NJIT Highlanders at Sacred Heart Pioneers: Model Line and Edge

Sun, Nov 29, 2:00 PM ETWilliam H. Pitt Center · at Sacred Heart

#316NJITNJIT

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: NJIT and Sacred Heart
NJIT	This season	SHU
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects SHU 75–71 · win probability SHU 64%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 146.3

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: SHU has more of the edges

NJIT 1, SHU 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

SHUSmall

Free throws

Free throw rate: NJIT 33.2, SHU 31.0. Allowed: NJIT 37.9, SHU 27.0

NJITSmall

Turnovers

Turnover rate: NJIT 17.1%, SHU 17.6%. Forced: NJIT 16.1%, SHU 14.6%

SHUSmall

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: NJIT 26.2%, SHU 28.6%. Defensive: NJIT 67.9%, SHU 69.1%

Context

Schedule so far

NJIT has played the 282nd-hardest schedule, SHU the 340th. A record against a soft schedule means less

SHUSmall

Home court

SHU at home. This season: SHU 0-0 at home, NJIT 0-0 away

SHUSmall

Three-pointers

NJIT hits 30.4% and allows 32.3%; SHU hits 35.7% and allows 34.9%. Threes are 40.1% and 50.7% of their shots

Even

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: NJIT 39%, SHU 18%. Transfers in: NJIT 4, SHU 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

Even

SHU offense vs NJIT defense

Offense 281st of 366 against a defense 250th, on the model’s ratings

Context

Tempo

About 68 possessions: NJIT plays 67.9 a game (235th fastest), SHU 68.6 (201st). Faster games mean more points

Even

Shooting

Effective FG%: NJIT 46.7 and allows 50.0; SHU 52.0 and allows 53.5

Even

NJIT offense vs SHU defense

Offense 338th of 366 against a defense 334th, on the model’s ratings

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	SHU -4.0	—
Total	—	146.3	—
Projected score	—	NJIT 71.2 · SHU 75.2

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	SHU -2.3	—
1H total	68.5	—
1H projected score	NJIT 33.1 · SHU 35.3	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
NJIT WLLLW	19-13	59%	12-7	—
SHU LWWWL	15-17	47%	6-6	—

Venue/role: NJIT away; SHU home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
NJIT UUUUU	14-18	44%	15-17
SHU UUUOU	15-17	47%	13-19

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
NJIT	5-5 50%	6-4 60%	2-8 20%
SHU	4-6 40%	5-5 50%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

NJIT

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 2	vs NAVY	L70–86WO
Dec 7	@ HALL	L56–67WO
Dec 9	@ NHVN	W70–64WO

Sacred Heart

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 4	@ MRST	L63–65WU
Dec 6	@ SPU	W78–71WO
Dec 9	vs UML	L82–87LO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

NJIT 2–1 SHUNJIT leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · NJIT 2-1 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Dec 13, 2025-26	SHU 65 @ NJIT 49	NJIT +6.5	SHU W
Nov 22, 2022-23	NJIT 85 @ SHU 75	SHU -6.5	NJIT W
Nov 30, 2021-22	SHU 70 @ NJIT 75	NJIT -3	NJIT W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

