West Florida Argonauts at Alabama A&M Bulldogs: Model Line and Edge

Thu, Nov 12, 12:00 AM ETEvent Center · at Alabama A&M

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: West Florida and Alabama A&M
UWF	This season	AAMU
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects AAMU 75–74 · win probability AAMU 53%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 148.2

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: AAMU has more of the edges

UWF 0, AAMU 2 · Before any stats

AAMUSmall

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: UWF 0%, AAMU 51%. Transfers in: UWF 2, AAMU 2. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

AAMUSmall

Home court

AAMU at home. This season: AAMU 0-0 at home, UWF 0-0 away

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	AAMU -0.8	—
Total	—	148.2	—
Projected score	—	UWF 73.7 · AAMU 74.5

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	AAMU -0.4	—
1H total	69.3	—
1H projected score	UWF 34.5 · AAMU 34.8	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
UWF	—	—	—	—
AAMU LWLWL	16-14	53%	8-6	—

Venue/role: UWF away; AAMU home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
UWF	—	—	—
AAMU OUOOU	15-15	50%	15-15

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
AAMU	6-4 60%	5-5 50%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

West Florida

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 13	vs CLE	No recent meeting
Nov 17	vs GB	No recent meeting
Nov 22	@ USA	No recent meeting

Alabama A&M

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 15	vs CLE	L59–86LU
Nov 20	vs LIP	L58–92LO
Nov 24	@ UNA	W68–60WU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

West Florida has no 2025-26 games yet.

Alabama A&M

30 games played

Straight up

15-15

50% wins

Against the spread

16-14

53% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line

Over / Under

15-15

50% overs · avg +2.3 pts vs the total

Straight up

15-1550%

L W W L L W L W L L L W L W W L W W L L W W W W L L W L W L

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

16-1453%

L W W L W W L W W L L W L W W L W W L L W L W W L L W L W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

15-1550%

O U U O U U O U O O O U U O U O U U O O U U O U O O U O O U

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 5	@IU	L 51-98	+30.5	L −16.5	147.5	O 149
Nov 13	vsCHSO	W 68-64	-1.5	W +2.5	152.5	U 132
Nov 16	vsLIN	W 74-65	-3.5	W +5.5	149.5	U 139
Nov 28	@CLEM	L 56-92	+27.5	L −8.5	141.5	O 148
Nov 30	@CCU	L 60-67	+7.5	W +0.5	140.5	U 127
Dec 3	vsTNST	W 80-53	+4.5	W +31.5	147.5	U 133
Dec 7	@LIP	L 58-92	+11.5	L −22.5	146.5	O 150
Dec 15	vsUNA	W 68-60	+4.5	W +12.5	140.5	U 128
Dec 17	vsMISS	L 66-80	+20.5	W +6.5	135.5	O 146
Dec 21	vsUTC	L 66-73	+2.5	L −4.5	138.5	O 139
Jan 3	@UAPB	L 83-95	-1.5	L −13.5	149.5	O 178
Jan 5	@MVSU	W 71-51	-10.5	W +9.5	135.5	U 122
Jan 10	vsALCN	L 62-64	-9.5	L −11.5	140.5	U 126
Jan 12	vsJKST	W 100-91	-6.5	W +2.5	140.5	O 191
Jan 19	vsALST	W 73-69	+1.5	W +5.5	146.5	U 142
Jan 24	@TXSO	L 74-89	-1.5	L −16.5	145.5	O 163
Jan 27	@PV	W 80-60	+2.5	W +22.5	152.5	U 140
Jan 31	vsFAMU	W 72-65	-3.5	W +3.5	138.5	U 137
Feb 2	vsBCU	L 62-80	+2.5	L −15.5	141.5	O 142
Feb 7	@SOU	L 68-81	+6.5	L −6.5	143.5	O 149
Feb 9	@GRAM	W 66-58	+4.5	W +12.5	136.5	U 124
Feb 14	vsMVSU	W 72-65	-15.5	L −8.5	138.5	U 137
Feb 16	vsUAPB	W 82-70	-3.5	W +8.5	144.5	O 152
Feb 19	@FAMU	W 63-61	+1.5	W +3.5	139.5	U 124
Feb 21	@BCU	L 76-85	+6.5	L −2.5	142.5	O 161
Feb 28	vsALST	L 88-89	-1.5	L −2.5	143.5	O 177
Mar 3	vsGRAM	W 77-63	-2.5	W +11.5	140.5	U 140
Mar 5	vsSOU	L 85-88	+1.5	L −1.5	145.5	O 173
Mar 12	vsTXSO	W 85-74	-1.5	W +9.5	142.5	O 159
Mar 13	vsPV	L 55-74	-1.5	L −20.5	140.5	U 129

