Pan American Center · at New Mexico St
LineNo line yet
Total—
 PAC | This season | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects NMSU 74–70 · win probability NMSU 64%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 144.0
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: NMSU has more of the edges
PAC 2, NMSU 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
NMSUBigTurnovers
Turnover rate: PAC 20.1%, NMSU 15.0%. Forced: PAC 15.1%, NMSU 14.7%
PACBigRebounding
Offensive rebound rate: PAC 35.3%, NMSU 32.5%. Defensive: PAC 75.0%, NMSU 69.7%
NMSUSmallPAC offense vs NMSU defense
Offense 195th of 366 against a defense 125th, on the model’s ratings
PACSmallShooting
Effective FG%: PAC 52.2 and allows 50.0; NMSU 48.5 and allows 48.7
Context
Schedule so far
PAC has played the 122nd-hardest schedule, NMSU the 174th. A record against a soft schedule means less
NMSUSmallHome court
NMSU at home. This season: NMSU 0-0 at home, PAC 0-0 away
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: PAC plays 66.1 a game (312th fastest), NMSU 68.1 (224th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: PAC 8%, NMSU 22%. Transfers in: PAC 9, NMSU 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Three-pointers
PAC hits 35.8% and allows 34.7%; NMSU hits 32.4% and allows 32.4%. Threes are 35.4% and 38.7% of their shots
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: PAC 30.5, NMSU 34.9. Allowed: PAC 36.3, NMSU 44.2
Even
NMSU offense vs PAC defense
Offense 151st of 366 against a defense 147th, on the model’s ratings
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | — | NMSU -4.0 | — |
| Total | — | 144.0 | — |
| Projected score | — | PAC 70 · NMSU 74 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | NMSU -2.3 | — |
| 1H total | 67.4 | — |
| 1H projected score | PAC 32.6 · NMSU 34.8 | — |
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2025-26
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PAC | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
| NMSU | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Next 3 games
With how the last meeting with each opponent went
PacificNo more games listed yet.
New Mexico StNo more games listed yet.
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Pacific
31 games played
Straight up
16-15
52% wins
Against the spread
17-14
55% covers · avg +2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-20
35% overs · avg −2.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ NEV | L 77-78 | +13.5 | W +12.5 | 139.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 12 | vs LBSU | W 69-66 | -12.5 | L −9.5 | 141.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 15 | @ CSUF | W 85-73 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 20 | @ FAU | L 59-82 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 154.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 24 | vs STBK | W 86-58 | -4.5 | W +23.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 25 | vs JAX | W 68-53 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 135.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 29 | vs SAC | W 68-54 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 3 | @ AF | W 80-65 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 134.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 6 | @ CAL | L 61-67 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 16 | @ BYU | L 57-93 | +23.5 | L −12.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 21 | vs NICH | W 95-82 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 28 | @ USD | L 54-66 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 150.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 30 | @ LMU | L 71-80 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 2 | vs ORST | W 84-53 | -4.5 | W +26.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 4 | vs PEPP | W 74-69 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 138.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 8 | @ PORT | L 89-90 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 10 | vsUSD | W 77-70 | -8.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 14 | @ SCU | L 69-85 | +12.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 17 | @ORST | W 81-64 | +1.5 | W +18.5 | 139.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 24 | vs SEA | W 56-54 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 137.5 | U 110 |
