Murphy Center · at MTSU · Conference game
Closing line
MTSU -5.5✓ MOST covered by 2.5
MTSU -5.5✓ MOST covered by 2.5Closing total137.5Over by 39.5
 MOST | This season | MTSU |
|---|---|---|
| 7-7 | Record | 7-7 |
| 7-7 | ATS | 7-7 |
| 6-8 | O/U | 5-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MOST 66–74 MTSU · ✓ MTSU (76%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | 2OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOST | 36 | 32 | 10 | 9 | 87 |
| MTSU | 38 | 30 | 10 | 12 | 90 |
1st half: MOST 36, MTSU 38 (MTSU by 2). The model had MTSU by 4.7 and a total of 65.2 (actual 74).
Team stats
| MOST | MTSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-69 43% | Field goals | 29-55 53% |
| 11-25 44% | 3-pointers | 14-28 50% |
| 16-26 62% | Free throws | 18-23 78% |
| 33 15 off | Rebounds | 36 9 off |
| 16 | Assists | 17 |
| 10 | Steals | 5 |
| 2 | Blocks | 10 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 18 |
| 22 | Fouls | 20 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| MOST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobi Williams G | 45 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 5-14 | 4-9 |
| Keith Palek III F | 43 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 6-17 | 2-5 |
| Antwan Burnett G | 32 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Michael Osei-Bonsu F | 32 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 8-14 | 0-0 |
| Trey Williams Jr. G | 28 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1-6 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Zaxton King G | 34 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 4-7 | 3-5 |
| Cameron Boone F | 12 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Darrion Sutton F | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Melakih Cunningham G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Tyrique Brooks G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Collin Clark, Ryder Cheesman, Logan Epes, Amar Kuljuhovic
| MTSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamari Lands G | 44 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 7-14 | 7-13 |
| Torey Alston F | 43 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 6-12 | 1-2 |
| Chris Loofe F | 39 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Alec Oglesby G | 32 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3-6 | 3-5 |
| Jahvin Carter G | 25 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 3-8 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Sean Smith G | 27 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5-5 | 1-1 |
| Tre Green G | 14 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Marcus Whitlock Jr. G | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Luka Jovanovic C | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| James Dent Jr. G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Savon Wykle, Brandon Oloumou, Jax Howard, Charvez Ambrose, Jarred Hall
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMTSU -7.5
2 → MOST
CloseMTSU -5.5
2 pts toward MOST
Total
Open137.5
no move
Close137.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
MOST +215 · MTSU -265
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MTSU -7.5 · closed MTSU -5.5 · moved 2 toward MOSTmodel MTSU -8
model MTSU -8
Opened 137.5 · unchangedmodel 139
model 139
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MTSU -5.5 | MTSU -8.1 | MTSU +2.6 | L MOST covered |
| Total | 137.5 | 139.1 | Over 1.6 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | MOST 65.5 · MTSU 73.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MTSU -4.7 | MTSU -2.0 |
| 1H total | 65.2 | 74 |
| 1H projected score | MOST 30.2 · MTSU 34.9 | MOST 36 · MTSU 38 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MOST | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| MTSU | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MOST 1–1 MTSUSeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · MOST 1-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2023-24 | MOST 73 @ MTSU 77 | MTSU -1.5 | MTSU W |
| Nov 19, 2022-23 | MTSU 51 @ MOST 75 | MOST -2 | MOST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Missouri St
14 games played
Straight up
7-7
50% wins
Against the spread
7-7
50% covers · avg −1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-8
43% overs · avg −0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11 | vs ARST | L 85-86 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 15 | @ UTA | L 49-67 | +3.5 | L −14.5 | 143.5 | U 116 |
