1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Dec 8
  3. SUU @ WASH
NCAAB · Tue, Dec 8

Southern Utah Thunderbirds at Washington Huskies

Alaska Airlines Arena · at Washington
#267SUUSouthern Utah
@
#56WASHWashington
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
SUUThis seasonWASH
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects WASH 88–65 · win probability WASH 98%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 153.3
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: WASH has more of the edges

SUU 1, WASH 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
WASHBig
WASH offense vs SUU defense
Offense 57th of 366 against a defense 329th, on the model’s ratings
WASHBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: SUU 28.8%, WASH 34.6%. Defensive: SUU 66.4%, WASH 71.5%
WASHBig
SUU offense vs WASH defense
Offense 211th of 366 against a defense 48th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
SUU has played the 187th-hardest schedule, WASH the 46th. A record against a soft schedule means less
WASHBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: SUU 20.3%, WASH 15.3%. Forced: SUU 14.8%, WASH 14.4%
WASHSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: SUU 50.8 and allows 53.3; WASH 51.2 and allows 50.1
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: SUU plays 71.2 a game (62nd fastest), WASH 68.8 (196th). Faster games mean more points
WASHSmall
Three-pointers
SUU hits 33.0% and allows 38.0%; WASH hits 31.5% and allows 33.6%. Threes are 35.5% and 34.6% of their shots
WASHSmall
Home court
WASH at home. This season: WASH 0-0 at home, SUU 0-0 away
SUUSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: SUU 33.1, WASH 30.1. Allowed: SUU 29.8, WASH 31.0
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: SUU 27%, WASH 34%. Transfers in: SUU 1, WASH 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—WASH -23.0—
Total—153.3—
Projected score—SUU 65.1 · WASH 88.1

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadWASH -13.5—
1H total71.6—
1H projected scoreSUU 29.1 · WASH 42.6—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Southern Utah 1, Washington 1, even 3
Southern UtahBetterWashington
G B. Johnson0 pts · 0.3 reb · 0.9 ast Not ranked
No call
G R. Beasley TR13.9 pts · 3.5 reb · 4.1 ast Score 84
G Z. Kidd0.3 pts · 0.8 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
No call
G W. Yates12.7 pts · 3.3 reb · 1.3 ast Score 68
F J. Feroah14 pts · 6.9 reb · 1.8 ast Score 87
Even
G L. Watts TR11.8 pts · 6 reb · 2.4 ast Score 87
F J. Nicholls TR10.8 pts · 5.3 reb · 0.4 ast Score 95
SUUSmall
G P. Friedrichsen TR10.8 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.4 ast Score 76
F C. Barclay4.5 pts · 2.7 reb · 0.9 ast Score 8
WASHBig
G T. Comer TR11 pts · 1.8 reb · 3.6 ast Score 68
Southern UtahBetterWashington
SUU offense211th of 366 · -6.4
WASHBig
WASH defense48th of 366 · +2.2
SUU defense329th of 366 · -8.6
WASHBig
WASH offense57th of 366 · +2.7
Backcourt-0.4 · 2 players
WASHBig
Backcourt+5.8 · 5 players
Frontcourt+3.8 · 3 players
No call
FrontcourtNo numbers yet
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench-1.3 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestSUU betterWASH betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Southern Utah
Guards
B. Johnson4 minZ. Kidd3 minD. SandersNewA. BrelandNewJ. BrownNewC. DegraffenriedNew
Forwards
J. Feroah31 minJ. Nicholls18 min · TRC. Barclay16 minJ. RiakNewJ. NichollsNewD. SmithNew
Centers
M. ProtsenkoNew
Washington
Guards
R. Beasley34 min · TRW. Yates31 minL. Watts27 min · TRP. Friedrichsen26 min · TRT. Comer25 min · TRH. Zrno19 min · TR
Forwards
N. Dzepina11 minJ. Rencher9 minM. TraoreNewW. BragaNew
Centers
L. Sommerville15 min
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
SUUWASH
Scoring
72.3 #235Points per game77.1 #114
1.01 #310Points per possession1.12 #103
71.2 #62Pace (possessions)68.8 #196
Shooting
50.8 #200Effective FG%51.2 #187
33.0 #2313-point %31.5 #307
35.5 #2613-point attempt rate34.6 #284
33.1 #235Free throw rate30.1 #308
Possessions
20.3 #352Turnover rate15.3 #81
28.8 #239Offensive rebound rate34.6 #56
12.9 #223Assists per game13.9 #152
Defense
81.3 #335Points allowed73.6 #146
1.14 #308Points allowed per possession1.07 #140
53.3 #276Opponent effective FG%50.1 #108
38.0 #358Opponent 3-point %33.6 #163
14.8 #302Turnovers forced14.4 #325
66.4 #309Defensive rebound rate71.5 #84
5.2 #317Steals per game5.7 #271
4.1 #60Blocks per game4.2 #58
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Southern Utah

7-22 in 2025-26 overall · 6-13 in conference · Big Sky Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs UT Arlington63–69
  • Lvs CA Baptist75–82
  • Lvs Utah Valley88–92
  • Wvs Utah Tech81–67
  • L@ Abilene Chrstn83–87

A week or more of rest.

Washington

16-17 in 2025-26 overall · 8-14 in conference · Big Ten Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Wisconsin82–85
  • Wvs USC83–79
  • L@ Oregon79–85
  • Wvs USC91–72
  • Lvs Wisconsin73–90

A week or more of rest.