NJIT

32 games played

Straight up

15-17

47% wins

Against the spread

19-13

59% covers · avg +1.2 pts vs the line

Over / Under

14-18

44% overs · avg −2.6 pts vs the total

Straight up

15-1747%

W L W W L L L L L L W L L L W W L W W L W W W W W W L L L L W L

1 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

19-1359%

W L W W L W W L L W W L L L W W L W W L W W W W W W L W L L L W

1 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

14-1844%

U U U O U O O U U O O U O U U O O U O O O O U U O U O U U U U U

5 straight unders0 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 4	@FOR	W 72-61	+14.5	W +25.5	147.5	U 133
Nov 8	vsFAIR	L 53-74	+6.5	L −14.5	145.5	U 127
Nov 11	@L-MD	W 66-64	+10.5	W +12.5	139.5	U 130
Nov 15	vsFDU	W 93-81	-2.5	W +9.5	146.5	O 174
Nov 18	@DREX	L 43-75	+13.5	L −18.5	138.5	U 118
Nov 22	@NAVY	L 70-86	+17.5	W +1.5	140.5	O 156
Nov 24	@CIN	L 67-94	+34.5	W +7.5	141.5	O 161
Nov 26	@LOU	L 47-104	+44.5	L −12.5	158.5	U 151
Nov 28	@EMU	L 55-73	+14.5	L −3.5	141.5	U 128
Dec 5	@HPU	L 72-89	+28.5	W +11.5	155.5	O 161
Dec 10	vsNHVN	W 70-64	+2.5	W +8.5	130.5	O 134
Dec 13	vsSHU	L 49-65	+6.5	L −9.5	151.5	U 114
Dec 22	@BTLR	L 52-101	+32.5	L −16.5	149.5	O 153
Dec 31	@PENN	L 61-80	+14.5	L −4.5	151.5	U 141
Jan 3	@BING	W 73-65	+3.5	W +11.5	140.5	U 138
Jan 8	vsUNH	W 80-76	+2.5	W +6.5	137.5	O 156
Jan 10	vsME	L 70-74	-1.5	L −5.5	130.5	O 144
Jan 15	@UML	W 73-64	+8.5	W +17.5	145.5	U 137
Jan 19	vsBRY	W 79-55	-1.5	W +22.5	132.5	O 134
Jan 22	@UMBC	L 74-87	+6.5	L −6.5	143.5	O 161
Jan 29	@UALB	W 77-68	+5.5	W +14.5	139.5	O 145
Jan 31	@UVM	W 79-77	+13.5	W +15.5	139.5	O 156
Feb 5	vsUML	W 81-56	-1.5	W +23.5	149.5	U 137
Feb 7	vsBING	W 73-64	-8.5	W +0.5	140.5	U 137
Feb 12	@UNH	W 76-70	+2.5	W +8.5	145.5	O 146
Feb 14	@ME	W 67-58	-1.5	W +7.5	137.5	U 125
Feb 19	vsUALB	L 63-81	-3.5	L −21.5	142.5	O 144
Feb 21	vsUVM	L 64-70	+6.5	W +0.5	142.5	U 134
Feb 28	@BRY	L 52-69	-1.5	L −18.5	138.5	U 121
Mar 3	vsUMBC	L 52-91	+4.5	L −34.5	143.5	U 143
Mar 7	vsME	W 60-58	-3.5	L −1.5	134.5	U 118
Mar 10	@UVM	L 54-63	+10.5	W +1.5	134.5	U 117

