1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Dec 1
  3. BC @ UGA
NCAAB · Tue, Dec 1

Boston College Eagles at Georgia Bulldogs

Stegeman Coliseum · at Georgia
#95BCBoston College
@
#34UGAGeorgia
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
BCThis seasonUGA
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects UGA 85–72 · win probability UGA 87%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 157.4
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: UGA has more of the edges

BC 0, UGA 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
UGABig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: BC 15.4%, UGA 14.3%. Forced: BC 14.8%, UGA 18.4%
Context
Tempo
About 71 possessions: BC plays 67.5 a game (257th fastest), UGA 74.7 (8th). Faster games mean more points
UGABig
Free throws
Free throw rate: BC 32.4, UGA 36.9. Allowed: BC 34.6, UGA 30.2
UGASmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: BC 47.0 and allows 48.9; UGA 54.2 and allows 50.6
UGASmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: BC 1%, UGA 46%. Transfers in: BC 11, UGA 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
UGASmall
UGA offense vs BC defense
Offense 19th of 366 against a defense 83rd, on the model’s ratings
UGASmall
Home court
UGA at home. This season: UGA 0-0 at home, BC 0-0 away
Even
Three-pointers
BC hits 29.4% and allows 31.9%; UGA hits 33.8% and allows 33.6%. Threes are 42.4% and 44.3% of their shots
Context
Schedule so far
BC has played the 79th-hardest schedule, UGA the 52nd. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: BC 28.3%, UGA 34.9%. Defensive: BC 71.4%, UGA 65.1%
Even
BC offense vs UGA defense
Offense 96th of 366 against a defense 75th, on the model’s ratings
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—UGA -12.9—
Total—157.4—
Projected score—BC 72.3 · UGA 85.2

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadUGA -7.5—
1H total73.5—
1H projected scoreBC 33 · UGA 40.6—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Georgia has the better starters

Position by position: Boston College 0, Georgia 2, even 3
Boston CollegeBetterGeorgia
G E. Shelton TR15.9 pts · 3.1 reb · 0.9 ast Score 65
UGASmall
G B. Cain13.1 pts · 5.1 reb · 2.6 ast Score 95
G A. Zeigler TR12.3 pts · 4.9 reb · 3.3 ast Score 60
UGASmall
G F. Dilione V TR14 pts · 3.2 reb · 2.2 ast Score 93
G M. Williams TR21.6 pts · 4.3 reb · 4.5 ast Score 96
Even
G M. Millender12 pts · 2.8 reb · 4.1 ast Score 89
F B. Benjamin TR14.2 pts · 10.4 reb · 1.2 ast Score 89
Even
F K. Catchings11.6 pts · 4.8 reb · 1.2 ast Score 78
F A. Bukumirovic TR13.7 pts · 7.7 reb · 1 ast Score 86
Even
F J. Scott TR3.9 pts · 4.6 reb · 0.6 ast Score 78
Boston CollegeBetterGeorgia
BC offense96th of 366 · -0.7
Even
UGA defense75th of 366 · +0.7
BC defense83rd of 366 · +0.1
UGASmall
UGA offense19th of 366 · +7.8
Backcourt+4.7 · 3 players
UGABig
Backcourt+8.6 · 3 players
Frontcourt+5.8 · 2 players
BCBig
Frontcourt+2.4 · 2 players
Bench-4.5 · 5 players
UGABig
Bench+0.4 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestBC betterUGA betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Boston College
Guards
E. Shelton37 min · TRA. Zeigler33 min · TRM. Williams32 min · TRJ. Frankel21 min · TRJ. O'Toole3 min · TRJ. Furphy3 min · TR
Forwards
B. Benjamin31 min · TRA. Bukumirovic30 min · TRC. Duggan28 min · TRL. Hunger19 min · TRA. Tounkara18 min · TRJ. BaileyNew
Georgia
Guards
B. Cain28 minF. Dilione V28 min · TRM. Millender26 minB. Klatsky2 minM. Jennings1 minK. MillenderNew
Forwards
K. Catchings23 minJ. Scott18 min · TRB. Dunlap17 min · TRK. Stagg13 minA. Osasuyi12 min · TRM. KuanyNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
BCUGA
Scoring
67.4 #326Points per game89.4 #3
1.00 #323Points per possession1.19 #18
67.5 #257Pace (possessions)74.7 #8
Shooting
47.0 #338Effective FG%54.2 #61
29.4 #3483-point %33.8 #185
42.4 #1303-point attempt rate44.3 #83
32.4 #251Free throw rate36.9 #131
Possessions
15.4 #102Turnover rate14.3 #31
28.3 #254Offensive rebound rate34.9 #49
11.3 #323Assists per game14.8 #102
Defense
70.7 #70Points allowed79.8 #314
1.04 #81Points allowed per possession1.07 #135
48.9 #62Opponent effective FG%50.6 #134
31.9 #59Opponent 3-point %33.6 #165
14.8 #303Turnovers forced18.4 #82
71.4 #87Defensive rebound rate65.1 #336
4.8 #341Steals per game8.4 #21
4.1 #62Blocks per game6.0 #3
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Boston College

11-20 in 2025-26 overall · 4-14 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Wvs Notre Dame77–69
  • L@ Virginia Tech63–72
  • L@ Miami54–76
  • Wvs Wake Forest68–67
  • L@ SMU70–94

A week or more of rest.

Georgia

22-11 in 2025-26 overall · 10-9 in conference · Southeastern Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Saint Louis77–102
  • Lvs Ole Miss72–76
  • W@ Mississippi St102–96
  • Wvs Alabama98–88
  • Wvs South Carolina87–68

A week or more of rest.