Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles at West Georgia Wolves: Model Line and Edge

Tue, Dec 1, 11:00 AM ETThe Coliseum · at West Georgia

#304USISouthern Indiana Screaming Eagles

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles and West Georgia
USI	This season	WGA
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects WGA 74–71 · win probability WGA 58%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 144.8

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: WGA has more of the edges

USI 2, WGA 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

USIBig

Free throws

Free throw rate: USI 37.2, WGA 29.2. Allowed: USI 36.2, WGA 36.9

WGASmall

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: USI 31.4%, WGA 31.5%. Defensive: USI 66.2%, WGA 71.0%

WGASmall

Three-pointers

USI hits 29.9% and allows 34.1%; WGA hits 33.1% and allows 33.1%. Threes are 39.8% and 33.0% of their shots

Context

Schedule so far

USI has played the 362nd-hardest schedule, WGA the 270th. A record against a soft schedule means less

WGASmall

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: USI 0%, WGA 31%. Transfers in: USI 0, WGA 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

WGASmall

Home court

WGA at home. This season: WGA 0-0 at home, USI 0-0 away

Context

Tempo

About 70 possessions: USI plays 69.0 a game (177th fastest), WGA 71.0 (75th). Faster games mean more points

USISmall

Shooting

Effective FG%: USI 43.7 and allows 49.4; WGA 49.6 and allows 53.4

Even

WGA offense vs USI defense

Offense 278th of 366 against a defense 243rd, on the model’s ratings

Even

Turnovers

Turnover rate: USI 17.1%, WGA 15.9%. Forced: USI 16.5%, WGA 14.7%

Even

USI offense vs WGA defense

Offense 320th of 366 against a defense 312th, on the model’s ratings

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	WGA -2.3	—
Total	—	144.8	—
Projected score	—	USI 71.3 · WGA 73.5

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	WGA -1.2	—
1H total	67.8	—
1H projected score	USI 33.3 · WGA 34.5	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
USI LWWWL	12-16	43%	8-7	—
WGA WWWWW	20-10	67%	9-4	—

Venue/role: USI away; WGA home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
USI OOOUO	11-17	39%	5-23
WGA OOUOU	16-14	53%	13-17

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
USI	2-8 20%	4-6 40%	5-5 50%
WGA	5-5 50%	8-2 80%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 6	@ INST	L55–77LU

