1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Nov 28
  3. WEB @ CSUF
NCAAB · Sat, Nov 28

Weber State Wildcats at Cal State Fullerton Titans

Titan Gym · at Fullerton
#313WEBWeber St
@
#312CSUFFullerton
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
WEBThis seasonCSUF
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects CSUF 80–75 · win probability CSUF 64%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 154.9
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: CSUF has more of the edges

WEB 2, CSUF 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Schedule so far
WEB has played the 316th-hardest schedule, CSUF the 164th. A record against a soft schedule means less
WEBBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: WEB 31.8%, CSUF 24.6%. Defensive: WEB 72.3%, CSUF 71.7%
CSUFSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: WEB 15.7%, CSUF 15.3%. Forced: WEB 16.3%, CSUF 19.4%
WEBSmall
WEB offense vs CSUF defense
Offense 280th of 366 against a defense 344th, on the model’s ratings
CSUFSmall
CSUF offense vs WEB defense
Offense 272nd of 366 against a defense 336th, on the model’s ratings
CSUFSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: WEB 9%, CSUF 39%. Transfers in: WEB 2, CSUF 1. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
CSUFSmall
Home court
CSUF at home. This season: CSUF 0-0 at home, WEB 0-0 away
Context
Tempo
About 73 possessions: WEB plays 70.7 a game (85th fastest), CSUF 75.5 (3rd). Faster games mean more points
Even
Three-pointers
WEB hits 34.5% and allows 33.5%; CSUF hits 34.2% and allows 34.0%. Threes are 32.8% and 43.1% of their shots
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: WEB 51.7 and allows 54.5; CSUF 51.4 and allows 54.3
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: WEB 39.1, CSUF 37.8. Allowed: WEB 36.4, CSUF 35.3
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—CSUF -4.2—
Total—154.9—
Projected score—WEB 75.3 · CSUF 79.5

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadCSUF -2.4—
1H total72.4—
1H projected scoreWEB 35 · CSUF 37.4—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Fullerton has the better starters

Position by position: Weber St 0, Fullerton 1, even 4
Weber StBetterFullerton
G A. Grayson3.3 pts · 1.2 reb · 1 ast Score 6
CSUFSmall
G C. Williams9.4 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.1 ast Score 39
F B. Felder TR2.3 pts · 1.8 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
No call
G B. Nunn5 pts · 2 reb · 1.3 ast Score 13
F D. Thompson NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
G D. White2.8 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.3 ast Score 0
C A. Ekwe TR2.4 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
No call
G T. Jenkins TR0 pts · 0 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
C D. Cutler1.2 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
No call
F K. De Luna4.6 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.9 ast Score 7
Weber StBetterFullerton
WEB offense280th of 366 · -8.6
WEBSmall
CSUF defense344th of 366 · -9.2
WEB defense336th of 366 · -8.9
CSUFSmall
CSUF offense272nd of 366 · -8.3
Backcourt-1.7 · 1 player
WEBBig
Backcourt-6.1 · 4 players
Frontcourt-0.8 · 4 players
WEBSmall
Frontcourt-2.1 · 1 player
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench-0.1 · 1 player
Score, worst to bestWEB betterCSUF betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Weber St
Guards
A. Grayson12 minA. JacksonNewA. PowellNewM. AbittanNewS. Marius JonesNewH. HansenNew
Forwards
B. Felder6 min · TRD. ThompsonNewD. WarlickNewC. BurgessNew
Centers
A. Ekwe10 min · TRD. Cutler6 min
Fullerton
Guards
C. Williams27 minB. Nunn19 minD. White13 minT. Jenkins3 min · TRM. Quinlan2 minD. McConnellNew
Forwards
K. De Luna18 minR. ReynoldsNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
WEBCSUF
Scoring
78.8 #82Points per game80.3 #60
1.11 #112Points per possession1.07 #208
70.7 #85Pace (possessions)75.5 #3
Shooting
51.7 #163Effective FG%51.4 #180
34.5 #1433-point %34.2 #162
32.8 #3203-point attempt rate43.1 #108
39.1 #76Free throw rate37.8 #107
Possessions
15.7 #115Turnover rate15.3 #82
31.8 #132Offensive rebound rate24.6 #345
12.6 #241Assists per game15.0 #85
Defense
79.1 #300Points allowed82.2 #342
1.12 #269Points allowed per possession1.08 #181
54.5 #316Opponent effective FG%54.3 #307
33.5 #160Opponent 3-point %34.0 #185
16.3 #204Turnovers forced19.4 #34
72.3 #56Defensive rebound rate71.7 #80
6.9 #133Steals per game7.9 #45
1.5 #360Blocks per game2.8 #258
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Weber St

14-16 in 2025-26 overall · 10-9 in conference · Big Sky Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs E Washington79–84
  • L@ Portland St60–84
  • W@ Idaho St83–73
  • Wvs Montana92–72
  • Wvs Montana St82–79

A week or more of rest.

Fullerton

16-16 in 2025-26 overall · 13-9 in conference · Big West Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Hawai'i63–78
  • Wvs UC Davis82–70
  • W@ CSU Northridge90–77
  • Wvs UC San Diego75–71
  • Lvs Hawai'i85–87

A week or more of rest.