NJIT Highlanders at Fairleigh Dickinson Knights: Model Line and Edge

Wed, Nov 18, 12:00 AM ETBogota Savings Bank Center · at FDU

#316NJITNJIT

#356FDUFDU

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: NJIT and FDU
NJIT	This season	FDU
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects FDU 70–69 · win probability FDU 54%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 139.2

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: NJIT has more of the edges

NJIT 3, FDU 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

FDUBig

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: NJIT 26.2%, FDU 32.0%. Defensive: NJIT 67.9%, FDU 72.7%

NJITBig

Three-pointers

NJIT hits 30.4% and allows 32.3%; FDU hits 30.3% and allows 37.8%. Threes are 40.1% and 45.2% of their shots

NJITBig

Shooting

Effective FG%: NJIT 46.7 and allows 50.0; FDU 47.1 and allows 55.2

NJITSmall

FDU offense vs NJIT defense

Offense 356th of 366 against a defense 250th, on the model’s ratings

Context

Tempo

About 66 possessions: NJIT plays 67.9 a game (235th fastest), FDU 64.4 (356th). Faster games mean more points

FDUSmall

Home court

FDU at home. This season: FDU 0-0 at home, NJIT 0-0 away

Even

Turnovers

Turnover rate: NJIT 17.1%, FDU 18.2%. Forced: NJIT 16.1%, FDU 16.1%

Context

Schedule so far

NJIT has played the 282nd-hardest schedule, FDU the 308th. A record against a soft schedule means less

Even

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: NJIT 39%, FDU 27%. Transfers in: NJIT 4, FDU 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

Even

NJIT offense vs FDU defense

Offense 338th of 366 against a defense 320th, on the model’s ratings

Even

Free throws

Free throw rate: NJIT 33.2, FDU 32.8. Allowed: NJIT 37.9, FDU 36.3

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	FDU -1.2	—
Total	—	139.2	—
Projected score	—	NJIT 69 · FDU 70.2

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	FDU -0.6	—
1H total	65.2	—
1H projected score	NJIT 32.3 · FDU 32.9	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
NJIT WLLLW	19-13	59%	12-7	—
FDU LLLLL	10-19	34%	5-6	—

Venue/role: NJIT away; FDU home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
NJIT UUUUU	14-18	44%	15-17
FDU UOUUU	10-19	34%	8-21

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
NJIT	5-5 50%	6-4 60%	2-8 20%
FDU	4-6 40%	2-8 20%	3-7 30%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

NJIT

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 22	@ BC	No recent meeting
Nov 25	vs MAN	No recent meeting
Nov 29	@ SHU	L49–65LU

FDU

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 23	@ IONA	No recent meeting
Nov 30	vs BING	No recent meeting
Dec 4	vs LAF	No recent meeting

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

NJIT 2–2 FDUSeries tied · 4 games since 2021-22 · NJIT 3-1 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Nov 15, 2025-26	FDU 81 @ NJIT 93	NJIT -2.5	NJIT W
Dec 2, 2023-24	FDU 71 @ NJIT 68	NJIT +2.5	FDU W
Dec 11, 2022-23	NJIT 71 @ FDU 73	FDU -4.5	NJIT W
Nov 24, 2021-22	FDU 54 @ NJIT 62	NJIT -7.5	NJIT W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

