Hawkins Arena · at Mercer · Conference game
Closing line
MER -3.5✓ SAM covered by 0.5
MER -3.5✓ SAM covered by 0.5Closing total156.5Over by 18.5
 SAM | This season | MER |
|---|---|---|
| 14-12 | Record | 14-11 |
| 15-11 | ATS | 18-7 |
| 16-10 | O/U | 12-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SAM 77–80 MER · ✓ MER (62%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAM | 41 | 45 | 86 |
| MER | 44 | 45 | 89 |
1st half: SAM 41, MER 44 (MER by 3). The model had MER by 1.9 and a total of 73.5 (actual 85).
Team stats
| SAM | MER | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-64 47% | Field goals | 32-50 64% |
| 6-16 38% | 3-pointers | 7-17 41% |
| 20-23 87% | Free throws | 18-25 72% |
| 28 10 off | Rebounds | 32 5 off |
| 12 | Assists | 16 |
| 7 | Steals | 4 |
| 0 | Blocks | 5 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 22 | Fouls | 20 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| SAM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadin Booth G | 40 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 8-15 | 4-8 |
| Cade Norris G | 38 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3-10 | 1-3 |
| Keaton Norris G | 32 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 3-9 | 1-3 |
| Dylan Faulkner F | 28 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 12-16 | 0-0 |
| Kam Martin G | 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Zion Wilburn G | 23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Campbell-Finch G | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Will Shaver C | 12 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
Did not play: DaJion Humphrey, Cooper Davenport, JD Gossett, Judson Bjornstad, Caleb Harrison, Corey Brown, Jaxon Pollard, Zach Lamey, Joshua Hughes
| MER | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinton Perkins II G | 36 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 7-9 | 4-5 |
| Zaire Williams G | 35 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 5-9 | 2-5 |
| Baraka Okojie G | 34 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 7-13 | 1-5 |
| Armani Mighty C | 31 | 14 | 13 | 2 | 7-8 | 0-0 |
| Brady Shoulders G | 26 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Connor Serven F | 26 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Tristan Gross G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Kyle Cuffe Jr. G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jaydon Cole, Pero Zubac, NJ Nganga, Braeden Carlsen, Petras Padegimas, Alex Koch, Bendji Pierre, TJ Grant
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMER -3.5
no move
CloseMER -3.5
No change since the open
Total
Open154.5
▲ 2
Close156.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
SAM +154 · MER -185
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MER -3.5 · unchangedmodel MER -3.5 matches the line
model MER -3.5 = line ✓
Opened 154.5 · closed 156.5 · moved 2 upmodel 157
model 157
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MER -3.5 | MER -3.5 | — | SAM covered |
| Total | 156.5 | 157.2 | Over 0.7 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | SAM 76.8 · MER 80.3 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MER -1.9 | MER -3.0 |
| 1H total | 73.5 | 85 |
| 1H projected score | SAM 35.8 · MER 37.7 | SAM 41 · MER 44 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAM | 7-3 70% | 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% |
| MER | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
SAM 8–2 MERSAM leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · SAM has won the last 4 meetings · SAM 6-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2025-26 | MER 49 @ SAM 69 | SAM +1.5 | SAM W |
| Feb 5, 2024-25 | MER 79 @ SAM 100 | SAM -10.5 | SAM W |
| Jan 15, 2024-25 | SAM 75 @ MER 74 | MER +5.5 | MER W |
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | MER 57 vs SAM 70 | SAM -9.5 | SAM W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | SAM 84 @ MER 88 | MER +10.5 | MER W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Samford
