Humphrey Coliseum · at Mississippi St · Conference game
Closing line
UGA -5.5✓ UGA covered by 0.5
Closing total167.5Over by 30.5
| This season | MSST | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-9 | Record | 13-17 |
| 15-15 | ATS | 10-20 |
| 16-14 | O/U | 15-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UGA 88–81 MSST · ✓ UGA (73%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UGA | 42 | 60 | 102 |
| MSST | 47 | 49 | 96 |
1st half: UGA 42, MSST 47 (MSST by 5). The model had UGA by 4.2 and a total of 79.0 (actual 89).
Team stats
| UGA | MSST | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-62 50% | Field goals | 38-65 58% |
| 17-29 59% | 3-pointers | 9-23 39% |
| 23-26 88% | Free throws | 11-13 85% |
| 30 9 off | Rebounds | 31 7 off |
| 19 | Assists | 16 |
| 11 | Steals | 8 |
| 2 | Blocks | 4 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 52 |
| 17 | Fast-break points | 22 |
Players
| UGA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Cain G | 29 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4-6 | 3-3 |
| Kanon Catchings F | 24 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 7-12 | 5-7 |
| Somto Cyril C | 24 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Jordan Ross G | 23 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 2-5 | 1-1 |
| Kareem Stagg F | 18 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Marcus Millender G | 30 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 5-11 | 3-5 |
| Jeremiah Wilkinson G | 27 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 4-13 | 3-7 |
| Justin Abson F | 9 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Dylan James F | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Jake Wilkins F | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Justin Bailey G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jackson McVey, Jaden Newell, Markel Jennings, Brandon Klatsky
| MSST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hubbard G | 34 | 42 | 5 | 4 | 16-27 | 7-15 |
| Jayden Epps G | 34 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 6-14 | 1-6 |
| Shawn Jones Jr. G | 28 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Quincy Ballard C | 21 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Achor Achor F | 18 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ja'Borri McGhee G | 24 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 8-13 | 1-2 |
| Jamarion Davis-Fleming F | 23 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Sergej Macura F | 18 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: King Grace, Brandon Walker, Tee Bartlett, Cameren Paul, Amier Ali, Dellquan Warren, Gai Chol
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUGA -5.5
no move
CloseUGA -5.5
No change since the open
Total
Open165.5
▲ 2
Close167.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
UGA -230 · MSST +190
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UGA -5.5 · unchangedmodel UGA -7
model UGA -7
Opened 165.5 · closed 167.5 · moved 2 upmodel 169
model 169
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UGA -5.5 | UGA -6.9 | UGA +1.4 | W UGA covered |
| Total | 167.5 | 169.2 | Over 1.7 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | UGA 88.1 · MSST 81.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UGA -4.2 | MSST -5.0 |
| 1H total | 79.0 | 89 |
| 1H projected score | UGA 41.6 · MSST 37.4 | UGA 42 · MSST 47 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | |
| 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
UGA 1–3 MSSTMSST leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · MSST has won the last 2 meetings · UGA 1-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | MSST 76 @ UGA 75 | UGA -1.5 | MSST W |
| Feb 7, 2023-24 | UGA 62 @ MSST 75 | MSST -8.5 | MSST W |
| Jan 11, 2022-23 | MSST 50 @ UGA 58 | UGA +2.5 | UGA W |
| Jan 12, 2021-22 | UGA 72 @ MSST 88 | MSST -14 | MSST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Georgia
30 games played
Straight up
21-9
70% wins
Against the spread
15-15
50% covers · avg +1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-14
53% overs · avg +4.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 104-59 | -23.5 | W +21.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 5 | vs | W 94-29 | -33.5 | W +31.5 | 142.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 9 | vs | W 120-81 | -28.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 201 |
