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  2. Sun, Dec 13
  3. AAMU @ UGA
NCAAB · Sun, Dec 13

Alabama A&M Bulldogs at Georgia Bulldogs

Stegeman Coliseum · at Georgia
#328AAMUAlabama A&M
@
#34UGAGeorgia
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
AAMUThis seasonUGA
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects UGA 94–62 · win probability UGA 100%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 156.2
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: UGA has more of the edges

AAMU 0, UGA 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Schedule so far
AAMU has played the 363rd-hardest schedule, UGA the 52nd. A record against a soft schedule means less
UGABig
UGA offense vs AAMU defense
Offense 19th of 366 against a defense 305th, on the model’s ratings
UGABig
AAMU offense vs UGA defense
Offense 325th of 366 against a defense 75th, on the model’s ratings
UGABig
Shooting
Effective FG%: AAMU 49.2 and allows 52.1; UGA 54.2 and allows 50.6
Context
Tempo
About 71 possessions: AAMU plays 67.6 a game (250th fastest), UGA 74.7 (8th). Faster games mean more points
UGABig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: AAMU 16.5%, UGA 14.3%. Forced: AAMU 16.6%, UGA 18.4%
UGASmall
Home court
UGA at home. This season: UGA 0-0 at home, AAMU 0-0 away
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: AAMU 45.4, UGA 36.9. Allowed: AAMU 38.6, UGA 30.2
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: AAMU 27.4%, UGA 34.9%. Defensive: AAMU 70.5%, UGA 65.1%
Even
Three-pointers
AAMU hits 35.0% and allows 35.4%; UGA hits 33.8% and allows 33.6%. Threes are 34.0% and 44.3% of their shots
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: AAMU 51%, UGA 46%. Transfers in: AAMU 2, UGA 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—UGA -31.8—
Total—156.2—
Projected score—AAMU 62.2 · UGA 94

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadUGA -18.8—
1H total73.0—
1H projected scoreAAMU 27.1 · UGA 45.9—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Georgia has the better starters

Position by position: Alabama A&M 0, Georgia 4, even 1
Alabama A&MBetterGeorgia
G S. Pissis10.4 pts · 3.1 reb · 4 ast Score 38
UGABig
G B. Cain13.1 pts · 5.1 reb · 2.6 ast Score 95
G J. Graham9.8 pts · 4 reb · 0.8 ast Score 41
UGABig
G F. Dilione V TR14 pts · 3.2 reb · 2.2 ast Score 93
G J. Edwards TR6.8 pts · 1.8 reb · 1.9 ast Score 9
UGABig
G M. Millender12 pts · 2.8 reb · 4.1 ast Score 89
G G. Kincy3.8 pts · 2.9 reb · 0.6 ast Score 3
UGABig
F K. Catchings11.6 pts · 4.8 reb · 1.2 ast Score 78
G B. Abdur-Rahman4.6 pts · 1.1 reb · 1.4 ast Score 65
Even
F J. Scott TR3.9 pts · 4.6 reb · 0.6 ast Score 78
Alabama A&MBetterGeorgia
AAMU offense325th of 366 · -10.6
UGABig
UGA defense75th of 366 · +0.7
AAMU defense305th of 366 · -7.8
UGABig
UGA offense19th of 366 · +7.8
Backcourt-8.1 · 5 players
UGABig
Backcourt+8.6 · 3 players
FrontcourtNo numbers yet
No call
Frontcourt+2.4 · 2 players
Bench-3.2 · 3 players
UGABig
Bench+0.4 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestAAMU betterUGA betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Alabama A&M
Guards
S. Pissis30 minJ. Graham25 minJ. Edwards23 min · TRG. Kincy19 minB. Abdur-Rahman12 minN. Johnson10 min · TR
Forwards
S. Onu7 minS. WalkerNewD. MeriwetherNewK. PaulNewD. BrownNew
Georgia
Guards
B. Cain28 minF. Dilione V28 min · TRM. Millender26 minB. Klatsky2 minM. Jennings1 minK. MillenderNew
Forwards
K. Catchings23 minJ. Scott18 min · TRB. Dunlap17 min · TRK. Stagg13 minA. Osasuyi12 min · TRM. KuanyNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
AAMUUGA
Scoring
71.4 #261Points per game89.4 #3
1.05 #240Points per possession1.19 #18
67.6 #250Pace (possessions)74.7 #8
Shooting
49.2 #281Effective FG%54.2 #61
35.0 #1143-point %33.8 #185
34.0 #2953-point attempt rate44.3 #83
45.4 #3Free throw rate36.9 #131
Possessions
16.5 #167Turnover rate14.3 #31
27.4 #283Offensive rebound rate34.9 #49
11.2 #328Assists per game14.8 #102
Defense
73.9 #152Points allowed79.8 #314
1.09 #212Points allowed per possession1.07 #135
52.1 #220Opponent effective FG%50.6 #134
35.4 #272Opponent 3-point %33.6 #165
16.6 #176Turnovers forced18.4 #82
70.5 #138Defensive rebound rate65.1 #336
6.2 #211Steals per game8.4 #21
2.7 #271Blocks per game6.0 #3
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Alabama A&M

15-15 in 2025-26 overall · 11-9 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Prairie View55–74
  • Wvs Texas Southern85–74
  • Lvs Southern85–88
  • Wvs Grambling77–63
  • Lvs Alabama St88–89

A week or more of rest.

Georgia

22-11 in 2025-26 overall · 10-9 in conference · Southeastern Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Saint Louis77–102
  • Lvs Ole Miss72–76
  • W@ Mississippi St102–96
  • Wvs Alabama98–88
  • Wvs South Carolina87–68

A week or more of rest.