West Georgia

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 12	@ VAN	No recent meeting

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles

28 games played

Straight up

5-23

18% wins

Against the spread

12-16

43% covers · avg −1.1 pts vs the line

Over / Under

11-17

39% overs · avg −3.4 pts vs the total

Straight up

5-2318%

L L L L L W L L L L L L L L W L L W L L L L L L W W L L

2 straight losses2 of last 4 won

Against the spread

12-1643%

L L L W W W L L L L W W L L W W L W L L L L W L W W W L

3 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

11-1739%

U U U O O U O U U U U O O U U U U O U U U O U O O O U O

3 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 5	@BTLR	L 58-88	+22.5	L −7.5	156.5	U 146
Nov 7	vsVMI	L 74-78	+2.5	L −1.5	153.5	U 152
Nov 12	@SDAK	L 74-89	+7.5	L −7.5	164.5	U 163
Nov 20	vsUIW	L 81-87	+9.5	W +3.5	145.5	O 168
Nov 22	vsUIC	L 73-84	+11.5	W +0.5	153.5	O 157
Nov 26	@VAL	W 64-56	+9.5	W +17.5	150.5	U 120
Dec 3	@WMU	L 74-88	+5.5	L −8.5	150.5	O 162
Dec 7	@INST	L 55-77	+11.5	L −10.5	158.5	U 132
Dec 18	vsLR	L 62-77	+2.5	L −12.5	140.5	U 139
Dec 20	vsMORE	L 60-64	+1.5	L −2.5	145.5	U 124
Jan 1	@SIUE	L 55-59	+10.5	W +6.5	136.5	U 114
Jan 3	@LIN	L 80-83	+9.5	W +6.5	147.5	O 163
Jan 8	vsSEMO	L 76-84	+7.5	L −0.5	146.5	O 160
Jan 10	vsUTM	L 56-73	+5.5	L −11.5	137.5	U 129
Jan 15	@TNTC	W 71-54	+5.5	W +22.5	142.5	U 125
Jan 17	@TNST	L 67-73	+8.5	W +2.5	150.5	U 140
Jan 22	vsEIU	L 51-59	-2.5	L −10.5	135.5	U 110
Jan 23	vsWIU	W 96-64	-6.5	W +25.5	136.5	O 160
Jan 29	vsLIN	L 60-73	+4.5	L −8.5	150.5	U 133
Jan 31	vsSIUE	L 46-58	+1.5	L −10.5	130.5	U 104
Feb 5	@UTM	L 54-76	+10.5	L −11.5	132.5	U 130
Feb 7	@SEMO	L 65-90	+11.5	L −13.5	141.5	O 155
Feb 12	vsTNST	L 71-73	+6.5	W +4.5	147.5	U 144
Feb 14	vsTNTC	L 74-82	+1.5	L −6.5	140.5	O 156
Feb 19	@WIU	W 77-70	-3.5	W +3.5	140.5	O 147
Feb 21	@EIU	W 70-68	+4.5	W +6.5	135.5	O 138
Feb 24	@MORE	L 63-64	+7.5	W +6.5	142.5	U 127
Feb 28	@LR	L 70-89	+5.5	L −13.5	139.5	O 159