NJIT

32 games played

Straight up

15-17

47% wins

Against the spread

19-13

59% covers · avg +1.2 pts vs the line

Over / Under

14-18

44% overs · avg −2.6 pts vs the total

Straight up

15-1747%

W L W W L L L L L L W L L L W W L W W L W W W W W W L L L L W L

1 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

19-1359%

W L W W L W W L L W W L L L W W L W W L W W W W W W L W L L L W

1 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

14-1844%

U U U O U O O U U O O U O U U O O U O O O O U U O U O U U U U U

5 straight unders0 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 4	@FOR	W 72-61	+14.5	W +25.5	147.5	U 133
Nov 8	vsFAIR	L 53-74	+6.5	L −14.5	145.5	U 127
Nov 11	@L-MD	W 66-64	+10.5	W +12.5	139.5	U 130
Nov 15	vsFDU	W 93-81	-2.5	W +9.5	146.5	O 174
Nov 18	@DREX	L 43-75	+13.5	L −18.5	138.5	U 118
Nov 22	@NAVY	L 70-86	+17.5	W +1.5	140.5	O 156
Nov 24	@CIN	L 67-94	+34.5	W +7.5	141.5	O 161
Nov 26	@LOU	L 47-104	+44.5	L −12.5	158.5	U 151
Nov 28	@EMU	L 55-73	+14.5	L −3.5	141.5	U 128
Dec 5	@HPU	L 72-89	+28.5	W +11.5	155.5	O 161
Dec 10	vsNHVN	W 70-64	+2.5	W +8.5	130.5	O 134
Dec 13	vsSHU	L 49-65	+6.5	L −9.5	151.5	U 114
Dec 22	@BTLR	L 52-101	+32.5	L −16.5	149.5	O 153
Dec 31	@PENN	L 61-80	+14.5	L −4.5	151.5	U 141
Jan 3	@BING	W 73-65	+3.5	W +11.5	140.5	U 138
Jan 8	vsUNH	W 80-76	+2.5	W +6.5	137.5	O 156
Jan 10	vsME	L 70-74	-1.5	L −5.5	130.5	O 144
Jan 15	@UML	W 73-64	+8.5	W +17.5	145.5	U 137
Jan 19	vsBRY	W 79-55	-1.5	W +22.5	132.5	O 134
Jan 22	@UMBC	L 74-87	+6.5	L −6.5	143.5	O 161
Jan 29	@UALB	W 77-68	+5.5	W +14.5	139.5	O 145
Jan 31	@UVM	W 79-77	+13.5	W +15.5	139.5	O 156
Feb 5	vsUML	W 81-56	-1.5	W +23.5	149.5	U 137
Feb 7	vsBING	W 73-64	-8.5	W +0.5	140.5	U 137
Feb 12	@UNH	W 76-70	+2.5	W +8.5	145.5	O 146
Feb 14	@ME	W 67-58	-1.5	W +7.5	137.5	U 125
Feb 19	vsUALB	L 63-81	-3.5	L −21.5	142.5	O 144
Feb 21	vsUVM	L 64-70	+6.5	W +0.5	142.5	U 134
Feb 28	@BRY	L 52-69	-1.5	L −18.5	138.5	U 121
Mar 3	vsUMBC	L 52-91	+4.5	L −34.5	143.5	U 143
Mar 7	vsME	W 60-58	-3.5	L −1.5	134.5	U 118
Mar 10	@UVM	L 54-63	+10.5	W +1.5	134.5	U 117

