1. NCAAB
  2. Wed, Nov 18
  3. MER @ PRES
NCAAB · Wed, Nov 18

Mercer Bears at Presbyterian Blue Hose

Templeton Center · at Presbyterian
#242MERMercer
@
#183PRESPresbyterian
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
MERThis seasonPRES
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects PRES 76–71 · win probability PRES 68%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 146.5
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: PRES has more of the edges

MER 3, PRES 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
MERBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: MER 15.0%, PRES 19.4%. Forced: MER 17.0%, PRES 15.7%
PRESSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: MER 28%, PRES 86%. Transfers in: MER 2, PRES 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
MERSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: MER 39.2, PRES 39.4. Allowed: MER 29.7, PRES 37.1
Context
Schedule so far
MER has played the 193rd-hardest schedule, PRES the 272nd. A record against a soft schedule means less
MERSmall
Three-pointers
MER hits 35.6% and allows 36.2%; PRES hits 31.6% and allows 34.7%. Threes are 39.2% and 28.0% of their shots
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: MER plays 69.5 a game (148th fastest), PRES 66.9 (283rd). Faster games mean more points
PRESSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: MER 32.6%, PRES 33.1%. Defensive: MER 66.8%, PRES 69.3%
PRESSmall
MER offense vs PRES defense
Offense 223rd of 366 against a defense 160th, on the model’s ratings
PRESSmall
Home court
PRES at home. This season: PRES 0-0 at home, MER 0-0 away
PRESSmall
PRES offense vs MER defense
Offense 222nd of 366 against a defense 268th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: MER 53.1 and allows 52.5; PRES 51.0 and allows 51.2
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—PRES -5.2—
Total—146.5—
Projected score—MER 70.6 · PRES 75.9

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadPRES -3.0—
1H total68.5—
1H projected scoreMER 32.8 · PRES 35.8—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Presbyterian has the better starters

Position by position: Mercer 0, Presbyterian 2, even 3
MercerBetterPresbyterian
G B. Shoulders9.5 pts · 6.6 reb · 1.8 ast Score 41
PRESSmall
G C. Parrish14.7 pts · 2.9 reb · 2.3 ast Score 56
G Q. Perkins8.7 pts · 1.4 reb · 1.6 ast Score 22
PRESSmall
G T. Wilson11.6 pts · 3.3 reb · 3.8 ast Score 52
F K. Steele TR8 pts · 4.4 reb · 0.9 ast Score 62
No call
G E. Taylor5.6 pts · 1.8 reb · 3.6 ast Not ranked
F M. Mabor Makoi TR1.4 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.1 ast Score 10
Even
G I. King3.7 pts · 2.7 reb · 0.6 ast Score 2
F P. Padegimas NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
F J. Peterson11 pts · 7.2 reb · 0.8 ast Score 71
MercerBetterPresbyterian
MER offense223rd of 366 · -6.8
PRESSmall
PRES defense160th of 366 · -3.5
MER defense268th of 366 · -6.8
Even
PRES offense222nd of 366 · -6.8
Backcourt-3.4 · 2 players
MERSmall
Backcourt-4.4 · 4 players
Frontcourt-0.6 · 3 players
PRESSmall
Frontcourt+1.1 · 1 player
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench-1.6 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestMER betterPRES betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Mercer
Guards
B. Shoulders32 minQ. Perkins24 minM. KoveosNewD. BarrNewH. LyttleNewK. LamonteNew
Forwards
K. Steele21 min · TRM. Mabor Makoi8 min · TRP. PadegimasNewS. MayhughNewD. KovacevicNew
Presbyterian
Guards
C. Parrish35 minT. Wilson32 minE. Taylor21 minI. King19 minK. Hudson11 minJ. Bowden8 min
Forwards
J. Peterson30 minC. Chiakwelu11 minA. AyelyineNewL. HackworthNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
MERPRES
Scoring
80.1 #65Points per game70.0 #286
1.15 #55Points per possession1.05 #249
69.5 #148Pace (possessions)66.9 #283
Shooting
53.1 #98Effective FG%51.0 #196
35.6 #873-point %31.6 #302
39.2 #1883-point attempt rate28.0 #360
39.2 #74Free throw rate39.4 #71
Possessions
15.0 #67Turnover rate19.4 #335
32.6 #102Offensive rebound rate33.1 #86
12.7 #240Assists per game12.4 #260
Defense
77.8 #263Points allowed73.1 #133
1.12 #273Points allowed per possession1.09 #192
52.5 #242Opponent effective FG%51.2 #170
36.2 #311Opponent 3-point %34.7 #235
17.0 #155Turnovers forced15.7 #237
66.8 #303Defensive rebound rate69.3 #188
7.1 #115Steals per game5.5 #303
3.2 #186Blocks per game4.5 #35
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Mercer

16-13 in 2025-26 overall · 11-8 in conference · Southern Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs W Carolina73–77
  • Wvs ETSU82–76
  • L@ W Carolina74–78
  • Wvs Samford89–86
  • Lvs Chattanooga90–94

A week or more of rest.

Presbyterian

12-18 in 2025-26 overall · 8-10 in conference · Big South Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Winthrop71–73
  • Wvs Radford91–85
  • L@ Winthrop70–74
  • Lvs High Point73–79
  • L@ SC Upstate74–76

A week or more of rest.