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Half finalNeutral site · NCAA Tournament
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 68.3
Projected
33–35
✗ DUKE lost
Half finalNeutral site · NCAA Tournament
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 82.0
Projected
39–43
✗ MICH lost
Half finalNeutral site · NCAA Tournament
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 65.6
Projected
33–33
✓ CONN won
Half finalNeutral site · NCAA Tournament
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 66.0
Projected
32–34
✗ ISU lost
| Status | Matchup | Spread | Total | Model line | Spread edge | Model total | Total edge | Win prob | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Half final |  28-6 · #9  32-2 · #3 |
— | — | DUKE -2.6 | — | 68.3 | — | 61% DUKE | › | |
| Half final |  23-9 · #15  31-3 · #8 |
— | — | MICH -3.5 | — | 82.0 | — | 65% MICH | › | |
| Half final |  25-7 · #10  29-5 · #6 |
— | — | CONN -0.5 | — | 65.6 | — | 52% CONN | › | |
| Half final |  22-11 · #7  27-7 · #13 |
— | — | ISU -2.1 | — | 66.0 | — | 59% ISU | › |
The model’s 1st half is fitted from its full-game numbers and past halves; ESPN posts no 1st-half lines for college games. The # beside a record is the team’s power rank today, from the Rankings; AP is the poll. Spread is the market line (the favorite shows the minus). Model line and Model edge are from the model, never the market. Lines are pre-tip-off: after tip-off a tile shows the closing line. Model record