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

FOR

W 72-61

+25.5

FAIR

L 53-74

−14.5

L-MD

W 66-64

+12.5

FDU

W 93-81

+9.5

DREX

L 43-75

−18.5

NAVY

L 70-86

+1.5

CIN

L 67-94

+7.5

LOU

L 47-104

−12.5

EMU

L 55-73

−3.5

HPU

L 72-89

+11.5

NHVN

W 70-64

+8.5

SHU

L 49-65

−9.5

BTLR

L 52-101

−16.5

PENN

L 61-80

−4.5

BING

W 73-65

+11.5

UNH

W 80-76

+6.5

L 70-74

−5.5

UML

W 73-64

+17.5

BRY

W 79-55

+22.5

UMBC

L 74-87

−6.5

UALB

W 77-68

+14.5

UVM

W 79-77

+15.5

UML

W 81-56

+23.5

BING

W 73-64

+0.5

UNH

W 76-70

+8.5

W 67-58

+7.5

UALB

L 63-81

−21.5

UVM

L 64-70

+0.5

BRY

L 52-69

−18.5

UMBC

L 52-91

−34.5

W 60-58

−1.5

UVM

L 54-63

+1.5

covered 19didn’t cover 13avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

FOR

W 72-61

−14.5

FAIR

L 53-74

−18.5

L-MD

W 66-64

−9.5

FDU

W 93-81

+27.5

DREX

L 43-75

−20.5

NAVY

L 70-86

+15.5

CIN

L 67-94

+19.5

LOU

L 47-104

−7.5

EMU

L 55-73

−13.5

HPU

L 72-89

+5.5

NHVN

W 70-64

+3.5

SHU

L 49-65

−37.5

BTLR

L 52-101

+3.5

PENN

L 61-80

−10.5

BING

W 73-65

−2.5

UNH

W 80-76

+18.5

L 70-74

+13.5

UML

W 73-64

−8.5

BRY

W 79-55

+1.5

UMBC

L 74-87

+17.5

UALB

W 77-68

+5.5

UVM

W 79-77

+16.5

UML

W 81-56

−12.5

BING

W 73-64

−3.5

UNH

W 76-70

+0.5

W 67-58

−12.5

UALB

L 63-81

+1.5

UVM

L 64-70

−8.5

BRY

L 52-69

−17.5

UMBC

L 52-91

−0.5

W 60-58

−16.5

UVM

L 54-63

−17.5

over 14under 18avg −2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin

Sacred Heart

32 games played

Straight up

13-19

41% wins

Against the spread

15-17

47% covers · avg −1.3 pts vs the line

Over / Under

15-17

47% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

13-1941%

L L L W L L W L W L W L L L L L L W W W W W L L L W W L L W W L

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

15-1747%

W L L W W L W L W L W L L L L W L W W L L W L L L W W L W W W L

3 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

15-1747%

O U U U O U O U U O U U O U O O U O O U O O U O U O O U U U O U

1 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 7	@DUQ	L 80-92	+12.5	W +0.5	157.5	O 172
Nov 11	@VILL	L 60-94	+19.5	L −14.5	160.5	U 154
Nov 15	@QUC	L 64-81	+5.5	L −11.5	165.5	U 145
Nov 21	vsHC	W 79-66	-7.5	W +5.5	152.5	U 145
Nov 24	@CCSU	L 106-108	+3.5	W +1.5	143.5	O 214
Nov 29	@PSU	L 59-90	+14.5	L −16.5	160.5	U 149
Dec 3	@MSM	W 87-80	-1.5	W +5.5	152.5	O 167
Dec 7	vsIONA	L 69-81	-1.5	L −13.5	163.5	U 150
Dec 13	@NJIT	W 65-49	-6.5	W +9.5	151.5	U 114
Dec 16	@UML	L 82-87	-2.5	L −7.5	151.5	O 169
Dec 19	vsDART	W 85-63	+1.5	W +23.5	155.5	U 148
Dec 22	@TOW	L 47-72	+13.5	L −11.5	145.5	U 119
Dec 29	vsMRMK	L 72-80	-1.5	L −9.5	144.5	O 152
Jan 2	@NIA	L 61-64	-1.5	L −4.5	139.5	U 125
Jan 4	@CAN	L 78-82	-5.5	L −9.5	141.5	O 160
Jan 9	vsMRST	L 72-76	+5.5	W +1.5	143.5	O 148
Jan 11	vsQUIN	L 60-70	+5.5	L −4.5	152.5	U 130
Jan 14	@SIE	W 86-80	+8.5	W +14.5	139.5	O 166
Jan 19	@RID	W 105-85	-4.5	W +15.5	144.5	O 190
Jan 22	vsCAN	W 69-66	-10.5	L −7.5	145.5	U 135
Jan 24	vsNIA	W 71-70	-9.5	L −8.5	139.5	O 141
Jan 30	@QUIN	W 98-91	+8.5	W +15.5	156.5	O 189
Feb 1	@MRMK	L 58-75	+5.5	L −11.5	147.5	U 133
Feb 5	vsFAIR	L 87-92	-1.5	L −6.5	155.5	O 179
Feb 7	@MAN	L 68-80	-1.5	L −13.5	161.5	U 148
Feb 13	vsSPU	W 78-71	+1.5	W +8.5	147.5	O 149
Feb 15	vsRID	W 86-75	-9.5	W +1.5	146.5	O 161
Feb 20	@FAIR	L 68-78	+4.5	L −5.5	158.5	U 146
Feb 22	@MRST	L 63-65	+7.5	W +5.5	146.5	U 128
Feb 27	vsMSM	W 77-69	-2.5	W +5.5	150.5	U 146
Mar 5	vsIONA	W 91-80	+3.5	W +14.5	149.5	O 171
Mar 6	vsMRMK	L 48-70	+6.5	L −15.5	143.5	U 118

