Alex G. Spanos Center · at Pacific · Conference game
Closing line
PAC -3.5✓ SF covered by 14.5
PAC -3.5✓ SF covered by 14.5Closing total142.5Under by 9.5
 SF | This season | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| 14-15 | Record | 15-13 |
| 12-17 | ATS | 15-13 |
| 15-14 | O/U | 11-17 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SF 70–72 PAC · ✗ PAC (56%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SF | 42 | 30 | 72 |
| PAC | 35 | 26 | 61 |
1st half: SF 42, PAC 35 (SF by 7). The model had PAC by 0.9 and a total of 66.1 (actual 77).
Team stats
| SF | PAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-47 51% | Field goals | 24-60 40% |
| 10-23 43% | 3-pointers | 2-17 12% |
| 14-25 56% | Free throws | 11-19 58% |
| 29 4 off | Rebounds | 43 16 off |
| 12 | Assists | 15 |
| 7 | Steals | 4 |
| 5 | Blocks | 0 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 17 | Fouls | 21 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| SF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrone Riley IV G | 36 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 4-10 | 2-6 |
| Ryan Beasley G | 34 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3-8 | 0-1 |
| David Fuchs F | 30 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 10-12 | 3-4 |
| Legend Smiley G | 27 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 3-6 | 3-6 |
| Junjie Wang F | 19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Guillermo Diaz-Graham F | 22 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Vukasin Masic G | 20 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Saba Gigiberia C | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Mookie Cook F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Weilun Zhao, Sean Blakely Drummond, Veniamin Abosi, Aidan Braccia, Ndewedo Newbury, Isa Silva
| PAC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elias Ralph F | 38 | 19 | 10 | 2 | 8-20 | 0-6 |
| Jaden Clayton G | 34 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Justin Rochelin G | 31 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 4-8 | 1-3 |
| TJ Wainwright G | 28 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1-7 | 0-3 |
| Isaac Jack F | 19 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kajus Kublickas G | 22 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Jaion Pitt F | 14 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| KC Ibekwe C | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Emmanuel Manyuon G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Augustas Brazdeikis, Alexis Marmolejos, Eyal Harel, Clayton Mpiana, Noah Budu, Kris Keinys, Kellen Hampton, Dominic Capriotti, Carlsheon Young
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketPAC -3.5
ModelPAC -1.8
Model edgeSF +1.7
W SF covered
Total
Market142.5
Model141.2
Model edgeUnder 1.3
W Under
Projected score
SF 69.7 · PAC 71.5
SF 72 · PAC 61
Win probability
PAC 56%
1st half
Spread
PAC -0.9
SF -7.0
Total
66.1
77 points
Projected score
SF 32.6 · PAC 33.5
SF 42 · PAC 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPAC -4.5
1 → SF
ClosePAC -3.5
1 pt toward SF
Total
Open141.5
▲ 1
Close142.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
SF +145 · PAC -175
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PAC -4.5 · closed PAC -3.5 · moved 1 toward SFmodel PAC -2
model PAC -2
Opened 141.5 · closed 142.5 · moved 1 upmodel 141
model 141
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SF | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% |
| PAC | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
SF 9–0 PACSF leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · SF has won the last 9 meetings · SF 5-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2025-26 | PAC 82 @ SF 87 | SF -4.5 | SF W |
| Feb 20, 2024-25 | PAC 58 @ SF 71 | SF -15.5 | PAC W |
| Jan 2, 2024-25 | SF 89 @ PAC 81 | PAC +12.5 | PAC W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | PAC 73 @ SF 79 | SF -22.5 | PAC W |
| Jan 4, 2023-24 | SF 92 @ PAC 88 | PAC +19.5 | PAC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
San Francisco
29 games played
Straight up
14-15
48% wins
Against the spread
12-17
41% covers · avg −3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-14
