NJIT Highlanders at Rutgers Scarlet Knights: Model Line and Edge

Tue, Nov 10, 6:30 PM ETJersey Mike’s Arena · at Rutgers

#316NJITNJIT

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: NJIT and Rutgers
NJIT	This season	RUTG
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects RUTG 87–60 · win probability RUTG 99%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 147.0

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: RUTG has more of the edges

NJIT 2, RUTG 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

RUTGBig

NJIT offense vs RUTG defense

Offense 338th of 366 against a defense 65th, on the model’s ratings

Context

Schedule so far

NJIT has played the 282nd-hardest schedule, RUTG the 50th. A record against a soft schedule means less

RUTGBig

RUTG offense vs NJIT defense

Offense 58th of 366 against a defense 250th, on the model’s ratings

RUTGBig

Free throws

Free throw rate: NJIT 33.2, RUTG 36.3. Allowed: NJIT 37.9, RUTG 31.7

RUTGBig

Turnovers

Turnover rate: NJIT 17.1%, RUTG 14.9%. Forced: NJIT 16.1%, RUTG 17.1%

NJITSmall

Shooting

Effective FG%: NJIT 46.7 and allows 50.0; RUTG 47.2 and allows 53.0

NJITSmall

Three-pointers

NJIT hits 30.4% and allows 32.3%; RUTG hits 32.4% and allows 35.6%. Threes are 40.1% and 34.2% of their shots

RUTGSmall

Home court

RUTG at home. This season: RUTG 0-0 at home, NJIT 0-0 away

Even

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: NJIT 26.2%, RUTG 29.7%. Defensive: NJIT 67.9%, RUTG 67.2%

Even

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: NJIT 39%, RUTG 58%. Transfers in: NJIT 4, RUTG 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

Context

Tempo

About 68 possessions: NJIT plays 67.9 a game (235th fastest), RUTG 67.5 (254th). Faster games mean more points

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	RUTG -26.2	—
Total	—	147.0	—
Projected score	—	NJIT 60.4 · RUTG 86.6

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	RUTG -15.4	—
1H total	68.7	—
1H projected score	NJIT 26.7 · RUTG 42.1	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
NJIT WLLLW	19-13	59%	12-7	—
RUTG WWWLL	17-17	50%	8-9	—

Venue/role: NJIT away; RUTG home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
NJIT UUUUU	14-18	44%	15-17
RUTG OUOUU	19-15	56%	14-20

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
NJIT	5-5 50%	6-4 60%	2-8 20%
RUTG	5-5 50%	6-4 60%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

NJIT

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 11	@ VCU	No recent meeting
Nov 14	@ FAIR	L53–74LU
Nov 18	@ FDU	W93–81WO

Rutgers

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 13	vs BRY	W66–57LU
Nov 17	vs HOU	No recent meeting
Nov 24	vs SHU	W88–50WU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

NJIT 0–1 RUTGRUTG leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · NJIT 1-0 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Nov 16, 2021-22	NJIT 61 @ RUTG 75	RUTG -18.5	NJIT W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