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

FOR

W 72-61

+25.5

FAIR

L 53-74

−14.5

L-MD

W 66-64

+12.5

FDU

W 93-81

+9.5

DREX

L 43-75

−18.5

NAVY

L 70-86

+1.5

CIN

L 67-94

+7.5

LOU

L 47-104

−12.5

EMU

L 55-73

−3.5

HPU

L 72-89

+11.5

NHVN

W 70-64

+8.5

SHU

L 49-65

−9.5

BTLR

L 52-101

−16.5

PENN

L 61-80

−4.5

BING

W 73-65

+11.5

UNH

W 80-76

+6.5

L 70-74

−5.5

UML

W 73-64

+17.5

BRY

W 79-55

+22.5

UMBC

L 74-87

−6.5

UALB

W 77-68

+14.5

UVM

W 79-77

+15.5

UML

W 81-56

+23.5

BING

W 73-64

+0.5

UNH

W 76-70

+8.5

W 67-58

+7.5

UALB

L 63-81

−21.5

UVM

L 64-70

+0.5

BRY

L 52-69

−18.5

UMBC

L 52-91

−34.5

W 60-58

−1.5

UVM

L 54-63

+1.5

covered 19didn’t cover 13avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

FOR

W 72-61

−14.5

FAIR

L 53-74

−18.5

L-MD

W 66-64

−9.5

FDU

W 93-81

+27.5

DREX

L 43-75

−20.5

NAVY

L 70-86

+15.5

CIN

L 67-94

+19.5

LOU

L 47-104

−7.5

EMU

L 55-73

−13.5

HPU

L 72-89

+5.5

NHVN

W 70-64

+3.5

SHU

L 49-65

−37.5

BTLR

L 52-101

+3.5

PENN

L 61-80

−10.5

BING

W 73-65

−2.5

UNH

W 80-76

+18.5

L 70-74

+13.5

UML

W 73-64

−8.5

BRY

W 79-55

+1.5

UMBC

L 74-87

+17.5

UALB

W 77-68

+5.5

UVM

W 79-77

+16.5

UML

W 81-56

−12.5

BING

W 73-64

−3.5

UNH

W 76-70

+0.5

W 67-58

−12.5

UALB

L 63-81

+1.5

UVM

L 64-70

−8.5

BRY

L 52-69

−17.5

UMBC

L 52-91

−0.5

W 60-58

−16.5

UVM

L 54-63

−17.5

over 14under 18avg −2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin

FDU

29 games played

Straight up

8-21

28% wins

Against the spread

10-19

34% covers · avg −1.6 pts vs the line

Over / Under

10-19

34% overs · avg −2.1 pts vs the total

Straight up

8-2128%

L L L L L L L L L L W L W L L W W L L L W W W L W L L L L

4 straight losses0 of last 4 won

Against the spread

10-1934%

L L L L L L L L W W W L W L W W W L W L W W L L L L L L L

7 straight misses ATS0 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

10-1934%

U O U O U O U U U U O O U U U U O O U O O U U U U O U U U

3 straight unders1 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@ISU	L 50-88	+37.5	L −0.5	147.5	U 138
Nov 8	@SPU	L 83-93	+6.5	L −3.5	137.5	O 176
Nov 12	@TEX	L 58-93	+31.5	L −3.5	158.5	U 151
Nov 15	@NJIT	L 81-93	+2.5	L −9.5	146.5	O 174
Nov 24	vsETAM	L 65-70	+3.5	L −1.5	149.5	U 135
Nov 26	vsARMY	L 73-81	-4.5	L −12.5	152.5	O 154
Dec 2	@PROV	L 64-94	+26.5	L −3.5	162.5	U 158
Dec 10	@FOR	L 54-75	+11.5	L −9.5	141.5	U 129
Dec 22	@BC	L 61-72	+16.5	W +5.5	141.5	U 133
Dec 29	@MINN	L 43-60	+25.5	W +8.5	139.5	U 103
Jan 2	@MERC	W 74-67	+5.5	W +12.5	133.5	O 141
Jan 4	@SFPA	L 82-85	-2.5	L −5.5	143.5	O 167
Jan 8	vsCHST	W 70-63	-4.5	W +2.5	143.5	U 133
Jan 10	@NHVN	L 55-65	+1.5	L −8.5	130.5	U 120
Jan 17	vsLIU	L 59-66	+7.5	W +0.5	143.5	U 125
Jan 19	vsWAG	W 68-61	-2.5	W +4.5	137.5	U 129
Jan 23	@CCSU	W 76-66	+7.5	W +17.5	140.5	O 142
Jan 26	vsLEM	L 74-87	-1.5	L −14.5	139.5	O 161
Jan 29	@STO	L 57-58	+2.5	W +1.5	131.5	U 115
Jan 31	@WAG	L 72-75	+1.5	L −1.5	133.5	O 147
Feb 5	vsSTO	W 74-58	-1.5	W +14.5	130.5	O 132
Feb 7	vsMERC	W 55-52	-2.5	W +0.5	131.5	U 107
Feb 12	vsSFPA	W 66-59	-7.5	L −0.5	141.5	U 125
Feb 14	vsCCSU	L 57-63	-1.5	L −7.5	133.5	U 120
Feb 19	@CHST	W 60-59	-1.5	L −0.5	131.5	U 119
Feb 21	vsNHVN	L 77-84	-2.5	L −9.5	123.5	O 161
Feb 26	@LEM	L 59-76	+4.5	L −12.5	139.5	U 135
Feb 28	@LIU	L 60-74	+9.5	L −4.5	137.5	U 134
Mar 4	@MERC	L 61-70	+3.5	L −5.5	131.5	U 131