| Nov 14 | vs | W 92-87 | -15.5 | L −10.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 17 | vs | W 87-57 | -40.5 | L −10.5 | 170.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 21 | vs | W 78-77 | -10.5 | L −9.5 | 165.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 23 | vs | L 94-97 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 29 | vs | W 123-81 | -34.5 | W +7.5 | 160.5 | O 204 |
| Dec 2 | @ | W 107-73 | +1.5 | W +35.5 | 176.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 13 | vs | W 84-65 | -5.5 | W +13.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 18 | vs | W 112-82 | -32.5 | L −2.5 | 167.5 | O 194 |
| Dec 22 | vs | W 103-74 | -36.5 | L −7.5 | 173.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 29 | vs | W 89-74 | -30.5 | L −15.5 | 179.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 3 | vs | W 104-100 | -6.5 | L −2.5 | 173.5 | O 204 |
| Jan 6 | @ | L 77-92 | +9.5 | L −5.5 | 172.5 | U 169 |
| Jan 10 | @ | W 75-70 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 14 | vs | L 95-97 | -10.5 | L −12.5 | 158.5 | O 192 |
| Jan 17 | vs | W 90-76 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 181.5 | U 166 |
| Jan 20 | @ | W 74-72 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 163.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 24 | @ | L 67-87 | +3.5 | L −16.5 | 168.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 28 | vs | L 85-86 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 157.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 31 | vs | L 77-92 | -4.5 | L −19.5 | 173.5 | U 169 |
| Feb 7 | @ | W 83-71 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 161.5 | U 154 |
| Feb 11 | vs | L 66-86 | +8.5 | L −11.5 | 164.5 | U 152 |
| Feb 14 | @ | L 78-94 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 164.5 | O 172 |
| Feb 17 | @ | W 86-78 | +6.5 | W +14.5 | 161.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 21 | vs | W 91-80 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 162.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 25 | @ | L 80-88 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 28 | vs | W 87-68 | -12.5 | W +6.5 | 158.5 | U 155 |
| Mar 3 | vs | W 98-88 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 179.5 | O 186 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
BELL
W 104-59
+21.5
5
vs
UMES
W 94-29
+31.5
9
vs
MORE
W 120-81
+10.5
14
vs
GT
W 92-87
−10.5
17
vs
FAMU
W 87-57
−10.5
21
vs
XAV
W 78-77
−9.5
23
vs
CLEM
L 94-97
−1.5
29
vs
TNTC
W 123-81
+7.5
2
@
FSU
W 107-73
+35.5
13
vs
CIN
W 84-65
+13.5
18
vs
WCU
W 112-82
−2.5
22
vs
WGA
W 103-74
−7.5
29
vs
LIU
W 89-74
−15.5
3
vs
AUB
W 104-100
−2.5
6
@
FLA
L 77-92
−5.5
10
@
SC
W 75-70
+0.5
14
vs
MISS
L 95-97
−12.5
17
vs
ARK
W 90-76
+11.5
20
@
MIZ
W 74-72
+3.5
24
@
TEX
L 67-87
−16.5
28
vs
TENN
L 85-86
+0.5
31
vs
TA&M
L 77-92
−19.5
7
@
LSU
W 83-71
+10.5
11
vs
FLA
L 66-86
−11.5
14
@
OU
L 78-94
−14.5
17
@
UK
W 86-78
+14.5
21
vs
TEX
W 91-80
+8.5
25
@
VAN
L 80-88
−0.5
28
vs
SC
W 87-68
+6.5
3
vs
ALA
W 98-88
+11.5
covered 15didn’t cover 15avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
BELL
W 104-59
+12.5
5
vs
UMES
W 94-29
−19.5
9
vs
MORE
W 120-81
+50.5
14
vs
GT
W 92-87
+23.5
17
vs
FAMU
W 87-57
−26.5
21
vs
XAV
W 78-77
−10.5
23
vs
CLEM
L 94-97
+38.5
29
vs
TNTC
W 123-81
+43.5
2
@
FSU
W 107-73
+3.5
13
vs
CIN
W 84-65
−8.5
18
vs
WCU
W 112-82
+26.5
22
vs
WGA
W 103-74
+3.5
29
vs
LIU
W 89-74
−16.5
3
vs
AUB
W 104-100
+30.5
6
@
FLA
L 77-92
−3.5
10
@
SC
W 75-70
−18.5
14
vs
MISS
L 95-97
+33.5
17
vs
ARK
W 90-76
−15.5
20
@
MIZ
W 74-72
−17.5
24
@
TEX
L 67-87
−14.5
28
vs
TENN
L 85-86
+13.5
31
vs
TA&M
L 77-92
−4.5
7
@
LSU
W 83-71
−7.5
11
vs
FLA
L 66-86
−12.5
14
@
OU
L 78-94
+7.5
17
@
UK
W 86-78
+2.5
21
vs
TEX
W 91-80
+8.5
25
@
VAN
L 80-88
+4.5
28
vs
SC
W 87-68
−3.5
3
vs
ALA
W 98-88
+6.5
over 16under 14avg +4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Mississippi St
30 games played
Straight up
13-17
43% wins
Against the spread
10-20
33% covers · avg −4.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-15
