Firestone Fieldhouse · at Pepperdine · Conference game
Closing line
PAC -7.5✓ PAC covered by 25.5
PAC -7.5✓ PAC covered by 25.5Closing total142.5Over by 8.5
| PAC | This season | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| 13-10 | Record | 4-18 |
| 12-11 | ATS | 10-12 |
| 9-14 | O/U | 8-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PAC 74–68 PEPP · ✓ PAC (69%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PAC | 41 | 51 | 92 |
| PEPP | 25 | 34 | 59 |
1st half: PAC 41, PEPP 25 (PAC by 16). The model had PAC by 3.6 and a total of 66.2 (actual 66).
Team stats
| PAC | PEPP | |
|---|---|---|
| 33-62 53% | Field goals | 20-56 36% |
| 14-23 61% | 3-pointers | 7-19 37% |
| 12-15 80% | Free throws | 12-21 57% |
| 44 8 off | Rebounds | 26 4 off |
| 21 | Assists | 8 |
| 8 | Steals | 3 |
| 3 | Blocks | 6 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 19 | Fouls | 13 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| PAC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Clayton G | 36 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 6-10 | 3-5 |
| Elias Ralph F | 33 | 14 | 13 | 4 | 6-12 | 1-4 |
| TJ Wainwright G | 28 | 27 | 4 | 2 | 8-17 | 6-10 |
| Isaac Jack F | 24 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Justin Rochelin G | 16 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 4-6 | 2-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaion Pitt F | 23 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Kajus Kublickas G | 17 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| KC Ibekwe C | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Alexis Marmolejos G | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Emmanuel Manyuon G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Clayton Mpiana, Eyal Harel, Augustas Brazdeikis, Kris Keinys, Carlsheon Young, Noah Budu, Dominic Capriotti, Kellen Hampton
| PEPP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Styles Phipps G | 32 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2-10 | 0-2 |
| Javon Cooley G | 30 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 5-9 | 2-5 |
| Aaron Clark G | 29 | 17 | 0 | 2 | 5-13 | 3-5 |
| Danilo Dozic C | 29 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3-10 | 2-5 |
| Yonatan Levy F | 22 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Pavle Stosic F | 15 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Stefan Cicic C | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| David Mager G | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Luka Vudragovic G | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Vladimir Sudar F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Nikola Radovanovic F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Pasha Shemirani F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Preston Phillips, Anto Balian, Ty Virgil, Yassine Gharram
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketPAC -7.5
ModelPAC -5.8
Model edgePEPP +1.7
L PAC covered
Total
Market142.5
Model141.4
Model edgeUnder 1.1
L Over
Projected score
PAC 73.6 · PEPP 67.8
PAC 92 · PEPP 59
Win probability
PAC 69%
1st half
Spread
PAC -3.6
PAC -16.0
Total
66.2
66 points
Projected score
PAC 34.9 · PEPP 31.3
PAC 41 · PEPP 25
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPAC -8.5
1 → PEPP
ClosePAC -7.5
1 pt toward PEPP
Total
Open140.5
▲ 2
Close142.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
PAC -360 · PEPP +285
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PAC -8.5 · closed PAC -7.5 · moved 1 toward PEPPmodel PAC -6
model PAC -6
Opened 140.5 · closed 142.5 · moved 2 upmodel 141.5
model 141.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PAC | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| PEPP | 1-9 10% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 11 since 2021-22
PAC 5–6 PEPPPEPP leads · 11 games since 2021-22 · PAC 4-7 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025-26 | PEPP 69 @ PAC 74 | PAC -11.5 | PEPP W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | PAC 44 @ PEPP 60 | PEPP -7.5 | PEPP W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | PEPP 87 @ PAC 70 | PAC -0.5 | PEPP W |