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

DUQ

L 80-92

+0.5

VILL

L 60-94

−14.5

QUC

L 64-81

−11.5

W 79-66

+5.5

CCSU

L 106-108

+1.5

PSU

L 59-90

−16.5

MSM

W 87-80

+5.5

IONA

L 69-81

−13.5

NJIT

W 65-49

+9.5

UML

L 82-87

−7.5

DART

W 85-63

+23.5

TOW

L 47-72

−11.5

MRMK

L 72-80

−9.5

NIA

L 61-64

−4.5

CAN

L 78-82

−9.5

MRST

L 72-76

+1.5

QUIN

L 60-70

−4.5

SIE

W 86-80

+14.5

RID

W 105-85

+15.5

CAN

W 69-66

−7.5

NIA

W 71-70

−8.5

QUIN

W 98-91

+15.5

MRMK

L 58-75

−11.5

FAIR

L 87-92

−6.5

MAN

L 68-80

−13.5

SPU

W 78-71

+8.5

RID

W 86-75

+1.5

FAIR

L 68-78

−5.5

MRST

L 63-65

+5.5

MSM

W 77-69

+5.5

IONA

W 91-80

+14.5

MRMK

L 48-70

−15.5

covered 15didn’t cover 17avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

DUQ

L 80-92

+14.5

VILL

L 60-94

−6.5

QUC

L 64-81

−20.5

W 79-66

−7.5

CCSU

L 106-108

+70.5

PSU

L 59-90

−11.5

MSM

W 87-80

+14.5

IONA

L 69-81

−13.5

NJIT

W 65-49

−37.5

UML

L 82-87

+17.5

DART

W 85-63

−7.5

TOW

L 47-72

−26.5

MRMK

L 72-80

+7.5

NIA

L 61-64

−14.5

CAN

L 78-82

+18.5

MRST

L 72-76

+4.5

QUIN

L 60-70

−22.5

SIE

W 86-80

+26.5

RID

W 105-85

+45.5

CAN

W 69-66

−10.5

NIA

W 71-70

+1.5

QUIN

W 98-91

+32.5

MRMK

L 58-75

−14.5

FAIR

L 87-92

+23.5

MAN

L 68-80

−13.5

SPU

W 78-71

+1.5

RID

W 86-75

+14.5

FAIR

L 68-78

−12.5

MRST

L 63-65

−18.5

MSM

W 77-69

−4.5

IONA

W 91-80

+21.5

MRMK

L 48-70

−25.5

over 15under 17avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: NJIT 1, Sacred Heart 1, even 3

NJITBetterSacred Heart

G D. Bolden12 pts · 2.8 reb · 2.8 ast Score 47

Even

G J. Van Buggenhout TR6.4 pts · 2.1 reb · 3.1 ast Score 42

G M. Tatum TR8.1 pts · 2 reb · 1.4 ast Score 13

Even

G J. Slaughter5.3 pts · 3.4 reb · 1.1 ast Score 20

G Q. Duncan4.4 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.4 ast Score 31

SHUSmall

G S. Reilly TR3.6 pts · 0.6 reb · 0.3 ast Score 47

F M. Coffi TR3.5 pts · 4.9 reb · 0.8 ast Score 28

NJITSmall

F A. Yadd6 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.6 ast Score 5

F J. Kelly4.4 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.3 ast Score 20

Even

F J. Robinson TR2.5 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.9 ast Score 26

NJITBetterSacred Heart

NJIT offense338th of 366 · -11.1

Even

SHU defense334th of 366 · -8.8

NJIT defense250th of 366 · -6.6

Even

SHU offense281st of 366 · -8.7

Backcourt-4.6 · 3 players

SHUSmall

Backcourt-3.0 · 3 players

Frontcourt-2.4 · 2 players

Even

Frontcourt-2.6 · 2 players

Bench-3.4 · 4 players

SHUBig

Bench-0.0 · 1 player

Score, worst to bestNJIT betterSHU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