| Jan 28 | vsPORT | W 74-51 | -8.5 | W +14.5 | 142.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 31 | @ SF | L 82-87 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 138.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 4 | vsSCU | L 56-71 | +6.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | U 127 |
| Feb 7 | @PEPP | W 92-59 | -7.5 | W +25.5 | 142.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 11 | vsLMU | W 65-59 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 14 | vs SMC | L 61-72 | +7.5 | L −3.5 | 135.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 18 | @ WSU | L 70-87 | +2.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 21 | @ GONZ | L 62-71 | +22.5 | W +13.5 | 144.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 28 | vsSF | L 61-72 | -3.5 | L −14.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
| Mar 7 | vsSEA | W 61-58 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 129.5 | U 119 |
| Mar 8 | vsSCU | L 68-76 | +9.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@NEV
NEVL 77-78
+12.5
12
vsLBSU
LBSUW 69-66
−9.5
15
@CSUF
CSUFW 85-73
+5.5
20
@FAU
FAUL 59-82
−15.5
24
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-58
+23.5
25
vsJAX
JAXW 68-53
+12.5
29
vsSAC
SACW 68-54
+3.5
3
@AF
AFW 80-65
+9.5
6
@CAL
CALL 61-67
+1.5
16
@BYU
BYUL 57-93
−12.5
21
vsNICH
NICHW 95-82
+4.5
28
@USD
USDL 54-66
−14.5
30
@LMU
LMUL 71-80
−5.5
2
vsORST
ORSTW 84-53
+26.5
4
vsPEPP
PEPPW 74-69
−6.5
8
@PORT
PORTL 89-90
−4.5
10
vsUSD
USDW 77-70
−1.5
14
@SCU
SCUL 69-85
−3.5
17
@ORST
ORSTW 81-64
+18.5
24
vsSEA
SEAW 56-54
+0.5
28
vsPORT
PORTW 74-51
+14.5
31
@SF
SFL 82-87
−0.5
4
vsSCU
SCUL 56-71
−8.5
7
@PEPP
PEPPW 92-59
+25.5
11
vsLMU
LMUW 65-59
+0.5
14
vsSMC
SMCL 61-72
−3.5
18
@WSU
WSUL 70-87
−14.5
21
@GONZ
GONZL 62-71
+13.5
28
vsSF
SFL 61-72
−14.5
7
vsSEA
SEAW 61-58
+1.5
8
vsSCU
SCUL 68-76
+1.5
covered 17didn’t cover 14avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@NEV
NEVL 77-78
+15.5
12
vsLBSU
LBSUW 69-66
−6.5
15
@CSUF
CSUFW 85-73
−1.5
20
@FAU
FAUL 59-82
−13.5
24
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-58
−1.5
25
vsJAX
JAXW 68-53
−14.5
29
vsSAC
SACW 68-54
−24.5
3
@AF
AFW 80-65
+10.5
6
@CAL
CALL 61-67
−16.5
16
@BYU
BYUL 57-93
+0.5
21
vsNICH
NICHW 95-82
+37.5
28
@USD
USDL 54-66
−30.5
30
@LMU
LMUL 71-80
+11.5
2
vsORST
ORSTW 84-53
−0.5
4
vsPEPP
PEPPW 74-69
+4.5
8
@PORT
PORTL 89-90
+34.5
10
vsUSD
USDW 77-70
−0.5
14
@SCU
SCUL 69-85
−0.5
17
@ORST
ORSTW 81-64
+5.5
24
vsSEA
SEAW 56-54
−27.5
28
vsPORT
PORTW 74-51
−17.5
31
@SF
SFL 82-87
+30.5
4
vsSCU
SCUL 56-71
−24.5
7
@PEPP
PEPPW 92-59
+8.5
11
vsLMU
LMUW 65-59
−17.5
14
vsSMC
SMCL 61-72
−2.5
18
@WSU
WSUL 70-87
+12.5
21
@GONZ
GONZL 62-71
−11.5
28
vsSF
SFL 61-72
−9.5
7
vsSEA
SEAW 61-58
−10.5
8
vsSCU
SCUL 68-76
−4.5
over 11under 20avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
New Mexico St
29 games played
Straight up
13-16
45% wins
Against the spread
14-15
48% covers · avg −1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-13
55% overs · avg +2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15 | vs UNM | W 76-68 | +3.5 | W +11.5 | 139.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 21 | vs SAM | W 81-72 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 25 | vs UCI | W 57-45 | +2.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | U 102 |
