1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Dec 5
  3. WEB @ SUU
NCAAB · Sat, Dec 5

Weber State Wildcats at Southern Utah Thunderbirds

America First Events Center · at Southern Utah · Conference game
#313WEBWeber St
@
#267SUUSouthern Utah
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
WEBThis seasonSUU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects SUU 80–75 · win probability SUU 66%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 155.4
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: WEB has more of the edges

WEB 4, SUU 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
WEBBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: WEB 31.8%, SUU 28.8%. Defensive: WEB 72.3%, SUU 66.4%
WEBBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: WEB 15.7%, SUU 20.3%. Forced: WEB 16.3%, SUU 14.8%
WEBBig
Three-pointers
WEB hits 34.5% and allows 33.5%; SUU hits 33.0% and allows 38.0%. Threes are 32.8% and 35.5% of their shots
Context
Schedule so far
WEB has played the 316th-hardest schedule, SUU the 187th. A record against a soft schedule means less
SUUBig
SUU offense vs WEB defense
Offense 211th of 366 against a defense 336th, on the model’s ratings
SUUSmall
Home court
SUU at home. This season: SUU 0-0 at home, WEB 0-0 away
WEBSmall
WEB offense vs SUU defense
Offense 280th of 366 against a defense 329th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: WEB 9%, SUU 27%. Transfers in: WEB 2, SUU 1. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Tempo
About 71 possessions: WEB plays 70.7 a game (85th fastest), SUU 71.2 (62nd). Faster games mean more points
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: WEB 39.1, SUU 33.1. Allowed: WEB 36.4, SUU 29.8
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: WEB 51.7 and allows 54.5; SUU 50.8 and allows 53.3
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—SUU -4.8—
Total—155.4—
Projected score—WEB 75.3 · SUU 80.1

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadSUU -2.8—
1H total72.6—
1H projected scoreWEB 34.9 · SUU 37.7—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Weber St 0, Southern Utah 0, even 5
Weber StBetterSouthern Utah
G A. Grayson3.3 pts · 1.2 reb · 1 ast Score 6
No call
G B. Johnson0 pts · 0.3 reb · 0.9 ast Not ranked
F B. Felder TR2.3 pts · 1.8 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
No call
G Z. Kidd0.3 pts · 0.8 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
F D. Thompson NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
F J. Feroah14 pts · 6.9 reb · 1.8 ast Score 87
C A. Ekwe TR2.4 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
No call
F J. Nicholls TR10.8 pts · 5.3 reb · 0.4 ast Score 95
C D. Cutler1.2 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
No call
F C. Barclay4.5 pts · 2.7 reb · 0.9 ast Score 8
Weber StBetterSouthern Utah
WEB offense280th of 366 · -8.6
Even
SUU defense329th of 366 · -8.6
WEB defense336th of 366 · -8.9
SUUSmall
SUU offense211th of 366 · -6.4
Backcourt-1.7 · 1 player
SUUSmall
Backcourt-0.4 · 2 players
Frontcourt-0.8 · 4 players
SUUBig
Frontcourt+3.8 · 3 players
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
BenchNo numbers yet
Score, worst to bestWEB betterSUU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Weber St
Guards
A. Grayson12 minA. JacksonNewA. PowellNewM. AbittanNewS. Marius JonesNewH. HansenNew
Forwards
B. Felder6 min · TRD. ThompsonNewD. WarlickNewC. BurgessNew
Centers
A. Ekwe10 min · TRD. Cutler6 min
Southern Utah
Guards
B. Johnson4 minZ. Kidd3 minD. SandersNewA. BrelandNewJ. BrownNewC. DegraffenriedNew
Forwards
J. Feroah31 minJ. Nicholls18 min · TRC. Barclay16 minJ. RiakNewJ. NichollsNewD. SmithNew
Centers
M. ProtsenkoNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
WEBSUU
Scoring
78.8 #82Points per game72.3 #235
1.11 #112Points per possession1.01 #310
70.7 #85Pace (possessions)71.2 #62
Shooting
51.7 #163Effective FG%50.8 #200
34.5 #1433-point %33.0 #231
32.8 #3203-point attempt rate35.5 #261
39.1 #76Free throw rate33.1 #235
Possessions
15.7 #115Turnover rate20.3 #352
31.8 #132Offensive rebound rate28.8 #239
12.6 #241Assists per game12.9 #223
Defense
79.1 #300Points allowed81.3 #335
1.12 #269Points allowed per possession1.14 #308
54.5 #316Opponent effective FG%53.3 #276
33.5 #160Opponent 3-point %38.0 #358
16.3 #204Turnovers forced14.8 #302
72.3 #56Defensive rebound rate66.4 #309
6.9 #133Steals per game5.2 #317
1.5 #360Blocks per game4.1 #60
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Weber St

14-16 in 2025-26 overall · 10-9 in conference · Big Sky Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs E Washington79–84
  • L@ Portland St60–84
  • W@ Idaho St83–73
  • Wvs Montana92–72
  • Wvs Montana St82–79

A week or more of rest.

Southern Utah

7-22 in 2025-26 overall · 6-13 in conference · Big Sky Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs UT Arlington63–69
  • Lvs CA Baptist75–82
  • Lvs Utah Valley88–92
  • Wvs Utah Tech81–67
  • L@ Abilene Chrstn83–87

A week or more of rest.