| Mar 7, 2023-24 | PAC 43 vs PEPP 102 | PEPP -9.5 | PEPP W |
| Feb 21, 2023-24 | PEPP 89 @ PAC 70 | PAC +7.5 | PEPP W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Pacific
23 games played
Straight up
13-10
57% wins
Against the spread
12-11
52% covers · avg +2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-14
39% overs · avg −1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ NEV | L 77-78 | +13.5 | W +12.5 | 139.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 12 | vs LBSU | W 69-66 | -12.5 | L −9.5 | 141.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 15 | @ CSUF | W 85-73 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 20 | @ FAU | L 59-82 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 154.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 24 | vs STBK | W 86-58 | -4.5 | W +23.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 25 | vs JAX | W 68-53 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 135.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 29 | vs SAC | W 68-54 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 3 | @ AF | W 80-65 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 134.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 6 | @ CAL | L 61-67 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 16 | @ BYU | L 57-93 | +23.5 | L −12.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 21 | vs NICH | W 95-82 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 28 | @ USD | L 54-66 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 150.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 30 | @ LMU | L 71-80 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 2 | vs ORST | W 84-53 | -4.5 | W +26.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 4 | vsPEPP | W 74-69 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 138.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 8 | @ PORT | L 89-90 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 10 | vsUSD | W 77-70 | -8.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 14 | @ SCU | L 69-85 | +12.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 17 | @ORST | W 81-64 | +1.5 | W +18.5 | 139.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 24 | vs SEA | W 56-54 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 137.5 | U 110 |
| Jan 28 | vsPORT | W 74-51 | -8.5 | W +14.5 | 142.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 31 | @ SF | L 82-87 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 138.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 4 | vsSCU | L 56-71 | +6.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | U 127 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@NEV
NEVL 77-78
+12.5
12
vsLBSU
LBSUW 69-66
−9.5
15
@CSUF
CSUFW 85-73
+5.5
20
@FAU
FAUL 59-82
−15.5
24
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-58
+23.5
25
vsJAX
JAXW 68-53
+12.5
29
vsSAC
SACW 68-54
+3.5
3
@AF
AFW 80-65
+9.5
6
@CAL
CALL 61-67
+1.5
16
@BYU
BYUL 57-93
−12.5
21
vsNICH
NICHW 95-82
+4.5
28
@USD
USDL 54-66
−14.5
30
@LMU
LMUL 71-80
−5.5
2
vsORST
ORSTW 84-53
+26.5
4
vsPEPP
PEPPW 74-69
−6.5
8
@PORT
PORTL 89-90
−4.5
10
vsUSD
USDW 77-70
−1.5
14
@SCU
SCUL 69-85
−3.5
17
@ORST
ORSTW 81-64
+18.5
24
vsSEA
SEAW 56-54
+0.5
28
vsPORT
PORTW 74-51
+14.5
31
@SF
SFL 82-87
−0.5
4
vsSCU
SCUL 56-71
−8.5
covered 12didn’t cover 11avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@NEV
NEVL 77-78
+15.5
12
vsLBSU
LBSUW 69-66
−6.5
15
@CSUF
CSUFW 85-73
−1.5
20
@FAU
FAUL 59-82
−13.5
24
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-58
−1.5
25
vsJAX
JAXW 68-53
−14.5
29
vsSAC
SACW 68-54
−24.5
3
@AF
AFW 80-65
+10.5
6
@CAL
CALL 61-67
−16.5
16
@BYU
BYUL 57-93
+0.5
21
vsNICH
NICHW 95-82
+37.5
28
@USD
USDL 54-66
−30.5
30
@LMU
LMUL 71-80
+11.5
2
vsORST
ORSTW 84-53
−0.5
4
vsPEPP
PEPPW 74-69
+4.5
8
@PORT
PORTL 89-90
+34.5
10
vsUSD
USDW 77-70
−0.5
14
@SCU
SCUL 69-85
−0.5
17
@ORST
ORSTW 81-64
+5.5
24
vsSEA
SEAW 56-54
−27.5
28
vsPORT
PORTW 74-51
−17.5
31
@SF
SFL 82-87
+30.5
4
vsSCU
SCUL 56-71
−24.5