52% overs · avg +1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ MEM | L 70-76 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 12 | vs PRST | W 80-70 | -13.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 15 | vs BRAD | W 75-64 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 18 | vs NWST | W 84-64 | -16.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 22 | vs MINN | W 77-65 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 27 | vs COLO | L 69-79 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs NEV | L 65-81 | -5.5 | L −21.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 3 | vs UNA | L 63-65 | -16.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 7 | vs MSST | W 65-62 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 13 | @ SLU | L 75-85 | +12.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 17 | vs LUC | W 85-71 | -11.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 21 | vs MORG | W 94-64 | -25.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 28 | @ SEA | W 67-59 | +2.5 | W +10.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 30 | @ ORST | L 62-70 | -4.5 | L −12.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 2 | vs USD | W 74-64 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 4 | vs PORT | W 73-68 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 8 | @ LMU | L 82-84 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 10 | @ PEPP | W 80-60 | -7.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 13 | vs SMC | L 68-82 | +5.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 18 | vs WSU | W 85-80 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | @ GONZ | L 66-68 | +15.5 | W +13.5 | 149.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 28 | @ SCU | L 73-88 | +9.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 31 | vsPAC | W 87-82 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 4 | vsLMU | L 75-84 | -8.5 | L −17.5 | 145.5 | O 159 |
| Feb 7 | @SMC | L 54-79 | +11.5 | L −13.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 12 | vsORST | L 63-90 | -8.5 | L −35.5 | 140.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 15 | @USD | W 92-79 | -5.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 18 | vsGONZ | L 59-80 | +15.5 | L −5.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 21 | vsSCU | L 73-94 | +6.5 | L −14.5 | 158.5 | O 167 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@MEM
MEML 70-76
−3.5
12
vsPRST
PRSTW 80-70
−3.5
15
vsBRAD
BRADW 75-64
+1.5
18
vsNWST
NWSTW 84-64
+3.5
22
vsMINN
MINNW 77-65
+13.5
27
vsCOLO
COLOL 69-79
−11.5
28
vsNEV
NEVL 65-81
−21.5
3
vsUNA
UNAL 63-65
−18.5
7
vsMSST
MSSTW 65-62
+7.5
13
@SLU
SLUL 75-85
+2.5
17
vsLUC
LUCW 85-71
+2.5
21
vsMORG
MORGW 94-64
+4.5
28
@SEA
SEAW 67-59
+10.5
30
@ORST
ORSTL 62-70
−12.5
2
vsUSD
USDW 74-64
−2.5
4
vsPORT
PORTW 73-68
−6.5
8
@LMU
LMUL 82-84
−0.5
10
@PEPP
PEPPW 80-60
+12.5
13
vsSMC
SMCL 68-82
−8.5
18
vsWSU
WSUW 85-80
−0.5
24
@GONZ
GONZL 66-68
+13.5
28
@SCU
SCUL 73-88
−5.5
31
vsPAC
PACW 87-82
+0.5
4
vsLMU
LMUL 75-84
−17.5
7
@SMC
SMCL 54-79
−13.5
12
vsORST
ORSTL 63-90
−35.5
15
@USD
USDW 92-79
+7.5
18
vsGONZ
GONZL 59-80
−5.5
21
vsSCU
SCUL 73-94
−14.5
covered 12didn’t cover 17avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@MEM
MEML 70-76
−11.5
12
vsPRST
PRSTW 80-70
−4.5
15
vsBRAD
BRADW 75-64
−7.5
18
vsNWST
NWSTW 84-64
+4.5
22
vsMINN
MINNW 77-65
+1.5
27
vsCOLO
COLOL 69-79
−2.5
28
vsNEV
NEVL 65-81
+3.5
3
vsUNA
UNAL 63-65
−17.5
7
vsMSST
MSSTW 65-62
−23.5
13
@SLU
SLUL 75-85
+4.5
17
vsLUC
LUCW 85-71
+12.5
21
vsMORG
MORGW 94-64
+12.5
28
@SEA
SEAW 67-59
−20.5
30
@ORST
ORSTL 62-70
−12.5
2
vsUSD
USDW 74-64
−14.5
4
vsPORT
PORTW 73-68
−6.5
8
@LMU
LMUL 82-84
+24.5
10
@PEPP
PEPPW 80-60
−0.5
13
vsSMC
SMCL 68-82
+8.5
18
vsWSU
WSUW 85-80
+18.5
24
@GONZ
GONZL 66-68
−15.5
28
@SCU
SCUL 73-88
+10.5
31
vsPAC
PACW 87-82
+30.5
4
vsLMU
LMUL 75-84
+13.5
7
@SMC
SMCL 54-79
−9.5
12
vsORST
ORSTL 63-90
+12.5
15
@USD
USDW 92-79
+22.5
18
vsGONZ
GONZL 59-80
−12.5
21
vsSCU
SCUL 73-94
+8.5
over 15under 14avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Pacific
28 games played
Straight up
15-13
54% wins
Against the spread
15-13
54% covers · avg +2.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-17
