Capital One Arena · Neutral site · NCAA Tournament
Closing line
DUKE -6.5✓ SJU covered by 1.5
DUKE -6.5✓ SJU covered by 1.5Closing total140.5Over by 14.5
 SJU | This season | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| 30-6 | Record | 34-2 |
| 21-15 | ATS | 21-15 |
| 13-23 | O/U | 12-24 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SJU 71–75 DUKE · ✓ DUKE (65%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SJU | 40 | 35 | 75 |
| DUKE | 39 | 41 | 80 |
1st half: SJU 40, DUKE 39 (SJU by 1). The model had DUKE by 2.6 and a total of 68.3 (actual 79).
Team stats
| SJU | DUKE | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-64 45% | Field goals | 30-56 54% |
| 13-32 41% | 3-pointers | 5-14 36% |
| 4-8 50% | Free throws | 15-24 63% |
| 27 10 off | Rebounds | 40 12 off |
| 19 | Assists | 13 |
| 7 | Steals | 4 |
| 3 | Blocks | 5 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 20 | Fouls | 13 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| SJU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zuby Ejiofor F | 39 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 6-17 | 2-5 |
| Dillon Mitchell F | 33 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6-7 | 1-1 |
| Bryce Hopkins F | 29 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 6-7 | 2-2 |
| Oziyah Sellers G | 28 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-9 | 1-4 |
| Dylan Darling G | 24 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 3-7 | 2-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ian Jackson G | 16 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2-8 | 1-7 |
| Joson Sanon G | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Ruben Prey F | 13 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 4-4 | 4-4 |
| Lefteris Liotopoulos G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Casper Pohto, Fotis Konstantinidis, Imran Suljanovic, Sadiku Ibine Ayo, Kelvin Odih, Handje Tamba
| DUKE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Boozer F | 39 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 7-16 | 0-1 |
| Isaiah Evans G | 34 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 10-15 | 4-8 |
| Dame Sarr F | 26 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Cayden Boozer G | 23 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 3-7 | 1-1 |
| Maliq Brown F | 22 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Caleb Foster G | 19 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 5-8 | 0-1 |
| Patrick Ngongba II C | 17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Nik Khamenia F | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Darren Harris G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Brock Davis, Sebastian Wilkins, Ifeanyi Ufochukwu, Cameron Sheffield, Jack Scott
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenDUKE -6.5
no move
CloseDUKE -6.5
No change since the open
Total
Open141.5
▼ 1
Close140.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
SJU +240 · DUKE -298
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened DUKE -6.5 · unchangedmodel DUKE -4.5
model DUKE -4.5
Opened 141.5 · closed 140.5 · moved 1 downmodel 146
model 146
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | DUKE -6.5 | DUKE -4.5 | SJU +2.0 | W SJU covered |
| Total | 140.5 | 145.9 | Over 5.4 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | SJU 70.7 · DUKE 75.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | DUKE -2.6 | SJU -1.0 |
| 1H total | 68.3 | 79 |
| 1H projected score | SJU 32.8 · DUKE 35.4 | SJU 40 · DUKE 39 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SJU | 9-1 90% | 7-3 70% | 1-9 10% |
| DUKE | 10-0 100% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
St John's
