Yuengling Center · at South Florida · Conference game
Closing line
USF -5.5✓ USF covered by 8.5
USF -5.5✓ USF covered by 8.5Closing total166.5Under by 2.5
 FAU | This season | USF |
|---|---|---|
| 12-6 | Record | 11-7 |
| 13-5 | ATS | 8-10 |
| 10-8 | O/U | 10-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: FAU 81–87 USF · ✓ USF (67%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FAU | 36 | 39 | 75 |
| USF | 33 | 56 | 89 |
1st half: FAU 36, USF 33 (FAU by 3). The model had USF by 2.9 and a total of 78.6 (actual 69).
Team stats
| FAU | USF | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-66 41% | Field goals | 30-68 44% |
| 7-22 32% | 3-pointers | 7-27 26% |
| 14-19 74% | Free throws | 22-31 71% |
| 35 15 off | Rebounds | 49 21 off |
| 8 | Assists | 18 |
| 5 | Steals | 5 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 20 | Fouls | 16 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 16 |
Players
| FAU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kanaan Carlyle G | 36 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 4-17 | 2-7 |
| Devin Vanterpool G | 36 | 22 | 5 | 2 | 9-18 | 4-7 |
| Isaiah Elohim G | 30 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-1 |
| Devin Williams F | 21 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Xander Pintelon F | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Josiah Parker F | 22 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 6-12 | 0-1 |
| Maxim Logue F | 19 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Niccolo Moretti G | 18 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Yohann Sissoko G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Liam Dayco-Green, Max Langenfeld, Amar Amkou, Zion Sampaio, Vincent Neugebauer, Lachlan Smith
| USF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Pinion G | 35 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 4-14 | 1-6 |
| Wes Enis G | 34 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 5-13 | 5-13 |
| CJ Brown G | 33 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 5-14 | 0-2 |
| Josh Omojafo G | 32 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Izaiyah Nelson F | 31 | 15 | 12 | 0 | 6-10 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Daimion Collins F | 14 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 6-7 | 0-1 |
| Adriel Nyorha G | 11 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Devin Haid G | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Jones F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Onyx Nnani, Xavier Brown, Gavin Hightower, De'Ante Green, Caleb Sanders, Tristan Beckford
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUSF -5.5
ModelUSF -5.2
Model edgeFAU +0.3
L USF covered
Total
Market166.5
Model168.0
Model edgeOver 1.5
L Under
Projected score
FAU 81.4 · USF 86.6
FAU 75 · USF 89
Win probability
USF 67%
1st half
Spread
USF -2.9
FAU -3.0
Total
78.6
69 points
Projected score
FAU 37.8 · USF 40.8
FAU 36 · USF 33
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSF -6.5
1 → FAU
CloseUSF -5.5
1 pt toward FAU
Total
Open166.5
no move
Close166.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
FAU +215 · USF -265
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USF -6.5 · closed USF -5.5 · moved 1 toward FAUmodel USF -5
model USF -5
Opened 166.5 · unchangedmodel 168
model 168
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FAU | 7-3 70% | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% |
| USF | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
FAU 2–1 USFFAU leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · FAU has won the last 2 meetings · FAU 2-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024-25 | FAU 69 @ USF 63 | USF +2.5 | FAU W |
| Feb 2, 2024-25 | USF 72 @ FAU 94 | FAU -8.5 | FAU W |
| Feb 18, 2023-24 | FAU 86 @ USF 90 | USF +5.5 | USF W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
FAU
18 games played
Straight up
12-6
67% wins
Against the spread
13-5
72% covers · avg +4.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-8
56% overs · avg +3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BC | W 83-78 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 8 | vs COFC | W 94-77 | -5.5 | W +11.5 | 156.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 9 | @ LIB | L 68-88 | +7.5 | L −12.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 20 | vs PAC | W 82-59 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 154.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 24 | vs LMU | W 76-65 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 25 | vs GMU | L 65-74 | +4.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 30 | vs SBU | L 65-70 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 7 | @ FGCU | W 81-76 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 13 | vs UALB | W 105-79 | -18.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 19 | @ SMC | L 75-88 | +13.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 23 | @ UCF | L 80-85 | +8.5 | W +3.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 31 | vs UTSA | W 110-70 | -16.5 | W +23.5 | 158.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 4 | @ TULN | L 66-69 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 158.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 7 | @ UAB | W 76-71 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 162.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 11 | vs MEM | W 89-78 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 15 | vs WICH | W 85-67 | -3.5 | W +14.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 18 | @ TEM | W 79-73 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 21 | vsTULN | W 79-74 | -10.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBC
