1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Dec 5
  3. FIU @ JAX
NCAAB · Sat, Dec 5

Florida International Panthers at Jacksonville Dolphins

Swisher Gymnasium · at Jacksonville
#178FIUFIU
@
#223JAXJacksonville
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
FIUThis seasonJAX
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects FIU 75–75 · win probability FIU 51%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 150.4
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: FIU has more of the edges

FIU 4, JAX 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: FIU plays 72.4 a game (26th fastest), JAX 65.7 (322nd). Faster games mean more points
FIUBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: FIU 38.6, JAX 32.8. Allowed: FIU 35.9, JAX 42.7
FIUBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: FIU 17.8%, JAX 17.2%. Forced: FIU 20.0%, JAX 15.0%
Context
Schedule so far
FIU has played the 151st-hardest schedule, JAX the 247th. A record against a soft schedule means less
FIUSmall
Three-pointers
FIU hits 34.7% and allows 36.2%; JAX hits 31.8% and allows 36.3%. Threes are 32.8% and 37.4% of their shots
JAXSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: FIU 33.9%, JAX 31.7%. Defensive: FIU 65.2%, JAX 70.9%
FIUSmall
FIU offense vs JAX defense
Offense 144th of 366 against a defense 210th, on the model’s ratings
JAXSmall
Home court
JAX at home. This season: JAX 0-0 at home, FIU 0-0 away
JAXSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: FIU 0%, JAX 27%. Transfers in: FIU 6, JAX 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: FIU 50.6 and allows 52.9; JAX 50.0 and allows 54.8
Even
JAX offense vs FIU defense
Offense 232nd of 366 against a defense 217th, on the model’s ratings
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—FIU -0.4—
Total—150.4—
Projected score—FIU 75.4 · JAX 75

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadFIU -0.4—
1H total70.3—
1H projected scoreFIU 35.3 · JAX 35—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

FIU has the better starters

Position by position: FIU 2, Jacksonville 1, even 2
FIUBetterJacksonville
G T. Saine TR18.1 pts · 2.3 reb · 4.4 ast Score 91
FIUSmall
G C. Williams TR16.1 pts · 3.6 reb · 3.2 ast Score 65
G C. Caulker TR7.9 pts · 2.4 reb · 3.8 ast Score 22
JAXBig
G J. Phillips TR15.5 pts · 5 reb · 2.5 ast Score 59
G H. Cuevas TR2.6 pts · 1 reb · 0.6 ast Not ranked
No call
G H. Wood11.6 pts · 3.2 reb · 1.2 ast Score 64
F J. Colonel TR4.6 pts · 7.3 reb · 1.3 ast Score 52
FIUSmall
G E. Sterck6.5 pts · 2.1 reb · 2.9 ast Score 23
F R. Seals TR7.5 pts · 4 reb · 0.4 ast Score 61
Even
F J. Morrow TR7.8 pts · 3.2 reb · 1.1 ast Score 58
FIUBetterJacksonville
FIU offense144th of 366 · -4.3
FIUSmall
JAX defense210th of 366 · -5.4
FIU defense217th of 366 · -5.7
Even
JAX offense232nd of 366 · -7.1
Backcourt-0.8 · 3 players
FIUSmall
Backcourt-1.9 · 4 players
Frontcourt-0.0 · 2 players
Even
Frontcourt-0.2 · 1 player
Bench-0.9 · 1 player
Even
Bench-1.1 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestFIU betterJAX betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
FIU
Guards
T. Saine34 min · TRC. Caulker31 min · TRH. Cuevas13 min · TRN. MendyNewM. BlazerNewC. HallNew
Forwards
J. Colonel26 min · TRR. Seals18 min · TRJ. Payne7 min · TRG. GiceviciusNewC. RingNewS. N'DiayeNew
Jacksonville
Guards
C. Williams33 min · TRJ. Phillips31 min · TRH. Wood28 minE. Sterck25 minR. Loux1 minL. BuckinghamNew
Forwards
J. Morrow21 min · TRR. Stirling15 min · TRN. Turner6 min · TRJ. Newell2 min · TR
Centers
S. MbingazoNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
FIUJAX
Scoring
77.7 #100Points per game69.5 #293
1.08 #197Points per possession1.06 #237
72.4 #26Pace (possessions)65.7 #322
Shooting
50.6 #210Effective FG%50.0 #232
34.7 #1373-point %31.8 #289
32.8 #3213-point attempt rate37.4 #223
38.6 #87Free throw rate32.8 #242
Possessions
17.8 #258Turnover rate17.2 #222
33.9 #69Offensive rebound rate31.7 #137
13.6 #173Assists per game11.1 #335
Defense
79.1 #301Points allowed75.2 #194
1.09 #194Points allowed per possession1.14 #313
52.9 #264Opponent effective FG%54.8 #325
36.2 #313Opponent 3-point %36.3 #318
20.0 #22Turnovers forced15.0 #290
65.2 #335Defensive rebound rate70.9 #115
8.8 #12Steals per game6.3 #206
4.4 #43Blocks per game2.8 #261
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

FIU

12-17 in 2025-26 overall · 8-13 in conference · Conference USA

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Missouri St72–75
  • Wvs Western KY92–67
  • Lvs MTSU67–73
  • W@ Louisiana Tech84–76
  • L@ Sam Houston67–100

A week or more of rest.

Jacksonville

10-20 in 2025-26 overall · 7-12 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Bellarmine79–82
  • W@ North Florida85–61
  • Wvs Stetson89–85
  • Lvs Austin Peay61–65
  • L@ FGCU84–86

A week or more of rest.