Bodford Arena · at UNC Greensboro · Conference game
Closing line
ETSU -6.5✓ ETSU covered by 5.5
Closing total148.5Over by 13.5
| This season | UNCG | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-8 | Record | 10-16 |
| 13-13 | ATS | 10-16 |
| 14-12 | O/U | 18-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ETSU 79–72 UNCG · ✓ ETSU (74%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ETSU | 39 | 48 | 87 |
| UNCG | 36 | 39 | 75 |
1st half: ETSU 39, UNCG 36 (ETSU by 3). The model had ETSU by 4.5 and a total of 70.7 (actual 75).
Team stats
| ETSU | UNCG | |
|---|---|---|
| 33-55 60% | Field goals | 28-54 52% |
| 9-20 45% | 3-pointers | 9-24 38% |
| 12-14 86% | Free throws | 10-15 67% |
| 26 6 off | Rebounds | 26 8 off |
| 14 | Assists | 13 |
| 7 | Steals | 10 |
| 2 | Blocks | 0 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| ETSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Taylor II G | 37 | 25 | 2 | 2 | 10-12 | 3-5 |
| Blake Barkley F | 30 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4-6 | 1-2 |
| Cam Morris III F | 24 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Jordan McCullum F | 18 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Allen Strothers G | 12 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaylen Smith G | 30 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 4-9 | 1-2 |
| Maki Johnson G | 21 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Isaiah Sutherland F | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4-6 | 2-3 |
| Milton Matthews III G | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
Did not play: Frederico Whitaker Jr., Henry Sisemore, Maddox Huff, Brayden Crump, Gabe Sisk, Joseph Carter
| UNCG | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lilian Marville G | 34 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1-6 | 0-2 |
| Valentino Pinedo F | 34 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 6-7 | 0-0 |
| Noah Norgaard G | 30 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 5-9 | 3-7 |
| Justin Neely F | 29 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 6-9 | 0-1 |
| KJ Younger G | 25 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 7-13 | 5-9 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Clinton Efinda F | 20 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Donald Whitehead Jr. G | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Domas Kauzonas F | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Clyde Bailey II G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Chane Bynum, Jordan Brown, Assane Mandian, Braylen Bowman, Antwann Jones, Landon King
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenETSU -6.5
no move
CloseETSU -6.5
No change since the open
Total
Open148.5
no move
Close148.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
ETSU -285 · UNCG +230
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ETSU -6.5 · unchangedmodel ETSU -7.5
model ETSU -7.5
Opened 148.5 · unchangedmodel 151
model 151
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ETSU -6.5 | ETSU -7.3 | ETSU +0.8 | W ETSU covered |
| Total | 148.5 | 151.1 | Over 2.6 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | ETSU 79.2 · UNCG 71.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ETSU -4.5 | ETSU -3.0 |
| 1H total | 70.7 | 75 |
| 1H projected score | ETSU 37.6 · UNCG 33.1 | ETSU 39 · UNCG 36 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% | |
| 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 8-2 80% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
ETSU 6–4 UNCGETSU leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · ETSU has won the last 2 meetings · ETSU 6-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025-26 | UNCG 60 @ ETSU 86 | ETSU -11.5 | ETSU W |
| Feb 19, 2024-25 | UNCG 49 @ ETSU 65 | ETSU -2.5 | ETSU W |
| Jan 29, 2024-25 | ETSU 65 @ UNCG 70 | UNCG -1.5 | UNCG W |
