1. NCAAB
  2. Fri, Nov 6
  3. NHVN @ RUTG
NCAAB · Fri, Nov 6

New Haven Chargers at Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Jersey Mike’s Arena · at Rutgers
#355NHVNNew Haven
@
#62RUTGRutgers
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
NHVNThis seasonRUTG
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects RUTG 85–57 · win probability RUTG 99%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 142.3
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: RUTG has more of the edges

NHVN 2, RUTG 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
RUTGBig
NHVN offense vs RUTG defense
Offense 362nd of 366 against a defense 65th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
NHVN has played the 307th-hardest schedule, RUTG the 50th. A record against a soft schedule means less
RUTGBig
RUTG offense vs NHVN defense
Offense 58th of 366 against a defense 285th, on the model’s ratings
RUTGSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: NHVN 17.8%, RUTG 14.9%. Forced: NHVN 17.1%, RUTG 17.1%
NHVNSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: NHVN 21.5%, RUTG 29.7%. Defensive: NHVN 73.2%, RUTG 67.2%
RUTGSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: NHVN 27%, RUTG 58%. Transfers in: NHVN 0, RUTG 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Tempo
About 66 possessions: NHVN plays 63.5 a game (363rd fastest), RUTG 67.5 (254th). Faster games mean more points
RUTGSmall
Home court
RUTG at home. This season: RUTG 0-0 at home, NHVN 0-0 away
NHVNSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: NHVN 48.7 and allows 51.8; RUTG 47.2 and allows 53.0
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: NHVN 31.7, RUTG 36.3. Allowed: NHVN 27.7, RUTG 31.7
Even
Three-pointers
NHVN hits 30.2% and allows 34.3%; RUTG hits 32.4% and allows 35.6%. Threes are 39.9% and 34.2% of their shots
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—RUTG -28.2—
Total—142.3—
Projected score—NHVN 57 · RUTG 85.2

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadRUTG -16.6—
1H total66.6—
1H projected scoreNHVN 25 · RUTG 41.6—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Rutgers has the better starters

Position by position: New Haven 0, Rutgers 2, even 3
New HavenBetterRutgers
G K. Briggs6.4 pts · 1.3 reb · 1.2 ast Score 38
RUTGSmall
G R. Jones TR15 pts · 4.5 reb · 2.8 ast Score 69
G A. Losiewicz2.6 pts · 0.6 reb · 0.4 ast Not ranked
No call
G D. Smith TR20.6 pts · 5.3 reb · 1.1 ast Score 88
F T. Steele3.2 pts · 3 reb · 0.7 ast Score 27
RUTGBig
G T. Francis17 pts · 2.3 reb · 2.9 ast Score 99
F Z. Traore1.2 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.2 ast Not ranked
No call
G J. Davis7.5 pts · 2.9 reb · 2.5 ast Score 72
C T. Burth0.9 pts · 1 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
No call
G D. Buchanan8.1 pts · 3.9 reb · 1.7 ast Score 68
New HavenBetterRutgers
NHVN offense362nd of 366 · -14.4
RUTGBig
RUTG defense65th of 366 · +1.0
NHVN defense285th of 366 · -7.1
RUTGBig
RUTG offense58th of 366 · +2.7
Backcourt-1.3 · 2 players
RUTGBig
Backcourt+9.4 · 5 players
Frontcourt-2.5 · 3 players
No call
FrontcourtNo numbers yet
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench+0.3 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestNHVN betterRUTG betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
New Haven
Guards
K. Briggs19 minA. Losiewicz7 minD. YoungNewF. MosleyNewD. LaDucaNewJ. HannaNew
Forwards
T. Steele15 minZ. Traore7 minN. NarcisseNewA. RamirezNewJ. BascombeNewM. OgleNew
Centers
T. Burth6 minT. ColemanNewM. CamaraNew
Rutgers
Guards
R. Jones37 min · TRD. Smith34 min · TRT. Francis28 minJ. Davis26 minD. Buchanan24 minL. Mark16 min
Forwards
W. SydnorNewM. MiteoNewM. TonejcNew
Centers
C. Gurdak17 min · TRD. Buca13 min · TRG. Ware6 min
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
NHVNRUTG
Scoring
61.5 #363Points per game70.5 #273
0.97 #345Points per possession1.04 #261
63.5 #363Pace (possessions)67.5 #254
Shooting
48.7 #296Effective FG%47.2 #331
30.2 #3403-point %32.4 #261
39.9 #1723-point attempt rate34.2 #291
31.7 #261Free throw rate36.3 #143
Possessions
17.8 #259Turnover rate14.9 #61
21.5 #359Offensive rebound rate29.7 #217
10.9 #339Assists per game12.2 #274
Defense
67.4 #24Points allowed75.3 #199
1.06 #107Points allowed per possession1.12 #267
51.8 #203Opponent effective FG%53.0 #268
34.3 #199Opponent 3-point %35.6 #287
17.1 #146Turnovers forced17.1 #141
73.2 #30Defensive rebound rate67.2 #292
6.0 #232Steals per game6.1 #226
2.0 #342Blocks per game3.4 #166
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

New Haven

11-17 in 2025-26 overall · 9-9 in conference · Northeast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Wvs Le Moyne66–59
  • L@ Wagner62–65
  • Lvs Saint Francis Red Wolves67–73
  • W@ FDU84–77
  • Wvs Stonehill64–51

A week or more of rest.

Rutgers

14-20 in 2025-26 overall · 7-15 in conference · Big Ten Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Creighton69–82
  • Lvs UCLA59–72
  • Wvs Minnesota72–67
  • Wvs Penn State74–62
  • L@ Michigan St87–91

A week or more of rest.