| Nov 22 | vs RGV | W 74-67 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 24 | vs LIU | L 61-75 | -4.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 6 | @ TLSA | L 74-98 | +7.5 | L −16.5 | 142.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 12 | @ XAV | L 57-75 | +18.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 16 | vs ORU | W 63-62 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 23 | vs LIN | W 70-65 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 29 | @ DEL | W 61-43 | -1.5 | W +16.5 | 131.5 | U 104 |
| Jan 2 | vs UTEP | W 79-55 | -3.5 | W +20.5 | 131.5 | O 134 |
| Jan 4 | vs NMSU | W 89-82 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 134.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 7 | @ KENN | L 80-90 | +6.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 10 | vs FIU | W 79-71 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 14 | @ WKU | L 72-87 | +6.5 | L −8.5 | 148.5 | O 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
11
vsARST
ARSTL 85-86
−2.5
15
@UTA
UTAL 49-67
−14.5
22
vsRGV
RGVW 74-67
+3.5
24
vsLIU
LIUL 61-75
−18.5
6
@TLSA
TLSAL 74-98
−16.5
12
@XAV
XAVL 57-75
+0.5
16
vsORU
ORUW 63-62
−3.5
23
vsLIN
LINW 70-65
+1.5
29
@DEL
DELW 61-43
+16.5
2
vsUTEP
UTEPW 79-55
+20.5
4
vsNMSU
NMSUW 89-82
+5.5
7
@KENN
KENNL 80-90
−3.5
10
vsFIU
FIUW 79-71
+5.5
14
@WKU
WKUL 72-87
−8.5
covered 7didn’t cover 7avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
11
vsARST
ARSTL 85-86
+18.5
15
@UTA
UTAL 49-67
−27.5
22
vsRGV
RGVW 74-67
−8.5
24
vsLIU
LIUL 61-75
−9.5
6
@TLSA
TLSAL 74-98
+29.5
12
@XAV
XAVL 57-75
−19.5
16
vsORU
ORUW 63-62
−21.5
23
vsLIN
LINW 70-65
−10.5
29
@DEL
DELW 61-43
−27.5
2
vsUTEP
UTEPW 79-55
+2.5
4
vsNMSU
NMSUW 89-82
+36.5
7
@KENN
KENNL 80-90
+17.5
10
vsFIU
FIUW 79-71
−3.5
14
@WKU
WKUL 72-87
+10.5
over 6under 8avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
MTSU
14 games played
Straight up
7-7
50% wins
Against the spread
7-7
50% covers · avg +3.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-9
36% overs · avg −6.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12 | @ EVAN | W 77-72 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 140.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 19 | @ MICH | L 61-86 | +27.5 | W +2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 23 | vs MUR | W 90-87 | +6.5 | W +9.5 | 161.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 24 | vs GW | L 79-92 | +9.5 | L −3.5 | 158.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 25 | vs MCN | L 62-72 | +9.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 1 | vs UAB | W 76-61 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 7 | vs BEL | L 62-83 | +3.5 | L −17.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 17 | vsKENN | W 68-67 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 29 | @ HOU | L 60-69 | +25.5 | W +16.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 2 | vs LT | W 88-51 | -6.5 | W +30.5 | 134.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 4 | vs SHSU | W 68-67 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 156.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 8 | @UTEP | L 80-83 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 137.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 10 | @NMSU | W 59-55 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 14 | @LT | L 58-59 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 131.5 | U 117 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
12
@EVAN
EVANW 77-72
+7.5
19
@MICH
MICHL 61-86
+2.5
23
vsMUR
MURW 90-87
+9.5
24
vsGW
GWL 79-92
−3.5
25
vsMCN
MCNL 62-72
−0.5
1
vsUAB
UABW 76-61
+16.5
7
vsBEL
BELL 62-83
−17.5
17
vsKENN
KENNW 68-67
−2.5
29
@HOU
HOUL 60-69
+16.5
2
vsLT
LTW 88-51
+30.5
4
vsSHSU
SHSUW 68-67
−3.5
8
@UTEP
UTEPL 80-83
−6.5
10
@NMSU
NMSUW 59-55
+7.5
14
@LT
LTL 58-59
−4.5
covered 7didn’t cover 7avg +3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
12
@EVAN
EVANW 77-72
+8.5
19
@MICH
MICHL 61-86
−12.5
23
vsMUR
MURW 90-87
+15.5
24
vsGW
GWL 79-92
+12.5
25
vsMCN
MCNL 62-72
−13.5
1
vsUAB
UABW 76-61
−16.5
7
vsBEL
BELL 62-83
−8.5
17
vsKENN
KENNW 68-67
−25.5
29
@HOU
HOUL 60-69
−9.5
2
vsLT
LTW 88-51
+4.5
4
vsSHSU
SHSUW 68-67
−21.5
8
@UTEP
UTEPL 80-83
+25.5
10
@NMSU
NMSUW 59-55
−30.5
14
@LT
LTL 58-59
−14.5
over 5under 9avg −6.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Missouri St
7-7 overall · 4-2 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Western KY72–87
- Wvs FIU79–71
- L@ Kennesaw St80–90
- Wvs New Mexico St89–82
- Wvs UTEP79–55
3 days since their last game.
MTSU
7-7 overall · 4-2 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Louisiana Tech58–59
- W@ New Mexico St59–55
- L@ UTEP80–83
- Wvs Sam Houston68–67
- Wvs Louisiana Tech88–51
3 days since their last game.