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | ETSU 73 vs UNCG 62 | UNCG -7.5 | ETSU W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | UNCG 65 @ ETSU 66 | ETSU +2.5 | ETSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
ETSU
26 games played
Straight up
18-8
69% wins
Against the spread
13-13
50% covers · avg +1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-12
54% overs · avg +2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ | L 64-68 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 12 | vs | W 75-63 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 15 | @ | W 78-74 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 21 | vs | W 77-62 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 23 | vs | W 97-55 | -19.5 | W +22.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 29 | vs | W 80-57 | -12.5 | W +10.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 2 | @ | L 71-88 | +11.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 5 | vs | W 91-65 | -7.5 | W +18.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 12 | @ | L 75-76 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 16 | @ | L 58-77 | +17.5 | L −1.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 20 | vs | L 75-81 | -9.5 | L −15.5 | 134.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 30 | @ | W 74-49 | -12.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 3 | vs | W 77-71 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 7 | vs | W 81-67 | -16.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 10 | vs | W 86-60 | -11.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 14 | @ | L 68-72 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 17 | @ | W 76-75 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 21 | @ | W 67-66 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 23 | vs | W 84-55 | -17.5 | W +11.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 29 | vs | L 88-90 | -9.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | O 178 |
| Feb 1 | @ | W 86-72 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 146.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 4 | vs | W 75-71 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | O 146 |
| Feb 7 | @ | W 87-70 | -14.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 11 | vs | W 73-61 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 14 | vs | L 72-82 | -7.5 | L −17.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 18 | @ | W 78-69 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 140.5 | O 147 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@
PRES
L 64-68
−10.5
12
vs
NKU
W 75-63
+5.5
15
@
UNA
W 78-74
+5.5
21
vs
MORE
W 77-62
+4.5
23
vs
ULM
W 97-55
+22.5
29
vs
CARK
W 80-57
+10.5
2
@
DAY
L 71-88
−5.5
5
vs
USA
W 91-65
+18.5
12
@
APSU
L 75-76
−4.5
16
@
UNC
L 58-77
−1.5
20
vs
JXST
L 75-81
−15.5
30
@
CIT
W 74-49
+12.5
3
vs
MER
W 77-71
−1.5
7
vs
VMI
W 81-67
−2.5
10
vs
UNCG
W 86-60
+14.5
14
@
WCU
L 68-72
−10.5
17
@
SAM
W 76-75
−2.5
21
@
UTC
W 67-66
−3.5
23
vs
CIT
W 84-55
+11.5
29
vs
WCU
L 88-90
−11.5
1
@
WOF
W 86-72
+12.5
4
vs
FUR
W 75-71
−1.5
7
@
VMI
W 87-70
+2.5
11
vs
UTC
W 73-61
+1.5
14
vs
SAM
L 72-82
−17.5
18
@
FUR
W 78-69
+10.5
covered 13didn’t cover 13avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@
PRES
L 64-68
−9.5
12
vs
NKU
W 75-63
−4.5
15
@
UNA
W 78-74
+6.5
21
vs
MORE
W 77-62
−5.5
23
vs
ULM
W 97-55
+5.5
29
vs
CARK
W 80-57
−7.5
2
@
DAY
L 71-88
+18.5
5
vs
USA
W 91-65
+12.5
12
@
APSU
L 75-76
+7.5
16
@
UNC
L 58-77
−15.5
20
vs
JXST
L 75-81
+21.5
30
@
CIT
W 74-49
−17.5
3
vs
MER
W 77-71
−0.5
7
vs
VMI
W 81-67
+1.5
10
vs
UNCG
W 86-60
−2.5
14
@
WCU
L 68-72
−7.5
17
@
SAM
W 76-75
+2.5
21
@
UTC
W 67-66
−10.5
23
vs
CIT
W 84-55
−2.5
29
vs
WCU
L 88-90
+32.5
1
@
WOF
W 86-72
+11.5
4
vs
FUR
W 75-71
+4.5
7
@
VMI
W 87-70
+13.5
11
vs
UTC
W 73-61
−11.5
14
vs
SAM
L 72-82
+8.5
18
@
FUR
W 78-69
+6.5
over 14under 12avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
UNC Greensboro
26 games played
Straight up
10-16
38% wins
Against the spread
10-16
38% covers · avg −2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-8
