1. NCAAB
  2. Wed, Dec 2
  3. FAU @ FIU
NCAAB · Wed, Dec 2

Florida Atlantic Owls at Florida International Panthers

Ocean Bank Convocation Center · at FIU
#109FAUFAU
@
#178FIUFIU
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
FAUThis seasonFIU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects FAU 80–77 · win probability FAU 61%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 157.4
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it

FAU 3, FIU 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
FAUBig
FAU offense vs FIU defense
Offense 85th of 366 against a defense 217th, on the model’s ratings
FAUBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: FAU 52.2 and allows 49.5; FIU 50.6 and allows 52.9
FIUSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: FAU 17.6%, FIU 17.8%. Forced: FAU 15.5%, FIU 20.0%
FAUSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: FAU 31.6%, FIU 33.9%. Defensive: FAU 71.7%, FIU 65.2%
FIUSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: FAU 33.3, FIU 38.6. Allowed: FAU 36.2, FIU 35.9
FIUSmall
Home court
FIU at home. This season: FIU 0-0 at home, FAU 0-0 away
Context
Schedule so far
FAU has played the 101st-hardest schedule, FIU the 151st. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Three-pointers
FAU hits 33.3% and allows 33.8%; FIU hits 34.7% and allows 36.2%. Threes are 38.2% and 32.8% of their shots
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: FAU 17%, FIU 0%. Transfers in: FAU 5, FIU 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
FIU offense vs FAU defense
Offense 144th of 366 against a defense 174th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 72 possessions: FAU plays 71.1 a game (71st fastest), FIU 72.4 (26th). Faster games mean more points
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—FAU -3.2—
Total—157.4—
Projected score—FAU 80.3 · FIU 77.1

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadFAU -2.0—
1H total73.6—
1H projected scoreFAU 37.8 · FIU 35.8—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

FIU has the better starters

Position by position: FAU 1, FIU 2, even 2
FAUBetterFIU
G B. Speed TR15.8 pts · 4.4 reb · 3.7 ast Score 82
Even
G T. Saine TR18.1 pts · 2.3 reb · 4.4 ast Score 91
G J. Hamilton TR17.8 pts · 4.5 reb · 2.2 ast Score 93
FAUBig
G C. Caulker TR7.9 pts · 2.4 reb · 3.8 ast Score 22
G K. Carlyle14.5 pts · 3.7 reb · 2.8 ast Score 73
No call
G H. Cuevas TR2.6 pts · 1 reb · 0.6 ast Not ranked
G M. Charles TR10.5 pts · 4 reb · 1.4 ast Score 32
FIUSmall
F J. Colonel TR4.6 pts · 7.3 reb · 1.3 ast Score 52
F M. Porter-Brown TR7.8 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.6 ast Score 42
FIUSmall
F R. Seals TR7.5 pts · 4 reb · 0.4 ast Score 61
FAUBetterFIU
FAU offense85th of 366 · +0.4
FAUBig
FIU defense217th of 366 · -5.7
FAU defense174th of 366 · -3.9
Even
FIU offense144th of 366 · -4.3
Backcourt+4.0 · 4 players
FAUBig
Backcourt-0.8 · 3 players
Frontcourt-0.6 · 1 player
Even
Frontcourt-0.0 · 2 players
Bench-0.2 · 3 players
Even
Bench-0.9 · 1 player
Score, worst to bestFAU betterFIU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
FAU
Guards
B. Speed34 min · TRJ. Hamilton32 min · TRK. Carlyle31 minM. Charles30 min · TRL. Dayco-Green2 minL. Smith1 min
Forwards
M. Porter-Brown20 min · TRJ. HarrisNewM. PuodziukaitisNewD. MusisNew
Centers
K. Mullen6 min · TRT. IfaolaNew
FIU
Guards
T. Saine34 min · TRC. Caulker31 min · TRH. Cuevas13 min · TRN. MendyNewM. BlazerNewC. HallNew
Forwards
J. Colonel26 min · TRR. Seals18 min · TRJ. Payne7 min · TRG. GiceviciusNewC. RingNewS. N'DiayeNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
FAUFIU
Scoring
77.2 #111Points per game77.7 #100
1.09 #170Points per possession1.08 #197
71.1 #71Pace (possessions)72.4 #26
Shooting
52.2 #135Effective FG%50.6 #210
33.3 #2103-point %34.7 #137
38.2 #2083-point attempt rate32.8 #321
33.3 #231Free throw rate38.6 #87
Possessions
17.6 #246Turnover rate17.8 #258
31.6 #140Offensive rebound rate33.9 #69
13.0 #210Assists per game13.6 #173
Defense
75.3 #198Points allowed79.1 #301
1.06 #108Points allowed per possession1.09 #194
49.5 #81Opponent effective FG%52.9 #264
33.8 #169Opponent 3-point %36.2 #313
15.5 #252Turnovers forced20.0 #22
71.7 #78Defensive rebound rate65.2 #335
5.7 #272Steals per game8.8 #12
5.3 #11Blocks per game4.4 #43
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

FAU

16-15 in 2025-26 overall · 10-10 in conference · American Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs North Texas70–74
  • Wvs Temple63–59
  • L@ Wichita St70–88
  • Wvs Charlotte77–76
  • Wvs Temple77–73

A week or more of rest.

FIU

12-17 in 2025-26 overall · 8-13 in conference · Conference USA

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Missouri St72–75
  • Wvs Western KY92–67
  • Lvs MTSU67–73
  • W@ Louisiana Tech84–76
  • L@ Sam Houston67–100

A week or more of rest.