1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Dec 15
  3. CAM @ DUKE
NCAAB · Tue, Dec 15

Campbell Fighting Camels at Duke Blue Devils

Cameron Indoor Stadium · at Duke
#243CAMCampbell
@
#3DUKEDuke AP #2
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
CAMThis seasonDUKE
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects DUKE 95–55 · win probability DUKE 100%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 150.2
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: DUKE has more of the edges

CAM 0, DUKE 9 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
DUKEBig
DUKE offense vs CAM defense
Offense 11th of 366 against a defense 275th, on the model’s ratings
DUKEBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: CAM 50.1 and allows 53.9; DUKE 56.6 and allows 46.2
DUKEBig
CAM offense vs DUKE defense
Offense 217th of 366 against a defense 3rd, on the model’s ratings
DUKEBig
Three-pointers
CAM hits 32.3% and allows 35.5%; DUKE hits 34.7% and allows 30.6%. Threes are 36.9% and 43.5% of their shots
DUKEBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: CAM 33.5%, DUKE 38.4%. Defensive: CAM 68.0%, DUKE 74.8%
Context
Schedule so far
CAM has played the 134th-hardest schedule, DUKE the 23rd. A record against a soft schedule means less
DUKESmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: CAM 0%, DUKE 47%. Transfers in: CAM 2, DUKE 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: CAM plays 70.0 a game (118th fastest), DUKE 66.8 (285th). Faster games mean more points
DUKESmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: CAM 43.5, DUKE 38.2. Allowed: CAM 37.0, DUKE 22.8
DUKESmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: CAM 17.6%, DUKE 16.0%. Forced: CAM 17.0%, DUKE 17.2%
DUKESmall
Home court
DUKE at home. This season: DUKE 0-0 at home, CAM 0-0 away
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—DUKE -39.6—
Total—150.2—
Projected score—CAM 55.3 · DUKE 94.9

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadDUKE -23.4—
1H total70.2—
1H projected scoreCAM 23.4 · DUKE 46.8—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Duke has the better starters

Position by position: Campbell 0, Duke 1, even 4
CampbellBetterDuke
G L. Waddles TR11.7 pts · 4.7 reb · 2 ast Score 48
DUKEBig
G J. Blackwell TR19.1 pts · 5.1 reb · 2.3 ast Score 97
G E. Butkus NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
G C. Foster8.3 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.8 ast Score 76
G A. Wright NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
G J. Theodosiou TR12.8 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.6 ast Score 86
G J. Browder NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
G C. Boozer7.7 pts · 2.3 reb · 3 ast Score 85
F N. Kapic TR3.9 pts · 2 reb · 0.4 ast Score 55
Even
F D. Sarr6.4 pts · 3.8 reb · 1.1 ast Score 52
CampbellBetterDuke
CAM offense217th of 366 · -6.7
DUKEBig
DUKE defense3rd of 366 · +11.4
CAM defense275th of 366 · -6.9
DUKEBig
DUKE offense11th of 366 · +10.1
Backcourt-0.7 · 4 players
DUKEBig
Backcourt+9.2 · 4 players
Frontcourt-0.0 · 1 player
Even
Frontcourt-0.2 · 1 player
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench+7.0 · 2 players
Score, worst to bestCAM betterDUKE betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Campbell
Guards
L. Waddles29 min · TRE. ButkusNewA. WrightNewJ. BrowderNewB. RitgerNewC. McAbeeNew
Forwards
N. Kapic11 min · TRK. RogersNewS. MooreNewB. ThetNew
Duke
Guards
J. Blackwell34 min · TRC. Foster25 minJ. Theodosiou23 min · TRC. Boozer23 minB. DavisNewD. RippeyNew
Forwards
D. Sarr24 minD. Scharnowski22 min · TRS. WilkinsNewC. WilliamsNew
Centers
P. Ngongba22 minM. MeyerNewJ. Boumtje BoumtjeNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
CAMDUKE
Scoring
76.1 #140Points per game81.6 #36
1.08 #175Points per possession1.23 #4
70.0 #118Pace (possessions)66.8 #285
Shooting
50.1 #230Effective FG%56.6 #13
32.3 #2673-point %34.7 #133
36.9 #2323-point attempt rate43.5 #100
43.5 #16Free throw rate38.2 #97
Possessions
17.6 #240Turnover rate16.0 #139
33.5 #77Offensive rebound rate38.4 #4
11.4 #315Assists per game16.7 #32
Defense
78.8 #289Points allowed63.6 #3
1.13 #282Points allowed per possession0.95 #2
53.9 #295Opponent effective FG%46.2 #13
35.5 #277Opponent 3-point %30.6 #27
17.0 #153Turnovers forced17.2 #133
68.0 #254Defensive rebound rate74.8 #10
6.5 #179Steals per game7.4 #92
1.5 #361Blocks per game3.4 #164
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Campbell

14-18 in 2025-26 overall · 10-11 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Monmouth64–74
  • Wvs UNC Wilmington85–70
  • Wvs Stony Brook96–89
  • Wvs NC A&T90–72
  • L@ Towson67–71

A week or more of rest.

Duke

35-3 in 2025-26 overall · 20-1 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs UConn72–73
  • Wvs St John's80–75
  • Wvs TCU81–58
  • Wvs Siena71–65
  • Wvs Virginia74–70

A week or more of rest.