36 games played
Straight up
30-6
83% wins
Against the spread
21-15
58% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-23
36% overs · avg −3.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs QUIN | W 108-74 | -26.5 | W +7.5 | 156.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 8 | vs ALA | L 96-103 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 172.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 15 | vs W&M | W 93-60 | -28.5 | W +4.5 | 179.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 20 | vs BUCK | W 97-49 | -28.5 | W +19.5 | 158.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 24 | vs ISU | L 82-83 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 25 | vs BAY | W 96-81 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs AUB | L 74-85 | -4.5 | L −15.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 6 | vs MISS | W 63-58 | -13.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | vs IONA | W 91-64 | -28.5 | L −1.5 | 159.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 16 | vs DEP | W 79-66 | -19.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 20 | vs UK | L 66-78 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 154.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 23 | vs HARV | W 85-59 | -26.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 31 | @ GTWN | W 95-83 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 3 | vs PROV | L 71-77 | -14.5 | L −20.5 | 166.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 6 | @ BTLR | W 84-70 | -4.5 | W +9.5 | 162.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 10 | @ CREI | W 90-73 | -2.5 | W +14.5 | 152.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 13 | vs MARQ | W 92-68 | -15.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 17 | @ VILL | W 86-79 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 20 | vs HALL | W 65-60 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 24 | @ XAV | W 88-83 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 28 | vsBTLR | W 92-70 | -12.5 | W +9.5 | 158.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 3 | @DEP | W 68-56 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 6 | vs CONN | W 81-72 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 143.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 9 | vsXAV | W 87-82 | -16.5 | L −11.5 | 159.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 14 | @PROV | W 79-69 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 167.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 18 | @MARQ | W 76-70 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 21 | vsCREI | W 81-52 | -12.5 | W +16.5 | 156.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 25 | @CONN | L 40-72 | +5.5 | L −26.5 | 145.5 | U 112 |
| Feb 28 | vsVILL | W 89-57 | -7.5 | W +24.5 | 147.5 | U 146 |
| Mar 3 | vsGTWN | W 72-69 | -15.5 | L −12.5 | 148.5 | U 141 |
| Mar 6 | @HALL | W 72-65 | -5.5 | W +1.5 | 138.5 | U 137 |
| Mar 12 | vsPROV | W 85-72 | -11.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 157 |
| Mar 13 | vsHALL | W 78-68 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 135.5 | O 146 |
| Mar 14 | vsCONN | W 72-52 | +2.5 | W +22.5 | 139.5 | U 124 |
| Mar 20 | vs UNI | W 79-53 | -10.5 | W +15.5 | 133.5 | U 132 |
| Mar 22 | vs KU | W 67-65 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsQUIN
QUINW 108-74
+7.5
8
vsALA
ALAL 96-103
−11.5
15
vsW&M
W&MW 93-60
+4.5
20
vsBUCK
BUCKW 97-49
+19.5
24
vsISU
ISUL 82-83
+1.5
25
vsBAY
BAYW 96-81
+9.5
26
vsAUB
AUBL 74-85
−15.5
6
vsMISS
MISSW 63-58
−8.5
13
vsIONA
IONAW 91-64
−1.5
16
vsDEP
DEPW 79-66
−6.5
20
vsUK
UKL 66-78
−10.5
23
vsHARV
HARVW 85-59
−0.5
31
@GTWN
GTWNW 95-83
+3.5
3
vsPROV
PROVL 71-77
−20.5
6
@BTLR
