Hawkins Arena · at Mercer · Conference game
Closing line
MER -1.5✓ MER covered by 4.5
MER -1.5✓ MER covered by 4.5Closing total149.5Over by 8.5
 ETSU | This season | MER |
|---|---|---|
| 19-9 | Record | 15-12 |
| 14-14 | ATS | 18-9 |
| 15-13 | O/U | 13-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ETSU 76–76 MER · ✗ ETSU (51%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ETSU | 35 | 41 | 76 |
| MER | 49 | 33 | 82 |
1st half: ETSU 35, MER 49 (MER by 14). The model had ETSU by 0.3 and a total of 71.2 (actual 84).
Team stats
| ETSU | MER | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-62 45% | Field goals | 24-47 51% |
| 9-24 38% | 3-pointers | 11-21 52% |
| 11-14 79% | Free throws | 23-36 64% |
| 33 13 off | Rebounds | 32 9 off |
| 13 | Assists | 15 |
| 8 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 4 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 23 | Fouls | 14 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 1 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| ETSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Taylor II G | 33 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 6-15 | 3-7 |
| Blake Barkley F | 31 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 6-13 | 0-1 |
| Cam Morris III F | 27 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-1 |
| Jordan McCullum F | 21 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Allen Strothers G | 17 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Maki Johnson G | 25 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Jaylen Smith G | 24 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3-8 | 2-5 |
| Milton Matthews III G | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Isaiah Sutherland F | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3-5 | 3-5 |
Did not play: Joseph Carter, Henry Sisemore, Frederico Whitaker Jr., Maddox Huff, Brayden Crump, Gabe Sisk
| MER | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baraka Okojie G | 37 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 1-7 | 0-2 |
| Armani Mighty C | 35 | 10 | 13 | 1 | 5-10 | 0-0 |
| Zaire Williams G | 34 | 23 | 1 | 2 | 7-9 | 4-6 |
| Quinton Perkins II G | 33 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 4-5 | 4-5 |
| TJ Grant G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Connor Serven F | 29 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Kyle Cuffe Jr. G | 16 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-3 |
| Bendji Pierre F | 13 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
Did not play: NJ Nganga, Pero Zubac, Jaydon Cole, Braeden Carlsen, Brady Shoulders, Alex Koch, Petras Padegimas, Tristan Gross
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMER -1.5
no move
CloseMER -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open153.5
▼ 4
Close149.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
ETSU +105 · MER -125
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MER -1.5 · unchangedmodel ETSU -0.5
model ETSU -0.5
Opened 153.5 · closed 149.5 · moved 4 downmodel 152
model 152
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MER -1.5 | ETSU -0.3 | ETSU +1.8 | L MER covered |
| Total | 149.5 | 152.2 | Over 2.7 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | ETSU 76.3 · MER 75.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ETSU -0.3 | MER -14.0 |
| 1H total | 71.2 | 84 |
| 1H projected score | ETSU 35.8 · MER 35.4 | ETSU 35 · MER 49 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ETSU | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
| MER | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
ETSU 6–3 MERETSU leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · ETSU has won the last 5 meetings · ETSU 4-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2025-26 | MER 71 @ ETSU 77 | ETSU -7.5 | MER W |
| Feb 26, 2024-25 | MER 58 @ ETSU 59 | ETSU -8.5 | MER W |
| Jan 8, 2024-25 | ETSU 70 @ MER 68 | MER +2.5 | MER W |
| Jan 31, 2023-24 | ETSU 54 @ MER 49 | MER -1.5 | ETSU W |
| Jan 3, 2023-24 | MER 69 @ ETSU 80 | ETSU -5.5 | ETSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
ETSU
28 games played
Straight up
19-9
68% wins
Against the spread
14-14
