1. NCAAB
  2. Wed, Dec 2
  3. CAM @ LONG
NCAAB · Wed, Dec 2

Campbell Fighting Camels at Longwood Lancers

Joan Perry Brock Center · at Longwood
#243CAMCampbell
@
#218LONGLongwood
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
CAMThis seasonLONG
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects LONG 79–75 · win probability LONG 62%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 153.4
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: LONG has more of the edges

CAM 1, LONG 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Schedule so far
CAM has played the 134th-hardest schedule, LONG the 330th. A record against a soft schedule means less
LONGSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: CAM 33.5%, LONG 34.6%. Defensive: CAM 68.0%, LONG 72.3%
LONGSmall
LONG offense vs CAM defense
Offense 182nd of 366 against a defense 275th, on the model’s ratings
CAMSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: CAM 43.5, LONG 41.4. Allowed: CAM 37.0, LONG 42.1
LONGSmall
Home court
LONG at home. This season: LONG 0-0 at home, CAM 0-0 away
LONGSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: CAM 0%, LONG 28%. Transfers in: CAM 2, LONG 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Three-pointers
CAM hits 32.3% and allows 35.5%; LONG hits 31.4% and allows 33.8%. Threes are 36.9% and 34.8% of their shots
Context
Tempo
About 71 possessions: CAM plays 70.0 a game (118th fastest), LONG 71.5 (54th). Faster games mean more points
Even
CAM offense vs LONG defense
Offense 217th of 366 against a defense 242nd, on the model’s ratings
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: CAM 17.6%, LONG 19.2%. Forced: CAM 17.0%, LONG 19.7%
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: CAM 50.1 and allows 53.9; LONG 49.7 and allows 53.8
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—LONG -3.6—
Total—153.4—
Projected score—CAM 74.9 · LONG 78.5

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadLONG -2.0—
1H total71.7—
1H projected scoreCAM 34.8 · LONG 36.9—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Campbell 1, Longwood 1, even 3
CampbellBetterLongwood
G L. Waddles TR11.7 pts · 4.7 reb · 2 ast Score 48
LONGSmall
G M. Williams TR9.9 pts · 3.6 reb · 4.1 ast Score 65
G E. Butkus NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
G A. Billups7.8 pts · 2.6 reb · 1.2 ast Score 47
G A. Wright NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
G J. Benard7.3 pts · 3.6 reb · 0.9 ast Score 44
G J. Browder NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
G T. Robinson TR9.5 pts · 1.9 reb · 2.5 ast Score 64
F N. Kapic TR3.9 pts · 2 reb · 0.4 ast Score 55
CAMSmall
G E. Kelly2.1 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.3 ast Score 28
CampbellBetterLongwood
CAM offense217th of 366 · -6.7
Even
LONG defense242nd of 366 · -6.4
CAM defense275th of 366 · -6.9
LONGSmall
LONG offense182nd of 366 · -5.7
Backcourt-0.7 · 4 players
Even
Backcourt-1.7 · 5 players
Frontcourt-0.0 · 1 player
No call
FrontcourtNo numbers yet
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench-1.7 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestCAM betterLONG betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Campbell
Guards
L. Waddles29 min · TRE. ButkusNewA. WrightNewJ. BrowderNewB. RitgerNewC. McAbeeNew
Forwards
N. Kapic11 min · TRK. RogersNewS. MooreNewB. ThetNew
Longwood
Guards
M. Williams24 min · TRA. Billups23 minJ. Benard20 minT. Robinson19 min · TRE. Kelly11 minB. Wesson2 min · TR
Forwards
D. Kauzonas10 min · TRL. Milosevic8 min · TRK. Musungay4 min · TRI. Kalala3 min
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
CAMLONG
Scoring
76.1 #140Points per game75.9 #143
1.08 #175Points per possession1.07 #215
70.0 #118Pace (possessions)71.5 #54
Shooting
50.1 #230Effective FG%49.7 #254
32.3 #2673-point %31.4 #309
36.9 #2323-point attempt rate34.8 #279
43.5 #16Free throw rate41.4 #40
Possessions
17.6 #240Turnover rate19.2 #327
33.5 #77Offensive rebound rate34.6 #57
11.4 #315Assists per game12.2 #270
Defense
78.8 #289Points allowed76.2 #223
1.13 #282Points allowed per possession1.06 #113
53.9 #295Opponent effective FG%53.8 #293
35.5 #277Opponent 3-point %33.8 #171
17.0 #153Turnovers forced19.7 #31
68.0 #254Defensive rebound rate72.3 #58
6.5 #179Steals per game8.3 #28
1.5 #361Blocks per game2.0 #347
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Campbell

14-18 in 2025-26 overall · 10-11 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Monmouth64–74
  • Wvs UNC Wilmington85–70
  • Wvs Stony Brook96–89
  • Wvs NC A&T90–72
  • L@ Towson67–71

A week or more of rest.

Longwood

13-16 in 2025-26 overall · 8-9 in conference · Big South Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs UNC Asheville82–85
  • Wvs Radford90–74
  • W@ Charleston So107–96
  • L@ Presbyterian65–72
  • Wvs SC Upstate82–75

A week or more of rest.