NJIT

32 games played

Straight up

15-17

47% wins

Against the spread

19-13

59% covers · avg +1.2 pts vs the line

Over / Under

14-18

44% overs · avg −2.6 pts vs the total

Straight up

15-1747%

W L W W L L L L L L W L L L W W L W W L W W W W W W L L L L W L

1 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

19-1359%

W L W W L W W L L W W L L L W W L W W L W W W W W W L W L L L W

1 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

14-1844%

U U U O U O O U U O O U O U U O O U O O O O U U O U O U U U U U

5 straight unders0 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 4	@FOR	W 72-61	+14.5	W +25.5	147.5	U 133
Nov 8	vsFAIR	L 53-74	+6.5	L −14.5	145.5	U 127
Nov 11	@L-MD	W 66-64	+10.5	W +12.5	139.5	U 130
Nov 15	vsFDU	W 93-81	-2.5	W +9.5	146.5	O 174
Nov 18	@DREX	L 43-75	+13.5	L −18.5	138.5	U 118
Nov 22	@NAVY	L 70-86	+17.5	W +1.5	140.5	O 156
Nov 24	@CIN	L 67-94	+34.5	W +7.5	141.5	O 161
Nov 26	@LOU	L 47-104	+44.5	L −12.5	158.5	U 151
Nov 28	@EMU	L 55-73	+14.5	L −3.5	141.5	U 128
Dec 5	@HPU	L 72-89	+28.5	W +11.5	155.5	O 161
Dec 10	vsNHVN	W 70-64	+2.5	W +8.5	130.5	O 134
Dec 13	vsSHU	L 49-65	+6.5	L −9.5	151.5	U 114
Dec 22	@BTLR	L 52-101	+32.5	L −16.5	149.5	O 153
Dec 31	@PENN	L 61-80	+14.5	L −4.5	151.5	U 141
Jan 3	@BING	W 73-65	+3.5	W +11.5	140.5	U 138
Jan 8	vsUNH	W 80-76	+2.5	W +6.5	137.5	O 156
Jan 10	vsME	L 70-74	-1.5	L −5.5	130.5	O 144
Jan 15	@UML	W 73-64	+8.5	W +17.5	145.5	U 137
Jan 19	vsBRY	W 79-55	-1.5	W +22.5	132.5	O 134
Jan 22	@UMBC	L 74-87	+6.5	L −6.5	143.5	O 161
Jan 29	@UALB	W 77-68	+5.5	W +14.5	139.5	O 145
Jan 31	@UVM	W 79-77	+13.5	W +15.5	139.5	O 156
Feb 5	vsUML	W 81-56	-1.5	W +23.5	149.5	U 137
Feb 7	vsBING	W 73-64	-8.5	W +0.5	140.5	U 137
Feb 12	@UNH	W 76-70	+2.5	W +8.5	145.5	O 146
Feb 14	@ME	W 67-58	-1.5	W +7.5	137.5	U 125
Feb 19	vsUALB	L 63-81	-3.5	L −21.5	142.5	O 144
Feb 21	vsUVM	L 64-70	+6.5	W +0.5	142.5	U 134
Feb 28	@BRY	L 52-69	-1.5	L −18.5	138.5	U 121
Mar 3	vsUMBC	L 52-91	+4.5	L −34.5	143.5	U 143
Mar 7	vsME	W 60-58	-3.5	L −1.5	134.5	U 118
Mar 10	@UVM	L 54-63	+10.5	W +1.5	134.5	U 117