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

ISU

L 50-88

−0.5

SPU

L 83-93

−3.5

TEX

L 58-93

−3.5

NJIT

L 81-93

−9.5

ETAM

L 65-70

−1.5

ARMY

L 73-81

−12.5

PROV

L 64-94

−3.5

FOR

L 54-75

−9.5

L 61-72

+5.5

MINN

L 43-60

+8.5

MERC

W 74-67

+12.5

SFPA

L 82-85

−5.5

CHST

W 70-63

+2.5

NHVN

L 55-65

−8.5

LIU

L 59-66

+0.5

WAG

W 68-61

+4.5

CCSU

W 76-66

+17.5

LEM

L 74-87

−14.5

STO

L 57-58

+1.5

WAG

L 72-75

−1.5

STO

W 74-58

+14.5

MERC

W 55-52

+0.5

SFPA

W 66-59

−0.5

CCSU

L 57-63

−7.5

CHST

W 60-59

−0.5

NHVN

L 77-84

−9.5

LEM

L 59-76

−12.5

LIU

L 60-74

−4.5

MERC

L 61-70

−5.5

covered 10didn’t cover 19avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

ISU

L 50-88

−9.5

SPU

L 83-93

+38.5

TEX

L 58-93

−7.5

NJIT

L 81-93

+27.5

ETAM

L 65-70

−14.5

ARMY

L 73-81

+1.5

PROV

L 64-94

−4.5

FOR

L 54-75

−12.5

L 61-72

−8.5

MINN

L 43-60

−36.5

MERC

W 74-67

+7.5

SFPA

L 82-85

+23.5

CHST

W 70-63

−10.5

NHVN

L 55-65

−10.5

LIU

L 59-66

−18.5

WAG

W 68-61

−8.5

CCSU

W 76-66

+1.5

LEM

L 74-87

+21.5

STO

L 57-58

−16.5

WAG

L 72-75

+13.5

STO

W 74-58

+1.5

MERC

W 55-52

−24.5

SFPA

W 66-59

−16.5

CCSU

L 57-63

−13.5

CHST

W 60-59

−12.5

NHVN

L 77-84

+37.5

LEM

L 59-76

−4.5

LIU

L 60-74

−3.5

MERC

L 61-70

−0.5

over 10under 19avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

NJIT has the better starters

Position by position: NJIT 2, FDU 0, even 3

NJITBetterFDU

G D. Bolden12 pts · 2.8 reb · 2.8 ast Score 47

NJITSmall

G D. Jevtic6.6 pts · 3.3 reb · 1.2 ast Score 25

G M. Tatum TR8.1 pts · 2 reb · 1.4 ast Score 13

Even

G R. Johnson4.3 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.7 ast Score 10

G Q. Duncan4.4 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.4 ast Score 31

NJITSmall

G R. Elijah Godbolt1 pts · 0.7 reb · 0.9 ast Score 1

F M. Coffi TR3.5 pts · 4.9 reb · 0.8 ast Score 28

Even

F P. Stosic TR3.3 pts · 3.7 reb · 0.7 ast Score 16

F J. Kelly4.4 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.3 ast Score 20

No call

F B. Agu TR2.7 pts · 2 reb · 0.2 ast Not ranked

NJITBetterFDU

NJIT offense338th of 366 · -11.1

Even

FDU defense320th of 366 · -8.3

NJIT defense250th of 366 · -6.6

NJITSmall

FDU offense356th of 366 · -13.3

Backcourt-4.6 · 3 players

NJITSmall

Backcourt-5.8 · 3 players

Frontcourt-2.4 · 2 players

Even

Frontcourt-1.6 · 2 players

Bench-3.4 · 4 players

FDUSmall

Bench-1.3 · 3 players

Score, worst to bestNJIT betterFDU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