69% overs · avg +8.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ | L 64-93 | +18.5 | L −10.5 | 148.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 8 | vs | L 90-92 | -4.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 12 | @ | L 64-110 | +30.5 | L −15.5 | 153.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 15 | vs | L 63-69 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 20 | @ | L 94-101 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 23 | vs | W 68-62 | +5.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 25 | vs | L 60-73 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 26 | vs | L 71-82 | +10.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 2 | vs | L 77-82 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | @ | W 82-78 | +7.5 | W +11.5 | 139.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 16 | vs | L 65-71 | -6.5 | L −12.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 1 | vs | W 77-72 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 3 | vs | W 89-82 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 7 | @ | L 85-97 | +7.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 10 | @ | L 60-86 | +11.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 15 | vs | W 69-66 | -9.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 17 | vs | L 92-102 | +5.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | O 194 |
| Jan 21 | @ | W 85-78 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 151.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 23 | vs | L 66-89 | +4.5 | L −18.5 | 150.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 29 | @ | L 77-95 | +10.5 | L −7.5 | 158.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 31 | @ | L 66-71 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 4 | vs | W 81-78 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | O 159 |
| Feb 8 | @ | W 67-64 | +10.5 | W +13.5 | 149.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 11 | vs | W 92-71 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 14 | vs | W 99-89 | +2.5 | W +12.5 | 154.5 | O 188 |
| Feb 18 | @ | L 77-91 | +5.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | O 168 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@
KSU
L 64-93
−10.5
8
vs
ELON
L 90-92
−6.5
12
@
NCSU
L 64-110
−15.5
15
vs
APSU
L 63-69
−7.5
20
@
QUC
L 94-101
+0.5
23
vs
YSU
W 68-62
+11.5
25
vs
DEL
L 60-73
−14.5
26
vs
M-OH
L 71-82
−0.5
2
vs
UNCA
L 77-82
−0.5
6
@
ECU
W 82-78
+11.5
16
vs
NCAT
L 65-71
−12.5
1
vs
UTC
W 77-72
+7.5
3
vs
SAM
W 89-82
+9.5
7
@
WOF
L 85-97
−4.5
10
@
ETSU
L 60-86
−14.5
15
vs
CIT
W 69-66
−6.5
17
vs
MER
L 92-102
−4.5
21
@
VMI
W 85-78
+4.5
23
vs
FUR
L 66-89
−18.5
29
@
MER
L 77-95
−7.5
31
@
CIT
L 66-71
−7.5
4
vs
WCU
W 81-78
+4.5
8
@
FUR
W 67-64
+13.5
11
vs
VMI
W 92-71
+12.5
14
vs
WOF
W 99-89
+12.5
18
@
WCU
L 77-91
−8.5
covered 10didn’t cover 16avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@
KSU
L 64-93
+8.5
8
vs
ELON
L 90-92
+39.5
12
@
NCSU
L 64-110
+20.5
15
vs
APSU
L 63-69
−13.5
20
@
QUC
L 94-101
+44.5
23
vs
YSU
W 68-62
−22.5
25
vs
DEL
L 60-73
−9.5
26
vs
M-OH
L 71-82
+2.5
2
vs
UNCA
L 77-82
+15.5
6
@
ECU
W 82-78
+20.5
16
vs
NCAT
L 65-71
−11.5
1
vs
UTC
W 77-72
+1.5
3
vs
SAM
W 89-82
+19.5
7
@
WOF
L 85-97
+28.5
10
@
ETSU
L 60-86
−2.5
15
vs
CIT
W 69-66
−13.5
17
vs
MER
L 92-102
+38.5
21
@
VMI
W 85-78
+11.5
23
vs
FUR
L 66-89
+4.5
29
@
MER
L 77-95
+13.5
31
@
CIT
L 66-71
−10.5
4
vs
WCU
W 81-78
+3.5
8
@
FUR
W 67-64
−18.5
11
vs
VMI
W 92-71
+12.5
14
vs
WOF
W 99-89
+33.5
18
@
WCU
L 77-91
+12.5
over 18under 8avg +8.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
ETSU
18-8 overall · 12-3 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Furman78–69
- Lvs Samford72–82
- Wvs Chattanooga73–61
- W@ VMI87–70
- Wvs Furman75–71
3 days since their last game.
UNC Greensboro
10-16 overall · 8-7 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ W Carolina77–91
- Wvs Wofford99–89
- Wvs VMI92–71
- W@ Furman67–64
- Wvs W Carolina81–78
3 days since their last game.