BTLRW 84-70
+9.5
10
@CREI
CREIW 90-73
+14.5
13
vsMARQ
MARQW 92-68
+8.5
17
@VILL
VILLW 86-79
+4.5
20
vsHALL
HALLW 65-60
−6.5
24
@XAV
XAVW 88-83
−3.5
28
vsBTLR
BTLRW 92-70
+9.5
3
@DEP
DEPW 68-56
+2.5
6
vsCONN
CONNW 81-72
+10.5
9
vsXAV
XAVW 87-82
−11.5
14
@PROV
PROVW 79-69
+3.5
18
@MARQ
MARQW 76-70
−2.5
21
vsCREI
CREIW 81-52
+16.5
25
@CONN
CONNL 40-72
−26.5
28
vsVILL
VILLW 89-57
+24.5
3
vsGTWN
GTWNW 72-69
−12.5
6
@HALL
HALLW 72-65
+1.5
12
vsPROV
PROVW 85-72
+1.5
13
vsHALL
HALLW 78-68
+1.5
14
vsCONN
CONNW 72-52
+22.5
20
vsUNI
UNIW 79-53
+15.5
22
vsKU
KUW 67-65
−1.5
covered 21didn’t cover 15avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsQUIN
QUINW 108-74
+25.5
8
vsALA
ALAL 96-103
+26.5
15
vsW&M
W&MW 93-60
−26.5
20
vsBUCK
BUCKW 97-49
−12.5
24
vsISU
ISUL 82-83
+6.5
25
vsBAY
BAYW 96-81
+17.5
26
vsAUB
AUBL 74-85
−7.5
6
vsMISS
MISSW 63-58
−30.5
13
vsIONA
IONAW 91-64
−4.5
16
vsDEP
DEPW 79-66
−2.5
20
vsUK
UKL 66-78
−10.5
23
vsHARV
HARVW 85-59
−1.5
31
@GTWN
GTWNW 95-83
+25.5
3
vsPROV
PROVL 71-77
−18.5
6
@BTLR
BTLRW 84-70
−8.5
10
@CREI
CREIW 90-73
+10.5
13
vsMARQ
MARQW 92-68
+4.5
17
@VILL
VILLW 86-79
+17.5
20
vsHALL
HALLW 65-60
−20.5
24
@XAV
XAVW 88-83
+11.5
28
vsBTLR
BTLRW 92-70
+3.5
3
@DEP
DEPW 68-56
−21.5
6
vsCONN
CONNW 81-72
+9.5
9
vsXAV
XAVW 87-82
+9.5
14
@PROV
PROVW 79-69
−19.5
18
@MARQ
MARQW 76-70
−11.5
21
vsCREI
CREIW 81-52
−23.5
25
@CONN
CONNL 40-72
−33.5
28
vsVILL
VILLW 89-57
−1.5
3
vsGTWN
GTWNW 72-69
−7.5
6
@HALL
HALLW 72-65
−1.5
12
vsPROV
PROVW 85-72
−1.5
13
vsHALL
HALLW 78-68
+10.5
14
vsCONN
CONNW 72-52
−15.5
20
vsUNI
UNIW 79-53
−1.5
22
vsKU
KUW 67-65
−12.5
over 13under 23avg −3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Duke
36 games played
Straight up
34-2
94% wins
Against the spread
21-15
58% covers · avg +1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-24
33% overs · avg −4.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs TEX | W 75-60 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 8 | vs WCU | W 95-54 | -36.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 11 | @ ARMY | W 114-59 | -33.5 | W +21.5 | 152.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 14 | vs INST | W 100-62 | -37.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | U 162 |
| Nov 18 | vsKU | W 78-66 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 21 | vs NIA | W 100-42 | -39.5 | W +18.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 23 | vs HOW | W 93-56 | -43.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 27 | vs ARK | W 80-71 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 2 | vs FLA | W 67-66 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 6 | @ MSU | W 66-60 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 16 | vs LIP | W 97-73 | -32.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 20 | vs TTU | L 81-82 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 31 | vs GT | W 85-79 | -27.5 | L −21.5 | 153.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 3 | @ FSU | W 91-87 | -16.5 | L −12.5 | 163.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 6 | @ LOU | W 84-73 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 161.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 10 | vs SMU | W 82-75 | -15.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 14 | @ CAL | W 71-56 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 17 | @ STAN | W 80-50 | -11.5 | W +18.5 | 148.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 24 | vs WAKE | W 90-69 | -19.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 26 | vsLOU | W 83-52 | -8.5 | W +22.5 | 157.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 31 | @ VT | W 72-58 | -13.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 3 | vs BC | W 67-49 | -26.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | U 116 |
