1. NCAAB
  2. Sun, Nov 22
  3. CSUF @ PRST
NCAAB · Sun, Nov 22

Cal State Fullerton Titans at Portland State Vikings

Viking Pavilion · at Portland St
#312CSUFFullerton
@
#274PRSTPortland St
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
CSUFThis seasonPRST
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects PRST 77–73 · win probability PRST 65%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 150.0
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: PRST has more of the edges

CSUF 3, PRST 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Schedule so far
CSUF has played the 164th-hardest schedule, PRST the 322nd. A record against a soft schedule means less
PRSTBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: CSUF 51.4 and allows 54.3; PRST 50.5 and allows 48.8
PRSTSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: CSUF 24.6%, PRST 30.0%. Defensive: CSUF 71.7%, PRST 73.6%
CSUFSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: CSUF 15.3%, PRST 16.9%. Forced: CSUF 19.4%, PRST 18.0%
CSUFSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: CSUF 37.8, PRST 37.1. Allowed: CSUF 35.3, PRST 42.8
Context
Tempo
About 73 possessions: CSUF plays 75.5 a game (3rd fastest), PRST 69.6 (140th). Faster games mean more points
CSUFSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: CSUF 39%, PRST 6%. Transfers in: CSUF 1, PRST 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
PRSTSmall
PRST offense vs CSUF defense
Offense 284th of 366 against a defense 344th, on the model’s ratings
PRSTSmall
Home court
PRST at home. This season: PRST 0-0 at home, CSUF 0-0 away
Even
CSUF offense vs PRST defense
Offense 272nd of 366 against a defense 244th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Three-pointers
CSUF hits 34.2% and allows 34.0%; PRST hits 32.6% and allows 32.3%. Threes are 43.1% and 34.4% of their shots
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—PRST -4.5—
Total—150.0—
Projected score—CSUF 72.7 · PRST 77.2

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadPRST -2.5—
1H total70.1—
1H projected scoreCSUF 33.8 · PRST 36.3—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Portland St has the better starters

Position by position: Fullerton 0, Portland St 2, even 3
FullertonBetterPortland St
G C. Williams9.4 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.1 ast Score 39
Even
G E. Skytt TR3.4 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.6 ast Score 26
G B. Nunn5 pts · 2 reb · 1.3 ast Score 13
PRSTSmall
G K. Johnson TR1.8 pts · 0.8 reb · 1.4 ast Score 39
G D. White2.8 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.3 ast Score 0
No call
G C. Ness0.6 pts · 0.3 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
G T. Jenkins TR0 pts · 0 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
No call
F B. Barron0.7 pts · 1.1 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
F K. De Luna4.6 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.9 ast Score 7
PRSTSmall
C K. Ibekwe TR3.5 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.4 ast Score 34
FullertonBetterPortland St
CSUF offense272nd of 366 · -8.3
Even
PRST defense244th of 366 · -6.4
CSUF defense344th of 366 · -9.2
PRSTSmall
PRST offense284th of 366 · -8.8
Backcourt-6.1 · 4 players
PRSTBig
Backcourt-1.7 · 3 players
Frontcourt-2.1 · 1 player
PRSTSmall
Frontcourt-0.6 · 2 players
Bench-0.1 · 1 player
Even
Bench-0.3 · 2 players
Score, worst to bestCSUF betterPRST betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Fullerton
Guards
C. Williams27 minB. Nunn19 minD. White13 minT. Jenkins3 min · TRM. Quinlan2 minD. McConnellNew
Forwards
K. De Luna18 minR. ReynoldsNew
Portland St
Guards
E. Skytt12 min · TRK. Johnson10 min · TRC. Ness4 minN. PollardNewT. FrankNewD. JohnsonNew
Forwards
B. Barron4 minC. Chukwu3 minL. Kearney3 min · TRJ. RandolphNewA. PusateriNewF. CoratoNew
Centers
K. Ibekwe9 min · TR
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
CSUFPRST
Scoring
80.3 #60Points per game73.9 #199
1.07 #208Points per possession1.06 #220
75.5 #3Pace (possessions)69.6 #140
Shooting
51.4 #180Effective FG%50.5 #211
34.2 #1623-point %32.6 #250
43.1 #1083-point attempt rate34.4 #287
37.8 #107Free throw rate37.1 #126
Possessions
15.3 #82Turnover rate16.9 #200
24.6 #345Offensive rebound rate30.0 #199
15.0 #85Assists per game13.4 #186
Defense
82.2 #342Points allowed71.2 #80
1.08 #181Points allowed per possession1.02 #45
54.3 #307Opponent effective FG%48.8 #56
34.0 #185Opponent 3-point %32.3 #77
19.4 #34Turnovers forced18.0 #94
71.7 #80Defensive rebound rate73.6 #23
7.9 #45Steals per game7.2 #104
2.8 #258Blocks per game3.8 #108
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Fullerton

16-16 in 2025-26 overall · 13-9 in conference · Big West Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Hawai'i63–78
  • Wvs UC Davis82–70
  • W@ CSU Northridge90–77
  • Wvs UC San Diego75–71
  • Lvs Hawai'i85–87

A week or more of rest.

Portland St

17-11 in 2025-26 overall · 14-6 in conference · Big Sky Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Montana72–75
  • Wvs Idaho St85–78
  • Wvs Weber St84–60
  • L@ Montana68–74
  • L@ Montana St69–84

A week or more of rest.