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Half finalNeutral site · NCAA Tournament
Iowa
21-12 · #43 AP #9
32
24-8 · #4 AP #3
28
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 69.3
Projected
33–37
✗ ILL lost
Half finalNeutral site · NCAA Tournament
Purdue
27-8 · #23 AP #2
38
32-2 · #5 AP #1
31
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 72.6
Projected
36–37
✗ ARIZ lost
StatusMatchupSpreadTotalModel lineSpread edgeModel totalTotal edgeWin probModel
Half final
21-12 · #43
32
24-8 · #4
28
— — ILL -3.7 — 69.3 — 65% ILL ›
Half final
27-8 · #23
38
32-2 · #5
31
— — ARIZ -1.6 — 72.6 — 57% ARIZ ›
The model’s 1st half is fitted from its full-game numbers and past halves; ESPN posts no 1st-half lines for college games. The # beside a record is the team’s power rank today, from the Rankings; AP is the poll. Spread is the market line (the favorite shows the minus). Model line and Model edge are from the model, never the market. Lines are pre-tip-off: after tip-off a tile shows the closing line. Model record