1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Dec 15
  3. WEB @ BYU
NCAAB · Tue, Dec 15

Weber State Wildcats at BYU Cougars

Marriott Center · at BYU
#313WEBWeber St
@
#24BYUBYU AP #25
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
WEBThis seasonBYU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects BYU 93–63 · win probability BYU 100%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 156.6
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: BYU has more of the edges

WEB 1, BYU 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
BYUBig
BYU offense vs WEB defense
Offense 24th of 366 against a defense 336th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
WEB has played the 316th-hardest schedule, BYU the 14th. A record against a soft schedule means less
BYUBig
WEB offense vs BYU defense
Offense 280th of 366 against a defense 33rd, on the model’s ratings
BYUBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: WEB 51.7 and allows 54.5; BYU 54.4 and allows 51.2
WEBSmall
Three-pointers
WEB hits 34.5% and allows 33.5%; BYU hits 34.5% and allows 35.3%. Threes are 32.8% and 39.8% of their shots
BYUSmall
Home court
BYU at home. This season: BYU 0-0 at home, WEB 0-0 away
BYUSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: WEB 9%, BYU 35%. Transfers in: WEB 2, BYU 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: WEB 39.1, BYU 34.4. Allowed: WEB 36.4, BYU 28.9
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: WEB 15.7%, BYU 15.2%. Forced: WEB 16.3%, BYU 16.4%
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: WEB 31.8%, BYU 34.3%. Defensive: WEB 72.3%, BYU 70.3%
Context
Tempo
About 71 possessions: WEB plays 70.7 a game (85th fastest), BYU 70.6 (90th). Faster games mean more points
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—BYU -29.9—
Total—156.6—
Projected score—WEB 63.3 · BYU 93.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadBYU -17.7—
1H total73.2—
1H projected scoreWEB 27.7 · BYU 45.4—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

BYU has the better starters

Position by position: Weber St 0, BYU 1, even 4
Weber StBetterBYU
G A. Grayson3.3 pts · 1.2 reb · 1 ast Score 6
BYUBig
G R. Wright18.1 pts · 3.5 reb · 4.6 ast Score 97
F B. Felder TR2.3 pts · 1.8 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
No call
G C. Chandler TR9.7 pts · 2.8 reb · 2.3 ast Score 84
F D. Thompson NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
F J. Kohler TR12.5 pts · 8.9 reb · 1.3 ast Score 96
C A. Ekwe TR2.4 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
No call
F J. Wahlin TR5.3 pts · 3.9 reb · 0.7 ast Score 44
C D. Cutler1.2 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
No call
F D. Baker7.5 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.5 ast Not ranked
Weber StBetterBYU
WEB offense280th of 366 · -8.6
BYUBig
BYU defense33rd of 366 · +3.5
WEB defense336th of 366 · -8.9
BYUBig
BYU offense24th of 366 · +7.2
Backcourt-1.7 · 1 player
BYUBig
Backcourt+6.9 · 2 players
Frontcourt-0.8 · 4 players
BYUBig
Frontcourt+4.5 · 3 players
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench-0.8 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestWEB betterBYU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Weber St
Guards
A. Grayson12 minA. JacksonNewA. PowellNewM. AbittanNewS. Marius JonesNewH. HansenNew
Forwards
B. Felder6 min · TRD. ThompsonNewD. WarlickNewC. BurgessNew
Centers
A. Ekwe10 min · TRD. Cutler6 min
BYU
Guards
R. Wright35 minC. Chandler27 min · TRN. PickensNew
Forwards
J. Kohler28 min · TRJ. Wahlin21 min · TRD. Baker20 minT. Betsey18 min · TRK. Mboup16 minB. KozlowskiNew
Centers
A. Stewart1 min · TRP. OstojicNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
WEBBYU
Scoring
78.8 #82Points per game83.5 #22
1.11 #112Points per possession1.18 #32
70.7 #85Pace (possessions)70.6 #90
Shooting
51.7 #163Effective FG%54.4 #54
34.5 #1433-point %34.5 #145
32.8 #3203-point attempt rate39.8 #177
39.1 #76Free throw rate34.4 #198
Possessions
15.7 #115Turnover rate15.2 #78
31.8 #132Offensive rebound rate34.3 #61
12.6 #241Assists per game13.3 #192
Defense
79.1 #300Points allowed75.4 #202
1.12 #269Points allowed per possession1.07 #133
54.5 #316Opponent effective FG%51.2 #174
33.5 #160Opponent 3-point %35.3 #269
16.3 #204Turnovers forced16.4 #194
72.3 #56Defensive rebound rate70.3 #145
6.9 #133Steals per game7.2 #109
1.5 #360Blocks per game4.4 #40
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Weber St

14-16 in 2025-26 overall · 10-9 in conference · Big Sky Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs E Washington79–84
  • L@ Portland St60–84
  • W@ Idaho St83–73
  • Wvs Montana92–72
  • Wvs Montana St82–79

A week or more of rest.

BYU

23-12 in 2025-26 overall · 11-10 in conference · Big 12 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Texas71–79
  • Lvs Houston66–73
  • Wvs West Virginia68–48
  • Wvs Kansas St105–91
  • Wvs Texas Tech82–76

A week or more of rest.