaite19 minC. Wallace4 minJ. Basima3 minA. Loving3 minJ. Tsai2 min
Forwards
R. Fox18 minJ. Sullivan5 minD. Ogunyemi3 minC. MayNewT. WinklerNewC. BolteNew
Centers
J. OwareNew
Delaware
Guards
D. Dinkins34 min · TRA. Kazanecki29 minJ. Brown23 minM. Ellison20 minC. Bailey18 min · TRD. Harris-Smith17 min · TR
Forwards
K. Nzeh29 min · TRE. Alvin20 min · TRJ. Taylor16 minF. EgbunaNew
Centers
S. Solano4 min · TR
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
YALEDEL
Scoring
80.1 #64Points per game67.9 #316
1.21 #10Points per possession1.04 #269
66.4 #301Pace (possessions)65.3 #337
Shooting
55.6 #26Effective FG%53.3 #89
39.4 #33-point %36.8 #31
36.1 #2473-point attempt rate46.2 #44
35.1 #172Free throw rate30.6 #291
Possessions
14.0 #22Turnover rate18.3 #287
34.2 #62Offensive rebound rate20.8 #362
15.8 #53Assists per game12.2 #271
Defense
71.8 #102Points allowed74.1 #156
1.08 #166Points allowed per possession1.13 #298
51.6 #192Opponent effective FG%51.5 #185
35.0 #250Opponent 3-point %35.1 #255
16.2 #207Turnovers forced14.0 #334
70.3 #147Defensive rebound rate68.9 #206
5.3 #314Steals per game5.7 #273
3.2 #193Blocks per game3.0 #219
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Yale

22-7 in 2025-26 overall · 12-4 in conference · Ivy League

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs UNC Wilmington67–68
  • Lvs Penn84–88
  • Wvs Cornell88–76
  • Wvs Princeton78–53
  • W@ Columbia60–54

A week or more of rest.

Delaware

10-20 in 2025-26 overall · 6-14 in conference · Conference USA

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Louisiana Tech38–81
  • Wvs Sam Houston83–80
  • L@ Kennesaw St82–90
  • L@ Jax State70–80
  • L@ MTSU66–78

A week or more of rest.