Army Black Knights at American University Eagles: Model Line and Edge

Sat, Feb 14, 2:00 PM ETBender Arena · at American · Conference game

#288ARMYArmy63final

Final

#153AMERAmerican75▲ winner

Closing lineAMER -9.5✓ AMER covered by 2.5

Closing total144.5Under by 6.5

Season records: Army and American
ARMY	This season	AMER
8-16	Record	11-13
11-13	ATS	13-11
13-11	O/U	13-11

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: ARMY 70–79 AMER · ✓ AMER (78%) won

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
ARMY	27	36	63
AMER	36	39	75

1st half: ARMY 27, AMER 36 (AMER by 9). The model had AMER by 5.0 and a total of 69.4 (actual 63).

Team stats

ARMY		AMER
21-54 39%	Field goals	26-49 53%
9-23 39%	3-pointers	7-21 33%
12-18 67%	Free throws	16-21 76%
31 11 off	Rebounds	27 5 off
15	Assists	12
7	Steals	7
3	Blocks	2
15	Turnovers	11
20	Fouls	18
24	Points in paint	36
8	Fast-break points	15

Players

ARMY	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Ryan Curry G	32	3	0	4	1-7	1-5
Jaxson Bell G	27	13	3	0	3-8	1-2
Tate Laczkowski F	24	4	8	4	2-4	0-0
Jorn Everson F	23	12	3	0	5-14	2-8
Kevin McCarthy G	19	7	4	1	2-3	1-1
Bench
Jackson Furman G	30	12	5	3	4-10	4-7
Jacen Holloway F	27	10	2	1	4-6	0-0
Joshua Eli F	14	2	2	2	0-2	0-0
Dillon Watt G	3	0	0	0	0-0	0-0
Alex Engro G	1	0	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Dylan Benner, Chanse Perkins, Jahaan Green, Dylan Murans, Nnaemeka Ikechi, Jackson Mayo, Dayon Polk, Brendon O'Keefe

AMER	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Greg Jones F	35	10	5	5	3-7	1-5
Julen Iturbe F	31	11	5	0	5-11	1-5
Matt Mayock F	30	11	5	2	4-7	2-3
Geoff Sprouse G	27	7	1	0	1-6	0-3
Kade Sebastian G	23	7	3	1	1-2	1-1
Bench
Madden Collins G	24	22	2	3	9-11	1-2
Wyatt Nausadis G	19	7	1	1	3-4	1-2
Chris Eagan F	9	0	1	0	0-1	0-0
Dean Hogans G	2	0	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Luke Brown, Carson McDonald, Matthew Casey, Jack Anderson, Noah Jones, Adrian Samuels, Gibraltar Coleman, Eric Michaels, Shane O'Reilly, Kamran Prince

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	AMER -9.5	AMER -8.7	ARMY +0.8	L AMER covered
Total	144.5	148.3	Over 3.8	L Under
Projected score	—	ARMY 69.8 · AMER 78.5

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	AMER -5.0	AMER -9.0
1H total	69.4	63
1H projected score	ARMY 32.2 · AMER 37.2	ARMY 27 · AMER 36

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ARMY WLLLL	11-13	46%	7-4	11-10
AMER LLLLL	13-11	54%	7-5	7-6

Venue/role: ARMY away, as underdog; AMER home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
ARMY UUUUO	13-11	54%	8-16
AMER UUUOO	13-11	54%	11-13

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ARMY	3-7 30%	2-8 20%	4-6 40%
AMER	4-6 40%	4-6 40%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22

ARMY 3–6 AMERAMER leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · ARMY 5-4 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Jan 18, 2025-26	AMER 78 @ ARMY 67	ARMY +4.5	AMER W
Feb 19, 2024-25	AMER 69 @ ARMY 76	ARMY -1.5	ARMY W
Feb 1, 2024-25	ARMY 68 @ AMER 71	AMER -4.5	ARMY W
Feb 28, 2023-24	AMER 73 @ ARMY 51	ARMY +4.5	AMER W
Jan 13, 2023-24	ARMY 60 @ AMER 79	AMER -5.5	AMER W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Army

