1. NCAAB
  2. Sun, Nov 29
  3. QUIN @ YALE
NCAAB · Sun, Nov 29

Quinnipiac Bobcats at Yale Bulldogs

John J. Lee Amphitheater · at Yale
#241QUINQuinnipiac
@
#126YALEYale
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
QUINThis seasonYALE
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects YALE 80–69 · win probability YALE 84%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 149.0
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: YALE has more of the edges

QUIN 0, YALE 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Schedule so far
QUIN has played the 324th-hardest schedule, YALE the 141st. A record against a soft schedule means less
YALESmall
YALE offense vs QUIN defense
Offense 125th of 366 against a defense 232nd, on the model’s ratings
YALESmall
QUIN offense vs YALE defense
Offense 243rd of 366 against a defense 136th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: QUIN plays 70.3 a game (100th fastest), YALE 66.4 (301st). Faster games mean more points
YALESmall
Three-pointers
QUIN hits 34.0% and allows 34.9%; YALE hits 39.4% and allows 35.0%. Threes are 33.7% and 36.1% of their shots
YALESmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: QUIN 48.1 and allows 48.9; YALE 55.6 and allows 51.6
YALESmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: QUIN 34.1%, YALE 34.2%. Defensive: QUIN 68.0%, YALE 70.3%
YALESmall
Home court
YALE at home. This season: YALE 0-0 at home, QUIN 0-0 away
YALESmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: QUIN 33.8, YALE 35.1. Allowed: QUIN 30.6, YALE 26.8
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: QUIN 31%, YALE 42%. Transfers in: QUIN 2, YALE 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: QUIN 15.8%, YALE 14.0%. Forced: QUIN 17.4%, YALE 16.2%
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—YALE -11.3—
Total—149.0—
Projected score—QUIN 68.8 · YALE 80.1

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadYALE -6.6—
1H total69.7—
1H projected scoreQUIN 31.5 · YALE 38.1—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Yale has the better starters

Position by position: Quinnipiac 0, Yale 2, even 3
QuinnipiacBetterYale
G N. Guerengomba2.6 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.6 ast Score 4
YALEBig
G T. Mullin11.8 pts · 2.4 reb · 2.6 ast Score 63
G T. Turnage3.4 pts · 1.1 reb · 1.8 ast Score 36
Even
G J. Brathwaite6.6 pts · 1.8 reb · 1 ast Score 35
F K. McKnight10.7 pts · 5.9 reb · 1.1 ast Score 79
No call
G C. Wallace1.2 pts · 0.6 reb · 0.6 ast Not ranked
F H. Pierre-Louis TR3.1 pts · 2.5 reb · 1 ast Score 1
YALEBig
F R. Fox9.8 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.7 ast Score 76
F N. Hart TR2.2 pts · 3.1 reb · 0 ast Score 27
No call
F J. Sullivan1.3 pts · 0.7 reb · 0.2 ast Not ranked
QuinnipiacBetterYale
QUIN offense243rd of 366 · -7.3
YALESmall
YALE defense136th of 366 · -2.8
QUIN defense232nd of 366 · -6.2
YALESmall
YALE offense125th of 366 · -3.3
Backcourt-2.7 · 2 players
YALESmall
Backcourt-1.1 · 3 players
Frontcourt-1.8 · 3 players
YALESmall
Frontcourt+0.5 · 2 players
Bench-0.6 · 3 players
Even
Bench-0.5 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestQUIN betterYALE betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Quinnipiac
Guards
N. Guerengomba14 minT. Turnage12 minM. ParrottaNewT. Cunningham-PembertonNewL. SekasiNewM. FieldsNew
Forwards
K. McKnight25 minH. Pierre-Louis15 min · TRN. Hart11 min · TRB. Ritvo7 minA. Akinniyi2 minC. Skenderi2 min
Yale
Guards
T. Mullin28 minJ. Brathwaite19 minC. Wallace4 minJ. Basima3 minA. Loving3 minJ. Tsai2 min
Forwards
R. Fox18 minJ. Sullivan5 minD. Ogunyemi3 minC. MayNewT. WinklerNewC. BolteNew
Centers
J. OwareNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
QUINYALE
Scoring
74.2 #190Points per game80.1 #64
1.05 #246Points per possession1.21 #10
70.3 #100Pace (possessions)66.4 #301
Shooting
48.1 #310Effective FG%55.6 #26
34.0 #1713-point %39.4 #3
33.7 #3043-point attempt rate36.1 #247
33.8 #217Free throw rate35.1 #172
Possessions
15.8 #125Turnover rate14.0 #22
34.1 #65Offensive rebound rate34.2 #62
13.0 #211Assists per game15.8 #53
Defense
72.6 #121Points allowed71.8 #102
1.04 #68Points allowed per possession1.08 #166
48.9 #65Opponent effective FG%51.6 #192
34.9 #242Opponent 3-point %35.0 #250
17.4 #122Turnovers forced16.2 #207
68.0 #253Defensive rebound rate70.3 #147
7.8 #55Steals per game5.3 #314
4.5 #37Blocks per game3.2 #193
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Quinnipiac

18-13 in 2025-26 overall · 12-9 in conference · Metro Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Marist75–77
  • W@ Canisius67–63
  • L@ Niagara76–78
  • Lvs Fairfield79–85
  • Lvs Merrimack49–56

A week or more of rest.

Yale

22-7 in 2025-26 overall · 12-4 in conference · Ivy League

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs UNC Wilmington67–68
  • Lvs Penn84–88
  • Wvs Cornell88–76
  • Wvs Princeton78–53
  • W@ Columbia60–54

A week or more of rest.