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

FOR

W 72-61

+25.5

FAIR

L 53-74

−14.5

L-MD

W 66-64

+12.5

FDU

W 93-81

+9.5

DREX

L 43-75

−18.5

NAVY

L 70-86

+1.5

CIN

L 67-94

+7.5

LOU

L 47-104

−12.5

EMU

L 55-73

−3.5

HPU

L 72-89

+11.5

NHVN

W 70-64

+8.5

SHU

L 49-65

−9.5

BTLR

L 52-101

−16.5

PENN

L 61-80

−4.5

BING

W 73-65

+11.5

UNH

W 80-76

+6.5

L 70-74

−5.5

UML

W 73-64

+17.5

BRY

W 79-55

+22.5

UMBC

L 74-87

−6.5

UALB

W 77-68

+14.5

UVM

W 79-77

+15.5

UML

W 81-56

+23.5

BING

W 73-64

+0.5

UNH

W 76-70

+8.5

W 67-58

+7.5

UALB

L 63-81

−21.5

UVM

L 64-70

+0.5

BRY

L 52-69

−18.5

UMBC

L 52-91

−34.5

W 60-58

−1.5

UVM

L 54-63

+1.5

covered 19didn’t cover 13avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

FOR

W 72-61

−14.5

FAIR

L 53-74

−18.5

L-MD

W 66-64

−9.5

FDU

W 93-81

+27.5

DREX

L 43-75

−20.5

NAVY

L 70-86

+15.5

CIN

L 67-94

+19.5

LOU

L 47-104

−7.5

EMU

L 55-73

−13.5

HPU

L 72-89

+5.5

NHVN

W 70-64

+3.5

SHU

L 49-65

−37.5

BTLR

L 52-101

+3.5

PENN

L 61-80

−10.5

BING

W 73-65

−2.5

UNH

W 80-76

+18.5

L 70-74

+13.5

UML

W 73-64

−8.5

BRY

W 79-55

+1.5

UMBC

L 74-87

+17.5

UALB

W 77-68

+5.5

UVM

W 79-77

+16.5

UML

W 81-56

−12.5

BING

W 73-64

−3.5

UNH

W 76-70

+0.5

W 67-58

−12.5

UALB

L 63-81

+1.5

UVM

L 64-70

−8.5

BRY

L 52-69

−17.5

UMBC

L 52-91

−0.5

W 60-58

−16.5

UVM

L 54-63

−17.5

over 14under 18avg −2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin

Rutgers

34 games played

Straight up

14-20

41% wins

Against the spread

17-17

50% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line

Over / Under

19-15

56% overs · avg +2.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

14-2041%

W W W W L L L W L L L W W L W L W L L L L L L L W W L L W L W W L L

2 straight losses2 of last 4 won

Against the spread

17-1750%

W L L L L L W W L L L L L W W L W W W L W W L W W W L L W W W W L L

2 straight misses ATS2 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

19-1556%

U O O O U O U U U O O U U O O U O O U U O O O O U O O O U O U O U U

2 straight unders1 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 5	vsRID	W 81-53	-18.5	W +9.5	139.5	U 134
Nov 10	vsME	W 72-60	-18.5	L −6.5	130.5	O 132
Nov 14	vsLEH	W 84-72	-18.5	L −6.5	136.5	O 156
Nov 18	vsAMER	W 80-71	-16.5	L −7.5	143.5	O 151
Nov 21	vsCCSU	L 54-67	-15.5	L −28.5	137.5	U 121
Nov 24	vsTENN	L 60-85	+14.5	L −10.5	141.5	O 145
Nov 25	vsND	L 63-68	+6.5	W +1.5	140.5	U 131
Nov 27	vsUNLV	W 80-65	+4.5	W +19.5	153.5	U 145
Dec 2	vsPUR	L 65-81	+13.5	L −2.5	146.5	U 146
Dec 6	@MICH	L 60-101	+25.5	L −15.5	153.5	O 161
Dec 13	@HALL	L 59-81	+13.5	L −8.5	136.5	O 140
Dec 20	vsPENN	W 70-69	-11.5	L −10.5	150.5	U 139
Dec 29	vsDSU	W 65-50	-20.5	L −5.5	135.5	U 115
Jan 2	vsOSU	L 73-80	+9.5	W +2.5	151.5	O 153
Jan 5	vsORE	W 88-85	+4.5	W +7.5	139.5	O 173
Jan 8	@ILL	L 55-81	+22.5	L −3.5	149.5	U 136
Jan 11	vsNU	W 77-75	+4.5	W +6.5	144.5	O 152
Jan 17	@WIS	L 87-96	+15.5	W +6.5	149.5	O 183
Jan 20	@IOWA	L 62-68	+17.5	W +11.5	140.5	U 130
Jan 23	vsIU	L 59-82	+7.5	L −15.5	147.5	U 141
Jan 27	vsMSU	L 79-88	+14.5	W +5.5	138.5	O 167
Jan 31	@USC	L 75-78	+11.5	W +8.5	146.5	O 153
Feb 3	@UCLA	L 66-98	+13.5	L −18.5	142.5	O 164
Feb 7	vsNEB	L 68-80	+12.5	W +0.5	145.5	O 148
Feb 15	vsMD	W 68-57	-2.5	W +8.5	144.5	U 125
Feb 18	@PSU	W 85-72	+4.5	W +17.5	148.5	O 157
Feb 21	@MINN	L 61-80	+8.5	L −10.5	136.5	O 141
Feb 24	vsWASH	L 72-79	+4.5	L −2.5	139.5	O 151
Mar 1	@MD	W 69-65	+4.5	W +8.5	143.5	U 134
Mar 5	@MSU	L 87-91	+20.5	W +16.5	141.5	O 178
Mar 8	vsPSU	W 74-62	-4.5	W +7.5	149.5	U 136
Mar 11	vsMINN	W 72-67	+6.5	W +11.5	135.5	O 139
Mar 12	vsUCLA	L 59-72	+10.5	L −2.5	141.5	U 131
Apr 2	vsCREI	L 69-82	+4.5	L −8.5	151.5	U 151