50% covers · avg +1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-13
54% overs · avg +2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ PRES | L 64-68 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 12 | vs NKU | W 75-63 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 15 | @ UNA | W 78-74 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 21 | vs MORE | W 77-62 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 23 | vs ULM | W 97-55 | -19.5 | W +22.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 29 | vs CARK | W 80-57 | -12.5 | W +10.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 2 | @ DAY | L 71-88 | +11.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 5 | vs USA | W 91-65 | -7.5 | W +18.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 12 | @ APSU | L 75-76 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 16 | @ UNC | L 58-77 | +17.5 | L −1.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 20 | vs JXST | L 75-81 | -9.5 | L −15.5 | 134.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 30 | @ CIT | W 74-49 | -12.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 3 | vsMER | W 77-71 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 7 | vs VMI | W 81-67 | -16.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 10 | vs UNCG | W 86-60 | -11.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 14 | @ WCU | L 68-72 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 17 | @ SAM | W 76-75 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 21 | @ UTC | W 67-66 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 23 | vsCIT | W 84-55 | -17.5 | W +11.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 29 | vsWCU | L 88-90 | -9.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | O 178 |
| Feb 1 | @ WOF | W 86-72 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 146.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 4 | vs FUR | W 75-71 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | O 146 |
| Feb 7 | @VMI | W 87-70 | -14.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 11 | vsUTC | W 73-61 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 14 | vsSAM | L 72-82 | -7.5 | L −17.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 18 | @FUR | W 78-69 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 140.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 21 | @UNCG | W 87-75 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 25 | vsWOF | L 69-72 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@PRES
PRESL 64-68
−10.5
12
vsNKU
NKUW 75-63
+5.5
15
@UNA
UNAW 78-74
+5.5
21
vsMORE
MOREW 77-62
+4.5
23
vsULM
ULMW 97-55
+22.5
29
vsCARK
CARKW 80-57
+10.5
2
@DAY
DAYL 71-88
−5.5
5
vsUSA
USAW 91-65
+18.5
12
@APSU
APSUL 75-76
−4.5
16
@UNC
UNCL 58-77
−1.5
20
vsJXST
JXSTL 75-81
−15.5
30
@CIT
CITW 74-49
+12.5
3
vsMER
MERW 77-71
−1.5
7
vsVMI
VMIW 81-67
−2.5
10
vsUNCG
UNCGW 86-60
+14.5
14
@WCU
WCUL 68-72
−10.5
17
@SAM
SAMW 76-75
−2.5
21
@UTC
UTCW 67-66
−3.5
23
vsCIT
CITW 84-55
+11.5
29
vsWCU
WCUL 88-90
−11.5
1
@WOF
WOFW 86-72
+12.5
4
vsFUR
FURW 75-71
−1.5
7
@VMI
VMIW 87-70
+2.5
11
vsUTC
UTCW 73-61
+1.5
14
vsSAM
SAML 72-82
−17.5
18
@FUR
FURW 78-69
+10.5
21
@UNCG
UNCGW 87-75
+5.5
25
vsWOF
WOFL 69-72
−9.5
covered 14didn’t cover 14avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@PRES
PRESL 64-68
−9.5
12
vsNKU
NKUW 75-63
−4.5
15
@UNA
UNAW 78-74
+6.5
21
vsMORE
MOREW 77-62
−5.5
23
vsULM
ULMW 97-55
+5.5
29
vsCARK
CARKW 80-57
−7.5
2
@DAY
DAYL 71-88
+18.5
5
vsUSA
USAW 91-65
+12.5
12
@APSU
APSUL 75-76
+7.5
16
@UNC
UNCL 58-77
−15.5
20
vsJXST
JXSTL 75-81
+21.5
30
@CIT
CITW 74-49
−17.5
3
vsMER
MERW 77-71
−0.5
7
vsVMI
VMIW 81-67
+1.5
10
vsUNCG
UNCGW 86-60
−2.5
14
@WCU
WCUL 68-72
−7.5
17
@SAM
SAMW 76-75
+2.5
21
@UTC
UTCW 67-66
−10.5
23
vsCIT
CITW 84-55
−2.5
29
vsWCU
WCUL 88-90
+32.5
1
@WOF
WOFW 86-72
+11.5
4
vsFUR
FURW 75-71
+4.5
7
@VMI
VMIW 87-70
+13.5
11
vsUTC
UTCW 73-61
−11.5
14
vsSAM
SAML 72-82
+8.5
18
@FUR
FURW 78-69
+6.5
21
@UNCG
UNCGW 87-75
+13.5
25
vsWOF
WOFL 69-72
−8.5
over 15under 13avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Mercer
27 games played
Straight up
15-12
56% wins
Against the spread
18-9
67% covers · avg +1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-14
