1. NCAAB
  2. Wed, Dec 2
  3. DART @ DAV
NCAAB · Wed, Dec 2

Dartmouth Big Green at Davidson Wildcats

John M. Belk Arena · at Davidson
#252DARTDartmouth
@
#115DAVDavidson
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
DARTThis seasonDAV
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects DAV 79–65 · win probability DAV 90%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 143.5
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: DAV has more of the edges

DART 1, DAV 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
DAVBig
DART offense vs DAV defense
Offense 261st of 366 against a defense 84th, on the model’s ratings
DAVBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: DART 17.6%, DAV 15.8%. Forced: DART 13.8%, DAV 17.5%
DARTBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: DART 38.0, DAV 31.0. Allowed: DART 30.7, DAV 37.1
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: DART plays 69.6 a game (143rd fastest), DAV 65.0 (347th). Faster games mean more points
DAVSmall
DAV offense vs DART defense
Offense 149th of 366 against a defense 229th, on the model’s ratings
DAVSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: DART 51.8 and allows 52.7; DAV 52.6 and allows 50.6
Context
Schedule so far
DART has played the 145th-hardest schedule, DAV the 91st. A record against a soft schedule means less
DAVSmall
Home court
DAV at home. This season: DAV 0-0 at home, DART 0-0 away
DAVSmall
Three-pointers
DART hits 36.1% and allows 34.6%; DAV hits 35.4% and allows 32.6%. Threes are 48.7% and 44.5% of their shots
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: DART 23.7%, DAV 28.1%. Defensive: DART 70.3%, DAV 70.0%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: DART 40%, DAV 49%. Transfers in: DART 1, DAV 2. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—DAV -14.6—
Total—143.5—
Projected score—DART 64.5 · DAV 79

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadDAV -8.6—
1H total67.1—
1H projected scoreDART 29.3 · DAV 37.8—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Davidson has the better starters

Position by position: Dartmouth 0, Davidson 3, even 2
DartmouthBetterDavidson
G C. McNamee5.7 pts · 3.4 reb · 0.5 ast Score 34
DAVBig
G N. Janowski TR16.7 pts · 5 reb · 2.1 ast Score 81
G L. Williams TR4.8 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.8 ast Score 16
DAVSmall
G S. Brown7.9 pts · 2 reb · 2.1 ast Score 33
G N. Abusara5 pts · 2.3 reb · 1.1 ast Score 47
Even
G N. Coval6.2 pts · 1.5 reb · 1.6 ast Score 49
G C. Hiatt3.4 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.9 ast Score 8
DAVBig
F J. Scovens11.1 pts · 4.2 reb · 2 ast Score 88
G B. Brown1.5 pts · 0.3 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
No call
C I. Platteeuw3.9 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.9 ast Score 43
DartmouthBetterDavidson
DART offense261st of 366 · -8.0
DAVBig
DAV defense84th of 366 · +0.0
DART defense229th of 366 · -6.1
DAVSmall
DAV offense149th of 366 · -4.5
Backcourt-7.2 · 5 players
DAVBig
Backcourt-0.2 · 3 players
FrontcourtNo numbers yet
No call
Frontcourt+2.2 · 2 players
Bench-0.4 · 4 players
Even
Bench-0.9 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestDART betterDAV betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Dartmouth
Guards
C. McNamee20 minL. Williams20 min · TRN. Abusara17 minC. Hiatt17 minB. Brown9 minC. AldrichNew
Forwards
P. Tivnan6 minS. Simango3 minT. Garrett3 minJ. PollackNew
Centers
A. Strelnikov6 minD. CivelloNew
Davidson
Guards
N. Janowski32 min · TRS. Brown24 minN. Coval19 minP. Kavu1 minJ. CarterNewE. HeinonenNew
Forwards
J. Scovens25 minJ. Roberts12 minJ. Keith9 min · TRJ. Nowland1 minQ. BashiruNewT. StoiberNew
Centers
I. Platteeuw15 min
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
DARTDAV
Scoring
73.1 #222Points per game69.9 #289
1.05 #253Points per possession1.08 #189
69.6 #143Pace (possessions)65.0 #347
Shooting
51.8 #156Effective FG%52.6 #121
36.1 #513-point %35.4 #92
48.7 #223-point attempt rate44.5 #79
38.0 #103Free throw rate31.0 #283
Possessions
17.6 #248Turnover rate15.8 #124
23.7 #346Offensive rebound rate28.1 #265
12.8 #227Assists per game13.4 #184
Defense
78.4 #276Points allowed68.5 #40
1.13 #287Points allowed per possession1.05 #94
52.7 #254Opponent effective FG%50.6 #132
34.6 #227Opponent 3-point %32.6 #92
13.8 #339Turnovers forced17.5 #121
70.3 #148Defensive rebound rate70.0 #157
5.0 #337Steals per game6.4 #189
3.5 #147Blocks per game4.1 #66
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Dartmouth

9-16 in 2025-26 overall · 5-9 in conference · Ivy League

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Cornell90–111
  • L@ Princeton61–82
  • L@ Penn71–80
  • W@ Columbia64–63
  • Lvs Brown76–79

A week or more of rest.

Davidson

18-14 in 2025-26 overall · 11-9 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Oklahoma St80–84
  • Lvs Saint Joseph's58–70
  • Wvs Loyola Chicago64–59
  • W@ St Bonaventure68–63
  • Lvs Saint Joseph's67–70

A week or more of rest.