1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Dec 5
  3. NORF @ CAM
NCAAB · Sat, Dec 5

Norfolk State Spartans at Campbell Fighting Camels

John W. Pope Jr. Convocation Center · at Campbell
#319NORFNorfolk St
@
#243CAMCampbell
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
NORFThis seasonCAM
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects CAM 80–70 · win probability CAM 80%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 149.8
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: CAM has more of the edges

NORF 1, CAM 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Schedule so far
NORF has played the 343rd-hardest schedule, CAM the 134th. A record against a soft schedule means less
NORFBig
Three-pointers
NORF hits 34.2% and allows 32.0%; CAM hits 32.3% and allows 35.5%. Threes are 30.6% and 36.9% of their shots
CAMSmall
CAM offense vs NORF defense
Offense 217th of 366 against a defense 301st, on the model’s ratings
CAMSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: NORF 43.5, CAM 43.5. Allowed: NORF 45.3, CAM 37.0
CAMSmall
Home court
CAM at home. This season: CAM 0-0 at home, NORF 0-0 away
Even
NORF offense vs CAM defense
Offense 314th of 366 against a defense 275th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: NORF plays 69.1 a game (172nd fastest), CAM 70.0 (118th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: NORF 49.3 and allows 51.7; CAM 50.1 and allows 53.9
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: NORF 32.5%, CAM 33.5%. Defensive: NORF 67.7%, CAM 68.0%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: NORF 8%, CAM 0%. Transfers in: NORF 4, CAM 2. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: NORF 18.7%, CAM 17.6%. Forced: NORF 18.8%, CAM 17.0%
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—CAM -9.6—
Total—149.8—
Projected score—NORF 70.1 · CAM 79.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadCAM -5.6—
1H total70.0—
1H projected scoreNORF 32.2 · CAM 37.8—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Norfolk St 0, Campbell 0, even 5
Norfolk StBetterCampbell
G B. Laster TR6.9 pts · 2.7 reb · 1 ast Score 51
Even
G L. Waddles TR11.7 pts · 4.7 reb · 2 ast Score 48
G A. Newton3.6 pts · 1.4 reb · 2.1 ast Score 12
No call
G E. Butkus NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
F J. Gupton TR7.7 pts · 4.9 reb · 0.8 ast Score 22
No call
G A. Wright NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
F B. Gardner TR3.5 pts · 2.6 reb · 0.4 ast Score 3
No call
G J. Browder NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
F J. Riley TR3.4 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.6 ast Score 56
Even
F N. Kapic TR3.9 pts · 2 reb · 0.4 ast Score 55
Norfolk StBetterCampbell
NORF offense314th of 366 · -10.1
Even
CAM defense275th of 366 · -6.9
NORF defense301st of 366 · -7.7
CAMSmall
CAM offense217th of 366 · -6.7
Backcourt-2.2 · 2 players
CAMSmall
Backcourt-0.7 · 4 players
Frontcourt-4.2 · 3 players
CAMBig
Frontcourt-0.0 · 1 player
Bench-0.0 · 1 player
No call
BenchNo numbers yet
Score, worst to bestNORF betterCAM betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Norfolk St
Guards
B. Laster19 min · TRA. Newton16 minA. Torrence1 minC. WalkerNewD. CamaraNewJ. SkyersNew
Forwards
J. Gupton25 min · TRB. Gardner16 min · TRJ. Riley11 min · TRM. MitchellNew
Centers
J. JordanNew
Campbell
Guards
L. Waddles29 min · TRE. ButkusNewA. WrightNewJ. BrowderNewB. RitgerNewC. McAbeeNew
Forwards
N. Kapic11 min · TRK. RogersNewS. MooreNewB. ThetNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
NORFCAM
Scoring
71.6 #257Points per game76.1 #140
1.04 #274Points per possession1.08 #175
69.1 #172Pace (possessions)70.0 #118
Shooting
49.3 #277Effective FG%50.1 #230
34.2 #1573-point %32.3 #267
30.6 #3473-point attempt rate36.9 #232
43.5 #13Free throw rate43.5 #16
Possessions
18.7 #311Turnover rate17.6 #240
32.5 #108Offensive rebound rate33.5 #77
11.3 #326Assists per game11.4 #315
Defense
74.7 #181Points allowed78.8 #289
1.08 #160Points allowed per possession1.13 #282
51.7 #196Opponent effective FG%53.9 #295
32.0 #61Opponent 3-point %35.5 #277
18.8 #58Turnovers forced17.0 #153
67.7 #270Defensive rebound rate68.0 #254
6.5 #180Steals per game6.5 #179
2.8 #264Blocks per game1.5 #361
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Norfolk St

11-17 in 2025-26 overall · 8-7 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs SC State82–88
  • Lvs Howard76–84
  • L@ Morgan St84–90
  • W@ Coppin St75–69
  • Wvs SC State90–71

A week or more of rest.

Campbell

14-18 in 2025-26 overall · 10-11 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Monmouth64–74
  • Wvs UNC Wilmington85–70
  • Wvs Stony Brook96–89
  • Wvs NC A&T90–72
  • L@ Towson67–71

A week or more of rest.