26 games played
Straight up
14-12
54% wins
Against the spread
15-11
58% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-10
62% overs · avg +1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ TULN | L 72-85 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 7 | vs SCST | W 82-72 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 12 | @ TXSO | W 93-90 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 153.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 14 | @ ARK | L 75-79 | +24.5 | W +20.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 16 | @ CARK | W 84-77 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 19 | vs FGCU | L 62-77 | -5.5 | L −20.5 | 154.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 21 | @ NMSU | L 72-81 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 25 | vs GAST | W 78-63 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 26 | vs UVU | L 45-89 | +7.5 | L −36.5 | 148.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 5 | @ VCU | L 57-83 | +19.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 7 | vs COR | W 93-90 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 166.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 1 | @ VMI | W 78-58 | -6.5 | W +13.5 | 154.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 3 | @ UNCG | L 82-89 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 7 | vs WCU | W 82-77 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 10 | @ UTC | L 79-88 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 14 | vs FUR | L 73-77 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 17 | vs ETSU | L 75-76 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 21 | @ WOF | L 78-88 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 24 | vsUTC | W 75-64 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 29 | @FUR | L 73-78 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 1 | @WCU | W 88-74 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 5 | vs CIT | W 78-64 | -13.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 7 | vsMER | W 69-49 | +1.5 | W +21.5 | 160.5 | U 118 |
| Feb 11 | vsWOF | W 97-80 | -6.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 177 |
| Feb 14 | @ETSU | W 82-72 | +7.5 | W +17.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 19 | @CIT | W 78-75 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | O 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@TULN
TULNL 72-85
−5.5
7
vsSCST
SCSTW 82-72
−4.5
12
@TXSO
TXSOW 93-90
+0.5
14
@ARK
ARKL 75-79
+20.5
16
@CARK
CARKW 84-77
+0.5
19
vsFGCU
FGCUL 62-77
−20.5
21
@NMSU
NMSUL 72-81
−0.5
25
vsGAST
GASTW 78-63
+9.5
26
vsUVU
UVUL 45-89
−36.5
5
@VCU
VCUL 57-83
−6.5
7
vsCOR
CORW 93-90
+0.5
1
@VMI
VMIW 78-58
+13.5
3
@UNCG
UNCGL 82-89
−9.5
7
vsWCU
WCUW 82-77
+0.5
10
@UTC
UTCL 79-88
−7.5
14
vsFUR
FURL 73-77
−2.5
17
vsETSU
ETSUL 75-76
+2.5
21
@WOF
WOFL 78-88
−6.5
24
vsUTC
UTCW 75-64
+6.5
29
@FUR
FURL 73-78
+0.5
1
@WCU
WCUW 88-74
+12.5
5
vsCIT
CITW 78-64
+0.5
7
vsMER
MERW 69-49
+21.5
11
vsWOF
WOFW 97-80
+10.5
14
@ETSU
ETSUW 82-72
+17.5
19
@CIT
CITW 78-75
−7.5
covered 15didn’t cover 11avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TULN
TULNL 72-85
+2.5
7
vsSCST
SCSTW 82-72
−0.5
12
@TXSO
TXSOW 93-90
+29.5
14
@ARK
ARKL 75-79
−4.5
16
@CARK
CARKW 84-77
+9.5
19
vsFGCU
FGCUL 62-77
−15.5
21
@NMSU
NMSUL 72-81
+7.5
25
vsGAST
GASTW 78-63
−5.5
26
vsUVU
UVUL 45-89
−14.5
5
@VCU
VCUL 57-83
−14.5
7
vsCOR
CORW 93-90
+16.5
1
@VMI
VMIW 78-58
−18.5
3
@UNCG
UNCGL 82-89
+19.5
7
vsWCU
WCUW 82-77
+5.5
10
@UTC
UTCL 79-88
+18.5
14
vsFUR
FURL 73-77
+0.5
17
vsETSU
ETSUL 75-76
+2.5
21
@WOF
WOFL 78-88
+11.5
24
vsUTC
UTCW 75-64
−13.5
29
@FUR
FURL 73-78
+1.5
1
@WCU
WCUW 88-74
+7.5
5
vsCIT
CITW 78-64
−4.5
7
vsMER
MERW 69-49
−42.5
11
vsWOF
WOFW 97-80
+26.5
14
@ETSU
ETSUW 82-72
+8.5
19
@CIT
CITW 78-75
+9.5
over 16under 10avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Mercer
25 games played
Straight up
14-11
56% wins
Against the spread
18-7
72% covers · avg +1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-13
