1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Dec 15
  3. SHSU @ OMA
NCAAB · Tue, Dec 15

Sam Houston Bearkats at Omaha Mavericks

Baxter Arena · at Omaha
#189SHSUSam Houston
@
#279OMAOmaha
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
SHSUThis seasonOMA
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects SHSU 78–75 · win probability SHSU 60%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 152.7
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: SHSU has more of the edges

SHSU 4, OMA 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
SHSUBig
SHSU offense vs OMA defense
Offense 154th of 366 against a defense 306th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
SHSU has played the 138th-hardest schedule, OMA the 287th. A record against a soft schedule means less
SHSUBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: SHSU 35.9%, OMA 25.5%. Defensive: SHSU 69.9%, OMA 71.3%
SHSUSmall
Three-pointers
SHSU hits 37.2% and allows 32.5%; OMA hits 34.0% and allows 32.9%. Threes are 35.8% and 40.9% of their shots
OMASmall
Home court
OMA at home. This season: OMA 0-0 at home, SHSU 0-0 away
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: SHSU plays 70.7 a game (88th fastest), OMA 68.9 (184th). Faster games mean more points
OMASmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: SHSU 34.4, OMA 34.5. Allowed: SHSU 36.7, OMA 33.6
SHSUSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: SHSU 52.5 and allows 51.4; OMA 52.2 and allows 52.7
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: SHSU 16.8%, OMA 16.1%. Forced: SHSU 16.1%, OMA 14.1%
Even
OMA offense vs SHSU defense
Offense 247th of 366 against a defense 228th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: SHSU 29%, OMA 23%. Transfers in: SHSU 2, OMA 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—SHSU -2.8—
Total—152.7—
Projected score—SHSU 77.7 · OMA 74.9

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadSHSU -1.8—
1H total71.4—
1H projected scoreSHSU 36.6 · OMA 34.8—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Sam Houston has the better starters

Position by position: Sam Houston 2, Omaha 1, even 2
Sam HoustonBetterOmaha
G J. Begg10 pts · 2.6 reb · 3.5 ast Score 17
OMABig
G G. Stubblefield9.3 pts · 3.1 reb · 3.3 ast Score 64
G J. Coleman8.3 pts · 2.4 reb · 1.3 ast Score 41
SHSUSmall
G C. Crosby TR2.5 pts · 0.9 reb · 0.3 ast Score 24
F E. St. Bernard TR5.6 pts · 5.3 reb · 0.9 ast Score 78
No call
G A. Skradis0.4 pts · 0.3 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
F M. Dann2.8 pts · 2 reb · 0.4 ast Score 58
SHSUSmall
F C. Dockery TR7.3 pts · 5.7 reb · 0.8 ast Score 41
F R. Greppi TR0 pts · 0.4 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
No call
F B. Scholl3.7 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.3 ast Score 26
Sam HoustonBetterOmaha
SHSU offense154th of 366 · -4.7
SHSUBig
OMA defense306th of 366 · -7.8
SHSU defense228th of 366 · -6.1
Even
OMA offense247th of 366 · -7.5
Backcourt-3.6 · 2 players
OMASmall
Backcourt-0.7 · 3 players
Frontcourt+1.0 · 3 players
SHSUSmall
Frontcourt-1.6 · 2 players
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench-0.0 · 2 players
Score, worst to bestSHSU betterOMA betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Sam Houston
Guards
J. Begg27 minJ. Coleman22 minZ. PipkinNewA. McDowellNewN. NguyenNewK. PartainNew
Forwards
E. St. Bernard18 min · TRM. Dann9 minR. Greppi1 min · TRC. Sadibou NdiayeNewY. OkeNewA. LoustauNew
Omaha
Guards
G. Stubblefield29 minC. Crosby9 min · TRA. Skradis2 minD. Thompson1 min · TRB. OrgilboldNewC. CurtisNew
Forwards
C. Dockery22 min · TRB. Scholl14 minJ. Bolis2 min · TRD. PleasantNewE. SheatsNewG. BakerNew
Centers
I. OndekaneNewH. BukingaNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
SHSUOMA
Scoring
80.0 #67Points per game73.9 #202
1.13 #78Points per possession1.07 #201
70.7 #88Pace (possessions)68.9 #184
Shooting
52.5 #128Effective FG%52.2 #139
37.2 #243-point %34.0 #169
35.8 #2533-point attempt rate40.9 #150
34.4 #199Free throw rate34.5 #196
Possessions
16.8 #186Turnover rate16.1 #146
35.9 #25Offensive rebound rate25.5 #331
14.9 #95Assists per game12.1 #276
Defense
76.9 #237Points allowed77.7 #259
1.09 #191Points allowed per possession1.13 #278
51.4 #180Opponent effective FG%52.7 #258
32.5 #89Opponent 3-point %32.9 #114
16.1 #220Turnovers forced14.1 #333
69.9 #168Defensive rebound rate71.3 #90
7.0 #128Steals per game5.7 #277
2.6 #288Blocks per game3.0 #234
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Sam Houston

19-12 in 2025-26 overall · 14-8 in conference · Conference USA

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ New Mexico83–107
  • Lvs Kennesaw St73–79
  • Wvs New Mexico St69–61
  • L@ Liberty72–79
  • L@ Delaware80–83

A week or more of rest.

Omaha

12-17 in 2025-26 overall · 9-9 in conference · Summit League

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs N Dakota St50–74
  • Wvs South Dakota76–62
  • L@ St Thomas53–68
  • L@ South Dakota72–89
  • Wvs Oral Roberts80–71

A week or more of rest.