1. NCAAB
  2. Sun, Nov 29
  3. DAV @ FAU
NCAAB · Sun, Nov 29

Davidson Wildcats at Florida Atlantic Owls

Abessinio Court at Eleanor R. Baldwin Arena · at FAU
#115DAVDavidson
@
#109FAUFAU
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
DAVThis seasonFAU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects FAU 76–73 · win probability FAU 62%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 149.3
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: DAV has more of the edges

DAV 3, FAU 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: DAV plays 65.0 a game (347th fastest), FAU 71.1 (71st). Faster games mean more points
DAVBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: DAV 15.8%, FAU 17.6%. Forced: DAV 17.5%, FAU 15.5%
FAUSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: DAV 28.1%, FAU 31.6%. Defensive: DAV 70.0%, FAU 71.7%
DAVSmall
Three-pointers
DAV hits 35.4% and allows 32.6%; FAU hits 33.3% and allows 33.8%. Threes are 44.5% and 38.2% of their shots
DAVSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: DAV 49%, FAU 17%. Transfers in: DAV 2, FAU 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
FAUSmall
Home court
FAU at home. This season: FAU 0-0 at home, DAV 0-0 away
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: DAV 31.0, FAU 33.3. Allowed: DAV 37.1, FAU 36.2
Even
DAV offense vs FAU defense
Offense 149th of 366 against a defense 174th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: DAV 52.6 and allows 50.6; FAU 52.2 and allows 49.5
Context
Schedule so far
DAV has played the 91st-hardest schedule, FAU the 101st. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
FAU offense vs DAV defense
Offense 85th of 366 against a defense 84th, on the model’s ratings
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—FAU -3.4—
Total—149.3—
Projected score—DAV 73 · FAU 76.4

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadFAU -1.9—
1H total69.8—
1H projected scoreDAV 34 · FAU 35.9—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

FAU has the better starters

Position by position: Davidson 1, FAU 2, even 2
DavidsonBetterFAU
G N. Janowski TR16.7 pts · 5 reb · 2.1 ast Score 81
Even
G B. Speed TR15.8 pts · 4.4 reb · 3.7 ast Score 82
G S. Brown7.9 pts · 2 reb · 2.1 ast Score 33
FAUBig
G J. Hamilton TR17.8 pts · 4.5 reb · 2.2 ast Score 93
G N. Coval6.2 pts · 1.5 reb · 1.6 ast Score 49
FAUSmall
G K. Carlyle14.5 pts · 3.7 reb · 2.8 ast Score 73
F J. Scovens11.1 pts · 4.2 reb · 2 ast Score 88
DAVBig
G M. Charles TR10.5 pts · 4 reb · 1.4 ast Score 32
C I. Platteeuw3.9 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.9 ast Score 43
Even
F M. Porter-Brown TR7.8 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.6 ast Score 42
DavidsonBetterFAU
DAV offense149th of 366 · -4.5
Even
FAU defense174th of 366 · -3.9
DAV defense84th of 366 · +0.0
Even
FAU offense85th of 366 · +0.4
Backcourt-0.2 · 3 players
FAUBig
Backcourt+4.0 · 4 players
Frontcourt+2.2 · 2 players
DAVSmall
Frontcourt-0.6 · 1 player
Bench-0.9 · 4 players
Even
Bench-0.2 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestDAV betterFAU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Davidson
Guards
N. Janowski32 min · TRS. Brown24 minN. Coval19 minP. Kavu1 minJ. CarterNewE. HeinonenNew
Forwards
J. Scovens25 minJ. Roberts12 minJ. Keith9 min · TRJ. Nowland1 minQ. BashiruNewT. StoiberNew
Centers
I. Platteeuw15 min
FAU
Guards
B. Speed34 min · TRJ. Hamilton32 min · TRK. Carlyle31 minM. Charles30 min · TRL. Dayco-Green2 minL. Smith1 min
Forwards
M. Porter-Brown20 min · TRJ. HarrisNewM. PuodziukaitisNewD. MusisNew
Centers
K. Mullen6 min · TRT. IfaolaNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
DAVFAU
Scoring
69.9 #289Points per game77.2 #111
1.08 #189Points per possession1.09 #170
65.0 #347Pace (possessions)71.1 #71
Shooting
52.6 #121Effective FG%52.2 #135
35.4 #923-point %33.3 #210
44.5 #793-point attempt rate38.2 #208
31.0 #283Free throw rate33.3 #231
Possessions
15.8 #124Turnover rate17.6 #246
28.1 #265Offensive rebound rate31.6 #140
13.4 #184Assists per game13.0 #210
Defense
68.5 #40Points allowed75.3 #198
1.05 #94Points allowed per possession1.06 #108
50.6 #132Opponent effective FG%49.5 #81
32.6 #92Opponent 3-point %33.8 #169
17.5 #121Turnovers forced15.5 #252
70.0 #157Defensive rebound rate71.7 #78
6.4 #189Steals per game5.7 #272
4.1 #66Blocks per game5.3 #11
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Davidson

18-14 in 2025-26 overall · 11-9 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Oklahoma St80–84
  • Lvs Saint Joseph's58–70
  • Wvs Loyola Chicago64–59
  • W@ St Bonaventure68–63
  • Lvs Saint Joseph's67–70

A week or more of rest.

FAU

16-15 in 2025-26 overall · 10-10 in conference · American Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs North Texas70–74
  • Wvs Temple63–59
  • L@ Wichita St70–88
  • Wvs Charlotte77–76
  • Wvs Temple77–73

A week or more of rest.