48% overs · avg +3.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ TENN | L 61-76 | +28.5 | W +13.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 9 | vs LIP | W 92-77 | -3.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 15 | @ WIN | L 69-105 | +2.5 | L −33.5 | 162.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 22 | @ EKU | W 95-83 | +4.5 | W +16.5 | 163.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 26 | vs APP | W 75-67 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 29 | @ ELON | W 91-84 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 2 | vsGAST | W 78-67 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 13 | @ CLEM | L 63-70 | +22.5 | W +15.5 | 152.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 17 | @ UCF | L 63-81 | +16.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 20 | @ WSU | L 78-84 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 31 | @FUR | L 72-74 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 3 | @ETSU | L 71-77 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 7 | vsCIT | W 101-63 | -16.5 | W +21.5 | 147.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 10 | vsWOF | W 109-97 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | O 206 |
| Jan 15 | @VMI | W 77-67 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | @UNCG | W 102-92 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | O 194 |
| Jan 21 | vsWCU | W 88-76 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 24 | @WOF | L 77-80 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 29 | vsUNCG | W 95-77 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 158.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 31 | vsVMI | W 95-81 | -18.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | O 176 |
| Feb 5 | @UTC | L 75-79 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Feb 7 | @SAM | L 49-69 | -1.5 | L −21.5 | 160.5 | U 118 |
| Feb 11 | vsFUR | W 69-64 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 14 | @CIT | W 70-54 | -11.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 19 | vsUTC | L 90-94 | -10.5 | L −14.5 | 151.5 | O 184 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@TENN
TENNL 61-76
+13.5
9
vsLIP
LIPW 92-77
+11.5
15
@WIN
WINL 69-105
−33.5
22
@EKU
EKUW 95-83
+16.5
26
vsAPP
APPW 75-67
+1.5
29
@ELON
ELONW 91-84
+9.5
2
vsGAST
GASTW 78-67
+0.5
13
@CLEM
CLEML 63-70
+15.5
17
@UCF
UCFL 63-81
−1.5
20
@WSU
WSUL 78-84
+1.5
31
@FUR
FURL 72-74
+0.5
3
@ETSU
ETSUL 71-77
+1.5
7
vsCIT
CITW 101-63
+21.5
10
vsWOF
WOFW 109-97
+8.5
15
@VMI
VMIW 77-67
+1.5
17
@UNCG
UNCGW 102-92
+4.5
21
vsWCU
WCUW 88-76
+3.5
24
@WOF
WOFL 77-80
−5.5
29
vsUNCG
UNCGW 95-77
+7.5
31
vsVMI
VMIW 95-81
−4.5
5
@UTC
UTCL 75-79
−8.5
7
@SAM
SAML 49-69
−21.5
11
vsFUR
FURW 69-64
+1.5
14
@CIT
CITW 70-54
+4.5
19
vsUTC
UTCL 90-94
−14.5
covered 18didn’t cover 7avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TENN
TENNL 61-76
−6.5
9
vsLIP
LIPW 92-77
+11.5
15
@WIN
WINL 69-105
+11.5
22
@EKU
EKUW 95-83
+14.5
26
vsAPP
APPW 75-67
−0.5
29
@ELON
ELONW 91-84
+15.5
2
vsGAST
GASTW 78-67
−10.5
13
@CLEM
CLEML 63-70
−19.5
17
@UCF
UCFL 63-81
−16.5
20
@WSU
WSUL 78-84
+10.5
31
@FUR
FURL 72-74
−8.5
3
@ETSU
ETSUL 71-77
−0.5
7
vsCIT
CITW 101-63
+16.5
10
vsWOF
WOFW 109-97
+49.5
15
@VMI
VMIW 77-67
−9.5
17
@UNCG
UNCGW 102-92
+38.5
21
vsWCU
WCUW 88-76
+5.5
24
@WOF
WOFL 77-80
−0.5
29
vsUNCG
UNCGW 95-77
+13.5
31
vsVMI
VMIW 95-81
+22.5
5
@UTC
UTCL 75-79
−1.5
7
@SAM
SAML 49-69
−42.5
11
vsFUR
FURW 69-64
−18.5
14
@CIT
CITW 70-54
−23.5
19
vsUTC
UTCL 90-94
+32.5
over 12under 13avg +3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Samford
14-12 overall · 9-6 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ The Citadel78–75
- W@ ETSU82–72
- Wvs Wofford97–80
- Wvs Mercer69–49
- Wvs The Citadel78–64
2 days since their last game.
Mercer
14-11 overall · 9-6 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Chattanooga90–94
- W@ The Citadel70–54
- Wvs Furman69–64
- L@ Samford49–69
- L@ Chattanooga75–79
2 days since their last game.