50% overs · avg +3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs | W 86-62 | -24.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 10 | vs | L 80-96 | +5.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 15 | vs | W 75-68 | -27.5 | L −20.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 20 | vs | L 77-98 | -2.5 | L −23.5 | 164.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 21 | vs | L 78-80 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 24 | vs | W 81-78 | -23.5 | L −20.5 | 160.5 | U 159 |
| Nov 28 | vs | L 81-87 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 3 | @ | W 85-73 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 7 | vs | L 62-65 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 13 | vs | W 82-74 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 16 | vs | W 87-83 | -16.5 | L −12.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 20 | vs | W 71-66 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 29 | vs | W 94-56 | -17.5 | W +20.5 | 154.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 3 | @ | W 101-98 | +9.5 | W +12.5 | 157.5 | O 199 |
| Jan 7 | vs | W 72-53 | -1.5 | W +17.5 | 158.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 10 | @ | L 68-92 | +10.5 | L −13.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 13 | vs | L 82-97 | +4.5 | L −10.5 | 171.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 17 | vs | L 67-68 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 21 | @ | L 68-88 | +8.5 | L −11.5 | 163.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 24 | vs | L 56-88 | +7.5 | L −24.5 | 159.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 28 | @ | W 80-66 | +7.5 | W +21.5 | 154.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 31 | @ | L 79-84 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 7 | vs | L 68-88 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 163.5 | U 156 |
| Feb 11 | vs | L 64-73 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 14 | @ | W 90-78 | +3.5 | W +15.5 | 146.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 18 | vs | W 91-85 | +5.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | O 176 |
| Feb 21 | @ | L 89-97 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | O 186 |
| Feb 25 | @ | L 75-100 | +12.5 | L −12.5 | 176.5 | U 175 |
| Feb 28 | vs | L 64-88 | +1.5 | L −22.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Mar 3 | @ | L 74-108 | +20.5 | L −13.5 | 161.5 | O 182 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vs
UNA
W 86-62
−0.5
10
vs
ISU
L 80-96
−10.5
15
vs
SELA
W 75-68
−20.5
20
vs
KSU
L 77-98
−23.5
21
vs
UNM
L 78-80
−8.5
24
vs
NOLA
W 81-78
−20.5
28
vs
SMU
L 81-87
−7.5
3
@
GT
W 85-73
+10.5
7
vs
SF
L 62-65
−7.5
13
vs
UTAH
W 82-74
+6.5
16
vs
LIU
W 87-83
−12.5
20
vs
MEM
W 71-66
+1.5
29
vs
ALST
W 94-56
+20.5
3
@
TEX
W 101-98
+12.5
7
vs
OU
W 72-53
+17.5
10
@
UK
L 68-92
−13.5
13
vs
ALA
L 82-97
−10.5
17
vs
MISS
L 67-68
−4.5
21
@
TA&M
L 68-88
−11.5
24
vs
VAN
L 56-88
−24.5
28
@
LSU
W 80-66
+21.5
31
@
MIZ
L 79-84
+1.5
7
vs
ARK
L 68-88
−14.5
11
vs
TENN
L 64-73
−0.5
14
@
MISS
W 90-78
+15.5
18
vs
AUB
W 91-85
+11.5
21
@
SC
L 89-97
−9.5
25
@
ALA
L 75-100
−12.5
28
vs
MIZ
L 64-88
−22.5
3
@
FLA
L 74-108
−13.5
covered 10didn’t cover 20avg −4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vs
UNA
W 86-62
−3.5
10
vs
ISU
L 80-96
+25.5
15
vs
SELA
W 75-68
−7.5
20
vs
KSU
L 77-98
+10.5
21
vs
UNM
L 78-80
+6.5
24
vs
NOLA
W 81-78
−1.5
28
vs
SMU
L 81-87
+5.5
3
@
GT
W 85-73
+7.5
7
vs
SF
L 62-65
−23.5
13
vs
UTAH
W 82-74
+2.5
16
vs
LIU
W 87-83
+17.5
20
vs
MEM
W 71-66
−16.5
29
vs
ALST
W 94-56
−4.5
3
@
TEX
W 101-98
+41.5
7
vs
OU
W 72-53
−33.5
10
@
UK
L 68-92
+7.5
13
vs
ALA
L 82-97
+7.5
17
vs
MISS
L 67-68
−12.5
21
@
TA&M
L 68-88
−7.5
24
vs
VAN
L 56-88
−15.5
28
@
LSU
W 80-66
−8.5
31
@
MIZ
L 79-84
+16.5
7
vs
ARK
L 68-88
−7.5
11
vs
TENN
L 64-73
−10.5
14
@
MISS
W 90-78
+21.5
18
vs
AUB
W 91-85
+20.5
21
@
SC
L 89-97
+34.5
25
@
ALA
L 75-100
−1.5
28
vs
MIZ
L 64-88
−2.5
3
@
FLA
L 74-108
+20.5
over 15under 15avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Georgia
21-9 overall · 9-8 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Alabama98–88
- Wvs South Carolina87–68
- L@ Vanderbilt80–88
- Wvs Texas91–80
- W@ Kentucky86–78
4 days since their last game.
Mississippi St
13-17 overall · 5-12 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Florida74–108
- Lvs Missouri64–88
- L@ Alabama75–100
- L@ South Carolina89–97
- Wvs Auburn91–85
4 days since their last game.