24 games played

Straight up

8-16

33% wins

Against the spread

11-13

46% covers · avg −1.7 pts vs the line

Over / Under

13-11

54% overs · avg +4 pts vs the total

Straight up

8-1633%

L L L L L L W W L W W W L L L L L W L W W L L L

3 straight losses1 of last 4 won

Against the spread

11-1346%

W L L W W L W W W W L W W L L L L W L W L L L L

4 straight misses ATS0 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

13-1154%

O O U U O O O O U U O O U O O O U O U U U U U O

1 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 8	@STMN	L 76-83	+18.5	W +11.5	151.5	O 159
Nov 11	vsDUKE	L 59-114	+33.5	L −21.5	152.5	O 173
Nov 15	vsHARV	L 52-75	+6.5	L −16.5	146.5	U 127
Nov 18	@COR	L 73-86	+17.5	W +4.5	164.5	U 159
Nov 21	@MRST	L 65-76	+12.5	W +1.5	132.5	O 141
Nov 25	vsETAM	L 67-84	+2.5	L −14.5	143.5	O 151
Nov 26	@FDU	W 81-73	+4.5	W +12.5	152.5	O 154
Nov 29	vsMAN	W 81-78	+1.5	W +4.5	152.5	O 159
Dec 2	vsGW	L 70-84	+19.5	W +5.5	156.5	U 154
Dec 12	@UMBC	W 63-60	+7.5	W +10.5	146.5	U 123
Dec 23	vsBING	W 95-85	-12.5	L −2.5	140.5	O 180
Dec 31	@LEH	W 85-78	+5.5	W +12.5	146.5	O 163
Jan 3	vsCOLG	L 69-76	+7.5	W +0.5	147.5	U 145
Jan 7	vsL-MD	L 76-84	-4.5	L −12.5	146.5	O 160
Jan 10	@BU	L 91-100	+7.5	L −1.5	140.5	O 191
Jan 14	@HC	L 75-82	+4.5	L −2.5	142.5	O 157
Jan 18	vsAMER	L 67-78	+4.5	L −6.5	147.5	U 145
Jan 21	@BUCK	W 87-84	+4.5	W +7.5	144.5	O 171
Jan 24	@NAVY	L 56-84	+10.5	L −17.5	143.5	U 140
Jan 28	vsLEH	W 67-64	+1.5	W +4.5	147.5	U 131
Jan 31	vsHC	W 69-68	-2.5	L −1.5	144.5	U 137
Feb 4	@COLG	L 55-69	+10.5	L −3.5	150.5	U 124
Feb 7	vsLAF	L 60-63	+1.5	L −1.5	142.5	U 123
Feb 11	vsBU	L 68-85	+2.5	L −14.5	140.5	O 153