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

L 51-98

−16.5

CHSO

W 68-64

+2.5

LIN

W 74-65

+5.5

CLEM

L 56-92

−8.5

CCU

L 60-67

+0.5

TNST

W 80-53

+31.5

LIP

L 58-92

−22.5

UNA

W 68-60

+12.5

MISS

L 66-80

+6.5

UTC

L 66-73

−4.5

UAPB

L 83-95

−13.5

MVSU

W 71-51

+9.5

ALCN

L 62-64

−11.5

JKST

W 100-91

+2.5

ALST

W 73-69

+5.5

TXSO

L 74-89

−16.5

W 80-60

+22.5

FAMU

W 72-65

+3.5

BCU

L 62-80

−15.5

SOU

L 68-81

−6.5

GRAM

W 66-58

+12.5

MVSU

W 72-65

−8.5

UAPB

W 82-70

+8.5

FAMU

W 63-61

+3.5

BCU

L 76-85

−2.5

ALST

L 88-89

−2.5

GRAM

W 77-63

+11.5

SOU

L 85-88

−1.5

TXSO

W 85-74

+9.5

L 55-74

−20.5

covered 16didn’t cover 14avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

L 51-98

+1.5

CHSO

W 68-64

−20.5

LIN

W 74-65

−10.5

CLEM

L 56-92

+6.5

CCU

L 60-67

−13.5

TNST

W 80-53

−14.5

LIP

L 58-92

+3.5

UNA

W 68-60

−12.5

MISS

L 66-80

+10.5

UTC

L 66-73

+0.5

UAPB

L 83-95

+28.5

MVSU

W 71-51

−13.5

ALCN

L 62-64

−14.5

JKST

W 100-91

+50.5

ALST

W 73-69

−4.5

TXSO

L 74-89

+17.5

W 80-60

−12.5

FAMU

W 72-65

−1.5

BCU

L 62-80

+0.5

SOU

L 68-81

+5.5

GRAM

W 66-58

−12.5

MVSU

W 72-65

−1.5

UAPB

W 82-70

+7.5

FAMU

W 63-61

−15.5

BCU

L 76-85

+18.5

ALST

L 88-89

+33.5

GRAM

W 77-63

−0.5

SOU

L 85-88

+27.5

TXSO

W 85-74

+16.5

L 55-74

−11.5

over 15under 15avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: West Florida 1, Alabama A&M 1, even 3

West FloridaBetterAlabama A&M

G E. Wali TR5.1 pts · 3.3 reb · 2.3 ast Score 9

AAMUSmall

G S. Pissis10.4 pts · 3.1 reb · 4 ast Score 38

G C. Monroe NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked

No call

G J. Graham9.8 pts · 4 reb · 0.8 ast Score 41

F D. Dickerson TR5.3 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.1 ast Score 63

UWFBig

G J. Edwards TR6.8 pts · 1.8 reb · 1.9 ast Score 9

F I. Alexander NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked

No call

G G. Kincy3.8 pts · 2.9 reb · 0.6 ast Score 3

F T. Hall NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked

No call

G B. Abdur-Rahman4.6 pts · 1.1 reb · 1.4 ast Score 65

West FloridaBetterAlabama A&M

UWF offense263rd of 366 · -8.1

Even

AAMU defense305th of 366 · -7.8

UWF defense341st of 366 · -9.1

Even

AAMU offense325th of 366 · -10.6

Backcourt-3.1 · 2 players

UWFBig

Backcourt-8.1 · 5 players

Frontcourt+0.2 · 3 players

No call

FrontcourtNo numbers yet

BenchNo numbers yet

No call

Bench-3.2 · 3 players

Score, worst to bestUWF betterAAMU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

West Florida

Guards

E. Wali26 min · TRC. MonroeNewJ. KingNewA. GodleyNewC. ValarezoNewR. FariasNew

Forwards

D. Dickerson14 min · TRI. AlexanderNewT. HallNewS. RutatikaNewJ. SamuelNewT. ThompsonNew

Alabama A&M

Guards

S. Pissis30 minJ. Graham25 minJ. Edwards23 min · TRG. Kincy19 minB. Abdur-Rahman12 minN. Johnson10 min · TR

Forwards

S. Onu7 minS. WalkerNewD. MeriwetherNewK. PaulNewD. BrownNew

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26, 0 games in · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

UWF—

AAMU71.4 #261

Points per possession

UWF—

AAMU1.05 #240

Pace (possessions)

UWF—

AAMU67.6 #250

Shooting

Effective FG%

UWF—

AAMU49.2 #281

3-point %

UWF—

AAMU35.0 #114

3-point attempt rate

UWF—

AAMU34.0 #295

Free throw rate

UWF—

AAMU45.4 #3

Possessions

Turnover rate

UWF—

AAMU16.5 #167

Offensive rebound rate

UWF—

AAMU27.4 #283

Assists per game

UWF—

AAMU11.2 #328

Defense

Points allowed

UWF—

AAMU73.9 #152

Points allowed per possession

UWF—

AAMU1.09 #212

Opponent effective FG%

UWF—

AAMU52.1 #220

Opponent 3-point %

UWF—

AAMU35.4 #272

Turnovers forced

UWF—

AAMU16.6 #176

Defensive rebound rate

UWF—

AAMU70.5 #138

Steals per game

UWF—

AAMU6.2 #211

Blocks per game

UWF—

AAMU2.7 #271

UWF		AAMU
Scoring
—	Points per game	71.4 #261
—	Points per possession	1.05 #240
—	Pace (possessions)	67.6 #250
Shooting
—	Effective FG%	49.2 #281
—	3-point %	35.0 #114
—	3-point attempt rate	34.0 #295
—	Free throw rate	45.4 #3
Possessions
—	Turnover rate	16.5 #167
—	Offensive rebound rate	27.4 #283
—	Assists per game	11.2 #328
Defense
—	Points allowed	73.9 #152
—	Points allowed per possession	1.09 #212
—	Opponent effective FG%	52.1 #220
—	Opponent 3-point %	35.4 #272
—	Turnovers forced	16.6 #176
—	Defensive rebound rate	70.5 #138
—	Steals per game	6.2 #211
—	Blocks per game	2.7 #271

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

West Florida

0-0 in 2025-26 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference

Last five, 2025-26

No games yet

A week or more of rest.

Alabama A&M

15-15 in 2025-26 overall · 11-9 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Prairie View55–74
Wvs Texas Southern85–74
Lvs Southern85–88
Wvs Grambling77–63
Lvs Alabama St88–89

A week or more of rest.

West Florida Argonauts at Alabama A&M Bulldogs

What could decide it: AAMU has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

ATS History · 2025-26

Alabama A&M

The starting fives are even

Depth chart

Matchup stats

West Florida

Alabama A&M