NJIT

Guards

D. Bolden30 minM. Tatum26 min · TRQ. Duncan14 minR. Awad13 minB. Stores4 min · TRA. AltobelliNew

Forwards

M. Coffi19 min · TRJ. Kelly16 minB. Oliver10 min · TRZ. Scherler7 minV. VanderstraetenNew

Centers

S. Jimenez-VojnicNew

FDU

Guards

D. Jevtic21 minR. Johnson17 minR. Elijah Godbolt12 minT. McQuaid2 minJ. JacobsNewA. CandaNew

Forwards

P. Stosic16 min · TRB. Agu10 min · TRT. Torain9 min · TRA. RatliffNew

Centers

S. Haubro3 min

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

NJIT66.2 #344

FDU65.1 #349

Points per possession

NJIT0.98 #343

FDU1.01 #314

Pace (possessions)

NJIT67.9 #235

FDU64.4 #356

Shooting

Effective FG%

NJIT46.7 #342

FDU47.1 #333

3-point %

NJIT30.4 #336

FDU30.3 #339

3-point attempt rate

NJIT40.1 #168

FDU45.2 #63

Free throw rate

NJIT33.2 #233

FDU32.8 #240

Possessions

Turnover rate

NJIT17.1 #215

FDU18.2 #280

Offensive rebound rate

NJIT26.2 #316

FDU32.0 #125

Assists per game

NJIT10.5 #350

FDU11.4 #316

Defense

Points allowed

NJIT73.7 #147

FDU72.7 #123

Points allowed per possession

NJIT1.08 #167

FDU1.13 #280

Opponent effective FG%

NJIT50.0 #99

FDU55.2 #336

Opponent 3-point %

NJIT32.3 #79

FDU37.8 #354

Turnovers forced

NJIT16.1 #214

FDU16.1 #218

Defensive rebound rate

NJIT67.9 #264

FDU72.7 #46

Steals per game

NJIT6.3 #204

FDU4.8 #344

Blocks per game

NJIT3.1 #197

FDU1.5 #362

NJIT		FDU
Scoring
66.2 #344	Points per game	65.1 #349
0.98 #343	Points per possession	1.01 #314
67.9 #235	Pace (possessions)	64.4 #356
Shooting
46.7 #342	Effective FG%	47.1 #333
30.4 #336	3-point %	30.3 #339
40.1 #168	3-point attempt rate	45.2 #63
33.2 #233	Free throw rate	32.8 #240
Possessions
17.1 #215	Turnover rate	18.2 #280
26.2 #316	Offensive rebound rate	32.0 #125
10.5 #350	Assists per game	11.4 #316
Defense
73.7 #147	Points allowed	72.7 #123
1.08 #167	Points allowed per possession	1.13 #280
50.0 #99	Opponent effective FG%	55.2 #336
32.3 #79	Opponent 3-point %	37.8 #354
16.1 #214	Turnovers forced	16.1 #218
67.9 #264	Defensive rebound rate	72.7 #46
6.3 #204	Steals per game	4.8 #344
3.1 #197	Blocks per game	1.5 #362

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

NJIT

15-17 in 2025-26 overall · 11-7 in conference · America East Conference

Last five, 2025-26

L@ Vermont54–63
Wvs Maine60–58
Lvs UMBC52–91
L@ Bryant52–69
Lvs Vermont64–70

A week or more of rest.

FDU

8-21 in 2025-26 overall · 8-11 in conference · Northeast Conference

Last five, 2025-26

L@ Mercyhurst61–70
L@ Long Island60–74
L@ Le Moyne59–76
Lvs New Haven77–84
W@ Chicago St60–59

A week or more of rest.

NJIT Highlanders at Fairleigh Dickinson Knights

What could decide it: NJIT has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

NJIT

FDU

NJIT has the better starters

Depth chart

Matchup stats

NJIT

FDU