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

BTLR

L 58-88

−7.5

VMI

L 74-78

−1.5

SDAK

L 74-89

−7.5

UIW

L 81-87

+3.5

UIC

L 73-84

+0.5

VAL

W 64-56

+17.5

WMU

L 74-88

−8.5

INST

L 55-77

−10.5

L 62-77

−12.5

L 60-64

−2.5

SIUE

L 55-59

+6.5

LIN

L 80-83

+6.5

SEMO

L 76-84

−0.5

UTM

L 56-73

−11.5

TNTC

W 71-54

+22.5

TNST

L 67-73

+2.5

EIU

L 51-59

−10.5

WIU

W 96-64

+25.5

LIN

L 60-73

−8.5

SIUE

L 46-58

−10.5

UTM

L 54-76

−11.5

SEMO

L 65-90

−13.5

TNST

L 71-73

+4.5

TNTC

L 74-82

−6.5

WIU

W 77-70

+3.5

EIU

W 70-68

+6.5

L 63-64

+6.5

L 70-89

−13.5

covered 12didn’t cover 16avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

BTLR

L 58-88

−10.5

VMI

L 74-78

−1.5

SDAK

L 74-89

−1.5

UIW

L 81-87

+22.5

UIC

L 73-84

+3.5

VAL

W 64-56

−30.5

WMU

L 74-88

+11.5

INST

L 55-77

−26.5

L 62-77

−1.5

L 60-64

−21.5

SIUE

L 55-59

−22.5

LIN

L 80-83

+15.5

SEMO

L 76-84

+13.5

UTM

L 56-73

−8.5

TNTC

W 71-54

−17.5

TNST

L 67-73

−10.5

EIU

L 51-59

−25.5

WIU

W 96-64

+23.5

LIN

L 60-73

−17.5

SIUE

L 46-58

−26.5

UTM

L 54-76

−2.5

SEMO

L 65-90

+13.5

TNST

L 71-73

−3.5

TNTC

L 74-82

+15.5

WIU

W 77-70

+6.5

EIU

W 70-68

+2.5

L 63-64

−15.5

L 70-89

+19.5

over 11under 17avg −3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

West Georgia

30 games played

Straight up

13-17

43% wins

Against the spread

20-10

67% covers · avg +1.1 pts vs the line

Over / Under

16-14

53% overs · avg +2.2 pts vs the total

Straight up

13-1743%

L L W W W L W L L L W W W L L L L W L L L W W L L L W W W L

3 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

20-1067%

L W W W W W W L L W W W W L L L L W L W L W W L W W W W W W

6 straight covers4 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

16-1453%

U U O U U O O U O O O O U U O O U U U O U O O U O O O U O U

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@NEB	L 53-86	+24.5	L −8.5	153.5	U 139
Nov 10	@UCLA	L 62-83	+30.5	W +9.5	146.5	U 145
Nov 14	vsCIT	W 100-92	-6.5	W +1.5	150.5	O 192
Nov 17	@TNTC	W 61-59	+4.5	W +6.5	152.5	U 120
Nov 21	vsUPST	W 72-64	-2.5	W +5.5	153.5	U 136
Nov 23	@GT	L 66-82	+18.5	W +2.5	144.5	O 148
Dec 1	@TROY	W 93-89	+17.5	W +21.5	150.5	O 182
Dec 6	vsTNTC	L 59-87	-1.5	L −29.5	150.5	U 146
Dec 13	vsGASO	L 85-91	+3.5	L −2.5	154.5	O 176
Dec 22	@UGA	L 74-103	+36.5	W +7.5	173.5	O 177
Jan 1	vsBELL	W 87-85	+1.5	W +3.5	151.5	O 172
Jan 3	vsEKU	W 88-76	+1.5	W +13.5	156.5	O 164
Jan 8	@UNF	W 85-73	-2.5	W +9.5	164.5	U 158
Jan 10	@JAX	L 43-75	+1.5	L −30.5	141.5	U 118
Jan 15	@STET	L 86-95	-1.5	L −10.5	151.5	O 181
Jan 17	@FGCU	L 72-90	+9.5	L −8.5	152.5	O 162
Jan 22	vsCARK	L 65-86	+3.5	L −17.5	154.5	U 151
Jan 24	vsQUC	W 74-66	+7.5	W +15.5	162.5	U 140
Jan 28	@BELL	L 74-77	+2.5	L −0.5	151.5	U 151
Jan 31	vsAPSU	L 78-81	+7.5	W +4.5	150.5	O 159
Feb 5	vsUNF	L 73-81	-5.5	L −13.5	166.5	U 154
Feb 7	vsJAX	W 87-73	+1.5	W +15.5	138.5	O 160
Feb 11	@UNA	W 82-73	+1.5	W +10.5	145.5	O 155
Feb 14	@CARK	L 62-79	+10.5	L −6.5	150.5	U 141
Feb 18	@EKU	L 80-81	+7.5	W +6.5	154.5	O 161
Feb 21	@QUC	L 84-91	+11.5	W +4.5	161.5	O 175
Feb 25	vsLIP	W 84-78	+5.5	W +11.5	153.5	O 162
Feb 28	vsUNA	W 75-63	-4.5	W +7.5	146.5	U 138
Mar 4	vsUNF	W 93-85	-3.5	W +4.5	160.5	O 178
Mar 6	vsQUC	L 63-71	+8.5	W +0.5	164.5	U 134

