1. NCAAB
  2. Sun, Nov 22
  3. NJIT @ BC
NCAAB · Sun, Nov 22

NJIT Highlanders at Boston College Eagles

Conte Forum · at Boston College
#316NJITNJIT
@
#95BCBoston College
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
NJITThis seasonBC
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects BC 83–61 · win probability BC 97%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 143.1
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: BC has more of the edges

NJIT 1, BC 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
BCBig
NJIT offense vs BC defense
Offense 338th of 366 against a defense 83rd, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
NJIT has played the 282nd-hardest schedule, BC the 79th. A record against a soft schedule means less
BCBig
BC offense vs NJIT defense
Offense 96th of 366 against a defense 250th, on the model’s ratings
BCBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: NJIT 26.2%, BC 28.3%. Defensive: NJIT 67.9%, BC 71.4%
NJITSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: NJIT 39%, BC 1%. Transfers in: NJIT 4, BC 11. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
BCSmall
Home court
BC at home. This season: BC 0-0 at home, NJIT 0-0 away
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: NJIT 33.2, BC 32.4. Allowed: NJIT 37.9, BC 34.6
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: NJIT 46.7 and allows 50.0; BC 47.0 and allows 48.9
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: NJIT 17.1%, BC 15.4%. Forced: NJIT 16.1%, BC 14.8%
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: NJIT plays 67.9 a game (235th fastest), BC 67.5 (257th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Three-pointers
NJIT hits 30.4% and allows 32.3%; BC hits 29.4% and allows 31.9%. Threes are 40.1% and 42.4% of their shots
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—BC -22.0—
Total—143.1—
Projected score—NJIT 60.5 · BC 82.5

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadBC -13.0—
1H total67.0—
1H projected scoreNJIT 27 · BC 40—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Boston College has the better starters

Position by position: NJIT 0, Boston College 5, even 0
NJITBetterBoston College
G D. Bolden12 pts · 2.8 reb · 2.8 ast Score 47
BCSmall
G E. Shelton TR15.9 pts · 3.1 reb · 0.9 ast Score 65
G M. Tatum TR8.1 pts · 2 reb · 1.4 ast Score 13
BCBig
G A. Zeigler TR12.3 pts · 4.9 reb · 3.3 ast Score 60
G Q. Duncan4.4 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.4 ast Score 31
BCBig
G M. Williams TR21.6 pts · 4.3 reb · 4.5 ast Score 96
F M. Coffi TR3.5 pts · 4.9 reb · 0.8 ast Score 28
BCBig
F B. Benjamin TR14.2 pts · 10.4 reb · 1.2 ast Score 89
F J. Kelly4.4 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.3 ast Score 20
BCBig
F A. Bukumirovic TR13.7 pts · 7.7 reb · 1 ast Score 86
NJITBetterBoston College
NJIT offense338th of 366 · -11.1
BCBig
BC defense83rd of 366 · +0.1
NJIT defense250th of 366 · -6.6
BCBig
BC offense96th of 366 · -0.7
Backcourt-4.6 · 3 players
BCBig
Backcourt+4.7 · 3 players
Frontcourt-2.4 · 2 players
BCBig
Frontcourt+5.8 · 2 players
Bench-3.4 · 4 players
NJITSmall
Bench-4.5 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestNJIT betterBC betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
NJIT
Guards
D. Bolden30 minM. Tatum26 min · TRQ. Duncan14 minR. Awad13 minB. Stores4 min · TRA. AltobelliNew
Forwards
M. Coffi19 min · TRJ. Kelly16 minB. Oliver10 min · TRZ. Scherler7 minV. VanderstraetenNew
Centers
S. Jimenez-VojnicNew
Boston College
Guards
E. Shelton37 min · TRA. Zeigler33 min · TRM. Williams32 min · TRJ. Frankel21 min · TRJ. O'Toole3 min · TRJ. Furphy3 min · TR
Forwards
B. Benjamin31 min · TRA. Bukumirovic30 min · TRC. Duggan28 min · TRL. Hunger19 min · TRA. Tounkara18 min · TRJ. BaileyNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
NJITBC
Scoring
66.2 #344Points per game67.4 #326
0.98 #343Points per possession1.00 #323
67.9 #235Pace (possessions)67.5 #257
Shooting
46.7 #342Effective FG%47.0 #338
30.4 #3363-point %29.4 #348
40.1 #1683-point attempt rate42.4 #130
33.2 #233Free throw rate32.4 #251
Possessions
17.1 #215Turnover rate15.4 #102
26.2 #316Offensive rebound rate28.3 #254
10.5 #350Assists per game11.3 #323
Defense
73.7 #147Points allowed70.7 #70
1.08 #167Points allowed per possession1.04 #81
50.0 #99Opponent effective FG%48.9 #62
32.3 #79Opponent 3-point %31.9 #59
16.1 #214Turnovers forced14.8 #303
67.9 #264Defensive rebound rate71.4 #87
6.3 #204Steals per game4.8 #341
3.1 #197Blocks per game4.1 #62
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

NJIT

15-17 in 2025-26 overall · 11-7 in conference · America East Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Vermont54–63
  • Wvs Maine60–58
  • Lvs UMBC52–91
  • L@ Bryant52–69
  • Lvs Vermont64–70

A week or more of rest.

Boston College

11-20 in 2025-26 overall · 4-14 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Wvs Notre Dame77–69
  • L@ Virginia Tech63–72
  • L@ Miami54–76
  • Wvs Wake Forest68–67
  • L@ SMU70–94

A week or more of rest.