Murphy Center · at MTSU · Conference game
Closing line
MTSU -5.5✓ FIU covered by 9.5
Closing total154.5Over by 17.5
| This season | MTSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 7-11 | Record | 8-10 |
| 11-7 | ATS | 7-11 |
| 10-8 | O/U | 7-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: FIU 74–79 MTSU · ✗ MTSU (65%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIU | 39 | 36 | 13 | 88 |
| MTSU | 38 | 37 | 9 | 84 |
1st half: FIU 39, MTSU 38 (FIU by 1). The model had MTSU by 2.5 and a total of 71.7 (actual 77).
Team stats
| FIU | MTSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-64 45% | Field goals | 24-64 38% |
| 4-12 33% | 3-pointers | 13-44 30% |
| 26-37 70% | Free throws | 23-33 70% |
| 45 10 off | Rebounds | 40 10 off |
| 8 | Assists | 19 |
| 7 | Steals | 9 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 21 | Fouls | 23 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 21 | Fast-break points | 18 |
Players
| FIU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Stephenson G | 38 | 34 | 9 | 1 | 13-22 | 4-8 |
| Zawdie Jackson G | 37 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Eric Dibami C | 34 | 10 | 10 | 3 | 4-11 | 0-0 |
| Hamed Olayinka F | 26 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Ashton Williamson G | 21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brit Harris G | 30 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-2 |
| Ibrahim Olajuwon C | 26 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Thiago Sucatzky G | 13 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jorge Santos, Gvidas Gicevicius, Mikey Kelvin II, Aydan Clinton, Renato Ruiz, Kennedy Brown, Amarion Nimmers, Julian Mackey
| MTSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Loofe F | 32 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 4-5 | 1-2 |
| Torey Alston F | 29 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Jahvin Carter G | 28 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 0-9 | 0-5 |
| Kamari Lands G | 27 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 4-12 | 2-8 |
| Alec Oglesby G | 19 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 3-9 | 3-8 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Marcus Whitlock Jr. G | 27 | 25 | 1 | 2 | 7-11 | 7-11 |
| Sean Smith G | 24 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| James Dent Jr. G | 17 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Luka Jovanovic C | 13 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Tre Green G | 9 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-4 |
Did not play: Jax Howard, Charvez Ambrose, Brandon Oloumou, Savon Wykle, Jarred Hall
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMTSU -6.5
1 → FIU
CloseMTSU -5.5
1 pt toward FIU
Total
Open148.5
▲ 6
Close154.5
Up 6 since the open
Moneyline
FIU +220 · MTSU -270
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MTSU -6.5 · closed MTSU -5.5 · moved 1 toward FIUmodel MTSU -4.5
model MTSU -4.5
Opened 148.5 · closed 154.5 · moved 6 upmodel 153
model 153
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MTSU -5.5 | MTSU -4.4 | FIU +1.1 | W FIU covered |
| Total | 154.5 | 153.2 | Under 1.3 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | FIU 74.4 · MTSU 78.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MTSU -2.5 | FIU -1.0 |
| 1H total | 71.7 | 77 |
| 1H projected score | FIU 34.6 · MTSU 37.1 | FIU 39 · MTSU 38 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | |
| 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
FIU 1–7 MTSUMTSU leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · MTSU has won the last 5 meetings · FIU 1-7 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | FIU 56 @ MTSU 78 | MTSU -11.5 | MTSU W |
| Jan 2, 2024-25 | MTSU 73 @ FIU 69 | FIU +3.5 | MTSU W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | MTSU 68 @ FIU 66 | FIU -2.5 | MTSU W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | FIU 61 @ MTSU 79 | MTSU -1.5 | MTSU W |
| Feb 18, 2022-23 | FIU 58 @ MTSU 69 | MTSU -8.5 | MTSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
FIU
18 games played
Straight up
7-11
39% wins
Against the spread
11-7
61% covers · avg +1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-8
56% overs · avg +2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ | L 66-96 | +21.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 13 | @ | L 81-98 | +21.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 24 | vs | L 72-80 | -2.5 | L −10.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 26 | vs | W 74-61 | -4.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 3 | vs | W 89-83 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 154.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 6 | vs | W 88-65 | -5.5 | W +17.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 16 | @ | L 81-98 | +22.5 | W +5.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 20 | vs | W 86-79 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 161.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 28 | vs | L 94-97 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Jan 2 | vs | W 89-74 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 157.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 4 | vs | W 76-64 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 152.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 7 | @ | L 64-71 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 10 | @ | L 71-79 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 14 | @ | L 86-89 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 175.5 | U 175 |