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

STMN

L 76-83

+11.5

DUKE

L 59-114

−21.5

HARV

L 52-75

−16.5

COR

L 73-86

+4.5

MRST

L 65-76

+1.5

ETAM

L 67-84

−14.5

FDU

W 81-73

+12.5

MAN

W 81-78

+4.5

L 70-84

+5.5

UMBC

W 63-60

+10.5

BING

W 95-85

−2.5

LEH

W 85-78

+12.5

COLG

L 69-76

+0.5

L-MD

L 76-84

−12.5

L 91-100

−1.5

L 75-82

−2.5

AMER

L 67-78

−6.5

BUCK

W 87-84

+7.5

NAVY

L 56-84

−17.5

LEH

W 67-64

+4.5

W 69-68

−1.5

COLG

L 55-69

−3.5

LAF

L 60-63

−1.5

L 68-85

−14.5

covered 11didn’t cover 13avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

STMN

L 76-83

+7.5

DUKE

L 59-114

+20.5

HARV

L 52-75

−19.5

COR

L 73-86

−5.5

MRST

L 65-76

+8.5

ETAM

L 67-84

+7.5

FDU

W 81-73

+1.5

MAN

W 81-78

+6.5

L 70-84

−2.5

UMBC

W 63-60

−23.5

BING

W 95-85

+39.5

LEH

W 85-78

+16.5

COLG

L 69-76

−2.5

L-MD

L 76-84

+13.5

L 91-100

+50.5

L 75-82

+14.5

AMER

L 67-78

−2.5

BUCK

W 87-84

+26.5

NAVY

L 56-84

−3.5

LEH

W 67-64

−16.5

W 69-68

−7.5

COLG

L 55-69

−26.5

LAF

L 60-63

−19.5

L 68-85

+12.5

over 13under 11avg +4 ptslonger = bigger margin

American

24 games played

Straight up

11-13

46% wins

Against the spread

13-11

54% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

13-11

54% overs · avg +2.3 pts vs the total

Straight up

11-1346%

L W L L W L W W W L L W W L L W W W W L L L L L

5 straight losses0 of last 4 won

Against the spread

13-1154%

W W L W W L W L W L L W W W L W W W W L L L L L

5 straight misses ATS0 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

13-1154%

O O O O O U O O O O U U U U O U U U O U U U O O

2 straight overs2 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@WAKE	L 74-88	+19.5	W +5.5	139.5	O 162
Nov 9	vsPENN	W 84-78	+1.5	W +7.5	154.5	O 162
Nov 12	@GW	L 67-107	+17.5	L −22.5	151.5	O 174
Nov 18	@RUTG	L 71-80	+16.5	W +7.5	143.5	O 151
Nov 28	vsME	W 74-61	-7.5	W +5.5	133.5	O 135
Nov 29	vsSIE	L 55-59	+2.5	L −1.5	137.5	U 114
Nov 30	vsLONG	W 92-66	-5.5	W +20.5	148.5	O 158
Dec 3	vsDREX	W 75-73	-4.5	L −2.5	137.5	O 148
Dec 6	vsUMES	W 78-60	-10.5	W +7.5	130.5	O 138
Dec 18	@VCU	L 83-105	+19.5	L −2.5	154.5	O 188
Dec 22	@UVA	L 51-95	+27.5	L −16.5	153.5	U 146
Dec 31	vsL-MD	W 84-69	-8.5	W +6.5	154.5	U 153
Jan 3	@BU	W 64-62	+1.5	W +3.5	142.5	U 126
Jan 7	@COLG	L 62-64	+5.5	W +3.5	148.5	U 126
Jan 10	vsHC	L 73-84	-8.5	L −19.5	137.5	O 157
Jan 12	vsNAVY	W 65-51	+2.5	W +16.5	139.5	U 116
Jan 18	@ARMY	W 78-67	-4.5	W +6.5	147.5	U 145
Jan 21	vsCOLG	W 70-66	-1.5	W +2.5	146.5	U 136
Jan 24	@HC	W 76-67	-4.5	W +4.5	139.5	O 143
Jan 28	@L-MD	L 68-77	-4.5	L −13.5	147.5	U 145
Jan 31	vsLAF	L 65-67	-5.5	L −7.5	142.5	U 132
Feb 4	vsBUCK	L 59-60	-7.5	L −8.5	141.5	U 119
Feb 7	@NAVY	L 73-82	+4.5	L −4.5	134.5	O 155
Feb 11	@LEH	L 82-90	-1.5	L −9.5	140.5	O 172

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

WAKE

L 74-88

+5.5

PENN

W 84-78

+7.5

L 67-107

−22.5

RUTG

L 71-80

+7.5

W 74-61

+5.5

SIE

L 55-59

−1.5

LONG

W 92-66

+20.5

DREX

W 75-73

−2.5

UMES

W 78-60

+7.5

VCU

L 83-105

−2.5

UVA

L 51-95

−16.5

L-MD

W 84-69

+6.5

W 64-62

+3.5

COLG

L 62-64

+3.5

L 73-84

−19.5

NAVY

W 65-51

+16.5

ARMY

W 78-67

+6.5

COLG

W 70-66

+2.5

W 76-67

+4.5

L-MD

L 68-77

−13.5

LAF

L 65-67

−7.5

BUCK

L 59-60

−8.5

NAVY

L 73-82

−4.5

LEH

L 82-90

−9.5

covered 13didn’t cover 11avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

WAKE

L 74-88

+22.5

PENN

W 84-78

+7.5

L 67-107

+22.5

RUTG

L 71-80

+7.5

W 74-61

+1.5

SIE

L 55-59

−23.5

LONG

W 92-66

+9.5

DREX

W 75-73

+10.5

UMES

W 78-60

+7.5

VCU

L 83-105

+33.5

UVA

L 51-95

−7.5

L-MD

W 84-69

−1.5

W 64-62

−16.5

COLG

L 62-64

−22.5

L 73-84

+19.5

NAVY

W 65-51

−23.5

ARMY

W 78-67

−2.5

COLG

W 70-66

−10.5

W 76-67

+3.5

L-MD

L 68-77

−2.5

LAF

L 65-67

−10.5

BUCK

L 59-60

−22.5

NAVY

L 73-82

+20.5

LEH

L 82-90

+31.5

over 13under 11avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Army Black Knights at American University Eagles

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Army

American

Army

American