| Feb 7 | @ UNC | L 68-71 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 10 | @ PITT | W 70-54 | -17.5 | L −1.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 14 | vs CLEM | W 67-54 | -12.5 | W +0.5 | 134.5 | U 121 |
| Feb 16 | vs SYR | W 101-64 | -20.5 | W +16.5 | 144.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 21 | vs MICH | W 68-63 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 151.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 24 | @ ND | W 100-56 | -16.5 | W +27.5 | 141.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 28 | vs UVA | W 77-51 | -9.5 | W +16.5 | 143.5 | U 128 |
| Mar 2 | @ NCSU | W 93-64 | -8.5 | W +20.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Mar 7 | vsUNC | W 76-61 | -18.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Mar 12 | vsFSU | W 80-79 | -16.5 | L −15.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Mar 13 | vsCLEM | W 73-61 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 134.5 | U 134 |
| Mar 14 | vsUVA | W 74-70 | -6.5 | L −2.5 | 140.5 | O 144 |
| Mar 19 | vs SIE | W 71-65 | -28.5 | L −22.5 | 137.5 | U 136 |
| Mar 21 | vs TCU | W 81-58 | -12.5 | W +10.5 | 140.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsTEX
TEXW 75-60
+4.5
8
vsWCU
WCUW 95-54
+4.5
11
@ARMY
ARMYW 114-59
+21.5
14
vsINST
INSTW 100-62
+0.5
18
vsKU
KUW 78-66
+1.5
21
vsNIA
NIAW 100-42
+18.5
23
vsHOW
HOWW 93-56
−6.5
27
vsARK
ARKW 80-71
−3.5
2
vsFLA
FLAW 67-66
−8.5
6
@MSU
MSUW 66-60
+4.5
16
vsLIP
LIPW 97-73
−8.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 81-82
−10.5
31
vsGT
GTW 85-79
−21.5
3
@FSU
FSUW 91-87
−12.5
6
@LOU
LOUW 84-73
+9.5
10
vsSMU
SMUW 82-75
−8.5
14
@CAL
CALW 71-56
+0.5
17
@STAN
STANW 80-50
+18.5
24
vsWAKE
WAKEW 90-69
+1.5
26
vsLOU
LOUW 83-52
+22.5
31
@VT
VTW 72-58
+0.5
3
vsBC
BCW 67-49
−8.5
7
@UNC
UNCL 68-71
−9.5
10
@PITT
PITTW 70-54
−1.5
14
vsCLEM
CLEMW 67-54
+0.5
16
vsSYR
SYRW 101-64
+16.5
21
vsMICH
MICHW 68-63
+8.5
24
@ND
NDW 100-56
+27.5
28
vsUVA
UVAW 77-51
+16.5
2
@NCSU
NCSUW 93-64
+20.5
7
vsUNC
UNCW 76-61
−3.5
12
vsFSU
FSUW 80-79
−15.5
13
vsCLEM
CLEMW 73-61
+1.5
14
vsUVA
UVAW 74-70
−2.5
19
vsSIE
SIEW 71-65
−22.5
21
vsTCU
TCUW 81-58
+10.5
covered 21didn’t cover 15avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsTEX
TEXW 75-60
−18.5
8
vsWCU
WCUW 95-54
−3.5
11
@ARMY
ARMYW 114-59
+20.5
14
vsINST
INSTW 100-62
−1.5
18
vsKU
KUW 78-66
−5.5
21
vsNIA
NIAW 100-42
−4.5
23
vsHOW
HOWW 93-56
−5.5
27
vsARK
ARKW 80-71
−8.5
2
vsFLA
FLAW 67-66
−24.5
6
@MSU
MSUW 66-60
−15.5
16
vsLIP
LIPW 97-73
+18.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 81-82
+10.5
31
vsGT
GTW 85-79
+10.5
3
@FSU
FSUW 91-87
+14.5
6
@LOU
LOUW 84-73
−4.5
10
vsSMU
SMUW 82-75
+1.5
14
@CAL
CALW 71-56
−22.5
17
@STAN
STANW 80-50
−18.5
24
vsWAKE
WAKEW 90-69
+5.5
26
vsLOU
LOUW 83-52
−22.5
31
@VT
VTW 72-58
−18.5
3
vsBC
BCW 67-49
−25.5
7
@UNC
UNCL 68-71
−13.5
10
@PITT
PITTW 70-54
−12.5
14
vsCLEM
CLEMW 67-54
−13.5
16
vsSYR
SYRW 101-64
+20.5
21
vsMICH
MICHW 68-63
−20.5
24
@ND
NDW 100-56
+14.5
28
vsUVA
UVAW 77-51
−15.5
2
@NCSU
NCSUW 93-64
+6.5
7
vsUNC
UNCW 76-61
−10.5
12
vsFSU
FSUW 80-79
+8.5
13
vsCLEM
CLEMW 73-61
−0.5
14
vsUVA
UVAW 74-70
+3.5
19
vsSIE
SIEW 71-65
−1.5
21
vsTCU
TCUW 81-58
−1.5
over 12under 24avg −4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
St John's
30-6 overall · 21-2 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Kansas67–65
- Wvs Northern Iowa79–53
- Wvs UConn72–52
- Wvs Seton Hall78–68
- Wvs Providence85–72
5 days since their last game.
Duke
34-2 overall · 20-1 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs TCU81–58
- Wvs Siena71–65
- Wvs Virginia74–70
- Wvs Clemson73–61
- Wvs Florida St80–79
6 days since their last game.