39% overs · avg −1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @NEV | L 77-78 | +13.5 | W +12.5 | 139.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 12 | vs LBSU | W 69-66 | -12.5 | L −9.5 | 141.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 15 | @ CSUF | W 85-73 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 20 | @ FAU | L 59-82 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 154.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 24 | vs STBK | W 86-58 | -4.5 | W +23.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 25 | vs JAX | W 68-53 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 135.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 29 | vs SAC | W 68-54 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 3 | @ AF | W 80-65 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 134.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 6 | @ CAL | L 61-67 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 16 | @ BYU | L 57-93 | +23.5 | L −12.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 21 | vs NICH | W 95-82 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 28 | @USD | L 54-66 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 150.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 30 | @LMU | L 71-80 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 2 | vsORST | W 84-53 | -4.5 | W +26.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 4 | vsPEPP | W 74-69 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 138.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 8 | @PORT | L 89-90 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 10 | vsUSD | W 77-70 | -8.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 14 | @SCU | L 69-85 | +12.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 17 | @ORST | W 81-64 | +1.5 | W +18.5 | 139.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 24 | vsSEA | W 56-54 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 137.5 | U 110 |
| Jan 28 | vsPORT | W 74-51 | -8.5 | W +14.5 | 142.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 31 | @SF | L 82-87 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 138.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 4 | vsSCU | L 56-71 | +6.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | U 127 |
| Feb 7 | @PEPP | W 92-59 | -7.5 | W +25.5 | 142.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 11 | vsLMU | W 65-59 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 14 | vsSMC | L 61-72 | +7.5 | L −3.5 | 135.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 18 | @WSU | L 70-87 | +2.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 21 | @GONZ | L 62-71 | +22.5 | W +13.5 | 144.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@NEV
NEVL 77-78
+12.5
12
vsLBSU
LBSUW 69-66
−9.5
15
@CSUF
CSUFW 85-73
+5.5
20
@FAU
FAUL 59-82
−15.5
24
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-58
+23.5
25
vsJAX
JAXW 68-53
+12.5
29
vsSAC
SACW 68-54
+3.5
3
@AF
AFW 80-65
+9.5
6
@CAL
CALL 61-67
+1.5
16
@BYU
BYUL 57-93
−12.5
21
vsNICH
NICHW 95-82
+4.5
28
@USD
USDL 54-66
−14.5
30
@LMU
LMUL 71-80
−5.5
2
vsORST
ORSTW 84-53
+26.5
4
vsPEPP
PEPPW 74-69
−6.5
8
@PORT
PORTL 89-90
−4.5
10
vsUSD
USDW 77-70
−1.5
14
@SCU
SCUL 69-85
−3.5
17
@ORST
ORSTW 81-64
+18.5
24
vsSEA
SEAW 56-54
+0.5
28
vsPORT
PORTW 74-51
+14.5
31
@SF
SFL 82-87
−0.5
4
vsSCU
SCUL 56-71
−8.5
7
@PEPP
PEPPW 92-59
+25.5
11
vsLMU
LMUW 65-59
+0.5
14
vsSMC
SMCL 61-72
−3.5
18
@WSU
WSUL 70-87
−14.5
21
@GONZ
GONZL 62-71
+13.5
covered 15didn’t cover 13avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@NEV
NEVL 77-78
+15.5
12
vsLBSU
LBSUW 69-66
−6.5
15
@CSUF
CSUFW 85-73
−1.5
20
@FAU
FAUL 59-82
−13.5
24
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-58
−1.5
25
vsJAX
JAXW 68-53
−14.5
29
vsSAC
SACW 68-54
−24.5
3
@AF
AFW 80-65
+10.5
6
@CAL
CALL 61-67
−16.5
16
@BYU
BYUL 57-93
+0.5
21
vsNICH
NICHW 95-82
+37.5
28
@USD
USDL 54-66
−30.5
30
@LMU
LMUL 71-80
+11.5
2
vsORST
ORSTW 84-53
−0.5
4
vsPEPP
PEPPW 74-69
+4.5
8
@PORT
PORTL 89-90
+34.5
10
vsUSD
USDW 77-70
−0.5
14
@SCU
SCUL 69-85
−0.5
17
@ORST
ORSTW 81-64
+5.5
24
vsSEA
SEAW 56-54
−27.5
28
vsPORT
PORTW 74-51
−17.5
31
@SF
SFL 82-87
+30.5
4
vsSCU
SCUL 56-71
−24.5
7
@PEPP
PEPPW 92-59
+8.5
11
vsLMU
LMUW 65-59
−17.5
14
vsSMC
SMCL 61-72
−2.5
18
@WSU
WSUL 70-87
+12.5
21
@GONZ
GONZL 62-71
−11.5
over 11under 17avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
San Francisco
14-15 overall · 7-10 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Santa Clara73–94
- Lvs Gonzaga59–80
- W@ San Diego92–79
- Lvs Oregon St63–90
- L@ Saint Mary's54–79
A week or more of rest.
Pacific
15-13 overall · 8-9 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Gonzaga62–71
- L@ Washington St70–87
- Lvs Saint Mary's61–72
- Wvs LMU65–59
- W@ Pepperdine92–59
A week or more of rest.