BCW 83-78
+3.5
8
vsCOFC
COFCW 94-77
+11.5
9
@LIB
LIBL 68-88
−12.5
20
vsPAC
PACW 82-59
+15.5
24
vsLMU
LMUW 76-65
+7.5
25
vsGMU
GMUL 65-74
−4.5
30
vsSBU
SBUL 65-70
−6.5
7
@FGCU
FGCUW 81-76
+2.5
13
vsUALB
UALBW 105-79
+7.5
19
@SMC
SMCL 75-88
+0.5
23
@UCF
UCFL 80-85
+3.5
31
vsUTSA
UTSAW 110-70
+23.5
4
@TULN
TULNL 66-69
−6.5
7
@UAB
UABW 76-71
+8.5
11
vsMEM
MEMW 89-78
+9.5
15
vsWICH
WICHW 85-67
+14.5
18
@TEM
TEMW 79-73
+3.5
21
vsTULN
TULNW 79-74
−5.5
covered 13didn’t cover 5avg +4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBC
BCW 83-78
+12.5
8
vsCOFC
COFCW 94-77
+14.5
9
@LIB
LIBL 68-88
+3.5
20
vsPAC
PACW 82-59
−13.5
24
vsLMU
LMUW 76-65
−3.5
25
vsGMU
GMUL 65-74
−4.5
30
vsSBU
SBUL 65-70
−11.5
7
@FGCU
FGCUW 81-76
+6.5
13
vsUALB
UALBW 105-79
+36.5
19
@SMC
SMCL 75-88
+17.5
23
@UCF
UCFL 80-85
+2.5
31
vsUTSA
UTSAW 110-70
+21.5
4
@TULN
TULNL 66-69
−23.5
7
@UAB
UABW 76-71
−15.5
11
vsMEM
MEMW 89-78
+14.5
15
vsWICH
WICHW 85-67
−3.5
18
@TEM
TEMW 79-73
+3.5
21
vsTULN
TULNW 79-74
−2.5
over 10under 8avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
South Florida
18 games played
Straight up
11-7
61% wins
Against the spread
8-10
44% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-8
56% overs · avg +5.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FAMU | W 102-67 | -25.5 | W +9.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 8 | vs GW | L 95-99 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 159.5 | O 194 |
| Nov 12 | vs COPP | W 100-50 | -34.5 | W +15.5 | 167.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 16 | @ KENN | W 108-89 | -7.5 | W +11.5 | 177.5 | O 197 |
| Nov 19 | @ OKST | L 95-103 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 177.5 | O 198 |
| Nov 26 | vs VCU | L 66-78 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 172.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 27 | vs WKU | W 97-91 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 167.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 28 | vs CSU | L 68-83 | -2.5 | L −17.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 4 | vs USU | W 74-61 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 162.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 10 | vsCOFC | W 81-75 | -13.5 | L −7.5 | 160.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 17 | @ ALA | L 93-104 | +14.5 | W +3.5 | 178.5 | O 197 |
| Dec 21 | vs UMBC | W 94-69 | -22.5 | W +2.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 4 | vsUAB | L 106-109 | -8.5 | L −11.5 | 163.5 | O 215 |
| Jan 7 | @ UNT | W 74-70 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | @ TLSA | W 93-78 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 163.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 14 | vs ECU | W 82-71 | -18.5 | L −7.5 | 158.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 18 | vsWICH | L 85-86 | -7.5 | L −8.5 | 158.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 22 | @UAB | W 82-69 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 168.5 | U 151 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFAMU
FAMUW 102-67
+9.5
8
vsGW
GWL 95-99
−5.5
12
vsCOPP
COPPW 100-50
+15.5
16
@KENN
KENNW 108-89
+11.5
19
@OKST
OKSTL 95-103
−4.5
26
vsVCU
VCUL 66-78
−10.5
27
vsWKU
WKUW 97-91
−1.5
28
vsCSU
CSUL 68-83
−17.5
4
vsUSU
USUW 74-61
+10.5
10
vsCOFC
COFCW 81-75
−7.5
17
@ALA
ALAL 93-104
+3.5
21
vsUMBC
UMBCW 94-69
+2.5
4
vsUAB
UABL 106-109
−11.5
7
@UNT
UNTW 74-70
−0.5
10
@TLSA
TLSAW 93-78
+16.5
14
vsECU
ECUW 82-71
−7.5
18
vsWICH
WICHL 85-86
−8.5
22
@UAB
UABW 82-69
+10.5
covered 8didn’t cover 10avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFAMU
FAMUW 102-67
+15.5
8
vsGW
GWL 95-99
+34.5
12
vsCOPP
COPPW 100-50
−17.5
16
@KENN
KENNW 108-89
+19.5
19
@OKST
OKSTL 95-103
+20.5
26
vsVCU
VCUL 66-78
−28.5
27
vsWKU
WKUW 97-91
+20.5
28
vsCSU
CSUL 68-83
−4.5
4
vsUSU
USUW 74-61
−27.5
10
vsCOFC
COFCW 81-75
−4.5
17
@ALA
ALAL 93-104
+18.5
21
vsUMBC
UMBCW 94-69
+2.5
4
vsUAB
UABL 106-109
+51.5
7
@UNT
UNTW 74-70
−3.5
10
@TLSA
TLSAW 93-78
+7.5
14
vsECU
ECUW 82-71
−5.5
18
vsWICH
WICHL 85-86
+12.5
22
@UAB
UABW 82-69
−17.5
over 10under 8avg +5.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
FAU
12-6 overall · 6-1 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Tulane79–74
- W@ Temple79–73
- Wvs Wichita St85–67
- Wvs Memphis89–78
- W@ UAB76–71
4 days since their last game.
South Florida
11-7 overall · 4-2 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ UAB82–69
- Lvs Wichita St85–86
- Wvs East Carolina82–71
- W@ Tulsa93–78
- W@ North Texas74–70
3 days since their last game.