NJIT

Guards

D. Bolden30 minM. Tatum26 min · TRQ. Duncan14 minR. Awad13 minB. Stores4 min · TRA. AltobelliNew

Forwards

M. Coffi19 min · TRJ. Kelly16 minB. Oliver10 min · TRZ. Scherler7 minV. VanderstraetenNew

Centers

S. Jimenez-VojnicNew

Sacred Heart

Guards

J. Van Buggenhout21 min · TRJ. Slaughter21 minS. Reilly9 min · TRM. Sheppard1 minG. BarroukNewJ. WallaceNew

Forwards

A. Yadd15 minJ. Robinson10 min · TRK. CurtisNewL. KrygierNew

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

NJIT66.2 #344

SHU74.3 #186

Points per possession

NJIT0.98 #343

SHU1.08 #180

Pace (possessions)

NJIT67.9 #235

SHU68.6 #201

Shooting

Effective FG%

NJIT46.7 #342

SHU52.0 #145

3-point %

NJIT30.4 #336

SHU35.7 #73

3-point attempt rate

NJIT40.1 #168

SHU50.7 #12

Free throw rate

NJIT33.2 #233

SHU31.0 #281

Possessions

Turnover rate

NJIT17.1 #215

SHU17.6 #249

Offensive rebound rate

NJIT26.2 #316

SHU28.6 #246

Assists per game

NJIT10.5 #350

SHU14.6 #112

Defense

Points allowed

NJIT73.7 #147

SHU77.6 #253

Points allowed per possession

NJIT1.08 #167

SHU1.13 #296

Opponent effective FG%

NJIT50.0 #99

SHU53.5 #283

Opponent 3-point %

NJIT32.3 #79

SHU34.9 #241

Turnovers forced

NJIT16.1 #214

SHU14.6 #320

Defensive rebound rate

NJIT67.9 #264

SHU69.1 #199

Steals per game

NJIT6.3 #204

SHU5.4 #305

Blocks per game

NJIT3.1 #197

SHU3.0 #223

NJIT		SHU
Scoring
66.2 #344	Points per game	74.3 #186
0.98 #343	Points per possession	1.08 #180
67.9 #235	Pace (possessions)	68.6 #201
Shooting
46.7 #342	Effective FG%	52.0 #145
30.4 #336	3-point %	35.7 #73
40.1 #168	3-point attempt rate	50.7 #12
33.2 #233	Free throw rate	31.0 #281
Possessions
17.1 #215	Turnover rate	17.6 #249
26.2 #316	Offensive rebound rate	28.6 #246
10.5 #350	Assists per game	14.6 #112
Defense
73.7 #147	Points allowed	77.6 #253
1.08 #167	Points allowed per possession	1.13 #296
50.0 #99	Opponent effective FG%	53.5 #283
32.3 #79	Opponent 3-point %	34.9 #241
16.1 #214	Turnovers forced	14.6 #320
67.9 #264	Defensive rebound rate	69.1 #199
6.3 #204	Steals per game	5.4 #305
3.1 #197	Blocks per game	3.0 #223

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

NJIT

15-17 in 2025-26 overall · 11-7 in conference · America East Conference

Last five, 2025-26

L@ Vermont54–63
Wvs Maine60–58
Lvs UMBC52–91
L@ Bryant52–69
Lvs Vermont64–70

A week or more of rest.

Sacred Heart

13-19 in 2025-26 overall · 10-12 in conference · Metro Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Merrimack48–70
Wvs Iona91–80
Wvs Mount St Marys77–69
L@ Marist63–65
L@ Fairfield68–78

A week or more of rest.

NJIT Highlanders at Sacred Heart Pioneers

What could decide it: SHU has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

NJIT

Sacred Heart

The starting fives are even

Depth chart

Matchup stats

NJIT

Sacred Heart