1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Nov 10
  3. ARMY @ NHVN
NCAAB · Tue, Nov 10

Army Black Knights at New Haven Chargers

Jeffery P. Hazell Athletics Center · at New Haven
#288ARMYArmy
@
#355NHVNNew Haven
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
ARMYThis seasonNHVN
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects ARMY 71–70 · win probability ARMY 53%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 141.0
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it

ARMY 3, NHVN 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
NHVNBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: ARMY 26.8, NHVN 31.7. Allowed: ARMY 39.6, NHVN 27.7
Context
Tempo
About 66 possessions: ARMY plays 68.6 a game (200th fastest), NHVN 63.5 (363rd). Faster games mean more points
ARMYSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: ARMY 65%, NHVN 27%. Transfers in: ARMY 0, NHVN 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
ARMYSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: ARMY 29.6%, NHVN 21.5%. Defensive: ARMY 72.3%, NHVN 73.2%
ARMYSmall
NHVN offense vs ARMY defense
Offense 362nd of 366 against a defense 304th, on the model’s ratings
NHVNSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: ARMY 49.3 and allows 55.1; NHVN 48.7 and allows 51.8
NHVNSmall
Home court
NHVN at home. This season: NHVN 0-0 at home, ARMY 0-0 away
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: ARMY 17.2%, NHVN 17.8%. Forced: ARMY 15.4%, NHVN 17.1%
Even
ARMY offense vs NHVN defense
Offense 271st of 366 against a defense 285th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Three-pointers
ARMY hits 32.0% and allows 35.5%; NHVN hits 30.2% and allows 34.3%. Threes are 53.3% and 39.9% of their shots
Context
Schedule so far
ARMY has played the 302nd-hardest schedule, NHVN the 307th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—ARMY -0.8—
Total—141.0—
Projected score—ARMY 70.9 · NHVN 70.1

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadARMY -0.6—
1H total66.0—
1H projected scoreARMY 33.3 · NHVN 32.7—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Army has the better starters

Position by position: Army 1, New Haven 0, even 4
ArmyBetterNew Haven
G R. Curry13.4 pts · 4.1 reb · 4.4 ast Score 57
ARMYSmall
G K. Briggs6.4 pts · 1.3 reb · 1.2 ast Score 38
G K. McCarthy7.2 pts · 2.6 reb · 1.2 ast Score 13
No call
G A. Losiewicz2.6 pts · 0.6 reb · 0.4 ast Not ranked
F J. Holloway10.7 pts · 3.6 reb · 2.1 ast Score 37
Even
F T. Steele3.2 pts · 3 reb · 0.7 ast Score 27
F T. Laczkowski5.3 pts · 5.2 reb · 1.9 ast Score 38
No call
F Z. Traore1.2 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.2 ast Not ranked
F D. Benner1.4 pts · 0.6 reb · 0.4 ast Not ranked
No call
C T. Burth0.9 pts · 1 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
ArmyBetterNew Haven
ARMY offense271st of 366 · -8.2
Even
NHVN defense285th of 366 · -7.1
ARMY defense304th of 366 · -7.8
ARMYSmall
NHVN offense362nd of 366 · -14.4
Backcourt-3.1 · 2 players
NHVNSmall
Backcourt-1.3 · 2 players
Frontcourt-2.6 · 3 players
Even
Frontcourt-2.5 · 3 players
Bench-1.0 · 5 players
No call
BenchNo numbers yet
Score, worst to bestARMY betterNHVN betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Army
Guards
R. Curry34 minK. McCarthy24 minD. Watt5 minJ. Green3 minB. O'Keefe2 minJ. EllisNew
Forwards
J. Holloway29 minT. Laczkowski22 minD. Benner6 minN. Ikechi3 minD. Murans3 minH. RasmussenNew
Centers
P. HendersonNew
New Haven
Guards
K. Briggs19 minA. Losiewicz7 minD. YoungNewF. MosleyNewD. LaDucaNewJ. HannaNew
Forwards
T. Steele15 minZ. Traore7 minN. NarcisseNewA. RamirezNewJ. BascombeNewM. OgleNew
Centers
T. Burth6 minT. ColemanNewM. CamaraNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
ARMYNHVN
Scoring
70.8 #268Points per game61.5 #363
1.03 #281Points per possession0.97 #345
68.6 #200Pace (possessions)63.5 #363
Shooting
49.3 #279Effective FG%48.7 #296
32.0 #2783-point %30.2 #340
53.3 #33-point attempt rate39.9 #172
26.8 #352Free throw rate31.7 #261
Possessions
17.2 #221Turnover rate17.8 #259
29.6 #219Offensive rebound rate21.5 #359
14.5 #118Assists per game10.9 #339
Defense
79.0 #298Points allowed67.4 #24
1.15 #321Points allowed per possession1.06 #107
55.1 #334Opponent effective FG%51.8 #203
35.5 #285Opponent 3-point %34.3 #199
15.4 #257Turnovers forced17.1 #146
72.3 #54Defensive rebound rate73.2 #30
5.4 #307Steals per game6.0 #232
1.6 #359Blocks per game2.0 #342
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Army

9-21 in 2025-26 overall · 5-14 in conference · Patriot League

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Bucknell55–65
  • L@ Lafayette77–83
  • Lvs Bucknell73–75
  • Lvs Navy63–81
  • W@ Loyola MD87–77

A week or more of rest.

New Haven

11-17 in 2025-26 overall · 9-9 in conference · Northeast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Wvs Le Moyne66–59
  • L@ Wagner62–65
  • Lvs Saint Francis Red Wolves67–73
  • W@ FDU84–77
  • Wvs Stonehill64–51

A week or more of rest.