over 9under 14avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Pepperdine
22 games played
Straight up
4-18
18% wins
Against the spread
10-12
45% covers · avg −0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-14
36% overs · avg −1.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ UCLA | L 63-74 | +29.5 | W +18.5 | 152.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 15 | vs UNCO | L 81-88 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 18 | vs NOLA | W 90-79 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 21 | vs SFA | L 60-63 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 26 | vs FRES | L 53-76 | +2.5 | L −20.5 | 150.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 29 | @CSUF | L 69-83 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 161.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 2 | vs ACU | L 63-71 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 137.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 6 | vs UVM | L 56-65 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 142.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | @ CSUB | W 70-62 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 147.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 18 | @LBSU | L 78-81 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 20 | vs RICE | W 84-62 | +1.5 | W +23.5 | 140.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 28 | vs GONZ | L 56-96 | +29.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 30 | vs SMC | L 45-72 | +19.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 2 | @SCU | L 63-82 | +20.5 | W +1.5 | 150.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 4 | @PAC | L 69-74 | +11.5 | W +6.5 | 138.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 8 | @USD | L 63-83 | +4.5 | L −15.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 10 | vsSF | L 60-80 | +7.5 | L −12.5 | 140.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 14 | vsPORT | W 67-63 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 21 | @GONZ | L 60-84 | +28.5 | W +4.5 | 150.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | @ WSU | L 79-95 | +11.5 | L −4.5 | 146.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 28 | vsUSD | L 88-92 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 151.5 | O 180 |
| Feb 4 | @SEA | L 81-83 | +12.5 | W +10.5 | 139.5 | O 164 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@UCLA
UCLAL 63-74
+18.5
15
vsUNCO
UNCOL 81-88
−5.5
18
vsNOLA
NOLAW 90-79
+5.5
21
vsSFA
SFAL 60-63
−1.5
26
vsFRES
FRESL 53-76
−20.5
29
@CSUF
CSUFL 69-83
−12.5
2
vsACU
ACUL 63-71
−6.5
6
vsUVM
UVML 56-65
−7.5
13
@CSUB
CSUBW 70-62
+9.5
18
@LBSU
LBSUL 78-81
+1.5
20
vsRICE
RICEW 84-62
+23.5
28
vsGONZ
GONZL 56-96
−10.5
30
vsSMC
SMCL 45-72
−7.5
2
@SCU
SCUL 63-82
+1.5
4
@PAC
PACL 69-74
+6.5
8
@USD
USDL 63-83
−15.5
10
vsSF
SFL 60-80
−12.5
14
vsPORT
PORTW 67-63
+5.5
21
@GONZ
GONZL 60-84
+4.5
24
@WSU
WSUL 79-95
−4.5
28
vsUSD
USDL 88-92
−1.5
4
@SEA
SEAL 81-83
+10.5
covered 10didn’t cover 12avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@UCLA
UCLAL 63-74
−15.5
15
vsUNCO
UNCOL 81-88
+15.5
18
vsNOLA
NOLAW 90-79
+11.5
21
vsSFA
SFAL 60-63
−25.5
26
vsFRES
FRESL 53-76
−21.5
29
@CSUF
CSUFL 69-83
−9.5
2
vsACU
ACUL 63-71
−3.5
6
vsUVM
UVML 56-65
−21.5
13
@CSUB
CSUBW 70-62
−15.5
18
@LBSU
LBSUL 78-81
+17.5
20
vsRICE
RICEW 84-62
+5.5
28
vsGONZ
GONZL 56-96
−0.5
30
vsSMC
SMCL 45-72
−24.5
2
@SCU
SCUL 63-82
−5.5
4
@PAC
PACL 69-74
+4.5
8
@USD
USDL 63-83
−3.5
10
vsSF
SFL 60-80
−0.5
14
vsPORT
PORTW 67-63
−17.5
21
@GONZ
GONZL 60-84
−6.5
24
@WSU
WSUL 79-95
+27.5
28
vsUSD
USDL 88-92
+28.5
4
@SEA
SEAL 81-83
+24.5
over 8under 14avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Pacific
13-10 overall · 6-6 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Santa Clara56–71
- L@ San Francisco82–87
- Wvs Portland74–51
- Wvs Seattle U56–54
- W@ Oregon St81–64
3 days since their last game.
Pepperdine
4-18 overall · 1-10 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Seattle U81–83
- Lvs San Diego88–92
- L@ Washington St79–95
- L@ Gonzaga60–84
- Wvs Portland67–63
3 days since their last game.