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

RID

W 81-53

+9.5

W 72-60

−6.5

LEH

W 84-72

−6.5

AMER

W 80-71

−7.5

CCSU

L 54-67

−28.5

TENN

L 60-85

−10.5

L 63-68

+1.5

UNLV

W 80-65

+19.5

PUR

L 65-81

−2.5

MICH

L 60-101

−15.5

HALL

L 59-81

−8.5

PENN

W 70-69

−10.5

DSU

W 65-50

−5.5

OSU

L 73-80

+2.5

ORE

W 88-85

+7.5

ILL

L 55-81

−3.5

W 77-75

+6.5

WIS

L 87-96

+6.5

IOWA

L 62-68

+11.5

L 59-82

−15.5

MSU

L 79-88

+5.5

USC

L 75-78

+8.5

UCLA

L 66-98

−18.5

NEB

L 68-80

+0.5

W 68-57

+8.5

PSU

W 85-72

+17.5

MINN

L 61-80

−10.5

WASH

L 72-79

−2.5

W 69-65

+8.5

MSU

L 87-91

+16.5

PSU

W 74-62

+7.5

MINN

W 72-67

+11.5

UCLA

L 59-72

−2.5

CREI

L 69-82

−8.5

covered 17didn’t cover 17avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

RID

W 81-53

−5.5

W 72-60

+1.5

LEH

W 84-72

+19.5

AMER

W 80-71

+7.5

CCSU

L 54-67

−16.5

TENN

L 60-85

+3.5

L 63-68

−9.5

UNLV

W 80-65

−8.5

PUR

L 65-81

−0.5

MICH

L 60-101

+7.5

HALL

L 59-81

+3.5

PENN

W 70-69

−11.5

DSU

W 65-50

−20.5

OSU

L 73-80

+1.5

ORE

W 88-85

+33.5

ILL

L 55-81

−13.5

W 77-75

+7.5

WIS

L 87-96

+33.5

IOWA

L 62-68

−10.5

L 59-82

−6.5

MSU

L 79-88

+28.5

USC

L 75-78

+6.5

UCLA

L 66-98

+21.5

NEB

L 68-80

+2.5

W 68-57

−19.5

PSU

W 85-72

+8.5

MINN

L 61-80

+4.5

WASH

L 72-79

+11.5

W 69-65

−9.5

MSU

L 87-91

+36.5

PSU

W 74-62

−13.5

MINN

W 72-67

+3.5

UCLA

L 59-72

−10.5

CREI

L 69-82

−0.5

over 19under 15avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Rutgers has the better starters

Position by position: NJIT 0, Rutgers 5, even 0

NJITBetterRutgers

G D. Bolden12 pts · 2.8 reb · 2.8 ast Score 47

RUTGSmall

G R. Jones TR15 pts · 4.5 reb · 2.8 ast Score 69

G M. Tatum TR8.1 pts · 2 reb · 1.4 ast Score 13

RUTGBig

G D. Smith TR20.6 pts · 5.3 reb · 1.1 ast Score 88

G Q. Duncan4.4 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.4 ast Score 31

RUTGBig

G T. Francis17 pts · 2.3 reb · 2.9 ast Score 99

F M. Coffi TR3.5 pts · 4.9 reb · 0.8 ast Score 28

RUTGBig

G J. Davis7.5 pts · 2.9 reb · 2.5 ast Score 72

F J. Kelly4.4 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.3 ast Score 20

RUTGBig

G D. Buchanan8.1 pts · 3.9 reb · 1.7 ast Score 68

NJITBetterRutgers

NJIT offense338th of 366 · -11.1

RUTGBig

RUTG defense65th of 366 · +1.0

NJIT defense250th of 366 · -6.6

RUTGBig

RUTG offense58th of 366 · +2.7

Backcourt-4.6 · 3 players

RUTGBig

Backcourt+9.4 · 5 players

Frontcourt-2.4 · 2 players

No call

FrontcourtNo numbers yet

Bench-3.4 · 4 players

RUTGBig

Bench+0.3 · 5 players

Score, worst to bestNJIT betterRUTG betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