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

NEB

L 53-86

−8.5

UCLA

L 62-83

+9.5

CIT

W 100-92

+1.5

TNTC

W 61-59

+6.5

UPST

W 72-64

+5.5

L 66-82

+2.5

TROY

W 93-89

+21.5

TNTC

L 59-87

−29.5

GASO

L 85-91

−2.5

UGA

L 74-103

+7.5

BELL

W 87-85

+3.5

EKU

W 88-76

+13.5

UNF

W 85-73

+9.5

JAX

L 43-75

−30.5

STET

L 86-95

−10.5

FGCU

L 72-90

−8.5

CARK

L 65-86

−17.5

QUC

W 74-66

+15.5

BELL

L 74-77

−0.5

APSU

L 78-81

+4.5

UNF

L 73-81

−13.5

JAX

W 87-73

+15.5

UNA

W 82-73

+10.5

CARK

L 62-79

−6.5

EKU

L 80-81

+6.5

QUC

L 84-91

+4.5

LIP

W 84-78

+11.5

UNA

W 75-63

+7.5

UNF

W 93-85

+4.5

QUC

L 63-71

+0.5

covered 20didn’t cover 10avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

NEB

L 53-86

−14.5

UCLA

L 62-83

−1.5

CIT

W 100-92

+41.5

TNTC

W 61-59

−32.5

UPST

W 72-64

−17.5

L 66-82

+3.5

TROY

W 93-89

+31.5

TNTC

L 59-87

−4.5

GASO

L 85-91

+21.5

UGA

L 74-103

+3.5

BELL

W 87-85

+20.5

EKU

W 88-76

+7.5

UNF

W 85-73

−6.5

JAX

L 43-75

−23.5

STET

L 86-95

+29.5

FGCU

L 72-90

+9.5

CARK

L 65-86

−3.5

QUC

W 74-66

−22.5

BELL

L 74-77

−0.5

APSU

L 78-81

+8.5

UNF

L 73-81

−12.5

JAX

W 87-73

+21.5

UNA

W 82-73

+9.5

CARK

L 62-79

−9.5

EKU

L 80-81

+6.5

QUC

L 84-91

+13.5

LIP

W 84-78

+8.5

UNA

W 75-63

−8.5

UNF

W 93-85

+17.5

QUC

L 63-71

−30.5

over 16under 14avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

USI67.0 #333

WGA75.3 #156

Points per possession

USI0.97 #346

WGA1.06 #224

Pace (possessions)

USI69.0 #177

WGA71.0 #75

Shooting

Effective FG%

USI43.7 #363

WGA49.6 #261

3-point %

USI29.9 #345

WGA33.1 #222

3-point attempt rate

USI39.8 #178

WGA33.0 #316

Free throw rate

USI37.2 #123

WGA29.2 #329

Possessions

Turnover rate

USI17.1 #212

WGA15.9 #130

Offensive rebound rate

USI31.4 #145

WGA31.5 #142

Assists per game

USI9.7 #360

WGA12.3 #265

Defense

Points allowed

USI74.3 #165

WGA80.5 #326

Points allowed per possession

USI1.08 #165

WGA1.13 #297

Opponent effective FG%

USI49.4 #80

WGA53.4 #281

Opponent 3-point %

USI34.1 #193

WGA33.1 #129

Turnovers forced

USI16.5 #183

WGA14.7 #312

Defensive rebound rate

USI66.2 #315

WGA71.0 #102

Steals per game

USI6.2 #210

WGA6.4 #191

Blocks per game

USI4.2 #56

WGA4.7 #25

USI		WGA
Scoring
67.0 #333	Points per game	75.3 #156
0.97 #346	Points per possession	1.06 #224
69.0 #177	Pace (possessions)	71.0 #75
Shooting
43.7 #363	Effective FG%	49.6 #261
29.9 #345	3-point %	33.1 #222
39.8 #178	3-point attempt rate	33.0 #316
37.2 #123	Free throw rate	29.2 #329
Possessions
17.1 #212	Turnover rate	15.9 #130
31.4 #145	Offensive rebound rate	31.5 #142
9.7 #360	Assists per game	12.3 #265
Defense
74.3 #165	Points allowed	80.5 #326
1.08 #165	Points allowed per possession	1.13 #297
49.4 #80	Opponent effective FG%	53.4 #281
34.1 #193	Opponent 3-point %	33.1 #129
16.5 #183	Turnovers forced	14.7 #312
66.2 #315	Defensive rebound rate	71.0 #102
6.2 #210	Steals per game	6.4 #191
4.2 #56	Blocks per game	4.7 #25

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles

5-23 in 2025-26 overall · 4-16 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference

Last five, 2025-26

L@ Little Rock70–89
L@ Morehead St63–64
W@ E Illinois70–68
W@ W Illinois77–70
Lvs Tennessee Tech74–82

A week or more of rest.

West Georgia

13-17 in 2025-26 overall · 9-11 in conference · United Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Queens University Royals63–71
Wvs North Florida93–85
Wvs North Alabama75–63
Wvs Lipscomb84–78
L@ Queens University Royals84–91

A week or more of rest.

Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles at West Georgia Wolves

What could decide it: WGA has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

ATS History · 2025-26

Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles

West Georgia

Matchup stats

Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles

West Georgia