48% overs · avg +3.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ TENN | L 61-76 | +28.5 | W +13.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 9 | vs LIP | W 92-77 | -3.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 15 | @ WIN | L 69-105 | +2.5 | L −33.5 | 162.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 22 | @ EKU | W 95-83 | +4.5 | W +16.5 | 163.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 26 | vs APP | W 75-67 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 29 | @ ELON | W 91-84 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 2 | vs GAST | W 78-67 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 13 | @ CLEM | L 63-70 | +22.5 | W +15.5 | 152.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 17 | @ UCF | L 63-81 | +16.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 20 | @ WSU | L 78-84 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 31 | @FUR | L 72-74 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 3 | @ETSU | L 71-77 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 7 | vsCIT | W 101-63 | -16.5 | W +21.5 | 147.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 10 | vsWOF | W 109-97 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | O 206 |
| Jan 15 | @VMI | W 77-67 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | @UNCG | W 102-92 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | O 194 |
| Jan 21 | vsWCU | W 88-76 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 24 | @WOF | L 77-80 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 29 | vsUNCG | W 95-77 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 158.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 31 | vsVMI | W 95-81 | -18.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | O 176 |
| Feb 5 | @UTC | L 75-79 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Feb 7 | @SAM | L 49-69 | -1.5 | L −21.5 | 160.5 | U 118 |
| Feb 11 | vsFUR | W 69-64 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 14 | @CIT | W 70-54 | -11.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 19 | vsUTC | L 90-94 | -10.5 | L −14.5 | 151.5 | O 184 |
| Feb 21 | vsSAM | W 89-86 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 156.5 | O 175 |
| Feb 25 | @WCU | L 74-78 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@TENN
TENNL 61-76
+13.5
9
vsLIP
LIPW 92-77
+11.5
15
@WIN
WINL 69-105
−33.5
22
@EKU
EKUW 95-83
+16.5
26
vsAPP
APPW 75-67
+1.5
29
@ELON
ELONW 91-84
+9.5
2
vsGAST
GASTW 78-67
+0.5
13
@CLEM
CLEML 63-70
+15.5
17
@UCF
UCFL 63-81
−1.5
20
@WSU
WSUL 78-84
+1.5
31
@FUR
FURL 72-74
+0.5
3
@ETSU
ETSUL 71-77
+1.5
7
vsCIT
CITW 101-63
+21.5
10
vsWOF
WOFW 109-97
+8.5
15
@VMI
VMIW 77-67
+1.5
17
@UNCG
UNCGW 102-92
+4.5
21
vsWCU
WCUW 88-76
+3.5
24
@WOF
WOFL 77-80
−5.5
29
vsUNCG
UNCGW 95-77
+7.5
31
vsVMI
VMIW 95-81
−4.5
5
@UTC
UTCL 75-79
−8.5
7
@SAM
SAML 49-69
−21.5
11
vsFUR
FURW 69-64
+1.5
14
@CIT
CITW 70-54
+4.5
19
vsUTC
UTCL 90-94
−14.5
21
vsSAM
SAMW 89-86
−0.5
25
@WCU
WCUL 74-78
−5.5
covered 18didn’t cover 9avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TENN
TENNL 61-76
−6.5
9
vsLIP
LIPW 92-77
+11.5
15
@WIN
WINL 69-105
+11.5
22
@EKU
EKUW 95-83
+14.5
26
vsAPP
APPW 75-67
−0.5
29
@ELON
ELONW 91-84
+15.5
2
vsGAST
GASTW 78-67
−10.5
13
@CLEM
CLEML 63-70
−19.5
17
@UCF
UCFL 63-81
−16.5
20
@WSU
WSUL 78-84
+10.5
31
@FUR
FURL 72-74
−8.5
3
@ETSU
ETSUL 71-77
−0.5
7
vsCIT
CITW 101-63
+16.5
10
vsWOF
WOFW 109-97
+49.5
15
@VMI
VMIW 77-67
−9.5
17
@UNCG
UNCGW 102-92
+38.5
21
vsWCU
WCUW 88-76
+5.5
24
@WOF
WOFL 77-80
−0.5
29
vsUNCG
UNCGW 95-77
+13.5
31
vsVMI
VMIW 95-81
+22.5
5
@UTC
UTCL 75-79
−1.5
7
@SAM
SAML 49-69
−42.5
11
vsFUR
FURW 69-64
−18.5
14
@CIT
CITW 70-54
−23.5
19
vsUTC
UTCL 90-94
+32.5
21
vsSAM
SAMW 89-86
+18.5
25
@WCU
WCUL 74-78
−4.5
over 13under 14avg +3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
ETSU
19-9 overall · 13-4 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Wofford69–72
- W@ UNC Greensboro87–75
- W@ Furman78–69
- Lvs Samford72–82
- Wvs Chattanooga73–61
3 days since their last game.
Mercer
15-12 overall · 10-7 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ W Carolina74–78
- Wvs Samford89–86
- Lvs Chattanooga90–94
- W@ The Citadel70–54
- Wvs Furman69–64
3 days since their last game.