NJIT

Guards

D. Bolden30 minM. Tatum26 min · TRQ. Duncan14 minR. Awad13 minB. Stores4 min · TRA. AltobelliNew

Forwards

M. Coffi19 min · TRJ. Kelly16 minB. Oliver10 min · TRZ. Scherler7 minV. VanderstraetenNew

Centers

S. Jimenez-VojnicNew

Rutgers

Guards

R. Jones37 min · TRD. Smith34 min · TRT. Francis28 minJ. Davis26 minD. Buchanan24 minL. Mark16 min

Forwards

W. SydnorNewM. MiteoNewM. TonejcNew

Centers

C. Gurdak17 min · TRD. Buca13 min · TRG. Ware6 min

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

NJIT66.2 #344

RUTG70.5 #273

Points per possession

NJIT0.98 #343

RUTG1.04 #261

Pace (possessions)

NJIT67.9 #235

RUTG67.5 #254

Shooting

Effective FG%

NJIT46.7 #342

RUTG47.2 #331

3-point %

NJIT30.4 #336

RUTG32.4 #261

3-point attempt rate

NJIT40.1 #168

RUTG34.2 #291

Free throw rate

NJIT33.2 #233

RUTG36.3 #143

Possessions

Turnover rate

NJIT17.1 #215

RUTG14.9 #61

Offensive rebound rate

NJIT26.2 #316

RUTG29.7 #217

Assists per game

NJIT10.5 #350

RUTG12.2 #274

Defense

Points allowed

NJIT73.7 #147

RUTG75.3 #199

Points allowed per possession

NJIT1.08 #167

RUTG1.12 #267

Opponent effective FG%

NJIT50.0 #99

RUTG53.0 #268

Opponent 3-point %

NJIT32.3 #79

RUTG35.6 #287

Turnovers forced

NJIT16.1 #214

RUTG17.1 #141

Defensive rebound rate

NJIT67.9 #264

RUTG67.2 #292

Steals per game

NJIT6.3 #204

RUTG6.1 #226

Blocks per game

NJIT3.1 #197

RUTG3.4 #166

NJIT		RUTG
Scoring
66.2 #344	Points per game	70.5 #273
0.98 #343	Points per possession	1.04 #261
67.9 #235	Pace (possessions)	67.5 #254
Shooting
46.7 #342	Effective FG%	47.2 #331
30.4 #336	3-point %	32.4 #261
40.1 #168	3-point attempt rate	34.2 #291
33.2 #233	Free throw rate	36.3 #143
Possessions
17.1 #215	Turnover rate	14.9 #61
26.2 #316	Offensive rebound rate	29.7 #217
10.5 #350	Assists per game	12.2 #274
Defense
73.7 #147	Points allowed	75.3 #199
1.08 #167	Points allowed per possession	1.12 #267
50.0 #99	Opponent effective FG%	53.0 #268
32.3 #79	Opponent 3-point %	35.6 #287
16.1 #214	Turnovers forced	17.1 #141
67.9 #264	Defensive rebound rate	67.2 #292
6.3 #204	Steals per game	6.1 #226
3.1 #197	Blocks per game	3.4 #166

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

NJIT

15-17 in 2025-26 overall · 11-7 in conference · America East Conference

Last five, 2025-26

L@ Vermont54–63
Wvs Maine60–58
Lvs UMBC52–91
L@ Bryant52–69
Lvs Vermont64–70

A week or more of rest.

Rutgers

14-20 in 2025-26 overall · 7-15 in conference · Big Ten Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Creighton69–82
Lvs UCLA59–72
Wvs Minnesota72–67
Wvs Penn State74–62
L@ Michigan St87–91

A week or more of rest.

NJIT Highlanders at Rutgers Scarlet Knights

What could decide it: RUTG has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

NJIT

Rutgers

Rutgers has the better starters

Depth chart

Matchup stats

NJIT

Rutgers