| Nov 26 | vs GAST | W 77-58 | -12.5 | W +6.5 | 136.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 2 | vs USA | L 75-77 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 135.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 6 | @ ACU | L 69-77 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 131.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 13 | vs TLSA | L 70-83 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 21 | vs SHSU | W 87-78 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 2 | @ FIU | L 74-89 | -1.5 | L −16.5 | 157.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 4 | @ MOST | L 82-89 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 134.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 8 | vs WKU | W 80-64 | -2.5 | W +13.5 | 154.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | vs MTSU | L 55-59 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 15 | @ LIB | L 71-73 | +8.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | @ DEL | W 97-68 | -4.5 | W +24.5 | 134.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 22 | vsMOST | L 75-84 | -6.5 | L −15.5 | 144.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 24 | vsFIU | L 78-81 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 28 | vsDEL | L 64-73 | -13.5 | L −22.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 31 | @ KENN | L 53-76 | +3.5 | L −19.5 | 159.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 4 | @ LT | W 72-63 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 135.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 7 | @ UTEP | L 88-91 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 138.5 | O 179 |
| Feb 11 | vsLIB | L 75-77 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 14 | @ JXST | W 79-70 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 139.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 21 | vsUTEP | W 67-63 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 26 | @WKU | L 70-93 | +4.5 | L −18.5 | 151.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 28 | @MTSU | L 85-86 | +5.5 | W +4.5 | 148.5 | O 171 |
| Mar 5 | vsJXST | W 77-75 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Mar 7 | vsKENN | W 79-76 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | U 155 |
| Mar 10 | vsJXST | W 68-63 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | U 131 |
| Mar 11 | vsSHSU | L 61-69 | +4.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | U 130 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
15
vsUNM
UNMW 76-68
+11.5
21
vsSAM
SAMW 81-72
+0.5
25
vsUCI
UCIW 57-45
+14.5
26
vsGAST
GASTW 77-58
+6.5
2
vsUSA
USAL 75-77
−4.5
6
@ACU
ACUL 69-77
−9.5
13
vsTLSA
TLSAL 70-83
−8.5
21
vsSHSU
SHSUW 87-78
+3.5
2
@FIU
FIUL 74-89
−16.5
4
@MOST
MOSTL 82-89
−5.5
8
vsWKU
WKUW 80-64
+13.5
10
vsMTSU
MTSUL 55-59
−7.5
15
@LIB
LIBL 71-73
+6.5
17
@DEL
DELW 97-68
+24.5
22
vsMOST
MOSTL 75-84
−15.5
24
vsFIU
FIUL 78-81
−10.5
28
vsDEL
DELL 64-73
−22.5
31
@KENN
KENNL 53-76
−19.5
4
@LT
LTW 72-63
+10.5
7
@UTEP
UTEPL 88-91
−4.5
11
vsLIB
LIBL 75-77
+1.5
14
@JXST
JXSTW 79-70
+10.5
21
vsUTEP
UTEPW 67-63
−3.5
26
@WKU
WKUL 70-93
−18.5
28
@MTSU
MTSUL 85-86
+4.5
5
vsJXST
JXSTW 77-75
−4.5
7
vsKENN
KENNW 79-76
+1.5
10
vsJXST
JXSTW 68-63
+3.5
11
vsSHSU
SHSUL 61-69
−3.5
covered 14didn’t cover 15avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
15
vsUNM
UNMW 76-68
+4.5
21
vsSAM
SAMW 81-72
+7.5
25
vsUCI
UCIW 57-45
−37.5
26
vsGAST
GASTW 77-58
−1.5
2
vsUSA
USAL 75-77
+16.5
6
@ACU
ACUL 69-77
+14.5
13
vsTLSA
TLSAL 70-83
+6.5
21
vsSHSU
SHSUW 87-78
+11.5
2
@FIU
FIUL 74-89
+5.5
4
@MOST
MOSTL 82-89
+36.5
8
vsWKU
WKUW 80-64
−10.5
10
vsMTSU
MTSUL 55-59
−30.5
15
@LIB
LIBL 71-73
−1.5
17
@DEL
DELW 97-68
+30.5
22
vsMOST
MOSTL 75-84
+14.5
24
vsFIU
FIUL 78-81
−0.5
28
vsDEL
DELL 64-73
−0.5
31
@KENN
KENNL 53-76
−30.5
4
@LT
LTW 72-63
−0.5
7
@UTEP
UTEPL 88-91
+40.5
11
vsLIB
LIBL 75-77
+7.5
14
@JXST
JXSTW 79-70
+9.5
21
vsUTEP
UTEPW 67-63
−12.5
26
@WKU
WKUL 70-93
+11.5
28
@MTSU
MTSUL 85-86
+22.5
5
vsJXST
JXSTW 77-75
+6.5
7
vsKENN
KENNW 79-76
−2.5
10
vsJXST
JXSTW 68-63
−10.5
11
vsSHSU
SHSUL 61-69
−24.5
over 16under 13avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