| Jan 17 | vs | L 63-76 | -2.5 | L −15.5 | 168.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 22 | @ | L 77-83 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 24 | @ | W 81-78 | +7.5 | W +10.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 28 | vs | L 74-78 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@
NEB
L 66-96
−8.5
13
@
LSU
L 81-98
+4.5
24
vs
JMU
L 72-80
−10.5
26
vs
OMA
W 74-61
+8.5
3
vs
FGCU
W 89-83
+7.5
6
vs
JAX
W 88-65
+17.5
16
@
MIA
L 81-98
+5.5
20
vs
LIU
W 86-79
+0.5
28
vs
LIB
L 94-97
+1.5
2
vs
NMSU
W 89-74
+16.5
4
vs
UTEP
W 76-64
+5.5
7
@
JXST
L 64-71
−5.5
10
@
MOST
L 71-79
−5.5
14
@
KENN
L 86-89
+2.5
17
vs
SHSU
L 63-76
−15.5
22
@
UTEP
L 77-83
−7.5
24
@
NMSU
W 81-78
+10.5
28
vs
JXST
L 74-78
−7.5
covered 11didn’t cover 7avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@
NEB
L 66-96
+5.5
13
@
LSU
L 81-98
+20.5
24
vs
JMU
L 72-80
−3.5
26
vs
OMA
W 74-61
−22.5
3
vs
FGCU
W 89-83
+17.5
6
vs
JAX
W 88-65
+7.5
16
@
MIA
L 81-98
+17.5
20
vs
LIU
W 86-79
+3.5
28
vs
LIB
L 94-97
+38.5
2
vs
NMSU
W 89-74
+5.5
4
vs
UTEP
W 76-64
−12.5
7
@
JXST
L 64-71
−15.5
10
@
MOST
L 71-79
−3.5
14
@
KENN
L 86-89
−0.5
17
vs
SHSU
L 63-76
−29.5
22
@
UTEP
L 77-83
+8.5
24
@
NMSU
W 81-78
−0.5
28
vs
JXST
L 74-78
+3.5
over 10under 8avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
MTSU
18 games played
Straight up
8-10
44% wins
Against the spread
7-11
39% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-11
39% overs · avg −2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12 | @ | W 77-72 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 140.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 19 | @ | L 61-86 | +27.5 | W +2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 23 | vs | W 90-87 | +6.5 | W +9.5 | 161.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 24 | vs | L 79-92 | +9.5 | L −3.5 | 158.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 25 | vs | L 62-72 | +9.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 1 | vs | W 76-61 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 7 | vs | L 62-83 | +3.5 | L −17.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 17 | vs | W 68-67 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 29 | @ | L 60-69 | +25.5 | W +16.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 2 | vs | W 88-51 | -6.5 | W +30.5 | 134.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 4 | vs | W 68-67 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 156.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 8 | @ | L 80-83 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 137.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 10 | @ | W 59-55 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 14 | @ | L 58-59 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 131.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 17 | vs | W 90-87 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 23 | @ | L 58-75 | -1.5 | L −18.5 | 133.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 29 | vs | L 65-81 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 136.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 31 | vs | L 60-65 | -6.5 | L −11.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
12
@
EVAN
W 77-72
+7.5
19
@
MICH
L 61-86
+2.5
23
vs
MUR
W 90-87
+9.5
24
vs
GW
L 79-92
−3.5
25
vs
MCN
L 62-72
−0.5
1
vs
UAB
W 76-61
+16.5
7
vs
BEL
L 62-83
−17.5
17
vs
KENN
W 68-67
−2.5
29
@
HOU
L 60-69
+16.5
2
vs
LT
W 88-51
+30.5
4
vs
SHSU
W 68-67
−3.5
8
@
UTEP
L 80-83
−6.5
10
@
NMSU
W 59-55
+7.5
14
@
LT
L 58-59
−4.5
17
vs
MOST
W 90-87
−2.5
23
@
JXST
L 58-75
−18.5
29
vs
LIB
L 65-81
−14.5
31
vs
WKU
L 60-65
−11.5
covered 7didn’t cover 11avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
12
@
EVAN
W 77-72
+8.5
19
@
MICH
L 61-86
−12.5
23
vs
MUR
W 90-87
+15.5
24
vs
GW
L 79-92
+12.5
25
vs
MCN
L 62-72
−13.5
1
vs
UAB
W 76-61
−16.5
7
vs
BEL
L 62-83
−8.5
17
vs
KENN
W 68-67
−25.5
29
@
HOU
L 60-69
−9.5
2
vs
LT
W 88-51
+4.5
4
vs
SHSU
W 68-67
−21.5
8
@
UTEP
L 80-83
+25.5
10
@
NMSU
W 59-55
−30.5
14
@
LT
L 58-59
−14.5
17
vs
MOST
W 90-87
+39.5
23
@
JXST
L 58-75
−0.5
29
vs
LIB
L 65-81
+9.5
31
vs
WKU
L 60-65
−15.5
over 7under 11avg −2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
FIU
7-11 overall · 3-7 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Jax State74–78
- W@ New Mexico St81–78
- L@ UTEP77–83
- Lvs Sam Houston63–76
- L@ Kennesaw St86–89
A week or more of rest.
MTSU
8-10 overall · 5-5 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Western KY60–65
- Lvs Liberty65–81
- L@ Jax State58–75
- Wvs Missouri St90–87
- L@ Louisiana Tech58–59
4 days since their last game.