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Conference
4-14 · #88
6-11 · #355
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 63.2
Spread edge
—
model NHVN -4.2
Conference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 78.8
Spread edge
—
model PFW -2.6
Conference
7-12 · #195
3-15 · #255
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 67.8
Spread edge
—
model SIU -3.1
Half finalConference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 78.6
Projected
38–41
✗ USF lost
Half finalConference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 70.8
Projected
34–37
✓ WASH won
Half finalConference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 63.7
Projected
29–34
✗ MERC lost
Half finalConference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 77.4
Projected
37–41
✓ WIS won
| Status | Matchup | Spread | Total | Model line | Spread edge | Model total | Total edge | Win prob | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | NHVN -4.2 | — | 63.2 | — | 68% NHVN | › | |||
| — | — | PFW -2.6 | — | 78.8 | — | 61% PFW | › | |||
| — | — | SIU -3.1 | — | 67.8 | — | 63% SIU | › | |||
| Half final |  12-6 · #109  11-7 · #84 |
— | — | USF -2.9 | — | 78.6 | — | 63% USF | › | |
| Half final |  8-11 · #57  10-9 · #56 |
— | — | WASH -3.6 | — | 70.8 | — | 65% WASH | › | |
| Half final |  1-18 · #362  7-11 · #331 |
— | — | MERC -5.2 | — | 63.7 | — | 71% MERC | › | |
| Half final |  13-5 · #36  14-5 · #41 |
— | — | WIS -3.7 | — | 77.4 | — | 66% WIS | › |
The model’s 1st half is fitted from its full-game numbers and past halves; ESPN posts no 1st-half lines for college games. The # beside a record is the team’s power rank today, from the Rankings; AP is the poll. Spread is the market line (the favorite shows the minus). Model line and Model edge are from the model, never the market. Lines are pre-tip-off: after tip-off a tile shows the closing line. Model record