New Mexico St has the better starters
Position by position: Pacific 2, New Mexico St 3, even 0
PacificBetterNew Mexico St
G J. Winston TR15.5 pts · 3 reb · 3.8 ast
Score 74
←PACBig
G J. Washington TR11.3 pts · 1.9 reb · 2.8 ast
Score 34
G C. Amundsen TR9.4 pts · 2 reb · 3.8 ast
Score 34
→NMSUSmall
G G. Warren TR12.5 pts · 4.6 reb · 1.5 ast
Score 68
G C. Jones TR3.6 pts · 1.8 reb · 1.3 ast
Score 17
→NMSUBig
G D. Dudley TR14.2 pts · 2.8 reb · 1.8 ast
Score 65
F G. Ripp TR3.9 pts · 2.4 reb · 1.4 ast
Score 10
→NMSUSmall
F M. Lavrenov TR10.5 pts · 7.3 reb · 0.5 ast
Score 40
F J. Pitt4.4 pts · 3.7 reb · 0.5 ast
Score 57
←PACSmall
F J. Osborne6.3 pts · 4.8 reb · 0.6 ast
Score 42
PacificBetterNew Mexico St
PAC offense195th of 366 · -6.1
→NMSUSmall
NMSU defense125th of 366 · -2.3
PAC defense147th of 366 · -3.2
=Even
NMSU offense151st of 366 · -4.6
Backcourt-2.4 · 3 players
→NMSUSmall
Backcourt-1.3 · 3 players
Frontcourt-1.7 · 2 players
=Even
Frontcourt-1.5 · 2 players
Bench-1.2 · 5 players
←PACSmall
Bench-2.2 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestPAC betterNMSU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
PacificGuards
J. Winston36 min · TRC. Amundsen30 min · TRC. Jones17 min · TRA. Nyorha10 min · TRD. Harris6 min · TRN. BuduNew
Forwards
G. Ripp17 min · TRJ. Pitt17 minJ. Thompson11 min · TRV. OsazeeNewJ. CarotNew
Centers
J. McFarland3 min · TRI. Matlekovic2 min · TR
New Mexico StGuards
J. Washington35 min · TRG. Warren32 min · TRD. Dudley31 min · TRG. Pickens21 minK. RobinsonNewD. GrantNew
Forwards
M. Lavrenov28 min · TRJ. Osborne24 minS. Payne20 min · TRL. Levillain20 min · TRP. WoodsonNew
Centers
A. DiongueNew
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Matchup stats
2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Points per game
PAC71.3 #262NMSU73.8 #207Points per possession
PAC1.08 #176NMSU1.08 #179Pace (possessions)
PAC66.1 #312NMSU68.1 #224Shooting
Effective FG%
PAC52.2 #140NMSU48.5 #3023-point %
PAC35.8 #65NMSU32.4 #2573-point attempt rate
PAC35.4 #266NMSU38.7 #198Free throw rate
PAC30.5 #297NMSU34.9 #186Possessions
Turnover rate
PAC20.1 #350NMSU15.0 #66Offensive rebound rate
PAC35.3 #42NMSU32.5 #105Assists per game
PAC14.9 #93NMSU12.5 #250Defense
Points allowed
PAC69.8 #60NMSU73.8 #150Points allowed per possession
PAC1.05 #93NMSU1.08 #179Opponent effective FG%
PAC50.0 #101NMSU48.7 #52Opponent 3-point %
PAC34.7 #233NMSU32.4 #83Turnovers forced
PAC15.1 #281NMSU14.7 #311Defensive rebound rate
PAC75.0 #8NMSU69.7 #175Steals per game
PAC5.4 #309NMSU5.7 #276Blocks per game
PAC2.2 #332NMSU3.0 #221| PAC | NMSU | |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| 71.3 #262 | Points per game | 73.8 #207 |
| 1.08 #176 | Points per possession | 1.08 #179 |
| 66.1 #312 | Pace (possessions) | 68.1 #224 |
| Shooting | ||
| 52.2 #140 | Effective FG% | 48.5 #302 |
| 35.8 #65 | 3-point % | 32.4 #257 |
| 35.4 #266 | 3-point attempt rate | 38.7 #198 |
| 30.5 #297 | Free throw rate | 34.9 #186 |
| Possessions | ||
| 20.1 #350 | Turnover rate | 15.0 #66 |
| 35.3 #42 | Offensive rebound rate | 32.5 #105 |
| 14.9 #93 | Assists per game | 12.5 #250 |
| Defense | ||
| 69.8 #60 | Points allowed | 73.8 #150 |
| 1.05 #93 | Points allowed per possession | 1.08 #179 |
| 50.0 #101 | Opponent effective FG% | 48.7 #52 |
| 34.7 #233 | Opponent 3-point % | 32.4 #83 |
| 15.1 #281 | Turnovers forced | 14.7 #311 |
| 75.0 #8 | Defensive rebound rate | 69.7 #175 |
| 5.4 #309 | Steals per game | 5.7 #276 |
| 2.2 #332 | Blocks per game | 3.0 #221 |
Pacific
16-15 in 2025-26 overall · 9-11 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Santa Clara68–76
- Wvs Seattle U61–58
- Lvs San Francisco61–72
- L@ Gonzaga62–71
- L@ Washington St70–87
A week or more of rest.
New Mexico St
13-16 in 2025-26 overall · 9-13 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Sam Houston61–69
- Wvs Jax State68–63
- Wvs Kennesaw St79–76
- Wvs Jax State77–75
- L@ MTSU85–86
A week or more of rest.