1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Dec 12
  3. CAM @ GWEB
NCAAB · Sat, Dec 12

Campbell Fighting Camels at Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs

Paul Porter Arena · at Gardner-Webb
#243CAMCampbell
@
#348GWEBGardner-Webb
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
CAMThis seasonGWEB
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects CAM 79–73 · win probability CAM 70%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 152.0
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: CAM has more of the edges

CAM 5, GWEB 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
CAMBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: CAM 33.5%, GWEB 23.2%. Defensive: CAM 68.0%, GWEB 63.4%
CAMBig
CAM offense vs GWEB defense
Offense 217th of 366 against a defense 357th, on the model’s ratings
CAMBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: CAM 43.5, GWEB 30.3. Allowed: CAM 37.0, GWEB 35.3
CAMBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: CAM 17.6%, GWEB 19.8%. Forced: CAM 17.0%, GWEB 15.3%
CAMSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: CAM 50.1 and allows 53.9; GWEB 47.8 and allows 57.0
GWEBSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: CAM 0%, GWEB 35%. Transfers in: CAM 2, GWEB 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
GWEBSmall
Home court
GWEB at home. This season: GWEB 0-0 at home, CAM 0-0 away
Even
GWEB offense vs CAM defense
Offense 318th of 366 against a defense 275th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Three-pointers
CAM hits 32.3% and allows 35.5%; GWEB hits 31.0% and allows 36.0%. Threes are 36.9% and 39.8% of their shots
Context
Schedule so far
CAM has played the 134th-hardest schedule, GWEB the 154th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: CAM plays 70.0 a game (118th fastest), GWEB 70.8 (84th). Faster games mean more points
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—CAM -6.0—
Total—152.0—
Projected score—CAM 79 · GWEB 73

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadCAM -3.7—
1H total71.1—
1H projected scoreCAM 37.4 · GWEB 33.7—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Campbell 0, Gardner-Webb 0, even 5
CampbellBetterGardner-Webb
G L. Waddles TR11.7 pts · 4.7 reb · 2 ast Score 48
Even
G J. Hudson10.6 pts · 3.8 reb · 1.5 ast Score 62
G E. Butkus NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
G A. Talbert6.7 pts · 1.9 reb · 1.3 ast Score 10
G A. Wright NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
G J. Ferere6.5 pts · 3 reb · 0.7 ast Score 32
G J. Browder NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
F M. Pocknett TR3.7 pts · 4 reb · 0.3 ast Score 14
F N. Kapic TR3.9 pts · 2 reb · 0.4 ast Score 55
No call
C S. Nosakhare TR0.8 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
CampbellBetterGardner-Webb
CAM offense217th of 366 · -6.7
CAMBig
GWEB defense357th of 366 · -10.2
CAM defense275th of 366 · -6.9
Even
GWEB offense318th of 366 · -10.4
Backcourt-0.7 · 4 players
CAMBig
Backcourt-4.1 · 3 players
Frontcourt-0.0 · 1 player
CAMSmall
Frontcourt-2.0 · 2 players
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench-0.9 · 1 player
Score, worst to bestCAM betterGWEB betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Campbell
Guards
L. Waddles29 min · TRE. ButkusNewA. WrightNewJ. BrowderNewB. RitgerNewC. McAbeeNew
Forwards
N. Kapic11 min · TRK. RogersNewS. MooreNewB. ThetNew
Gardner-Webb
Guards
J. Hudson27 minA. Talbert25 minJ. Ferere18 minS. BrownNewD. DanielNewB. LutherNew
Forwards
M. Pocknett14 min · TRJ. Skipper8 min · TRC. OkparaNew
Centers
S. Nosakhare9 min · TRG. TropnasNewB. RutsinduraNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
CAMGWEB
Scoring
76.1 #140Points per game66.2 #343
1.08 #175Points per possession0.94 #360
70.0 #118Pace (possessions)70.8 #84
Shooting
50.1 #230Effective FG%47.8 #317
32.3 #2673-point %31.0 #320
36.9 #2323-point attempt rate39.8 #174
43.5 #16Free throw rate30.3 #302
Possessions
17.6 #240Turnover rate19.8 #347
33.5 #77Offensive rebound rate23.2 #350
11.4 #315Assists per game9.7 #362
Defense
78.8 #289Points allowed86.7 #362
1.13 #282Points allowed per possession1.22 #361
53.9 #295Opponent effective FG%57.0 #356
35.5 #277Opponent 3-point %36.0 #300
17.0 #153Turnovers forced15.3 #265
68.0 #254Defensive rebound rate63.4 #355
6.5 #179Steals per game6.1 #224
1.5 #361Blocks per game2.4 #309
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Campbell

14-18 in 2025-26 overall · 10-11 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Monmouth64–74
  • Wvs UNC Wilmington85–70
  • Wvs Stony Brook96–89
  • Wvs NC A&T90–72
  • L@ Towson67–71

A week or more of rest.

Gardner-Webb

2-28 in 2025-26 overall · 2-16 in conference · Big South Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs High Point59–81
  • Wvs SC Upstate65–64
  • L@ SC Upstate61–71
  • Lvs UNC Asheville71–77
  • L@ Radford70–82

A week or more of rest.